US Assessment of Karachi Violence

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    203530 4/22/2009 11:52 09KARACHI138 Consulate Karachi

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    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/22/2019

    TAGS: PTER, ASEC, PGOV, PK

    SUBJECT: SINDH THE GANGS OF KARACHI

    Classified By: CLASSIFIED BY CONSUL GENERAL STEPHEN FAKAN FORREASONS 1

    .4 b and d.

    1. (S) Summary: The police in Karachi are only one of several armed groups in the

    city, and they are probably not the most numerous or best equipped. Many

    neighborhoods are considered by the police to be no-go zones in which even the

    intelligence services have a difficult time operating. Very few of the groups are

    traditional criminal gangs. Most are associated with a political party, a social

    movement, or terrorist activity, and their presence in the volatile ethnic mix of the

    world,s fourth largest city creates enormous political and governance challenges.

    MQM (Muttahida Quami Movement)

    2. (S) The MQM is an ethnic political party of the Urdu speaking community (known

    as Mohajirs, which is Arabic for immigrants) that migrated from India at the time

    of partition; Mohajirs make up around fifty percent of the total population in

    Karachi. MQM is middle-class, avowedly secular, and anti-extremist (the only partyto publicly protest the recent Swat Nizam-e-Adl regulations). It has a long history of

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    clashes with the Pakistan People,s Party (PPP), which controls the Sindh province in

    which Karachi is located, and with the Awami National Party (ANP), which

    represents MQM,s rival ethnic Pashtuns.

    3. (S) MQMs armed members, known as Good Friends, are the largest non-

    governmental armed element in the city. The police estimate MQM has ten thousandactive armed members and as many as twenty-five thousand armed fighters in

    reserve. This is compared to the citys thirty-three thousand police officers. The party

    operates through its 100 Sector Commanders, who take their orders directly from the

    party leader, Altaf Hussain, who lives in exile in the United Kingdom. The Sector

    Commanders plan and monitor the activities of the armed elements. MQMs

    detractors claim these armed men are involved in extortion, assassination of political

    rivals, shootings at campaign rallies, and the murder of people from other ethnic

    communities.

    4. (S) Low to middle-ranked police officials acknowledge the extortion and the likely

    veracity of the other charges. A senior police officer said, in the past eight years

    alone, MQM was issued over a million arms licenses, mostly for handguns. Post has

    observed MQM security personnel carrying numerous shoulder-fired weapons,

    ranging from new European AKMs to crude AK copies, probably produced in local

    shops. MQM controls the following neighborhoods in Karachi: Gulberg, Gulshan-e-Iqbal, Korangi, Landhi, Liaquatabad, Malir, Nazimabad, New Karachi, North

    Nazimabad, Orangi Town, Saddar and Shah Faisal.

    MQM-H (Muhajir Quami Movement-Haqiqi)

    -

    5. (S) MQM-H is a small ethnic political party that broke away from the MQM in the

    mid-1980s. MQM-H has its strongholds in the Landhi, Korangi and Lines Area

    neighborhoods of the city. The MQM regarded these areas as no-go zones when it

    was in power during the Musharraf presidency. As a condition for joining the Sindh

    government in 2003, it asked that MQM-H be eliminated. The local police and

    Rangers were used to crack down on MQM-H, and its leaders were put behind bars.

    The rank and file of MQM-H found refuge in a local religious/political party, SunniTehrik

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    (see para 9). The local police believe MQM-H still maintains its armed groups in the

    areas of Landhi and Korangi, and that the party will re-organize itself once its

    leadership is released from jail.

    ANP (Awami National Party Peoples National Party)

    6. (S) The ANP represents the ethnic Pashtuns in Karachi. The local Pashtuns do

    possess personal weapons, following the tribal traditions of the North West Frontier

    Province (NWFP), and there are indications they have begun to organize formal

    armed groups. With the onset of combat operations in the Federally Administered

    Tribal Areas in August 2008, a growing number of Pashtuns fled south to swell the

    Pashtun ranks of what already is the largest Pashtun city in the world. This hasincreased tensions between ANP and MQM.

    7. (S) If rhetoric of the police and the ANP leadership is to be believed, these armed

    elements may be preparing to challenge MQM control of Karachi. In March, the

    Karachi Police Special Branch submitted a report to the Inspector General of Police in

    which it mentioned the presence of hard-line Pashtuns in the Sohrab Goth

    neighborhood. Sohrab Goth is located in the Northeast of the city.

    8. (S) The report said this neighborhood was becoming a no-go area for the police.

    The report went on to claim the Pashtuns are involved in drug trafficking and gun

    running and if police wanted to move in the area they had to do so in civilian

    clothing. A senior member of the Intelligence Bureau in Karachi recently opined that

    the ANP would not move against MQM until the next elections, but the police report

    ANP gunmen are already fighting MQM gunmen over protection-racket turf.

    ST (Sunni Tehrik Sunni Movement)

    -

    9. (S) ST is a small religious/political group with a presence in small pockets of

    Karachi. The group has only managed to win a handful of council seats in local

    elections but militarily it is disproportionably powerful because of the influx of

    MQM-H gunmen after the government crack-down on MQM-H (see above). ST has

    organized the party and its gunmen along the lines of MQM by dividing its areas of

    influence into sectors and units, with sector and unit commanders. ST and MQM

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    have allegedly been killing each others leadership since the April 2006 Nishtar Park

    bombing that killed most of STs leadership. ST blames MQM for the attack. There

    appears to have been a reduction in these targeted killings since 2008.

    PPP (Pakistan Peoples Party)

    10. (S) PPP is a political party led by, and centered on the Bhutto family. The party

    enjoys significant support in Karachi, especially among the Sindhi and Baloch

    populations. Traditionally, the party has not run an armed wing, but the workers of

    the PPP do possess weapons, both licensed and unlicensed. With PPP in control of

    the provincial government and having an influential member in place as the Home

    Minister, a large number of weapons permits are currently being issued to PPPworkers. A police official recently told Post that he believes, given the volume of

    weapons permits being issued to PPP members, the party will soon be as well-armed

    as MQM.

    Gangs in Lyari: Arshad Pappoo (AP) and Rahman Dakait (RD)

    11. (S) AP and RD are two traditional criminal gangs that have been fighting each

    other since the turn of the century in the Lyari district of Karachi. Both gangs gave

    their political support to PPP in the parliamentary elections. The gangs got their start

    with drug trafficking in Lyari and later included the more serious crimes of

    kidnapping and robbery in other parts of Karachi. (Comment: Kidnapping is such a

    problem in the city that the Home Secretary once asked Post for small tracking

    devices that could be planted under the skin of upper-class citizens and a satellite to

    track the devices if they were kidnapped. End comment.)

    12. (S) Each group has only about 200 hard-core armed fighters but, according to

    police, various people in Lyari have around 6,000 handguns, which are duly

    authorized through valid weapons permits. In addition, the gangs are in possession

    of a large number of unlicensed AK-47 rifles, Rocket Propelled Grenade launchers

    and hand grenades. The weapons are carried openly and used against each other as

    well as any police or Rangers who enter the area during security operations. Duringpolice incursions, the gang members maintain the tactical advantage by using the

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    narrow streets and interconnected houses. There are some parts of Lyari that are

    inaccessible to law enforcement agencies.

    Pashtun Terrorists

    13. (S) A Senior IB officer recently opined to Post that All Pashtuns in Karachi are

    not Taliban, but all Taliban are Pashtuns. The size, scope and nature of

    Talibanization and true Taliban terrorist activity in Karachi is difficult to pin down,

    but Post has increasingly received anecdotes about women, even in more upscale

    neighborhoods, being accosted by bearded strangers and told to wear headscarves in

    public.

    14. (S) There has not been a terrorist attack against U.S. interests in Karachi since

    2006. There are several theories about Taliban activity in Karachi and why they have

    not staged an attack in so long. One school of thought has it that MQM is too

    powerful and will not allow the Pashtuns to operate in Karachi, and this, combined

    with the ease of operating elsewhere in Pakistan, makes Karachi an undesirable

    venue. Another line of thinking claims Karachi is too valuable as a hiding place and

    place to raise money.

    15. (S) In April, the police in Karachi arrested Badshah Din Mahsud, from their Most

    Wanted Terrorist list, known as the Red Book. It is alleged he was robbing banks in

    Karachi at the behest of Baitullah Mehsud, from the NWFP, and the money was

    being used to finance terrorist activity. There is a large body of threat reporting

    which would seem to indicate the equipment and personnel for carrying out attacks

    are currently in place in Karachi. In April, Karachi CID told Post they had arrested

    five men from NWFP who were building VBIEDs and planed to use them in attacksagainst Pakistani government buildings; including the CID office located behind the

    US Consulate. CID also claimed they had reliable information that suicide vests had

    been brought to Karachi.

    16. (S) Comment: The importance of maintaining stability in Karachi cannot be over-

    emphasized. Traditionally, Karachi was at the center of lawlessness, criminal

    activity, and politically-inspired violence in Pakistan. But with the security situation

    in the rest of the country deteriorating, the megalopolis has become something of anisland of stability. Nevertheless, it still has a number of well-armed political and

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    religious factions and the potential to explode into violent ethnic and religious

    conflict given the wrong circumstances.

    17. (S) The PPP,s decision to include MQM in coalition governments in Sindh

    Province and in the federal government has helped preclude a return to the PPP-

    MQM violence of the 1990,s. But the potential for MQM-ANP conflict is growing asPashtuns challenge Mohajir political dominance and vie for control of key economic

    interests, such as the lucrative trucking industry. Any sign that political violence is

    returning to Karachi, especially if it is related to the growing strength of conservative

    Pashtun Taliban, will send extremely negative shockwaves through the society and

    likely accelerate the flight from Pakistan of the business and intellectual elite of the

    society. End comment.

    FAKAN

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