Urvija Vadilal

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    A

    Project ReportOn

    Undertaken at

    VADILAL ENTERPRISES LTD.

    In partial fulfillment of Summer Training (1styear MBA)

    Submitted to

    AES PG Institute of Business Management

    Gujarat University

    Ahmedabad

    Submitted by

    Urvija Shah (48)

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    PREFACE

    every field of education imparted to the student, working on project plays an

    hen it comes to the practical knowledge in Financial field, there are number

    ut amongst all these fields tremendous opportunities are residing in the

    etting the deep and practical knowledge of this field can be of great help to

    uly 20, 2006 Urvija Shah

    In

    immense role in bringing out and exhibiting the qualities which are helpful in

    implementing students knowledge in the practical life.

    W

    of areas to be specialized in. one can go for core finance like working capital

    management, Investment decisions, capital structure decisions, credit policies

    etc, and one can look forward to equity and forex markets as well. Both are

    important part of the Finance.

    B

    Foreign Exchange field. As in India, the FOREX system is main fundamental

    thing for any kind of International business.

    Gthe students who are interested in finance. This kind of training and projects

    can help the students to use their theoretical knowledge on the practical

    aspects of the field.

    JAhmedabad

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    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    tudy of business management is all about gaining knowledge from the

    was given this opportunity by one of the best Foreign Exchange Exposure

    wish to express my heartfelt gratitude to Mr. ASPY Bharucha, President, and

    also thank Dr. Mayank Joshipura for his kind help in the subject and I am

    inally, not to miss anyone, I thank all the people who have directly or

    rvija shah______________

    S

    experience one gets from the corporate world. When students get into the

    corporate world to gain the knowledge, he is a novice. They need and

    opportunity and of-course help of his/her senior to explore the aspects of

    business management.

    I

    management companies: VADILAL Enterprises Ltd. I am obliged to

    VADILAL Enterprises Ltd. for providing me an opportunity to undergo training

    in their esteemed organization.

    I

    Mr. Victor Saldanha, Consultant Advisor, FOREX, VADILAL Enterprises Ltd

    for their immense help in making my training and project fruitful. I would also

    like to thank all the employees of FOREX division for their needed help.

    I

    thankful to all other faculty members at AES PGIBM for their kind support.

    F

    indirectly helped me a lot throughout the training period and in completion of

    my project successfully.

    U

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    The main plot for my project was to study Indian Foreign Exchange

    hapter 1 contains some basic information on the Foreign Exchange. i.e. what

    hapter 2 contains information about FOREX markets (Indian as well as global)

    hapter 3 is built around the FOREX Market rates. The initial part is packed

    OREX market is not a market where anyone who has money can come and

    very business opportunity is combined with the risk. Chapter 5 gives us the

    ow once we find out the risk in market, it is very much necessary to know, to

    market. To find out the risk involved in the Foreign Exchange market and

    to learn about the tools for managing FOREX tools.

    C

    exactly Foreign Exchange and what does it include as well as provide.

    C

    and its general workings (how it operates) and participants of the market.Getting this knowledge can help in detailed information in the next chapters. It

    also contains basic information of modified Liberalized Exchange Rate

    Management System

    C

    with the direct rate and indirect rate and how they are defined, then the cross

    rate and the methods for calculating the same. Finally, the forward rate,

    importance of the same for the importer and exporter and its calculations.

    F

    participate; it has its own guidelines. In chapter 4 these guidelines which are

    necessary for FOREX market and which has been given by RBI are covered.

    Also the guidelines given by FEDAI are included.

    E

    basic knowledge about all kind of risk which has been involved in the FOREX

    market activities.

    N

    understand or say to learn how to manage that risk; so chapter 6 contains detail

    about Risk Management procedure and tools/products in FOREX markets.

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    RESEARCH M THODOLOGYE

    Objective:

    Foreign Exchange markets

    Sub object

    ding out risk involved in foreign exchange transaction

    tools and techniques for managing

    trategy for effective management

    the advices or study outcomes

    cope:

    e project looks into the actual workings of VADILAL Enterprises Ltd.

    ata collection:

    ta collected from Vadilal Enterprises Ltd. regarding their

    Main objective:

    To study

    To learn FOREX Risk management

    ives:

    Fin

    of an organization.

    Finding out various

    foreign exchange risk.

    Develop appropriate s

    of foreign exchange risk.

    To evaluate the effect of

    in real time application in Vadilals client industry.

    S

    Th

    In this Forex System study I tried to cover every objective of the

    project, mentioned above and various aspects of the Forex Risk

    Management. Scope of my project study is restricted to managing

    Transaction Exposure part of Forex risk by using most effective

    hedging tools.

    D

    Primary da

    processes and secondary data from relevant literature along with the

    websites are the main sources of information. The primary information

    is collected through discussions with the personnel of Vadilal

    Enterprises Ltd. and from the documents provided by them.

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    Limitations:

    nstraints

    ts

    ss operations

    type of industry engaged in

    Industrial Application:

    With extinction of geographical boundaries and increase in foreign

    Time co

    Resource constrain

    Confidentiality of busine

    Restricted study of a particular

    manufacturing and exports

    trade each and every firm is facing more foreign exchange exposure

    and thus foreign exchange risk they have ever faced. Though there are

    many tools available for managing foreign exchange exposure nothing

    comes without cost. So a business house has to find out a proper mix

    of hedging tools which offers them maximum risk cover at minimum

    cost and maximum flexibility. I have tried to make a humble attempt to

    handle this one of the most important issue of foreign exchange risk

    management. To fulfill my objective I have conducted a study of foreign

    exchange risk management at Harsha Engineering Ltd

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    troduction to VADILAL Enterprises Limited

    .

    25

    .

    nnex Re

    In. Introduction1

    1.1 What is Foreign Exchange? 11.2 What does FX involve? 21.3 What does FX provide? 2

    . Foreign Exchange market 32

    2.1 Market participants 4

    2.2 Indian FX market 62.3 Modified LERMS 8

    3 Exchange Rates

    3.1 Type of rates and its working 93.1.1 Direct rate 10

    3.1.2 Indirect rate 103.1.3 Cross rate 113.1.4 Forward rate 13

    3.2 Factors affecting exchange rates 21

    . Guidelines4

    4.1 RBI4.2 FEDAI 27

    5 Export Finance 28

    . Types of risk involved in FX market 306

    f Risk management 347. Tools o. Development of appropriate strategy for Risk Management 548

    8.1 Strategy development 558.2 Field Report at Harsha Engineers Ltd. 57

    ure: ports provided by Vadilal Enterprises LimitedA

    Bibliography

    lossaryG

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    INTRODUCTION TO VADILAL ENTERPRISES LIMITED

    VADILAL ENTERPRISES LIMITED

    FORE SIONwww.vadilalmarkets.comX ADVISORY & FFMC DIVI

    VADILAL FOREX & FFMC Division provides customers who are engaged

    ith the opening up of the Indian economy and financial markets several

    reign Exchange Management, Commodity Market Advisory, is gaining

    in Export / Import and trading in commodities a personal link with

    markets.

    W

    changes have hit the market in recent past. Our country is now counted

    among the developed countries in matters of current account transactions

    scenario, treasury and financial markets, international trade and

    commerce activities. Volatility world FOREX markets has increased

    manifold. Foreign exchange valuation of the country depends upon

    several factors in that fluctuation in exchange rate is now linked with

    Currency Risk.

    Fo

    importance now a days on account of its complexity, as also requires

    expert comments, advise, guidance, and also utmost importance in view

    of the fact that the whole of FOREX and Commodity markets becoming

    very closely integrated. Treasury Management concept has been

    accepted by large organizations. Forex Advisory as a tool is also

    accepted widely by Exporters, Importers and Commodity Traders,

    because of timely and appropriate advice in relation to movements of the

    currency, commodity and money markets.

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    VADILALFOREXoffers different area of services to suit most Exporters

    and Importers, those engaged in trading / imports of Metals [Base and

    Minor] and Precious Metals Gold / Silver. The FOREX Division offers

    the area of service in relation to:

    FOREX Advisory and FOREX EXPOSURE MANAGEMENT to

    Importers and Exporters. A thorough service connected with Banking,

    ECD-RBI, FEDAI rules and guidelines, etc.

    LME-METAL Advisory service of most base metal quotes at LME,

    COMEX, NYMEX, Shanghai, markets, and complete guide and

    informative service on forward, futures and relative data.

    BULLION Informative service of Gold, Silver, and Precious metals on

    International trading, quotes, rates, forwards, futures, etc., on various

    international markets, inclusive of COMEX/NYMEX;

    Vadilals business motto

    TO UPDATE YOUR NEEDS AND REQUIREMENTS

    &

    BRING GLOBAL MAREKT CLOSER TO YOU

    PERSONNEL:

    A team of experienced, competent, qualified and, professional staff

    consisting of ex-bankers with Treasury Management experience both

    in India and abroad, Analysts, qualified Chartered Financial Analysts

    (CFA), MBAs; Post Graduates, etc.

    The Team is totally dedicated and committed to provide exclusive

    guidance and advice to all its customers in relation to the area of

    activities listed above.

    INFRASTRUCTURE:

    TELERATE Money line service.

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    FOREX ADVISORY AND EXPOSURE MANAGEMENT service segments

    Access to websitevadilalmarkets.com on a continuous process of

    up-gradation of quotes of crosses, Indian Rupees, news,

    comments, etc.

    FOREX (daily four reports)* at different time zones to carry all

    related information on INRupee, Cross currencies, forward

    positions and relative information on Money and Stock Markets. All

    4 reports are provided on e-mail, and on web-site, and also

    includes important one at 10.30 morning on fax to attract direct

    attention;

    Weekly, Monthly reports; [conversion rates, bank reference rates,

    Customs rates, FEDAI rates, etc.,*

    Periodic Forex up-dates, EXIM up-dates, etc.

    Exposure Management (on confirmed arrangement) taken well

    care of exposure by experienced staff having banking knowledge

    and expertise;

    Arrangement on Import Bill discounting, for exports - Forfeiting and

    Factoring, and ECB arrangement at the concessional service cost.

    * All the reports are attached as annexure

    ADDITIONAL SERVICE:

    On-line service (real time value information) to ascertain level of

    the currencies, forward differences, etc., between 9.30 am till

    closing of NY markets.

    Response to any query on FOREX related matter linked with

    Banking, RBI, FEDAI rules, etc.,

    In-house session on FOREX and Risk Management in relation to

    banking, RBI and FEDAI directives and EXIM related matters,

    Workshops Seminars on periodic basis on Foreign Exchange

    and Risk Management and EXIM related matters.

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    FFMC = FULL FLEDGED MONEY CHANGER

    RBI authorized FFMC agent to release foreign exchange

    entitlements; in relation to Business Travels, and BTQ : Basic Travel

    Quota (general permission)

    Authorized to sell financial products of AMEXCO American Express

    Banking Travel Related Service.

    SERVICE OFFERED with

    Value Added, High-Tech Sophistication, and personalized

    professionalism

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    What is Foreign Exchange?

    Countries of the world have been exchanging goods & services amongst

    themselves from time immemorial. The world has come a long way from the

    days of barter trade. With the inventions of money, the rigors & problems of

    barter trade have disappeared. Barter trade has made way to exchange of

    goods & services for money instead of exchange for other goods & services.

    As every sovereign nation has a distinct national currency, international trade

    has involved exchange of currencies. It is said that although the business of

    changing money is as old as money itself, the foreign exchange markets

    where currencies of different countries are exchanged, started taking shape

    only in late nineteenth century. The exchange of currencies has brought about

    the concept of exchange rates.

    Like any other commodity, the price of one unit of foreign currency can be

    stated in terms of domestic currency; in fact a unit of one currency can be

    stated in terms of any other currency. Rate of exchange means the price of

    one currency in terms of other currency. To state differently, the exchange

    rate is said to be the rate at which a number of units of one currency can be

    exchanged for a number of units of another currency. Simply defined,

    exchange rate is nothing but value of one currency expressed in terms of

    another currency. For example, the price of US Dollar (USD) of Japanese Yen

    (JPY) or Pound Sterling (GBP) can be expressed in terms of Indian Rupees

    (INR). Thus, if we say USD 1 = INR 47.00. It means the exchange of US

    Dollar & Indian Rupees is 1:47.00. Similarly, GBP 1= INR 77 meaning that the

    exchange rate of Sterling Pounds & Indian Rupee is 1:77.

    Different countries have adopted different exchange rate system at different

    times.

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    What Does FX Involve?

    A foreign exchange deal involves:

    Exchange of two currencies

    As an agreed exchange rate

    For a specified settlement date

    Settlement instructions for receipt and payment, and

    Confidence that the terms of the trade will be adhered to i.e. limits

    What Does FX provide?

    Foreign exchange provides us:

    The method or mechanism to conduct and settle the proceeds of

    international trade

    The means to obtain / provide technology, expertise and the sharing of

    information

    The means to minimize the risks of currency fluctuations primarily

    through the use of various tools and financial instruments, and

    Trading opportunities to generate incremental income.

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    For any currency the main foreign exchange market is the country's financial

    centre - viz. for genuine, trade related corporate business. This is the centre

    where the country's central bankers and monetary authorities determine and

    implement their monetary policies, its investment strategies and above all its

    intervention polices to ensure stability in its currency markets. This is the

    centre where the country's business leaders transact their trade related

    financial deals and where the rest of the world comes to as a last resort to

    cover its requirements.

    However, for major world currencies, the world is a 24 hour market thatstretches from Wellington to Los Angeles. In this global marketplace there are

    certain major trading centers called "money centers" and these are Tokyo,

    Hong Kong, Singapore, Bahrain, London, Frankfurt, Zurich, New York and

    Los Angeles.

    The FX Market is a facilitating mechanism through which currencies are

    exchanged. It comprises FX traders connected across the world through an

    advanced telecommunication network

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    MARKET PARTICIPANTS

    (I) Corporate Customers

    Institutional and Individual Customers, Exporters, Importers, Foreign Currency

    Borrowers and Lenders, Investors and Fund Managers all form corporate

    customers. These players can be major participants in markets where there

    are exchange controls and restricted currency trading.

    (II) Banks

    Banks are the most active market participants. They essentially perform the

    task of market makers. With their ability to take on foreign exchange positions,

    they can quote prices for their own account. They have the communication

    network, branches, support from exchange brokers, access to overseas

    markets and limits with overseas banks which enable them to be market

    makers. In India, RBI license to engage in FX transactions is required and

    those that are granted this license are called Authorized Dealers. The

    authorized dealers collectively constitute the Interbank Foreign Exchange

    (FOREX) market in India.

    (III) Central Banks

    Central Banks world-wide are entrusted the responsibility of determining and

    monitoring the external value of the currency of the country. The main role of

    the Central Bankers is to avoid volatility, instability and wild fluctuations in theFX markets. To this end, Central Bankers, from time to time, are key players

    in FX markets.

    (IV) Exchange Brokers

    Exchange brokers provide an important service to FX markets all over.

    They are instrumental in bringing buyers and sellers together by providing

    rates, market information and their network across various centers. Forex

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    brokers generally deal with banks. In India, they are not allowed to deal on

    their own account.

    (V) Overseas FX Markets

    FX markets world-wide have an astronomical turnover which is estimated to

    run into hundreds of billions of dollars. Of the total volume of FX trade,

    genuine corporate demand is estimated to constitute only around 5% of the

    total volume. The FX market is largely supported by a very advanced

    communication network which not only provides uninterrupted information on

    world currencies, economies, politics and the like, it also is characterized by a

    very large number of participants. This is what gives the market the depth andthe clout it has. Some of the most popular communication systems available

    in the market today are Reuters Information Service, Telerate, Reuters

    Technical Analysis, Reuters TV, Knight Ridder, Reuters Dealing System etc.

    (VI) Speculators

    Speculators are in the market mainly to generate trading income. The growth

    in volumes, better communications, pressures to constantly generate profits

    and a general improvement in competence have all contributed to see the

    emergence of the speculators as a force to reckon with. Banks and corporate,

    at different times, can be speculators as well.

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    INDIAN FX MARKETS

    Foreign Exchange business in India is regulated closely by the RBI. With

    Exchange Control Regulations, the RBI ensures that involvement in the

    Foreign Exchange business is restricted to certain sections of the business

    community only.

    The main market participants here are:

    1. Corporate: Importers, Exporters and Customers for genuine trades or

    merchant transactions.

    2. Banks: One authorized dealer dealing with another to generate profit

    or cover its open exposure.

    3. Overseas Traders: Banks in India are permitted to buy and sell

    currencies abroad in cover of customer requirements. They have very

    recently been permitted to initiate positions abroad too. Overseas

    banks call banks in India to cover their Indian Rupee requirements.

    4. Authorized Dealers v/s RBI: This occurs only when the RBI

    intervenes in the market and not in the normal course.

    RBI restrictions in terms of participation in foreign currencies can be

    summarized as under.

    Corporate: Individuals as per the Exchange Control Manual (Retail)

    Importers, Exporters and Borrowers of Foreign Currencies

    (Wholesale)

    Banks/Others:Money Changers (RMC's and FFMC's) licensed by the RBI to buy/sell

    Foreign Currency Notes and Travelers Cheque from individuals

    (Retail)

    Banks licensed by the RBI, to carry out foreign exchange business on

    a Commercial wholesale level, called Authorized Dealers.

    Brokers:

    Brokers are permitted to bring together buyers and sellers but cannot

    trade for their own account. This means they have to strike the deal

    with the buyers and sellers simultaneously.

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    The Indian FX Market has seen a remarkable growth in the last few years.

    The reasons for are:

    Relaxation of controls by RBI and permitting banks to deal freely in the

    Inter-bank market - this essentially is the process of economic reforms.

    Better communication and availability of information - Reuters,

    Telerate, Knight Ridder, RTA, Dealing System, Swift etc.

    A virtual explosion in volumes in global FX market and Indian markets

    follows suit.

    General improvement in competence, freehand to trade and generate

    incremental income and

    The likelihood of full convertibility of rupee in the near future.

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    MODIFIED LIBERALISED EXCHANGE RATE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

    In the process of liberalization it was decided by RBI to make the Rupee fully

    floating with effect from March 1, 1993. The new arrangement is called

    Modified LERMS. Its salient features are as under:

    Effective March 1, 1993, all foreign exchange transactions, receipts and

    payments, both under current and capital accounts of balance of payments

    are being put through by authorized dealers at market determined exchange

    rates. Foreign exchange receipts and payments, however, continued to be

    governed by Exchange Control Regulations. Foreign exchange receipts are to

    be surrendered to the authorized dealers except in cases where the residents

    have been permitted by RBI to retain them either with the banks in India or

    abroad. Authorized dealers are free to retain the entire foreign exchange

    surrendered to them for being sold for permissible transactions and are not

    required to surrender to the Reserve Bank any portion of such receipts.

    Reserve Bank of India, under Section 40 of RBI Act, 1934, was obliged to buy

    and sell foreign exchange to the authorized dealers. Reserve Bank is now

    required to sell any authorized person at its offices/branches US Dollars for

    meeting foreign exchange payments at its exchange rates based on the

    market rate only for such purposes as are approved by the Central

    Government. The RBI buys spot US Dollars from authorized dealers at its

    exchange rate. Reserve Bank does not ordinarily buy spot Pound Sterling,

    Deutsche Mark and Japanese Yen. It does not buy forward any currency. Theexchange rate at which the RBI buys and sells foreign exchange is in the

    5% band of the market rate. Also, the RBI announces the reference rate at

    12:00 hours which is the rate at which transactions with IMF/IBRD etc. are

    undertaken.

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    EXCHANGE RATE ARITHMETIC & MARKET CONVENTION

    The FX market is characterized by professional and competitive participants

    who always quote a two way price i.e. buying rate and selling rate.

    Bid rate: The buying rate

    Ask or Offer rate: The selling rate

    Spread: The difference between the Selling rate and the buying rate

    Market participants expect to make a profit by trading in the FOREX market

    and this is reflected in the spread. How wide or narrow the spread is, is a

    function of the competitiveness and the volatility in the markets.

    TYPES OF RATES

    There are mainly four types of rates:

    1. Direct rate

    2. Indirect rate

    3. Cross rate

    4. Forward rate

    1. Direct rate:

    Direct rate is an example of the value of foreign currency in domestic currency

    terms. For example,

    1 USD = INR 46.40 1 GBP = INR 78.00

    100 JPY = INR 40.46 1EUR = INR 58.00

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    2. Indirect rate:

    Indirect rate is an expression of the value of domestic currency in foreign

    currency terms. Indirect rates are also known as reciprocal rates. For

    example,

    100 INR = USD 2.1368 100 INR = GBP 1.298

    100 INR = JPY 250.63 100 INR = EUR 1.8265

    The direct rate for one country becomes reciprocal for the corresponding

    country.

    In international markets though, practice is to quotes rates for a unit of

    USD in terms of the other currency, such as

    1 USD = CHF 1.2285 1 USD = CAD 1.2600

    1 USD = JPY 107.50 1 USD = SAR 3.7500

    1 USD = INR 46.23

    There is an exception to this rule though in the case of just 4 currencies

    GBP, EUR, AUD & NZD

    Market practice is to quote the value of these currencies in terms of USD. Forexample,

    1 GBP = USD 1.8285 1EUR = USD 1.2585

    1 AUD = USD 0.7610 1NZD = USD 0.7135

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    3. Cross rate:

    Cross rate is an expression of the value of one foreign currency versus

    another foreign currency neither of which is a domestic currency. For

    example,

    USD / CHF = 1.2900 USD / JPY = 117.35

    EUR / USD = 1.1700 etc.

    These would all be cross currencies for us in India as neither of the currency

    in the set is Indian Rupee. However in international markets cross rates refer

    to those where neither of the currency is the USD.

    To calculate the cross currency rate care should be taken to determine the

    following:

    The terms i.e. the base currency and the foreign currency

    The rates to be used i.e. bid or offer rate

    The method of conversion i.e. divide or multiply

    Suppose we have following rates on a given day in the local market:

    USD/INR = 46.80 GBP/INR = 77.00

    CHF/INR = 36.30 EUR/INR = 54.75

    To work out the cross rates versus USD for say CHF we would have to:

    (I) Determine the terms i.e. we need to find out say USD/CHF. So CHF

    is the base (or domestic) currency and USD is the foreign currency.

    This is popularly called CHF terms.

    (II) Next the rates to be used i.e. USD/INR and CHF/INR. This is

    particularly important where we have bid/offer rates. Care should be

    taken to use the correct bid rate for one and the offer rate for the

    other to derive at the cross rate.

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    (III) Finally, the conversion method. i.e. divide the USD/INR rate by the

    CHF/INR

    Expressed in the formula this is:

    CHF 36.30 = INR 46.80 = USD 1

    So, USD 1 = 46.80 36.30 = 1.2892

    USD/CHF = 1.2892

    Now suppose we have USD/INR 46.80 46.85 (bid/offer) and the CHF/INR

    36.27-36.32 (bid/offer). To work out the cross bid/ offer rates for USD/CHF,

    the rates to be used are:

    For, USD/CHF bid rate use 46.80 (bid of USD/INR) and 36.32 (offer of

    CHF/INR) So, 46.80 36.32 = 1.2885

    For, USD/CHF offer rate use 46.85 (offer of USD/INR) and 36.27 (bid of

    CHF/INR) So, 46.85 36.27 = 1.2917

    It is important to remember the market convention when it comes to quoting of

    exchange rates. Some currencies are quoted to 2 decimal points such as

    USD/JPY and the erstwhile USD/ITL, some to 5 decimal points such as

    USD/KWD, USD/BHD, while most of the others are quoted to 4 decimal

    points. As a rule of thumb, most currencies with a low absolute value to the

    USD are quoted to 2 decimal points; those with a high absolute value are

    quoted to 5 decimal points and the rest to four decimal points.

    Settlement Date

    FX Contracts have to be settled and currencies exchanged. Normal market

    practice is to settle FX Contracts on a T+2 basis, i.e. 2 working days after

    transaction date. This is called Value Spot. All market quotes are for Value

    Spot.

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    4. FORWARD POINTS:

    Forward point is the adjustment made to the spot rate to derive a forward

    exchange rate. As we know market rates are quoted for value spot. But where

    an exchange has to be made for a forward date, an adjustment has to be

    made to the spot rate. This adjustment depends on whether a currency is at a

    premium, discount or par in relation to the corresponding currency in the

    exchange.

    Forward points reflect, in the long term, the interest rate differential between

    the currencies for the different settlement / value dates.

    The factors that determine the forward points are:

    Demand and supply of the currency for the particular settlement date.

    Market expectations over the given period both in the FX and interest

    rates.

    Interest differentials between the currencies, for the period involved.

    In the case of direct quotes, premium is positive forward points while discountis negative forward points and par reflects no forward points.

    FORWARD FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES

    Forward FX rate is the rate at which exchange of currencies take place for the

    agreed forward date.

    A forward rate has two components:1. Spot rate

    2. Forward Points

    Where there are no restrictions on capital flows, the only factor determining

    forward points is the interest rate differential between the currencies involved.

    How do Forward Points arise?

    Suppose market rates are as follows:

    Spot USD / CAD = 1.3500

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    1 year USD interest rates = 1.25% and

    1 year CAD interest rates = 3.00%

    1 year forward USD/CAD = 1.3500

    To take advantage of this interest rate differential one would

    Borrow USD on spot @ 1.25%

    Convert the USD to CAD @ 1.3500

    Lend CAD for 1 year @ 3.00% and

    Reconvert CAD back to USD on maturity @ 1.3500

    The cash flow from these transactions would be as under:

    USD CAD

    + - + -

    Borrow USD on spot @ 1.25% 1000.00

    Spot FX @ 1.3500 1000.00

    Lend CAD on Spot for 1 year @

    3.00%1350.00

    Interest Flows 12.50 40.50

    P I on maturity 1012.50 1390.50

    FX on maturity @ 1.3500 1030.00 1390.50

    NET 17.50 0 0 0

    The example suggests one who borrows USD 1000.00, coverts to CAD, lends

    the CAD and converts back to USD on maturity makes a profit of USD 17.50.

    The market, in such a situation, provides what is called an arbitrage

    opportunity, i.e. an opportunity to take advantage of various markets,

    currencies or products to generate risk free profit. This cannot last long

    because every speculator would do the same while no one would want to lend

    USD or sell CAD. Alternatively, every lender of USD would demand a rate

    higher than 1.25% and no borrower of CAD would pay 3.00%. There would be

    a series of corrections or amendments till equilibrium is reached.

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    The change could be in any of the following areas:

    USD interest rates moving higher

    CAD interest rates moving lower

    Forward rate moving towards it being (P + I of DC) (P + I of FC)

    More accurately, there is fundamental flaw in this example i.e. the

    assumptions that the Forward FX rate is the same as Spot rate.

    The forward rate has to reflect the interest differentials and a true forward FX

    rate for USD / CAD would take into account the total CAD inflow and total

    USD outflow.

    Therefore the FX rate USD/CAD 1 year forward would be

    USD 1012.50 = CAD 1390.50

    USD 1 = 1390.50 1020.50

    = 1.3733

    We now have the following:

    Spot USD/CAD = 1.3500

    Forward USD/CAD = 1.3733

    Forward points = Forward rate spot rate

    = 1.3733 1.3500

    = +0.0233

    In our example, USD is at forward premium to the CAD (as forward USD/CAD

    is higher then Spot USD/CAD) and the CAD at a discount to the USD.

    Because always FR > SR it means DCIR > FCIR and foreign currency is at

    premium and domestic/base currency is at discount.

    Since USD/CAD @ 1.3500 is a direct quote, we add the premium to the spot

    rate to give us the Forward FX rate.

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    CALCULATION OF FORWARD POINTS

    The formula for calculation of forward points is:

    Forward points = (spot rate interest differential period 100) Basis

    Where, interest differential is Domestic Currency Interest Rate Foreign

    Currency Interest Rate.

    This formula, called the Interest Rate Differential Method, is used widely in

    Indian markets. The formula takes into account interest rate differentials as

    opposed to total inflows and outflows. Besides, the formula has an

    assumption i.e. the basis for the two currencies are the same. This, we

    have seen, is not always the case, a classic example being USD versus

    Indian Rupees. US Dollars having a 360 day basis and the Indian Rupees

    having a 365 day basis. The forward point worked out using this formula is not

    accurate.

    If we apply the formula in our earlier example we would have:Forward points = 1.3500 1.75 100 = 0.0236

    Which is quite different from that we worked out earlier i.e. 0.0233

    The more accurate formula id one which takes total inflows and outflows into

    account called the Round Robin Method. Where,

    Forward rate = {(Domestic Currency P + I) (ForeignCurrency P + I)}

    Where, P represents the Spot Values of the respective currencies and

    I is the interest amount over the period.

    While calculating the interest for the currencies care should be taken while

    using the basis and the actual number of days involved.

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    Forward Rate = Spot Rate + Forward Points, and

    Forward Points = Forward Rate Spot Rate

    As in Spot rates, forward rates too are quoted for buying and selling i.e. Bid /

    Offer rates. Both of these rates are quoted in points of the spot / forward

    rates. However, in the case of Forward Rates the forward points reflect the

    premium or discount, as the case may be. As we know premium is added to

    the spot rate and discount is deducted from the spot rate. In the case of

    premium, the bid rate is lower than the offer rate. Whereas, the way market

    quotes rates, bid rate appears to be higher than the offer arte in the case of

    discount.

    CROSS FORWARD FX RATES

    The principle is exactly the same as the spot cross rates but care should be

    taken while adjusting for forward points. For example,

    Spot USD/INR = 46.80/46.85

    Spot CHF/INR = 36.27/36.32

    So, Spot USD/CHF = 1.2900/1.2905

    3 months USD/INR Forward Points = 5/7

    3 months CHF/INR Forward Points = 25/30

    So, 3 months Forward USD/INR Rate = 46.85/46.92

    3 months Forward CHF/INR Rate = 36.52/36.62

    3 months Forward USD/CHF Rate = 1.2794/1.2848

    From these rates we can also work out 3 months USD / CHF forward points

    Forward Rate Spot Rate = Forward Points

    1.2794 1.2900 = -0.0106, and

    1.2848 1.2905 = -0.0057

    Based on this market quote 3 months USD / CHF would be 106/57

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    Forward Rates

    Where settlement is sought for any date other than Spot, the applicable rate is

    not the Spot Rate. An adjustment arises due to differences in interest rates inthe currencies involved. The forward value of a currency may be higher

    (premium), lower (discount) or the same (par) as the Spot Value

    The forward value is a function of the Interest Rate Differential in the

    currencies. Therefore, to calculate the forward rate, it is necessary to know

    the prevailing interest rates for the duration.

    Interest Differential (or Annualized Premium) is INR Interest Rate (DCIR)

    minus FC Interest Rate (FCIR)

    The formula for Forward Rate is:

    SR + {(SR x ID xDuration) 365}

    Say Spot USD/INR = 43.50,

    3 months Annualized Interest Rates for USD 3.30% and INR 4.50%

    ID = DCIR FCIR = 4.50% - 3.30% = 1.20%

    FR = 43.50 + {(43.50 x 1.20% x3) 12}

    Then FR = 43.50 + 0.1305 = 43.6305

    Likewise forward rates can be calculated for any duration, from 1 day to 6

    months and beyond. All one needs to know is the interest rates in the

    currencies or the Interest Differential, but there exists a vibrant forward market

    where rates are available for month-ends of successive calendar months

    There may be instances when a requirement is not for a month-end.

    An exporter has a receivable or an importer a payable for say 11th August

    2005. Forward rates available are for 29th July and 31st August of 43.60

    and 43.65. To calculate the rate for 11th August one merely needs to

    extrapolate the rate

    So {(43.65 43.60) 33} x13 = 0.0197

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    You need to add this adjustment to the earlier date rate, i.e., of 29th July

    43.60 + 0.0197 = 43.6197, the rate for 11/08

    This is market practice for calculating what is called broken date forward

    ratesby the extrapolation method

    Prior to Spot

    Often a corporate needs to settle a contract immediately, i.e. even before

    Spot Value

    For example, say today is 1st June so Spot Value is 3rd June and an exporter

    receives proceeds today. He has not covered the exposure as yet and needs

    to convert today. The bank would calculate the 2 day adjustment from 3rd to

    1st JuneThe calculation is the same as for any other forward using the sameformula. However since the adjustment is for a date prior to Spot the

    adjustment has to be reversed

    Premium has to be deductedfrom the Spot Rate and Discount added to the

    Spot Rate. This is what is known as Cash-Spot.

    Similar would be the treatment when an adjustment is to be made to 2nd

    June, i.e. a 1 day adjustment. The settlement for 2nd June is popularly known

    as Tom-Spot

    As in Cash Spot, for Tom-Spot too, the Premium is deducted from and

    Discount added to the Spot.

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    Rates for an Exporter

    An exporter needs to sell FC to the bank. The bank will quote its Bid (Buying)

    Rate, the lower rate. Where an exporter wants to sell forward, the bank would

    quote the forward bid rate. To an exporter the bank quotes its buying rate for

    Value Cash where proceeds come in and the same has not been covered as

    yet

    Rates for an Importer

    An importer needs to buy FC from the bank to pay for the import. The bank

    will quote its Offer (Selling) Rate, the higher rate. Where an importer wants to

    buy forward, the bank would quote the forward offer rate. To an importer the

    bank quotes its selling rate for Value Cash where immediate payment has to

    be made and the same has not been covered as yet.

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    FACTORS AFFECTING EXCHANGE RATES

    The Bretton Woods conference in July 1944 resulted into a new monetary

    order. The main objectives of this were to establish an international monetary

    system with stable exchange rates, to eliminate exchange controls, and to

    bring about convertibility of all currencies. This required the central banks of

    various countries to declare their parity to gold or to the US Dollar. In turn,

    USA agreed to exchange US Dollar for gold at 35 dollars per ounce. The

    Central banks were expected to keep the rate fluctuations within 1%.

    However, due to chronic US balance of payments deficits there was a general

    loss of confidence in the US Dollar. This culminated in the demise of the

    Bretton Woods System in 1971. At the monetary conference held on

    December 17 and 18, 1971, a new arrangement, popularly known as

    Smithsonian Agreement was at. Under the system intervention points range

    was widened to 2.25%. However, as the USA had done away with the

    convertibility of Dollars into Gold, the arrangement under Smithsonian

    Agreement could not continue for long and ultimately in 1973 many countries

    started floating their currencies. This development gave rise to fluctuatingexchange rates. Although in a free market it is the demand and supply of the

    currency which should determine the exchange rates there are many more

    factors responsible for these fluctuations. The volatility of exchange rates

    cannot be traced to a single reason and consequently it becomes difficult to

    precisely define the factors that affect the exchange rates. However, the

    important among them are:

    (I) Balance of payments

    Balance of payments position of a country is a definite indicator of the

    demand and supply of foreign exchange. If a country has a favorable balance

    of payments position it implies that there is more supply of foreign exchange

    and therefore foreign currencies will tend to be cheaper vis--vis domestic

    currency. However, if balance of payments position is unfavorable, it indicates

    that there is more demand for foreign exchange and this will result in the priceof foreign exchange vis--vis domestic currency firming up.

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    (II)Strength of the economy

    The relative strength of the economy also has an effect on the demand and

    supply of foreign currencies. If an economy is growing at a faster rate it is

    generally, in the long-run, expected to have a better performance on balance

    of trade. However, in the short run increasing economic activity in the country

    may necessitate higher imports and exports may take sometime to increase.

    The economic growth is indicated by various parameters like relative rate of

    growth in industrial production and capacity utilization, rate of increase in

    Gross National Product and fall in employment rate, etc.

    (III)Fiscal policy

    The fiscal policy followed by government has an impact on the economy of

    the country which in turn affects the exchange rates. If the government follows

    an expansionary policy by having low interest rates, it will fuel the engine of

    economic growth and will lead to better trade performance. However, a word

    of caution is necessary here. If the government is following an expansionary

    policy by resorting to high budget deficit and monetizing the deficit, this will

    lead to high inflation in the economy. This will prove to be counter productive

    as far as growth in exports is concerned.

    (IV) Interest rate

    High interest rates make the speculative capital move between countries and

    this affects the exchange rates. The capital is attracted, provided there are no

    controls towards currencies yielding high interest rates. If interest rates of

    domestic currency are raised this will result in more demand for domestic

    currency and more supply of the foreign currency, thus making the latter

    cheaper vis--vis the former.

    (V) Monetary policy

    The central banks of various countries have a control on the monetary policy

    to be pursued although it is generally in consonance with the fiscal policies of

    the government. Monetary policy is a very effective tool for controlling money

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    supply, and is used particularly for keeping a tab on the inflationary pressures

    in the economy. The main objective of the monetary policy of any economy is

    to maintain the money supply in the economy at a level which will ensure

    price stability, full employment and growth in the economy. Pursued by the

    central bank, it also gives a hint about the future interest rates. If the money

    supply in an economy is more it will lead to inflation and the central bank will

    raise interest rates, sell government securities through open market

    operations, raise cash reserve requirement thus giving a signal for tight

    money supply policy. On the other hand, to spur the growth in the economy

    the central bank may lower interest rates, buy government securities in the

    market, and lower the cash reserve requirements thus heralding an era of

    easy monetary policy. This will be a sign for low interest rates in future. It will

    be clear from the above that monetary policy influences interest rates,

    inflation, employment, etc. and consequently, affects the exchange rates.

    (VI) Political factors

    If a change is expected in the government on account of elections or if there is

    change in the incumbency in the government, the exchange rates may be

    affected. Market thrives on stability and any perception of political instability is

    sufficient to move exchange rates significantly. However, whether the

    currency of the country concerned will become stronger or weaker will depend

    upon expected policies to be pursued by the new government which is likely

    to take over. But there are some currencies, like the US Dollar, Swiss Franc

    etc. in which people have confidence and at times of any international crisis

    foreign funds move into these currencies. These are known as safe

    havencurrencies. War also affects the exchange rates of the currencies of the

    country involved. Sometimes it affects the currencies of other countries too.

    (VII) Exchange control

    Exchange control is generally aimed at disallowing free movement of capital

    flows and it therefore affects exchange rates. Sometimes countries exercise

    control through exchange rate mechanism by keeping the price of their

    currency at an artificial level. If a country wants to give a boost to exports, it

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    will keep the value of its currency low vis--vis the foreign currency. This will

    help exporters in realizing more units of the local currency for the same units

    of foreign currency received by them as export earnings. However, reverse

    would be the case if the government decides to follow a liberal import policy.

    (VIII) Central Bank intervention

    Buying or selling of foreign exchange in the market by the central bank with a

    view to increase the supply or demand, thereby affecting the exchange rates

    is known as intervention. If a central bank is of the opinion that local currency

    is becoming stronger thereby affecting the exports, it will buy foreign currency

    and sell local currency. It will increase the demand for foreign currency andthe rates of foreign currency vis--vis local currency will go up. However, if the

    rate of exchange is kept artificially at low levels, it tends to accelerate inflation.

    Therefore, the central bank has to take into consideration many factors before

    intervening in the market.

    (IX) Speculation

    In FOREX markets, a dealer taking speculative positions is common. If a few

    big speculative operators are buying/selling a particular currency in a big way,

    others may follow suit and that currency may strengthen/weaken in the short

    run. This is popularly known as the bandwagon effectand this can affect

    exchange rates significantly, particularly in the near term.

    (X) Technical factors

    Technical factors particularly in the short run can influence exchange rates. If,

    for example, regulations by the central bank make it necessary to limit the

    size of open position and if banks have a big short position, they may, in

    order to cover such a position, buy foreign exchange. This will result in higher

    short-term demand which is not genuine. Similarly, reserve requirement of the

    central bank may also create a technical position thus influencing the

    exchange rates.

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    RBI (RESERVE BANK of INDIA) Guidelines

    1. Category Exporter

    Importer

    Foreign Currency Borrower

    2. Currency Blanket Permission. The currency which has no blanket

    permission has to go through RBI reference or say RBI reference is

    necessary for those currencies for doing any kind of trading. The

    currencies with blanket permission are USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY,AUD and CAD. These currencies are used for payment of Imports;

    accept of Exports and for borrowing.

    3. Trade Amount (expect for borrower)

    4. Duration

    On the date or above the starting period and before the end date

    5. Speculation

    No speculation is allowed as per RBI

    6. Trading

    Exporter he has receivables so if foreign currency goes up he

    has profit and if FC goes down than it is risk for him. An

    exporters risk starts on receipt of an export order or an Export

    L/C. Risk ends when payment is due; On shipment (DP Basis)

    or end of credit period (DA Basis)

    Importer he has payment to make so if foreign currency goes

    down he has profit and if FC goes up than it is risk for him. An

    importers risk starts on placing an import order or opening of

    Import L/C and it ends when payment is due, either on receipt of

    documents (DP Basis) or end of credit period (DA Basis)

    RBI permits importers and exporters to hedge their exposures

    (partial or full) at any time from the commencement to the

    termination of the FX risk

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    Banks are authorized to provide cover against confirmed orders

    or L/C. They may also quote rates against past performance

    RBI also permits exporters/importers to hedge their exposures

    against cross currencies. Trading in cross currencies requires a

    thorough understanding of currency markets and a pro-active

    participation in the market

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    F E D A I - FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALERS ASSOCIATION OF INDIA

    Foreign Exchange business in India was confined to few foreign banks only

    till the period 1959. The said group banks were known as Exchange Banks.They had formed an Association, which was known as the "Exchange

    Banks' Association". It was mainly covering the areas of activities within

    Bombay (now Mumbai), Calcutta (now Kolkata), Madras (now Chennai),

    Delhi and Amristsar. On introduction of the exchange control in India during

    1939, the said Association was functioning within rules framed by RBI. The

    rules and regulations - introduced and practiced were also covered by RBI

    approval. On account of expansion in the foreign trade, and business, RBI

    allowed schedule commercial banks also to undertake foreign exchange

    transactions. Those banks which were allowed and permitted by RBI to deal

    in foreign exchange transactions were known as AD - Authorised Dealers.

    The FEDAI - Foreign Exchange Dealers' Association of India was formed

    with approval of RBI during August 1958. It was under ECM-RBI directives

    under reference ECS/198/86-58-Gen dated 16th August, 1958, authorized

    the banks to handle foreign exchange business.

    All Public sector banks, foreign banks, private sector and co-operative banks

    and certain Financial institutions are the members of FEDAI. FEDAI is a

    non-profit making Association and relative expenses are shared by all its

    member banks. FEDAI acts as a facilitating body and in consultation with

    Reserve Bank of India, frames rules / regulations for AD in India for conduct

    of the foreign exchange business related transactions.

    FEDAI is the Association of the member Banks. Naturally, the guidelines and

    rules prepared were of interest of the member Banks. However, on account of

    liberalization and reforms introduced during 1991 to boost the foreign trade to

    and fro India, it becomes imperative by FEDAI to review Rules and

    Guidelines. FEDAI has also taken due care of the interest of both Importers

    and Exporters while revising rules and guidelines.

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    To promote exports the RBI has directed commercial banks to offer export

    finance at subsidized rates. But export finance is of course subject to the bank

    sanctioning such a facility. Exporters must approach their bankers in advance,

    to get the limit approved

    Banks provide finance, both before and after shipment, to facilitate

    exports.

    Export finance is given for the purpose of procuring raw materials,

    process, production, packing and shipment of goods for exports

    The subsidy that is available is conditional on actual exports

    Pre-Shipment Finance

    Finance that is given for procuring raw materials, production, packing

    and shipment is classified as Pre-Shipment Finance or Packing Credit

    Banks normally provide packing credit only against confirmed Letters of

    Credit which have to be lodged with the bank. For prime clients, banks

    offer Packing Credit against export orders, as well.

    Pre-shipment finance has to be liquidated by submission of documents

    evidencing exports

    Post-Shipment Finance

    When an exporter-borrower submits export documents to liquidate

    Packing Credit, banks either purchase or negotiate or discount these

    documents.

    This is referred to as Post-Shipment finance

    This finance has to be liquidated from export proceeds received from

    abroad, through banking channels

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    Export Finance

    Export finance can be availed of either in rupees (EPC) or in the

    foreign currency (PCFC) of invoicing

    PCFC is cost-effective as borrowing cost in FC is generally lower than

    those in rupees but this is subject to availability of foreign currency with

    the commercial bank

    Availing export finance in foreign currency liquidates the FX Risk

    On the other hand when packing credit is taken in rupees, the exporter

    still needs to convert the foreign currency when the proceeds come in.

    The FX Risk therefore remains open

    The RBI subsidizes the rate of interest on export finance

    Export Finance Rates

    The lending rates for export finance is linked to market rates; PLR in

    the case of Rupees and LIBOR for foreign currencies (PCFC).

    Since RBI subsidizes the rate, rupee finance can be obtained at sub-

    PLR. No subsidy is available when export finance is availed in foreign

    currency

    But given current market scenario it is possible to reduce the borrowing

    cost to below rupees when availing PCFC

    An example would clarify the point better

    Rupee PLR 10.00% less 2.50% RBI subsidy. So net cost in Rupees

    7.50%. USD 3m LIBOR 4.35% plus bank margin 0.75% (max. as per

    RBI directive but almost 1%), plus 3m cover cost 0.70%. So net cost in

    USD 5.80%. Similar would be the cost if export finance is availed in the

    other major currencies

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    FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK

    FX Risk pertains to the risk of adverse movement in exchange rates:

    On Exports

    On Imports

    On Foreign Currency Borrowings, Installments Payments and

    Repayments

    The FX risk arises primarily due to:

    Developments in overseas markets

    Central Bank Intervention

    Activities of major market players

    Political Turmoil

    Economic Developments

    Lack of depth or liquidity in the market

    Non - availability of enough hedging tools

    Development in other markets such as - domestic and overseas stock

    markets, turmoil in other currencies, commodities markets, oil prices

    etc.

    The RBI recognizing the financial risks associated with international trade, has

    laid down several Directives and Rules in the Exchange Control Manual. We

    are primarily concerned with the directives, rules and guidelines associated

    with the management of Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate Risks.

    Imports

    The RBI permits cover of the FX risks on imports as soon as the import L/C is

    opened or as soon as a confirmed order is placed. When the documents

    under the L/C are received - the L/C opening bank is due to make payment to

    the exporter. This is done by debit to the importer's domestic account -

    meaning the FX risk terminates. The bank debits the importer's rupee account

    and pays the exporter (or his bank) in foreign currency. An importer has the

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    time from opening of the L/C to date of receipt of the documents to manage

    the foreign currency exposure. A 10 day grace period is normally permitted by

    the RBI to the customers to pay for imports.

    Exports

    The FX risk on exports can be covered immediately on receipt of an export

    order (or L/C). The RBI also stipulates that FX realizations should be

    converted into rupees immediately on negotiation of documents. This implies

    that the FX exposure on exports can be managed only between the times an

    order is received to the date of shipment. Commercial banks are allowed to

    grant 10 days grace for receipts of export proceeds beyond which

    concessional rate finance is not extended

    Category Risk Commencement/Start of Risk Termination /End of Risk

    EXPORTER FC Receipt of Export order or L/C Shipment

    IMPORTERFC

    Opening of Import L/C or placing

    of import orderReceipt of documents

    FCBORROWER

    FC Utilization or draw-down of loan Final repayment

    Example

    An exporter in India contracts to sell to a firm in London machinery at a price

    of GBP 10,000. Before agreeing to this price, the exporter calculates his cost

    of production adds a reasonable amount of profit and satisfies that the

    proceeds of GBP 10,000 would cover this amount. He bases his calculations

    on the exchange rate prevailing as on the date of his quotation. For example,

    if the exchange rate on the date is Rs. 70 per sterling pound, he expects to

    receive Rs. 7, 00,000 on executing the contract.

    The exchange rate is not stable: it is changing every day. By the time the

    exporter executes his contract and his bill is realized, which may be after a

    lapse of 3 months or 6 months, the rate of exchange might have turned

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    adverse for him. For example, if the rate prevailing on the date the bill is

    realized or purchased by his banker is Rs. 65, he would receive only Rs. 6,

    50,000 as against his estimate of Rs. 7, 00,000. Thus he may have to bear a

    shortfall of Rs. 50,000. True, the rate may turn favorable to him and bring him

    unexpected profits. But the fact remains that the amount that he would receive

    on execution of the contract remains uncertain.

    This uncertainty about the rate that would prevail on a future date is known as

    the exchange risk. For the exporter, the exchange risk is that the foreign

    currency in which the transaction is designated may depreciate in future and

    may bring less than the expected realization in local currency terms.

    The importer too faces exchange risk when the transaction is designated in a

    foreign currency. The risk is that the foreign currency may appreciate in value

    and he may be compelled to pay in local currency an amount higher than that

    was originally contemplated. Importers generally make arrangements for

    loans for payment for the imports. If the foreign currency appreciates

    subsequent to the arrangement of the loan, the importer may find that the

    resources are not sufficient to meet the importer bill putting him in a difficult

    situation.

    FOREX Risk Management

    Foreign Exchange dealing is a business that one gets involved in, primarily to

    obtain protection against adverse rate movements on their core international

    business. But, as we have seen earlier, it provides plenty of trading

    opportunities as well.

    Foreign Exchange dealing is essentially a risk reward business where profit

    potential is substantial but it is extremely risky too.

    It is in this context that it is absolutely vital that controls are in place which

    would enable the department to maintain a check on losses and shocks.

    FX business has the certain peculiarities that make it a very risky business.These would include:

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    1. FX deals are across country boarders and therefore, often foreign

    currency prices are subject to controls and restrictions imposed by

    foreign authorities. Needless to say, these controls and restrictions are

    invariably dictated by their own domestic factors and economy.

    2. FX deals involve two currencies and therefore, rates ate influenced by

    domestic as well as international factors.

    3. The FX market is a 24 hour global market and overseas

    developments can affect rates significantly.

    4. The FX market has great depth and numerous players shifting vast

    sums of money. FX rates therefore can move considerably, especially

    when speculation against a currency rises.

    5. FX markets are characterized by advanced technology,

    communications and speed. Decision making has to be instantaneous.

    With the growth in the Indian FX markets a lot of the features and

    characteristics of the global FX markets are present in our very midst.

    Indian banks get involved in FX market with a view to generate trading

    income.

    With the RBI guidelines loosening its controls, granting greater operational

    and trading freedom, more and more corporate are getting involved in FX

    markets with a view to generating trading income.

    With time, as the Indian Rupee gets fully convertible and as the Indian FX

    markets get fully integrated with global markets the risks will be more

    pronounced in our own exchange market.

    It is, therefore, imperative to get the right controls in place prior to any

    involvement in FX markets.

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    RISK MANAGEMENTTOOLS

    FORWARD CONTRACT CURRENCY OPTIONS

    1. Forward exchange contract

    Forward Exchange Contract is a device which can afford adequate protection

    to an importer or an exporter against exchange risk.

    Under a forward exchange contract a banker and a customer or another

    banker enter into a contract to buy or sell a fixed amount of foreign currency

    on a specified future date at a predetermined rate of exchange.

    Our exporter, for instance, instead of groping in the dark or making a wild

    guess about what the future rate would be, enters into a contract with his

    banker immediately. He agrees to sell foreign exchange of specified amount

    and currency at a specified future date. The banker on his part agrees to buy

    this at a specified rate of exchange. The exporter is thus assured of his price

    in local currency. For example, the exporter may into a forward contract with

    the bank for 3 months delivery at Rs. 49.50. This rate, as on the date of

    contract, is known as 3 month forward rate. When the exporter submits his bill

    under the contract, the banker would purchase it at the rate of Rs. 49.50

    irrespective of the spot rate then prevailing.

    CURRENCY FUTURES

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    Fixed and Option Forward Contract

    The forward contract under which the delivery of foreign exchange should

    take place on a specified future date is known as Fixed Forward Contract.

    For instance, if on 5thmarch a customer enters into 3 months forward contract

    with his bank to sell GBP 10, 000, it means the customer would be presenting

    a bill or any other instrument on 7th June to the bank for GBP 10,000. he

    cannot deliver foreign exchange prior to or later than the determined date.

    Forward contract is a device through which the customer tries to cover the

    exchange risk. The purpose will be defeated if he is unable to deliver foreign

    exchange exactly on the due date.

    With a view to eliminating the difficulty in fixing the exact date for delivery of

    foreign exchange, the customer may be given a choice of delivering the

    foreign exchange during a given period of days.

    An arrangement whereby the customer can sell or but from the bank foreign

    exchange on any day during a given period of time at a predetermined rate of

    exchange is known as Time Option Forward contract.

    The rate at which the deal takes place is the option forward rate. For example,

    on 15thSeptember a customer enters into two months forward sale contract

    with the bank with option over November. It means the customer can sell

    foreign exchange to the bank on any day between 1st November and 30th

    November. The period from 1st to 30th November is known as the Option

    Period

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    Booking of forward contracts

    The steps involved in booking and utilization of a forward contract may be

    summarized as under:

    Step 1: The transaction of booking of forward contract is initiated with

    the customer enquiring of his bank the rate at which the required

    foreign currency is available. Before quoting a rate the bank

    should get details about (i) the currency, (ii) the period of

    forward cover, including the particulars of option, and (iii) the

    nature and tenor of the instrument.

    Step 2: The branch may not be fed with forward rates of all currencies

    by the Dealing Room. Even for major currencies forwards rates

    for standard delivery period may only be available at the branch.

    If the rate for the currency and/or delivery period is not available,

    the branch should contact the Dealing Room over phone or telex

    and obtain rate.

    Step 3: If the rate quoted by the bank is acceptable to the customer, he

    is required to submit an application to the bank along with

    documentary evidence to support the application, such as the

    sale contract.

    Step 4: After verification of the application and the documentary

    evidences submitted, the bank prepares a Forward Exchange

    Contract.

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    2. Currency Options

    DEFINITION

    An option is a unique financial instrument or contract that confers upon

    the holder or the buyer thereof, the right but not an obligation to buy or

    sell an underlying asset, at a specified price, on or up to a specified

    date. In short, the option buyer can simply let the right lapse by not

    exercising it. On the other hand, if the option buyer chooses to exercise

    the right, the seller of the option has an obligation to perform the

    contract according to the terms agreed.

    Participants in the Options Market

    There are four types of participants in options markets depending on the

    position they take:

    1. Buyer of call

    2. seller of call

    3. buyer of put

    4. seller of put

    People who buy options are called holders and those who sell options

    are called writers; furthermore, buyers are said to have long positions,

    and sellers are said to have short positions.

    Here is the important distinction between buyers and sellers:

    Call holders and put holders (buyers) are not obligated to buy or

    sell. They have the choice to exercise their rights if they choose.

    Callwritersand put writers (sellers), however, are obligated to

    buy or sell. This means that a seller may be required to make

    good on a promise to buy or sell.

    OPTIONS TERMINOLOGY

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/writer.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/writer.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/writer.asphttp://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/writer.asp
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    Call Option:

    A call option gives the option buyer the right to buy one currency X

    against another Y at a stated price on or before a stated date.

    Put Option:

    A put option gives the option buyer the right to sell one currency X

    against another currency Y at a stated price on or before a stated date.

    In foreign exchange transactions one currency is bought by selling

    another currency. Thus if we consider the EUR/USD currency pair, a

    call option on the euro is no different from a put option on the dollar.

    Similarly, a put option on the euro is nothing but a call option on the

    dollar.

    Strike Price:

    This is the price specified in the option contract at which the option

    buyer can buy or sell currency X against currency Y or for instance the

    euro against the dollar.

    Maturity Date:

    The date on which the option expires.

    American Option:

    A call or put option that can be exercised by the buyer on any businessday up to and including the maturity date.

    European Option:

    A call or put option that can be exercised only on the maturity date.

    Premium (Option Price or Option Value):

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    The upfront fee that option writer or seller charges the buyer for giving

    the latter the right inherent in the option. If the option lapses

    unexercised, the buyer loses this amount. This premium can be split

    into 2 parts: intrinsic value and time value.

    Premium = Intrinsic value + Time value.

    Intrinsic value is the amount an option would be worth was it to be

    exercised immediately. For instance, if an American call option on EUR

    has a strike price of $0.85 and the current spot EUR/USD rate is say

    $0.88, the intrinsic value is $0.03 per euro. European options can be

    exercised only at maturity. Even so, they can have intrinsic value.European call options will have intrinsic value if the forward rate

    applicable for the maturity date exceeds the strike price.

    An option with an intrinsic value is called an in-the-money option. An

    American/European option is said to be at-the-money if the strike price

    equals the spot price/maturity forward price. Lastly,

    American/European call options are said to be out-of-the-money if

    strike price exceeds the spot price/maturity forward price.

    American/European put options are said to be out-of-the-money if the

    strike price is less than the spot price/maturity forward price.

    An option can have time valueonly if it has some time remaining to

    expiry. Time value depends on the chances of the option gaining in

    value before expiry. At-the-money and out-of-the-money options have

    no intrinsic value and can have only time value.

    The time value of a currency option thus depends upon a number of

    factors such as the spot price, strike price, time to maturity, volatility of

    the market price, domestic interest rate and the foreign interest rate.

    Two primary factors affect the time value:

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    1. The length of time remaining until expiration.

    2. The volatilityof the underlying futures price.

    Other factors such as underlying futures price, strike price and general

    interest levels in the economy will also influence the option premiums.

    Usually decreases with length of time until expiration, but does

    increase as price volatility of the underlying futures contract increases.

    All else remaining equal, the more time an option has until expiration,

    the higher its premium because it has more time to increase in value.

    But the options time value will erode much rapidly as the option

    approaches expiration. An option value at the expiration will be equal to

    its intrinsic value the amount by which it is in the money. This is why

    options are sometimes described as decaying assets.

    In-the-Money (ITM) options have intrinsic value where as Out-of the-

    Money (OTM) options have no intrinsic value. They only have time

    value left in the premiums.

    What is meant by ITM and OTM? Let us know about these.

    An option whose strike price is roughly the same as the underlying

    futures price is said to be At-the-Money, while an option that would

    result in a loss if exercised is said to be Out-of the-Money. An option

    that would result in a profit if exercised is said to be In-the-Money.

    A call option is said to be:

    In-the-Money (ITM), if Strike price is less than Futures price

    At-the-Money (ATM) If Strike price equal to Futures price.

    Out-of-the-Money (OTM) If Strike price greater than Futures

    price.

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    Comparison of Forward Contract and Currency Options

    Importer

    An Importer has the risk of FC appreciating. To hedge this risk he can eitherbuy FC forward or buy a Call Option. If on the expiry date, FC has

    appreciated, he would exercise the option. If FC has depreciated, he would let

    the contract lapse

    An example of Strategy for Importers

    An Importer has a payable after 3 months and has the risk of FC

    appreciating

    To cover this risk he has two choices

    Buy currency forward

    Buy a Call Option for the forward date

    Suppose Current USD/INR Spot Rate is 45.98-46.00 and 3 months

    Premium is 13-15. If he decides to cover the forward his cost is 46.00 +

    0.15 = 46.15

    If he decides to buy a Call at a Strike Price of 46.15 and if he has to pay

    Option Premium of say 25 paisa, his all-in cost would then come to

    46.40

    Where an importer covers the forward his risk is protected as the cover

    rate is fixed

    Market rate on the forward date could be 46.15, higher or lower

    He would have to settle the contract irrespective of what the market rate

    is. If market rate is lower than the cover rate the importer has an

    opportunity cost. Unfortunately a forward contract does not provide any

    flexibility in such a case

    But a Call Option could provide the answer

    Let us understand one thing an option contract provides protection

    against the unexpected.

    And the unexpected for an importer is a fall in FC value

    Given the volatility that we have seen in currency markets, it is

    impossible to forecast rates with any degree of certainty

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    On a positive note, volatility in markets offer opportunities which can be

    exploited to reduce cost of hedging

    When an importer buys a Call, he gets protection against appreciation in

    FC. But what if FC falls? Moreover all of us want to reduce costs. So how

    can we go about tackling these dual tasks, of a falling FC and cost

    reduction?

    Let us take three scenarios: Foreign Currency rises, remains same and

    falls

    Suppose FC rises above 46.15 before the expiry date.

    Though the Call Option becomes In-the-Money no action need to be

    taken because risk is FC may continue to rise further or remain above

    the Strike Price till expiry.

    Call Options provide protection in this very situation

    If FC remains same at 46.15 then no point in doing anything.

    But what if FC depreciates to below the strike price?

    If USD/INR drops to say 45.50 before expiry. Cover the forward and

    leave the Option open till expiry. This would help recover all of the

    premium and more.

    Later, on expiry, to exercise or lapse the Option would depend on the

    market rate prevailing then

    But if the market moves up before expiry but after doing the forward you

    get an opportunity to reduce cost

    If USD/INR moves to above 46.15 (say 46.50) liquidating the option

    before expiry results in a profit (cost reduction)

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    Exporter

    An Exporter has the risk of FC depreciating. He can either Sell FC forward or

    buy a Put Option to cover this risk. If on the expiry date, FC has depreciated,

    he would exercise the option. However if FC has appreciated, he would let the

    contract lapse

    An example of Strategy for Exporters

    An exporter has a receivable say after 3 months and has the risk of FC

    depreciating

    To cover this risk he has two choices

    Sell currency forward

    Buy a Put Option for the forward date

    If he decides to cover the forward rate is 45.98 + 0.13 = 46.11

    If he buys a Put at 46.11 and if he has to pay Option Premium of 25

    paisa, his all-in rate would then come to 46.36

    Where an exporter covers the forward his risk is protected as the cover

    rate is fixed

    Market rate on the forward date could be 46.11, higher or lower

    He would have to settle the contract irrespective of what the market rate

    is. If market rate is higher than the cover rate the exporter has an

    opportunity cost.

    Unfortunately a forward contract does not provide any flexibility in such a

    case

    But a Put Option could provide the answer

    The unexpected in this case is a rise in FC value

    When an exporter buys a Put, he gets protection against depreciation in

    FC. But what if FC rises? Moreover every exporter wants to maximize his

    return.

    So how can we go about tackling these dual tasks, of a rising FC and

    ensuring maximum return?

    Let us take three scenarios: FC falls, remains same and rises

    Suppose FC falls below 46.11 before the expiry date.

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    Though the Put Option becomes In-the-Money no action need to be

    taken because risk is FC may continue to fall further or remain below the

    Strike Price till expiry.

    Put Options provide protection in this very situation. If FC remains stable

    at 46.11 then no point in doing anything. But what if FC goes above the

    strike price?

    If USD/INR rises to say 46.50 before expiry. Cover the forward and leave

    the Option open till expiry. This would help recover at least some of the

    premium

    Later, on expiry, to exercise or lapse the Option would depend on the

    market rate prevailing then

    But if the market goes down before expiry but after doing the forward you

    get an opportunity to earn out of the option

    If USD/INR moves below 46.11 (say 45.85) liquidating the option before

    expiry would be beneficial

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    INDIAN Options market

    What are available in India are OTC Options contracts only. There is no

    exchange where Rupee options are quoted. The market for rupee options

    is thin and prices tend to vary widely. Some of the more aggressive banks

    market exotic options which do not involve any premium payout. These

    have knock-in or knock-out rates which increase the exposure in the event

    of it going wrong. This increases risks substantially going against the

    very essence of options being a No-Risk product

    Look at Options as Insurance, simply because an Option Contract is

    designed to provide protection. As in any insurance policy, whose aim is to

    obtain protection, an option too, is meant to provide protection to the buyer

    And protection at no cost, as a concept, is inherently flawed. A plain

    vanilla option is one that provides protection at a price. Such a contract

    has no hidden conditions and no risk. Once you buy a plain vanilla option

    you obtain protection from any and all future risks. Besides you have

    unlimited profit potential. For such a product (facility) there is a price to be

    paid, i.e. the Premium. Surely one needs to weigh the risk versus the cost

    of protection. As in any insurance plan, consider the risk that you want

    protected against cost of obtaining protection. If it makes sense, go ahead

    and get the protection have unlimited profit potential. When the risk is high,

    as we have seen in currency markets, we need to take steps to protect our

    margins. And option premium, we believe, is a small price to pay in these

    volatile markets. While a mix of options and forwards could provide a

    good hedge, trading strategies are possible in options as well. Indian

    corporate are skeptical of Options, the way they exist at the moment,

    particularly the so called zero cost ones. Banks appear to be charging

    exorbitantly high premium, Market is thin and getting comparative prices is

    difficult. Banks do not quote two-way prices making their quotes biased

    and unprofessional.

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    Types of options

    Mainly three types of options are in use:

    a. Purchased Plain Vanilla Option Contracts

    b. Range Forward (Zero cost) Option

    c. Exotic Option

    I. A Purchased Plain Vanilla Option Contract

    A Purchased Foreign Currency Option Contract is a transaction which gives

    the buyer (corporate) of the option contract the right but not the obligation to

    settle the contact at a predetermined price (strike price) for a predetermined

    maturity and amount. A CALL option gives the buyer the right but not the

    obligation to buy the base currency and a PUT option give the buyer the right

    but not the obligation to sell the base currency. The authorized dealer

    (writer/seller of the option contract) charges an up front premium for the

    transaction.

    Risks

    Premium paid has built in margins of Bank dealers and is not

    transparent

    European Options cannot be exercised before maturity

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    Inputs:

    PurchasedPlain

    Vanilla

    Option

    Contract

    Exposure type

    Business Unit Name

    Underlying Transaction

    Details

    Currency

    Amount

    Bank Details

    Process chart - Purchased Plain Vanilla Option Contracts

    Outputs:

    Best negotiated

    Option Premium

    paid

    Bank advice

    Deal Slip

    Confirmation letter to

    Bank

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    Work out CALL/PUT option strike price, Amount, maturity and Option Typefor the identified Currency pair.

    Consult REUTERS/Bloomberg for the given structure

    Calculate premium amount payable using Option Premium Calculator

    Obtain quotes for premium for required structure from at least TWO BANKSand verify with own calculations

    Select authorized Bank where the premium offered is lower

    Call the FX Desk of the selected Bank, ask Dealers name

    Mention purchase of CALL/PUT option with structure details and negotiatepremium percentage %

    Confirm deal

    Give the underlying contract details.Confirm American / European option, CALL/PUT, currency Pair, maturity,

    strike price. Premium to be paid in INR

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    II. Range Forward (zero cost) Option Contracts

    A range forward deal involves the simultaneous purchase and sale of call and

    put options, for the same principal amount and period, but at different strike

    prices. Here the corporate gives up some of the profit potential in return for a

    reduced premium liability. A zero cost range forwards is a particular type of

    range forward where the strike prices for the call and put options are chosen

    in such a manner that there is no premium payable i.e. the premium payable

    for the options bought are exactly offset by the premium to be received on

    account of the options sold.

    Risks

    Valuation of option contract is difficult.

    Premium paid has built in margins of Bank dealers and is not

    transparent

    European options cannot be exercised before maturity

    Range

    Forward

    (Zero Cost)

    Options

    Contract

    Outputs:Inputs: Spot price risk hedged

    for short maturity Premium to be paid

    on purchased option Payment of premium

    to Bank (if any) Premium to be

    received on soldoption Limited FX Desk profit

    over and abovepremium paid (if any),when strike price isnot exercised

    Range of prices forexercising strikeprice

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    Example Transaction

    Underlying exposure:

    Imports in Japanese Yen (purchase order amount = 29,250,000)

    1 month Forward USD / JPY = 117.00

    corporate FX desk buys USD 2,50,000 ATM European Call option on

    Japanese Yen for 1 month at strike price of USD / JPY = 117.00, and pays a

    premium of 2% (234 pips).

    corporate also writes (sells) a USD 2,50,000 OTM Put option on the Japanese

    Yen for the identical maturity to the counter party at a strike price of 120.00

    and receives a premium of 1.5% (180 pips) from the counter party.

    (Assumptions Spot USD / INR = 47)

    Net premium paid to the counter party = 234 180

    = 54 / 100pips (47 / 117) 250000

    = INR 54, 234 /-

    USD / JPY USD / JPY USD / JPY USD / JPY= 110 = 117 = 120 = 125

    Counter partys profit profile

    Corporate profit profile

    Corporate will exercise its strike price at 117.00 if the USD / JPY exchange

    rate is below 117 on maturity.

    Counter party will exercise its strike price at 120.00 if the USD / JPY

    exchange rate is above 120 on maturity.

    118

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    Spot rate on Option

    Expiry DateHas the hedge worked?

    US