U.S. GODAE: Global Ocean Prediction with
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Transcript of U.S. GODAE: Global Ocean Prediction with
U.S. GODAE: Global U.S. GODAE: Global Ocean Prediction with Ocean Prediction with
Community Effort:Community Effort: NRL, U. of Miami, FSU, NASA-GISS, NOAA/NCEP, NOAA/AOML, NOAA/PMEL, PSI, FNMOC, NAVOCEANO, SHOM, LEGI, OPeNDAP, UNC, Rutgers, USF, Fugro-GEOS, Orbimage, Shell, ExxonMobil
Example of commercial usersExample of commercial users
• OCENS (www.ocens.com) is a Seattle, Washington company delivering weather and ocean data to at-sea users around the world.
• METEOREM (www.meteorem.com) provides ocean and weather forecasts to marinas, fishing fleets, etc.
• ROFFS (www.roffs.com) consist of fisheries oceanographers that use satellite and other oceanographic and meteorological data
• Horizon Marine, Inc. (www.horizonmarine.com)• Orbimage (www.orbimage.com)• Shell (www.shell.com)• Exxon-Mobil (www.exxonmobil.com)• Ocean Numerics (www.oceannumerics.com)• Etc.
ROFFS™ FISHING ROFFS™ FISHING OCEANOGRAPHIC ANALYSISOCEANOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS
ROFFS™ TECHNIQUEROFFS™ TECHNIQUE
• TAKE AN REPRESENTATIVE IMAGE• TRACE THE WATER MASS
BOUNDARIES• COMPARE TO PREVIOUS DAY• COMPARE TO TWO DAYS AGO …..
– TIME HISTORY OVER GOOD BOTTOM• GRADIENT STRENGTH• VELOCITY OF WATER• OTHER CIRCULATION FACTORS
– LOCAL & REGIONAL– PERSISTENCE & CLIMATOLOGY
– LOCAL & REGIONAL WINDS
CLOUDS ARE CLOUDS ARE A MAJOR PROBLEMA MAJOR PROBLEM
• SST and OCEAN COLOR NOT ALWAYS AVAILABLE
• USE ALTIMETERS– VALID DATA TWICE A WEEK– VISUALIZATION OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARIES A PROBLEM
• USE HYCOM PRESENTLY FOR GUIDANCE NOT FOR DETAILS– VALIDATION NEEDED -> TRUST
ROFFS™ 13 July 2007ROFFS™ 13 July 2007
ROFFS™ ROFFS™ VSVS HYCOM HYCOM
Example of scientific usersExample of scientific users
• Provision of boundary conditions for regional systems
• Hurricane research
• Provision of velocity fields for comparison to glider measurements, moorings, etc.
• Etc.
George Halliwell, Nick ShayRosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science
University of Miami, Miami, FL
William TeagueNaval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS
Evaluation of the Simulated Ocean
Response to Hurricane Ivan in Comparison to High-Quality
Ocean Observations
JGR, revised
Observed SST Response to IvanObserved SST Response to Ivan
AVHRR (Walker et al, 2005)
Microwave satellite (Remote Sensing Systems)
Ivan IntensityIvan Intensity
Pre-Ivan
OHC Maps from the NCODA GOM Nowcast
Ivan SimulationIvan Simulation• Run within the 1/25° GOM Domain• Initial and Boundary Conditions from NCODA• GISS Vertical Mixing• Atmospheric Forcing
– Very important - must resolve the inner core of the storm– Start with the 0.5-degree NOGAPS forcing
• Problems:– Eye and eyewall poorly resolved– Maximum winds underestimated by 30-40%
– Blend NOGAPS wind field with HWIND gridded vector wind fields from NOAA/HRD
• Produce wind speed and wind stress forcing fields that resolve the inner core structure
SSH, 10 Sept. 2004SSH, 10 Sept. 2004
Simulated SST Response to IvanSimulated SST Response to Ivan
SST (C) Before and After IvanSST (C) Before and After Ivan
Depth-Time Temperature VariabilityDepth-Time Temperature Variability
SEED Moorings and Ivan PathSEED Moorings and Ivan Path
9
u v0
150 Observations
GISS
Observations
KPP KPP
MY
GISS
MY