UPM businesses delivered a strong Q1 2017 · 2018-08-16 · • Net debt decreased to EUR 807m...
Transcript of UPM businesses delivered a strong Q1 2017 · 2018-08-16 · • Net debt decreased to EUR 807m...
Jussi Pesonen
President and CEO
25 April 2017
UPM Q1 2017 RESULTS
| © UPM2
UPM businesses delivered a strong Q1 2017
• Comparable EBIT increased by 8% to
EUR 305m (281m)
• Operating cash flow was strong at
EUR 396m (341m)
• Net debt decreased to EUR 807m (1,873m),
net debt/EBITDA to 0.52x (1.31x)
• Comparable ROE (LTM) increased to 11.1%
(10.0%)
• Operating cash flow (LTM) was
EUR 1,741m, EUR 3.26 per share 0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
EURm
Comparable EBIT
305281
| © UPM3
Q1 2017 – strong operational efficiency and
good growth in deliveries
UPM PLYWOOD
• Record profits
• Deliveries +7%, favourable product mix
• Good demand, activity in construction
improved further
UPM PAPER ENA
• Another good quarter
• Sale agreements of hydropower assets
• Closed 305,000t of capacity
• Graphic paper deliveries –2%
UPM RAFLATAC
• Record profits
• Deliveries +6%
• Good demand growth, particularly in Asia
UPM ENERGY
• Hydropower generation below
long-term average
• Market prices depressed by mild
weather conditions
UPM BIOREFINING
• Record production in Pulp,
Biofuels and Timber
• Pulp deliveries +8%
• Good demand growth,
particularly in China
UPM SPECIALTY PAPERS
• Record profits
• Good progress in product mix
• Deliveries +3%
• Good demand growth, particularly in Asia
| © UPM
Serving the increasing customer demand
with the help of the growth initiatives
4
Fully contributing • Pietarsaari pulp mill expansion
• Fray Bentos pulp mill expansion
• Kymi pulp mill expansion
• Raflatac expansion in APAC, Poland
• Kaukas pulp mill efficiency
Contributing well in Q1 2017• Lappeenranta biorefinery
• Changshu speciality paper machine
• Otepää plywood mill expansion
Under construction• Kymi pulp mill expansion
• Raflatac expansion in Poland
| © UPM
Comparable EBIT by business area
5
0
2,5
5
7,5
10
12,5
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
30
60
90
120
150
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
2,5
5
7,5
10
12,5
0
10
20
30
40
50
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
5
10
15
20
25
EURm % of salesUPM Specialty Papers EURm % of sales
UPM Paper ENA
EURm % of salesUPM Plywood
EURm % of sales
UPM Raflatac
EURm % of salesUPM EnergyEURm % of salesUPM Biorefining
| © UPM
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q1/16 Q1/17
Comparable EBIT in Q1 2017 vs. Q1 2016
Raflatac
Specialty
PapersOther
operations
and
eliminations
Energy
BiorefiningPaper
ENA
Plywood
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q1/16 Q1/17
EURm
Prices
Variable
costs
Fixed
costs
Deliveries
Good growth in deliveries.
High operational efficiency.
Net impact of costs largely neutral.
EURm
Growth in deliveries in Biorefining, Raflatac,
Specialty Papers and Plywood. Mix
improvement. Cost control in Paper ENA.
28111.5%
30512.3%
Currency,
net
impact
Depr.,
forests,plantations
6
28111.5%
30512.3%
| © UPM7
Strong cash flow and balance sheet
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1/17
Net debt / EBITDA(trailing12 months)
Net debt
Net debt / EBITDA
0.52x
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1/17
Operating cash flow Net debt
807
1,741
Net debtEURm
Free cash flow
Operating cash flow
EURm
Q1/17
operating
cash flow
EUR 396m
Working
capital
decreased
by
EUR 36m
LTM LTM
| © UPM
Outlook for 2017
• UPM’s profitability improved significantly in 2016 and is
expected to remain on a good level in 2017.
• Demand growth is expected to continue for most of UPM’s
businesses, while demand decline is expected to continue
for UPM Paper ENA. The focused growth projects continue
to contribute gradually to UPM’s performance.
• Following a deflationary environment in recent years, 2017
is expected to show modest input cost inflation. UPM will
continue measures to reduce fixed and variable costs to
mitigate this.
• In Q2 2017, UPM’s performance will be impacted by higher
maintenance activity, especially in UPM Biorefining, UPM
Paper ENA and UPM Energy, compared with Q1 2017.
| © UPM8
| © UPM
Operating model
• Separate
businesses
• Top performance
• Corporate benefits
Performance
• Profit focus
• High performing
people
• Value-based
leadership and
responsibility
• Innovation
Capital allocation
• Attractive dividend
• Focused growth
investments
• Selected larger
investments
• Synergistic M&A
Growth
• Current growing
businesses
• New bio-based
businesses
Capability
• Strong cash flow
• Strong balance
sheet
• Corporate
structure
9
→ Better than
sum of parts
→ Continuous
improvement
→ Attractive
returns
→ Earnings growth
and valuation
→ Foundation for
opportunities
Direction: grow businesses with strong long-term
fundamentals and sustainable competitive advantage
| © UPM
| © UPM
Low investment needs in existing assets allow
growth projects with modest total capex
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EURm
Operational investments
Capital expenditure
Strategic investments
Uruguay
acquisition
486
Estimate
326 350
Myllykoski
acquisition
11
| © UPM
Maturity profile and liquidity
Maturity profile of outstanding debt Committed credit facilities’ maturities EURm EURm
Liquidity
Liquidity on 31 March 2017 was EUR 1.5bn(cash and unused credit facilities)
Bilateral committed credit facilities EUR 656 million for general financing purposes
Committed credit facilities
0
200
400
600
800
0
200
400
600
800
12
| © UPM
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Chemical pulp market
Source: PPPC World-20 statistics
Pulp inventories
Days of
supply
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
USD/tonne
Q1 NBSK pulp price increased by 1% from Q4
Q1 BHKP pulp price increased by 4% from Q4
BHKP
NBSK
Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd.
Hardwood
inventories
Softwood
inventories
13
| © UPM14
UPM Energy profitability 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q117
Comparable EBIT, EURm 217 186 202 181 116 22
% of sales 45.0 39.9 43.5 43.6 32.7 27.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MWh Market electricity prices vs UPM sales price
Helsinki Front Year System Front Year UPM average sales price
Cost efficient generation enables robust profitability
also in challenging market environment
| © UPM
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
News SC LWC
WFC WFU
15
Graphic paper prices
EUR/t
EuropeUSD/t USD/t
ChinaNorth America
Sources: PPI, RISI
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
WFC r (100% chemical pulp)
Uncoated Woodfree Reels (100% chemicalpulp)
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
News SC LWC
WFC WFU
| © UPM16
Demand-supply balance in European
graphic paper is visible in margins
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EUR/t
Sources: PPI, RISI, Pöyry
Cash cost of a marginal producer
Price