University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student...

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University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D. , EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student University of Maryland, College Park U.S. Economic Development Administration University Center Dr. Marie Howland, Ph.D. June 28, 2014 Real Estate Condition in Montgomery County, Maryland

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Economic Recession ( ~ ) Office Total Vacancy Rate has decreased by around 0.6% from Q to Q4 2013

Transcript of University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student...

Page 1: University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student.

University Center Research TeamDr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D. , EDA Center Director

Zhi Li, Ph.D. studentKerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student

Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student

University of Maryland, College Park U.S. Economic Development

AdministrationUniversity Center

Dr. Marie Howland, Ph.D.

June 28, 2014

Real Estate Condition in Montgomery County, Maryland

Page 2: University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student.

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%14.3%

Q3 2009 13.7%Q4 2013

Office Vacancy Rate in Montgomery County, Maryland

Total Vacancy Rate

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%)

Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

Office Total Vacancy Rate has decreased by around 0.6% from Q3 2009 to Q4 2013

Sources: CoStar Group, January 7, 2014

Page 3: University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student.

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

Office Vacancy Rate in Montgomery County, Maryland

Direct Vacancy Rate

Sublet Vacancy Rate

Total Vacancy Rate

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%)

Sources: CoStar Group, January 7, 2014

Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

Office Total Vacancy Rate has decreased by around 0.6% from Q3 2009 to Q4 2013

Page 4: University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student.

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

-250,000

0

250,000

500,000

750,000

1,000,000

Office Vacancy Rate in Montgomery County, Maryland

Total Vacancy Rate Net Change of RBA from Previous Quarter

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Net Change of RBA (thousand square feet)

Sources: CoStar Group, January 7, 2014 RBA: Rentable Building Area

Office Total Vacancy Rate has decreased by around 0.6% from Q3 2009 to Q4 2013

Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

Page 5: University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student.

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

66,000,000

67,000,000

68,000,000

69,000,000

70,000,000

71,000,000

72,000,000

73,000,000

Office Vacancy Rate in Montgomery County, Maryland

Total Vacancy Rate Total RBA in Office Building

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Total RBA (million square feet)

Sources: CoStar Group, January 7, 2014 RBA: Rentable Building Area

Office Total Vacancy Rate has decreased by around 0.6% from Q3 2009 to Q4 2013

Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

Page 6: University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student Jiemin Wu, Ph.D. student.

JanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ayJunJulAugSepO

ctN

ovDecJanFebM

arAprM

ay

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

650,000

Average Home Sale Price in Montgomery County, Maryland

Average Sold Price

Aver

age

Sale

Pric

e ($

)

Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

Home Sale Price average annual growth rate is 2.9% since 6. 2009

$524,647May. 2014

Source: Real Estate Business Intelligence