U.S. DURUM PRODUCTION - ndwheat.comresources\542\durum-web-charts.pdf · EXPORT PACE – U.S. DURUM...
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U.S. DURUM PRODUCTION 0 37 73 110 147 184 0 1 2 3 4 5 Million Bushels Source: USDA April 2018 Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover Million Tons
Transcript of U.S. DURUM PRODUCTION - ndwheat.comresources\542\durum-web-charts.pdf · EXPORT PACE – U.S. DURUM...
U.S. DURUM PRODUCTION
0
37
73
110
147
184
0
1
2
3
4
5Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
Million Tons
U.S. DURUM DOMESTIC USE
0
18
37
55
73
92
110
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0Million Tons Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
U.S. DURUM EXPORTS
0
18
37
55
73
92
110
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0Million Tons Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
U.S. DURUM STOCKS
0
18
37
55
73
92
110
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0Million Tons Million Bushels
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/both/S&D prod, consump, carryover
DURUM SUPPLIES IN THE U.S.
0.0
1.4
2.7
4.1
5.4
6.8
020406080
100120140160180
Beg Stocks Production Imports
Source: USDA April 2018
Million Bushels Million Tons
U.S. DURUM WHEAT PRODUCTION
Planted Harvested Yield Production
2006 1.9 1.8 29.5 53.5
2007 2.1 2.1 34.1 72.2
2008 2.7 2.6 31.3 80.5
2009 2.6 2.4 44.0 104.9
2010 2.6 2.5 41.2 101.5
2011 1.4 1.3 36.8 47.0
2012 2.1 2.1 38.4 81.5
2013 1.4 1.3 43.3 58.0
2014 1.4 1.3 40.2 54.1
2015 2.0 1.9 44.0 84.0
2016 2.4 2.4 44.0 103.9
2017 2.3 2.1 25.7 54.9
5 Yr Avg 1.8 1.8 42.0 76.3
10 Yr Avg 2.1 2.0 39.7 78.8
USDA Nov 2017xldata/durum acres
Acres-Bushels
U.S. DURUM WHEAT PLANTINGS & PRODUCTION
0
50
100
150
0
2
4
6
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Planted Harvested Production
Source: USDA Nov 2017Xldata/durum/acres
Million BushelsMillion Acres
U.S. DURUM SUPPLY & DEMAND Million Bushels
12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 Proj17-18
Change
BegStocks
25 23 22 26 28 36 +29%
Production 82 58 54 84 104 55 -47%Imports 36 44 50 34 30 50 +67%Tot Supply 143 125 126 144 162 141 -13%Dom Use 93 76 64 86 101 83 -18%Exports 29 32 37 30 24 20 -17%Tot Use 122 108 101 116 126 103 -18%End Stocks
23 22 26 28 36 38 +6%
S/U Ratio 19% 20% 26% 24% 29% 37%
Source: USDA April 2018Xldata/durum/S&D
U.S. DURUM WHEAT PLANTINGS BY STATE
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
North Dakota Montana AZ & CA
Million Acres
14 16 15 17 18
Million Hectares
Source: USDA Prospective Plantings
U.S. DURUM WHEAT PRODUCTION BY STATE
0.00
0.27
0.54
0.82
1.09
1.36
1.63
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
North Dakota Montana AZ & CA
Million Bushels 13 14 15 16 17 Million Tons
Source: USDA Small Grains Summary
COMPARATIVE U.S. WHEAT PROTEIN12% Moisture Basis
11
12
13
14
15
16
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
U.S. HAD Current 5 Yr Avg CWAD Current Five Yr Avg
Protein Content
10/12/17
EXPORT PACE – U.S. DURUM WHEATas of April 5, 2018
0.0
3.7
7.3
11.0
14.7
18.4
22.0
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
Total Europe Africa LatinAmerica
Unknown
16-17 17-18Million Tons Million Bushels
4/10/18
TOP IMPORTERS OF U.S. DURUM IN MARKETING YEAR 2016-17
0.00
0.05
0.11
0.16
0.22
0.27
0
2
4
6
8
10
Million Bushel Million Ton
USDA Export InspectionsXldata/Both/Exports/Top 10 & 5 yr avg
TOP IMPORTERS OF U.S. DURUM FIVE-YEAR AVERAGE (2012/13 – 2016/17)
0.00
0.08
0.16
0.24
0.33
0.41
0
3
6
9
12
15
Million Bushel Million Ton
USDA Export InspectionsXldata/Both/Exports/Top 10 & 5 yr avg
EXPORT TRENDS – BY REGIONU.S. Durum Wheat
0.00
0.14
0.27
0.41
0.54
0.68
0
5
10
15
20
25
Europe Africa/Mid East
C. & S.America
12/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons
EXPORT TRENDS – LATIN AMERICAU.S. Durum Wheat
0.00
0.04
0.08
0.12
0.16
0
1.5
3
4.5
6
CostaRica
Cuba DomRepublic
Venezuela
11/1212/1313/1414/1515/1616-17
Million Bushels Million Tons
EXPORT TRENDS – N AFRICA /EUU.S. Durum Wheat
0.00
0.19
0.38
0.57
0
7
14
21
Algeria Morocco Tunisia Nigeria Italy
12/1313/1414/1516/1715/16
Million Bushels Million Tons
