United States World Agricultural Service Production...Jun 10, 2016 · Egyptian cotton industry...

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign

Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP 6-16 June 2016

Brazil Corn: 2015/16 Production Estimate Reduced Due to Dryness in Second Crop

Brazil corn production for 2015/16 is estimated at 77.5 million metric tons compared to 81.0 million last month. The harvested area estimate of 16.0 million hectares is unchanged from last month but up 1.3 percent from last year’s 15.8 million hectares. Yield is estimated at 4.84 metric tons per hectare, 10 percent below last year’s record level and 1.6 percent below the 5-year average. Dry weather was largely responsible for the decrease in production of the second crop throughout the country, especially in the Central West Region, one of the largest producing regions. In Goiás, dry weather has prevented much of the late-planted second crop (planted after February) from reaching its potential, with many fields likely to be abandoned. Rains have continued in the south and should help to alleviate some of the losses in the northeast. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)

World Agricultural Production

mailto:[email protected]

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Egypt Cotton: Production Drops to Historic Low from Historic Low Area Egypt 2016/17 cotton production is estimated at a historic low of 160,000 bales, down 60 percent or 240,000 bales from last month and down 160,000 from last year. Area is estimated at 50,000 hectares, 58 percent below last month, 50 percent below last year, and 33 percent below the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at 697 kilograms per hectare, down four percent from last month, but unchanged from last year.

Recent field surveys indicate a larger reduction in 2016/17 planted area than previously forecast. During the spring of 2016 farmers were reluctant to plant cotton because the Egyptian Government had not announced support prices and did not reveal the details of the expected support program until May 10, at the end of planting. Without the timely release of the government’s policy, farmers were reluctant to plant, resulting in significantly lower area. Egypt cotton area has been declining since the 1960s in response to consumer preference and technological change. The world textile industry has restructured to producing garments made from short and medium-staple varieties like denim and t-shirts and away from extra-long and long varieties that are typically used in quality sheets and expensive clothing. Technology has also improved, making it possible for shorter varieties to be spun into high quality yarns. While Egypt continues to devote 90 percent of its total cotton area to long and extra-long varieties, the Egyptian cotton industry consumes less of this traditional style and demands more imported short and medium varieties. The results are reduced prices and higher inventory of the common, longer cotton varieties that need state-provided support to be sold. (For more information, please contact [email protected].) China Cotton: 2016/17 Production Revised Downward China’s 2016/17 cotton production is forecast at 21.5 million (480 lb.) bales (4.68 million metric tons), down 1.0 million or 4.4 percent from last month and down 1.0 million or 4.4 percent from last year. Area is forecast at 2.9 million hectares, down 0.2 million or 6.5 percent from both last

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA June 2016Office of Global Analysis


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month and last year. The 2015/16 cotton estimates have also been updated based on revisions to the cotton statistics, especially in eastern China. Production for 2015/16 is estimated at 22.5 million bales, area at 3.1 million hectares, and yield at 1,580 kilograms per hectare. The major factors shaping the downward revision are continued farmers’ responses to changes in agricultural policy as the government deals with high stockpiles of cotton. The removal of government cotton subsidies has resulted in lower profits and a subsequent reduction in planted area. The lower cotton prices and greater uncertainty for cotton farmers have resulted in a significant area shift from cotton to other crops that offer higher returns. The projected area reduction in eastern China is down approximately 34 percent from last year, and recent government reports indicate larger-than-expected area reductions (6 percent) in Xinjiang province. Since the introduction of new cotton policies in 2014 the overall trend for cotton farming continues to decline: at a more rapid pace in eastern China than Xinjiang province. Planting of the 2016/17 cotton crop is almost complete. The optimal planting period is typically April and May. Since the season began, major growing regions have received near-to-above normal rainfall, resulting in favorable crop establishment. Some parts of the North China Plain however, reported below-average rainfall. (For more information, please contact [email protected].) Canada Wheat: Production Forecast to Increase

USDA forecasts 2016/17 wheat production at 28.5 million metric tons, up 3.2 percent from 2015/16 despite a drop in planted area. Yield is forecast to return to trend levels or 3.02 metric tons per hectare, up nearly 5 percent from the previous year. Harvested area is estimated at 9.45 million hectares, down 1.6 percent from 2015/16. This slight decline in area is due to farmers shifting production to pulses. Seeding progress across the western prairies was ahead of the 5-year average due to favorable planting conditions. Saskatchewan officials

report that spring planting was 81 percent complete as of May 23 compared to the 5-year average of 59 percent. Planting conditions in early May were dry and warm, and rainfall at the end of May benefitted establishment. Soil moisture in both Saskatchewan and Alberta was reported as 86 percent good to excellent as of May 23, and crop development in major wheat areas was rated as normal to slightly ahead of normal. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)




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Pakistan Wheat: Harvest Complete The harvest of Pakistan’s 2016/17 wheat crop was completed in May 2016. USDA estimates production at 25.3 million tons, unchanged from last month and up 0.2 million or 0.8 percent from last year. Area is estimated at a record 9.23 million hectares, up marginally from last year’s 9.20 million hectares. Yield is estimated at 2.74 metric tons per hectare and is similar to last year’s yield. Growing conditions were favorable in Punjab, where the wheat crop benefitted from timely precipitation during the warmer than normal season. A large portion of Punjab’s wheat received abundant rainfall in mid-March, coinciding with the flowering stage. Overall, the weather conditions during the Rabi (winter crop) period supported near average yields. (For more information, please contact [email protected].) EU Wheat: Estimated Production up 1 Million Tons in Spain; Quality Concerns in France USDA estimates 2016/17 European Union (EU) wheat production at 157.5 million metric tons (mmt), 1.0 mmt tons above last month but 2.5 mmt below the 2015/16 record. Area is estimated at 26.8 million hectares, unchanged from last month and nearly the same as last year. Yield is estimated at 5.87 metric tons per hectare, up 0.6 percent from last month but 1.8 percent below last year’s record. Yield is estimated 5.0 percent above the 5-year average.

The EU continues to have a 2016/17 season of primarily favorable weather with an expected bumper wheat crop, consistent with satellite data indicating high yields. The month-to-month increase in estimated EU wheat production is attributed to a 1.0 mmt increase for Spain to 7.9



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mmt. Spain received abundant rainfall during the spring, enabling the crop to rebound from last year’s drought-affected low level. Heavy rains in late May and early June have caused concerns about both quality and quantity in France. USDA estimated wheat production for France is unchanged at 41.5 million tons. While reports of flooding and fear of fungus development are circulating, yield is expected to remain high, but quality will likely be reduced. (For more information, please contact [email protected].) Russia Wheat: Spring Wheat Planting Complete, Excellent Conditions for Winter Wheat

Russia wheat production for 2016/17 is forecast at a record 64.0 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.0 mmt from last month and up 3.0 mmt from last year. The month-to-month increase is based chiefly on continued outstanding conditions for winter wheat in the Southern and North Caucasus Districts and spring-wheat planting reports from the Ministry of Agriculture. Harvested area is estimated at 26.0 million hectares (mha), up 0.5 mha from last month and up 0.4 mha from last year. The forecast yield is virtually unchanged from last month at 2.46 metric tons per hectare, 3.1 percent above last year and 10 percent above the 5-year average. Winter wheat, which is grown mainly in European Russia, accounts for about 50 percent of Russia’s total wheat area, and for 70 percent of the country’s total wheat production due to its higher yield. The harvest of winter wheat will begin in late June. Spring-wheat planting in the major production zones (the Siberian, Ural, and Volga Districts) is essentially complete. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)

Ukraine Sunfloweerseed: Area and Production Forecast at Record Levels

USDA forecasts Ukraine 2016/17 sunflowerseed production at 13.0 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.0 mmt from last month and up 1.7 mmt from last year. The forecast output also surpasses the previous record crop, harvested in 2013/14, by 1.4 mmt. The month-to-month increase is based mainly on a June 7 report from the Ukrainian Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food citing a 15-percent increase in planted area compared to the same date last year. Harvested area is estimated at 6.0 million hectares (mha), up 0.5 mha from last month and

up 0.8 mha from last year. Yield is forecast at 2.17 metric tons per hectare, nearly unchanged from both last month and last year and 12 percent above the 5-year average. The sown area of 2016/17 winter crops in Ukraine dropped by about 13 percent from last year due to severe fall dryness. As a result, the area available for spring-crop planting increased by about 1.2 mha. Between Ukraine’s four main spring crops – sunflowers, corn, soybeans, and barley – sunflowers




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are the most consistently profitable, and sunflowers accounted for about 60 percent of the surplus area available for 2016/17 spring crops. All USDA crop production forecasts for Ukraine include estimated output from Crimea. (For more information, please contact [email protected].) Ukraine Soybeans: Record Output Forecast Despite Lower than Expected Area

Ukraine soybean production for 2016/17 is forecast at a record 4.5 million metric tons (mmt), down 0.5 mmt from last month but 0.6 mmt above last year’s record output. Estimated area is decreased by 8.7 percent, to 2.1 million hectares, based on planting reports from the Ukrainian Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food indicating lower sown area than previously estimated by USDA. Unusually wet weather throughout the country’s main soybean region likely hampered planting to some degree, but the main reason for the decrease in estimated area is the 15-percent year-to-year increase in estimated area sown to sunflowers, Ukraine’s most consistently profitable crop. The forecast soybean yield is 2.14 metric tons per hectare, down marginally from last month but up 16 percent from last year and 9.2 percent above the 5-year average. (For more information, please contact [email protected].) Brazil Soybeans: 2015/16 Soybean Harvest Nearly Complete Brazil soybean production for 2015/16 is estimated at 97.0 million tons compared to 99.0 million last month. The decrease is attributed mainly due to dryness in the eastern and northeastern regions. The harvested area estimate of 33.1 million hectares is down 0.2 million from last month but up from last year’s level of 32.1 million hectares. Yield is estimated at 2.93 metric tons per hectare, 2.3 percent below last year but 0.3 percent above the 5-year average. Below normal precipitation reduced soybean yields in the southern and eastern areas of Mato Grosso. In addition, the weather has been drier than normal throughout much of the growing season in the northeastern region and has had a significant negative impact on yield, especially for the state of Bahia. Harvest is over 90 percent complete and should be finished by the end of June. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)





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Malaysia Palm Oil: Lingering Effects from El Niño Depress 2015/16 Output

Malaysia’s 2015/16 palm oil production is estimated at 18.75 million metric tons, down 5.7 percent from the previous year. Mature oil palm area is estimated at 4.8 million hectares, up 2.4 percent from 2014/15. Yield is estimated at 3.91 metric tons per hectare, down 7.9 percent. El Niño-related drought stress during 2015 and early 2016 has suppressed palm oil yields, with monthly production running well below normal for the past six months. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)



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World Agricultural Production U.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051

http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/ Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-554), June 10, 2016. Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068. The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, July 12, 2016.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437 Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825 Barley = MT * 45.929625 Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres 1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds


http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/

For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATION Director Ronald Frantz 202-720-4056 [email protected] Deputy Director Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Administrative Assistant Shelisa Johnson 202-720-1662 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [email protected] Archives Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/ Technical Lead Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Projects Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Vacant GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South America, Argentina, Venezuela, Denise McWilliams, Ph.D.202-720-0107 [email protected] and Colombia Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] and North Africa Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] and other FSU-12 countries Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka, Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] Bangladesh, India, and Nepal East Asia, China, and Japan Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sub-Saharan Africa, Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [email protected] Nigeria and South Africa S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Cambodia and Vietnam Central America, Mexico, Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] and Western United States Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands Middle East, Afghanistan, Iraq, Bill Baker, Ph.D. 202-260-8109 [email protected] Iran, Syria, and Brazil Eastern United States Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected]




The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

EU Countries Area & Production Estimates http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDownload.aspx

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports): http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service: http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service: http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/


http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDownload.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Million Metric Tons

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

World

-

Total

Foreign

North

America

North

America

North

America

Former

Soviet

Former

Soviet

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

South

America

South

America

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

All

Others

none

-

none

-

United

States

Mexico

-

Canada

-

Russia

-

Ukraine

-

China

-

India

-

Indo-

nesia

Paki-

stan

Thai-

land

Argen-

tina

Brazil

-

Aus-

tralia

Turkey

-

none

-

none

-

South

Africa

Commodity

---Million metric tons---

Wheat

2014/15 246.715.31.823.16.014.00.026.00.095.9126.224.859.13.729.455.1671.8726.9

2015/16 prel. 254.619.51.524.55.511.30.025.10.086.5130.227.361.03.827.655.8678.4734.2

2016/17 proj.

May 245.517.51.825.05.514.50.025.30.088.0130.024.063.04.128.554.4672.6727.0

Jun 246.517.51.825.05.314.50.025.30.088.0130.024.064.04.028.556.5674.3730.8

Coarse Grains

2014/15 351.99.411.111.787.735.74.95.39.043.1222.839.440.432.722.0377.2927.01,304.2

2015/16 prel. 321.714.37.012.680.035.24.85.49.437.8231.833.437.431.425.7366.9887.81,254.7

2016/17 proj.

May 333.111.613.612.484.641.95.05.79.641.7225.734.939.431.226.1382.3916.41,298.6

Jun 335.911.613.612.484.741.95.05.79.641.7225.735.839.431.926.1382.3920.71,303.0

Rice, Milled

2014/15 149.00.50.00.58.51.018.86.935.6105.5144.60.00.70.20.07.1471.6478.7

2015/16 prel. 147.60.50.00.27.60.915.86.735.3103.5145.80.00.70.20.06.1464.8470.9

2016/17 proj.

May 150.10.50.00.48.51.017.06.936.6105.0146.50.00.70.20.07.3473.4480.7

Jun 150.10.50.00.48.51.017.06.936.6105.0146.50.00.70.20.07.3473.4480.7

Total Grains

2014/15 747.725.112.935.2102.150.723.638.244.6244.4493.564.2100.136.651.4439.52,070.42,509.9

2015/16 prel. 723.934.38.537.393.147.420.637.244.7227.8507.760.799.235.353.3428.82,031.02,459.8

2016/17 proj.

May 728.729.615.337.898.657.422.037.946.2234.7502.259.0103.135.554.6444.02,062.42,506.3

Jun 732.429.615.337.898.557.422.037.946.2234.7502.259.8104.136.154.6446.12,068.42,514.5

Oilseeds

2014/15 85.92.61.84.2100.266.20.85.112.132.357.716.312.11.122.5116.0421.0537.0

2015/16 prel. 80.92.21.53.899.860.40.83.412.030.253.717.012.91.023.5116.1403.0519.1

2016/17 proj.

May 83.52.31.94.1105.861.30.84.412.536.153.718.313.51.021.6112.9420.9533.8

Jun 83.42.31.94.1105.861.30.84.412.536.153.318.813.51.021.6112.9420.9533.9

Cotton

2014/15 17.63.20.12.37.01.10.010.60.029.530.00.00.01.30.016.3102.8119.1

2015/16 prel. 15.32.70.12.56.51.00.07.00.026.822.50.00.00.90.012.985.398.1

2016/17 proj.

May 16.13.00.12.66.41.00.09.00.028.022.50.00.00.90.014.889.6104.4

Jun 15.93.00.12.66.41.00.09.00.028.021.50.00.00.90.014.888.4103.2

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.


Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.

2015/16 May Jun Percent

2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

221.26World -0.46-3.410.533.84730.83224.61 219.03 219.76 3.29 3.27 3.32 3.33 726.94 734.24 726.99

18.77United States 1.240.693.982.1756.5319.06 17.31 17.31 2.94 2.93 3.14 3.27 55.15 55.84 54.37

202.49Total Foreign -0.61-4.110.251.67674.30205.55 201.72 202.45 3.32 3.30 3.33 3.33 671.80 678.40 672.63

none

26.73European Union -1.57-2.510.641.00157.5026.76 26.81 26.81 5.87 5.98 5.84 5.87 156.83 160.01 156.50

24.07China -0.15-0.190.000.00130.0024.14 24.30 24.30 5.24 5.39 5.35 5.35 126.21 130.19 130.00

South Asia

30.47 India 1.701.470.000.0088.0031.47 29.40 29.80 3.15 2.75 2.99 2.95 95.85 86.53 88.00

9.10 Pakistan 0.800.200.000.0025.309.20 9.23 9.23 2.85 2.73 2.74 2.74 25.98 25.10 25.30

2.56 Afghanistan 2.000.100.000.005.102.55 2.55 2.55 1.96 1.96 2.00 2.00 5.03 5.00 5.10

0.77 Nepal 0.000.000.000.001.890.77 0.77 0.77 2.57 2.45 2.45 2.45 1.98 1.89 1.89

Former Soviet Union - 12

23.64 Russia 4.842.961.591.0064.0025.58 25.50 26.00 2.50 2.39 2.47 2.46 59.08 61.04 63.00

6.30 Ukraine -12.00-3.270.000.0024.007.12 6.40 6.40 3.93 3.83 3.75 3.75 24.75 27.27 24.00

11.92 Kazakhstan -5.44-0.750.000.0013.0011.57 11.00 11.00 1.09 1.19 1.18 1.18 13.00 13.75 13.00

1.40 Uzbekistan 0.000.000.000.007.201.40 1.40 1.40 5.11 5.14 5.14 5.14 7.15 7.20 7.20

0.74 Belarus 8.330.200.000.002.600.70 0.70 0.70 3.94 3.43 3.71 3.71 2.92 2.40 2.60

9.48Canada 3.260.900.000.0028.509.60 9.45 9.45 3.10 2.88 3.02 3.02 29.42 27.60 28.50

South America

4.96 Argentina 28.323.200.000.0014.503.77 4.80 4.80 2.82 3.00 3.02 3.02 14.00 11.30 14.50

2.73 Brazil -4.33-0.24-3.64-0.205.302.45 2.20 2.10 2.20 2.26 2.50 2.52 6.00 5.54 5.50

0.40 Uruguay -16.25-0.200.000.001.010.27 0.34 0.34 2.70 4.53 3.00 3.00 1.08 1.20 1.01

12.16Australia 2.040.500.000.0025.0012.75 13.00 13.00 1.90 1.92 1.92 1.92 23.08 24.50 25.00

Africa

1.35 Egypt 0.000.000.000.008.101.26 1.26 1.26 6.15 6.43 6.43 6.43 8.30 8.10 8.10

3.06 Morocco -67.50-5.400.000.002.603.20 2.10 2.10 1.67 2.50 1.24 1.24 5.10 8.00 2.60

1.58 Ethiopia 13.770.460.000.003.801.60 1.60 1.60 2.40 2.09 2.38 2.38 3.79 3.34 3.80

1.70 Algeria 0.000.000.000.002.702.10 2.10 2.10 1.12 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.90 2.70 2.70

Middle East

7.71 Turkey -10.26-2.000.000.0017.507.86 7.82 7.82 1.98 2.48 2.24 2.24 15.25 19.50 17.50

6.80 Iran 3.330.500.000.0015.506.80 6.80 6.80 1.91 2.21 2.28 2.28 13.00 15.00 15.50

2.46 Iraq 3.030.100.000.003.402.45 2.30 2.30 1.42 1.35 1.48 1.48 3.50 3.30 3.40

1.30 Syria -31.43-1.100.000.002.401.45 1.10 1.10 1.92 2.41 2.18 2.18 2.50 3.50 2.40

0.71Mexico 5.840.22-3.17-0.133.970.83 0.78 0.71 5.21 4.55 5.29 5.59 3.69 3.75 4.10

8.40Others 3.590.740.000.0021.437.92 8.02 8.02 2.67 2.61 2.67 2.67 22.43 20.69 21.43

World and Selected Countries and Regions


Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

324.17World 3.8548.290.344.371,303.00320.08 321.57 322.02 4.02 3.92 4.04 4.05 1,304.24 1,254.71 1,298.63

37.77United States 4.1815.350.000.00382.2637.78 38.92 38.92 9.99 9.71 9.82 9.82 377.23 366.90 382.26

286.41Total Foreign 3.7132.940.484.37920.75282.31 282.65 283.10 3.24 3.14 3.24 3.25 927.00 887.81 916.37

none

39.18China -2.62-6.080.000.00225.7040.17 38.13 38.13 5.68 5.77 5.92 5.92 222.75 231.78 225.70

30.79European Union 6.109.221.752.77160.4730.10 30.31 30.31 5.55 5.02 5.20 5.29 170.76 151.25 157.71

South America

16.77 Brazil 5.884.700.060.0584.6616.96 16.81 16.81 5.23 4.71 5.03 5.04 87.67 79.96 84.61

5.47 Argentina 18.896.660.000.0041.895.52 6.22 6.22 6.53 6.38 6.73 6.73 35.73 35.23 41.89


16.73 Russia 5.201.950.000.0039.3815.23 15.60 15.60 2.41 2.46 2.52 2.52 40.39 37.43 39.38

8.44 Ukraine 7.152.392.430.8535.787.62 7.41 7.71 4.67 4.38 4.72 4.64 39.39 33.39 34.93

2.31 Kazakhstan 3.760.140.000.003.872.46 2.54 2.54 1.47 1.51 1.52 1.52 3.39 3.73 3.87

1.13 Belarus 2.500.100.000.004.101.22 1.22 1.22 3.52 3.29 3.37 3.37 3.98 4.00 4.10

Africa

13.65 Nigeria 3.060.550.000.0018.5013.10 13.30 13.30 1.39 1.37 1.39 1.39 19.02 17.95 18.50

3.25 South Africa 93.356.560.000.0013.582.11 3.42 3.42 3.41 3.34 3.98 3.98 11.11 7.03 13.58

5.35 Tanzania -7.25-0.520.000.006.655.15 5.35 5.35 1.48 1.39 1.24 1.24 7.93 7.17 6.65

3.49 Burkina 2.670.110.000.004.303.85 3.85 3.85 1.18 1.09 1.12 1.12 4.11 4.19 4.30

5.67 Ethiopia 27.692.770.000.0012.755.21 5.64 5.64 2.35 1.92 2.26 2.26 13.35 9.99 12.75

0.97 Egypt 0.000.000.000.006.860.97 0.97 0.97 7.04 7.05 7.05 7.05 6.82 6.86 6.86

3.75 Mali -6.34-0.340.000.005.054.00 3.85 3.85 1.26 1.35 1.31 1.31 4.73 5.39 5.05

24.06India 10.463.950.000.0041.7023.76 24.90 24.90 1.79 1.59 1.67 1.67 43.08 37.75 41.70

Southeast Asia

3.10 Indonesia 2.130.200.000.009.603.18 3.14 3.14 2.90 2.96 3.06 3.06 9.00 9.40 9.60

2.56 Philippines 6.670.500.000.008.002.56 2.60 2.60 3.00 2.93 3.08 3.08 7.67 7.50 8.00

1.18 Vietnam 4.520.270.000.006.251.30 1.30 1.30 4.48 4.60 4.81 4.81 5.28 5.98 6.25

1.13 Thailand 4.100.200.000.004.951.12 1.15 1.15 4.30 4.25 4.32 4.32 4.86 4.76 4.95

9.41Mexico 1.710.542.240.7031.939.19 9.10 9.25 3.47 3.42 3.43 3.45 32.69 31.39 31.23

4.44Canada 1.580.410.000.0026.074.87 5.10 5.10 4.95 5.27 5.12 5.12 21.99 25.66 26.07

5.31Australia -1.72-0.220.000.0012.365.80 5.59 5.59 2.19 2.17 2.21 2.21 11.65 12.58 12.36

Middle East

4.26 Turkey -18.91-2.700.000.0011.584.35 4.30 4.30 2.22 3.28 2.69 2.69 9.43 14.28 11.58

2.01 Iran 0.000.000.000.006.362.08 2.09 2.09 2.87 3.07 3.05 3.05 5.76 6.36 6.36

72.00Others 1.651.600.010.0198.4370.43 68.77 68.77 1.45 1.37 1.43 1.43 104.49 96.83 98.42

World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum


Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

179.92World 4.7045.400.070.701,011.77176.81 178.64 178.79 5.63 5.47 5.66 5.66 1,013.45 966.37 1,011.07

33.64United States 6.0921.050.000.00366.5432.68 34.76 34.76 10.73 10.57 10.54 10.54 361.09 345.49 366.54

146.27Total Foreign 3.9224.350.110.70645.23144.13 143.88 144.03 4.46 4.31 4.48 4.48 652.36 620.88 644.53

none

37.12China -2.93-6.580.000.00218.0038.12 36.00 36.00 5.81 5.89 6.06 6.06 215.65 224.58 218.00

South America

15.75 Brazil 5.814.500.000.0082.0016.00 15.80 15.80 5.40 4.84 5.19 5.19 85.00 77.50 82.00

3.50 Argentina 25.937.000.000.0034.003.40 4.20 4.20 8.20 7.94 8.10 8.10 28.70 27.00 34.00

0.32 Bolivia 0.680.010.000.000.740.32 0.32 0.32 2.30 2.31 2.32 2.32 0.73 0.73 0.74

9.58European Union 10.866.300.000.0064.289.24 9.01 9.01 7.91 6.28 7.13 7.13 75.78 57.98 64.28

Africa

3.05 South Africa 100.006.500.000.0013.001.90 3.20 3.20 3.49 3.42 4.06 4.06 10.63 6.50 13.00

4.15 Nigeria 2.860.200.000.007.203.80 4.00 4.00 1.81 1.84 1.80 1.80 7.52 7.00 7.20

2.23 Ethiopia 24.751.250.000.006.302.15 2.20 2.20 2.95 2.35 2.86 2.86 6.58 5.05 6.30

0.75 Egypt 0.000.000.000.006.000.75 0.75 0.75 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 5.96 6.00 6.00

4.20 Tanzania -8.33-0.500.000.005.504.00 4.20 4.20 1.60 1.50 1.31 1.31 6.74 6.00 5.50

1.70 Malawi -20.75-0.580.000.002.201.75 1.65 1.65 2.31 1.59 1.33 1.33 3.93 2.78 2.20

1.21 Zambia 8.130.220.000.002.900.96 1.10 1.10 2.78 2.78 2.64 2.64 3.35 2.68 2.90

1.65 Kenya 1.790.050.000.002.851.70 1.70 1.70 1.61 1.65 1.68 1.68 2.65 2.80 2.85

1.11 Uganda 0.000.000.000.002.601.10 1.10 1.10 2.50 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.76 2.60 2.60

1.50 Zimbabwe -52.83-0.390.000.000.351.53 0.80 0.80 0.97 0.48 0.44 0.44 1.46 0.74 0.35


4.63 Ukraine 11.432.670.000.0026.004.09 4.20 4.20 6.15 5.71 6.19 6.19 28.45 23.33 26.00

2.60 Russia 6.320.830.000.0014.002.67 2.90 2.90 4.36 4.93 4.83 4.83 11.33 13.17 14.00

South Asia

9.19 India 9.522.000.000.0023.008.49 9.00 9.00 2.63 2.47 2.56 2.56 24.17 21.00 23.00

1.14 Pakistan 4.000.200.000.005.201.15 1.15 1.15 4.29 4.36 4.52 4.52 4.90 5.00 5.20

0.91 Nepal 0.000.000.000.002.000.90 0.90 0.90 2.54 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.30 2.00 2.00

Southeast Asia

3.10 Indonesia 2.130.200.000.009.603.18 3.14 3.14 2.90 2.96 3.06 3.06 9.00 9.40 9.60

2.56 Philippines 6.670.500.000.008.002.56 2.60 2.60 3.00 2.93 3.08 3.08 7.67 7.50 8.00

1.18 Vietnam 4.520.270.000.006.251.30 1.30 1.30 4.48 4.60 4.81 4.81 5.28 5.98 6.25

1.10 Thailand 4.260.200.000.004.901.09 1.12 1.12 4.36 4.31 4.38 4.38 4.80 4.70 4.90

7.33Mexico -3.20-0.802.980.7024.207.20 6.95 7.10 3.48 3.47 3.38 3.41 25.48 25.00 23.50

1.23Canada 1.100.150.000.0013.751.31 1.40 1.40 9.36 10.38 9.82 9.82 11.49 13.60 13.75

0.55Turkey -11.29-0.700.000.005.500.62 0.57 0.57 8.73 10.00 9.65 9.65 4.80 6.20 5.50

22.98Others 1.590.860.000.0054.9222.86 22.62 22.62 2.41 2.36 2.43 2.43 55.28 54.06 54.92



Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

49.52World -2.05-3.032.243.17144.8949.92 49.04 49.35 2.85 2.96 2.89 2.94 141.17 147.92 141.72

1.01United States -9.94-0.460.000.004.201.26 1.10 1.10 3.91 3.71 3.82 3.82 3.95 4.67 4.20

48.51Total Foreign -1.79-2.572.303.17140.6948.67 47.94 48.25 2.83 2.94 2.87 2.92 137.22 143.26 137.52

none

12.42European Union 2.571.583.712.2562.9312.16 12.39 12.39 4.88 5.05 4.90 5.08 60.62 61.35 60.68


8.80 Russia 3.900.670.000.0017.758.04 8.10 8.10 2.27 2.12 2.19 2.19 20.03 17.08 17.75

3.20 Ukraine -1.15-0.1010.900.858.653.00 2.70 3.00 2.95 2.92 2.89 2.88 9.45 8.75 7.80

1.91 Kazakhstan 0.930.030.000.002.702.04 2.10 2.10 1.26 1.31 1.29 1.29 2.41 2.68 2.70

0.55 Belarus 5.000.100.000.002.100.60 0.60 0.60 3.64 3.33 3.50 3.50 1.99 2.00 2.10

0.30 Azerbaijan 0.000.000.000.000.700.30 0.30 0.30 2.00 2.33 2.33 2.33 0.60 0.70 0.70

2.14Canada 3.340.280.000.008.502.35 2.50 2.50 3.33 3.50 3.40 3.40 7.12 8.23 8.50

3.84Australia -2.30-0.200.000.008.504.10 4.00 4.00 2.09 2.12 2.13 2.13 8.01 8.70 8.50

Middle East

3.40 Turkey -27.03-2.000.000.005.403.40 3.40 3.40 1.18 2.18 1.59 1.59 4.00 7.40 5.40

1.58 Iran 0.000.000.000.003.801.64 1.65 1.65 2.03 2.32 2.30 2.30 3.20 3.80 3.80

1.15 Iraq 4.760.050.000.001.101.16 1.16 1.16 0.87 0.91 0.95 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10

0.50 Syria -35.00-0.180.000.000.330.70 0.45 0.45 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.35 0.50 0.33

Africa

1.20 Ethiopia 5.130.100.000.002.051.20 1.20 1.20 1.69 1.63 1.71 1.71 2.03 1.95 2.05

1.44 Morocco -70.94-2.480.000.001.021.60 1.14 1.14 1.18 2.19 0.90 0.90 1.70 3.50 1.02

0.80 Algeria 0.000.000.000.001.301.00 1.00 1.00 1.63 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30

0.52 Tunisia 2.560.010.000.000.400.38 0.38 0.38 1.56 1.03 1.05 1.05 0.80 0.39 0.40

0.09 South Africa 0.860.000.000.000.350.10 0.10 0.10 3.55 3.65 3.68 3.68 0.30 0.35 0.35

South America

0.90 Argentina -19.05-0.800.000.003.401.03 0.90 0.90 3.22 4.08 3.78 3.78 2.90 4.20 3.40

0.10 Uruguay 2.860.015.260.020.360.09 0.10 0.10 2.43 3.76 3.60 3.60 0.24 0.35 0.34

0.10 Brazil 19.230.0519.230.050.310.10 0.10 0.10 2.60 2.60 2.60 3.10 0.26 0.26 0.26

0.67India 5.590.090.000.001.700.71 0.70 0.70 2.72 2.28 2.43 2.43 1.83 1.61 1.70

0.47China 11.110.200.000.002.000.48 0.50 0.50 3.86 3.75 4.00 4.00 1.81 1.80 2.00

0.31Mexico -2.26-0.020.000.000.740.32 0.30 0.30 2.69 2.37 2.45 2.45 0.85 0.75 0.74

0.28Afghanistan 5.000.020.000.000.420.28 0.28 0.28 1.43 1.43 1.50 1.50 0.40 0.40 0.42

1.86Others 0.720.030.000.004.201.90 1.91 1.91 2.17 2.19 2.20 2.20 4.02 4.17 4.20



Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

9.39World 0.350.081.160.2622.259.54 9.20 9.19 2.39 2.32 2.39 2.42 22.41 22.17 21.99

0.42United States -24.08-0.310.000.000.990.52 0.42 0.42 2.43 2.52 2.37 2.37 1.02 1.30 0.99

8.97Total Foreign 1.870.391.220.2621.269.02 8.78 8.78 2.38 2.31 2.39 2.42 21.39 20.87 21.00

none

2.51European Union 8.650.653.350.278.182.53 2.58 2.58 3.13 2.98 3.07 3.17 7.85 7.52 7.91


3.08 Russia -0.60-0.030.000.004.502.83 2.70 2.70 1.71 1.60 1.67 1.67 5.27 4.53 4.50

0.25 Ukraine 0.400.000.000.000.500.22 0.23 0.23 2.49 2.29 2.22 2.22 0.61 0.50 0.50

0.15 Belarus 0.000.000.000.000.400.14 0.14 0.14 3.46 2.86 2.86 2.86 0.52 0.40 0.40

0.19 Kazakhstan 12.700.030.000.000.280.20 0.20 0.20 1.18 1.20 1.38 1.38 0.23 0.24 0.28

0.93Canada -3.79-0.130.000.003.301.05 1.00 1.00 3.21 3.27 3.30 3.30 2.98 3.43 3.30

South America

0.25 Argentina -9.58-0.050.000.000.500.25 0.23 0.23 2.14 2.21 2.17 2.17 0.53 0.55 0.50

0.19 Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.350.19 0.19 0.19 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 0.35 0.35 0.35

0.09 Chile 1.060.010.000.000.480.09 0.10 0.10 4.68 5.53 5.00 5.00 0.42 0.47 0.48

0.01 Uruguay 2.780.00-19.57-0.010.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.64 1.38 1.48 1.48 0.02 0.04 0.05

Oceania

0.68 Australia -7.69-0.100.000.001.200.86 0.75 0.75 1.59 1.51 1.60 1.60 1.09 1.30 1.20

0.01 New Zealand -11.760.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 5.00 5.67 5.00 5.00 0.04 0.03 0.03

0.20China 0.000.000.000.000.600.20 0.20 0.20 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.60 0.60 0.60

Africa

0.09 Algeria 0.000.000.000.000.110.09 0.09 0.09 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.04 Morocco 16.070.010.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 0.88 1.19 1.44 1.44 0.04 0.06 0.07

0.03 South Africa 0.000.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.06 0.06 0.06

Other Europe

0.07 Norway 1.690.000.000.000.240.07 0.07 0.07 3.42 3.42 3.43 3.43 0.24 0.24 0.24

0.03 Serbia -1.520.000.000.000.070.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.20 2.17 2.17 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.01 Albania 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.01 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.70 2.73 2.73 2.73 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.05Mexico 3.450.000.000.000.090.05 0.05 0.05 1.75 1.81 1.80 1.80 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.01Others 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 1.86 1.79 1.79 1.79 0.03 0.03 0.03



Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

4.95World 6.140.750.780.1012.894.18 4.52 4.52 2.92 2.90 2.83 2.85 14.43 12.14 12.79

0.10United States -34.93-0.100.000.000.190.15 0.11 0.11 1.76 2.00 1.74 1.74 0.18 0.29 0.19

4.84Total Foreign 7.150.850.790.1012.704.04 4.41 4.41 2.94 2.94 2.86 2.88 14.25 11.85 12.60

none

2.11European Union 4.400.341.240.108.161.93 2.12 2.12 4.20 4.05 3.81 3.85 8.87 7.82 8.06


1.85 Russia 19.960.420.000.002.501.25 1.40 1.40 1.77 1.67 1.79 1.79 3.28 2.08 2.50

0.32 Belarus 0.000.000.000.000.800.33 0.33 0.33 2.71 2.46 2.46 2.46 0.87 0.80 0.80

0.19 Ukraine -11.17-0.040.000.000.350.15 0.14 0.14 2.57 2.59 2.50 2.50 0.48 0.39 0.35

0.04 Kazakhstan 35.140.010.000.000.050.04 0.04 0.04 1.42 0.97 1.25 1.25 0.06 0.04 0.05

0.12Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.61 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.30 0.35 0.35

0.09Canada 44.440.100.000.000.330.10 0.13 0.13 2.48 2.37 2.50 2.50 0.22 0.23 0.33

South America

0.00 Chile 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.05 Argentina 22.950.010.000.000.080.03 0.04 0.04 1.90 1.91 2.08 2.08 0.10 0.06 0.08

Other Europe

0.00 Bosnia and Herzegovina 12.500.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 2.25 2.67 3.00 3.00 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.04Australia 13.640.000.000.000.030.04 0.04 0.04 0.57 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.02 0.02 0.03

0.03Others 0.000.000.000.000.030.03 0.03 0.03 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.03 0.03 0.03



Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

42.85World 5.153.130.000.0063.9942.91 42.90 42.90 1.52 1.42 1.49 1.49 64.92 60.86 63.99

2.59United States -31.80-4.820.000.0010.343.18 2.53 2.53 4.24 4.77 4.08 4.08 10.99 15.16 10.34

40.26Total Foreign 17.407.950.000.0053.6539.74 40.37 40.37 1.34 1.15 1.33 1.33 53.93 45.70 53.65

none

Africa

5.50 Nigeria 5.690.350.000.006.505.30 5.30 5.30 1.22 1.16 1.23 1.23 6.70 6.15 6.50

1.80 Ethiopia 42.311.100.000.003.701.50 1.80 1.80 2.22 1.73 2.06 2.06 4.00 2.60 3.70

8.38 Sudan 130.323.110.000.005.508.00 8.00 8.00 0.75 0.30 0.69 0.69 6.28 2.39 5.50

1.55 Burkina 7.720.130.000.001.801.80 1.80 1.80 1.10 0.93 1.00 1.00 1.71 1.67 1.80

1.21 Mali 0.000.000.000.001.301.30 1.30 1.30 1.06 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.27 1.30 1.30

3.57 Niger 0.000.000.000.001.303.50 3.50 3.50 0.40 0.37 0.37 0.37 1.43 1.30 1.30

0.82 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.001.150.80 0.80 0.80 1.40 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.15 1.15 1.15

0.80 Tanzania -2.44-0.020.000.000.800.80 0.80 0.80 1.05 1.03 1.00 1.00 0.84 0.82 0.80

0.14 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.750.14 0.14 0.14 5.36 5.36 5.36 5.36 0.75 0.75 0.75

0.37 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.320.35 0.35 0.35 0.80 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.30 0.32 0.32

0.23 Ghana 20.970.050.000.000.300.25 0.25 0.25 1.14 0.99 1.20 1.20 0.26 0.25 0.30

0.30 Mozambique -6.98-0.020.000.000.200.30 0.30 0.30 0.76 0.72 0.67 0.67 0.23 0.22 0.20

0.07 South Africa 45.830.060.000.000.180.06 0.07 0.07 1.70 2.00 2.50 2.50 0.12 0.12 0.18

1.72Mexico 24.321.350.000.006.901.62 1.80 1.80 3.66 3.42 3.83 3.83 6.27 5.55 6.90

South America

0.77 Argentina 14.710.500.000.003.900.80 0.85 0.85 4.55 4.25 4.59 4.59 3.50 3.40 3.90

0.73 Brazil 8.110.150.000.002.000.67 0.72 0.72 2.83 2.76 2.78 2.78 2.06 1.85 2.00

South Asia

5.30 India 19.570.900.000.005.505.75 5.80 5.80 1.03 0.80 0.95 0.95 5.45 4.60 5.50

0.17 Pakistan -10.34-0.020.000.000.130.24 0.20 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.10 0.15 0.13

0.62China 6.670.200.000.003.200.62 0.65 0.65 4.66 4.84 4.92 4.92 2.89 3.00 3.20

0.65Australia 4.760.100.000.002.200.70 0.70 0.70 3.23 3.00 3.14 3.14 2.10 2.10 2.20

0.15European Union 0.780.010.000.000.780.14 0.14 0.14 6.01 5.53 5.70 5.70 0.88 0.77 0.78

5.43Others -0.040.000.000.005.255.10 5.10 5.10 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 5.65 5.25 5.25




Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

161.03World 2.099.830.000.01480.72158.46 160.62 161.12 4.43 4.43 4.46 4.45 478.73 470.89 480.71

1.19United States 20.111.230.000.007.341.04 1.23 1.23 8.49 8.37 8.54 8.54 7.11 6.11 7.34

159.84Total Foreign 1.858.600.000.01473.38157.41 159.40 159.90 4.40 4.40 4.43 4.42 471.62 464.78 473.38

none

East Asia

30.31 China 0.500.730.000.00146.5030.21 30.32 30.32 6.81 6.89 6.90 6.90 144.56 145.77 146.50

1.61 Japan 0.350.030.000.007.681.59 1.58 1.58 6.71 6.63 6.68 6.68 7.85 7.65 7.68

0.82 Korea, South -7.56-0.330.000.004.000.80 0.78 0.78 6.91 7.22 6.82 6.82 4.24 4.33 4.00

0.53 Korea, North 23.080.300.000.001.600.48 0.50 0.50 4.98 4.21 4.92 4.92 1.70 1.30 1.60

South Asia

44.11 India 1.451.500.000.00105.0043.46 43.50 44.00 3.59 3.57 3.62 3.58 105.48 103.50 105.00

11.79 Bangladesh 0.140.050.000.0034.5511.77 11.80 11.80 4.39 4.40 4.39 4.39 34.50 34.50 34.55

2.85 Pakistan 2.990.200.000.006.902.74 2.80 2.80 3.63 3.67 3.70 3.70 6.90 6.70 6.90

1.56 Nepal 0.000.000.000.003.101.50 1.50 1.50 2.98 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10

1.15 Sri Lanka 3.030.100.000.003.401.23 1.30 1.30 3.64 3.96 3.85 3.85 2.85 3.30 3.40

Southeast Asia

11.83 Indonesia 3.681.300.000.0036.6011.66 12.16 12.16 4.73 4.77 4.74 4.74 35.56 35.30 36.60

7.82 Vietnam 1.420.400.000.0028.507.68 7.75 7.75 5.76 5.85 5.88 5.88 28.17 28.10 28.50

10.27 Thailand 7.591.200.000.0017.009.44 9.55 9.55 2.77 2.53 2.70 2.70 18.75 15.80 17.00

7.03 Burma 2.460.300.000.0012.506.90 7.00 7.00 2.80 2.76 2.79 2.79 12.60 12.20 12.50

4.71 Philippines 5.730.650.000.0012.004.62 4.75 4.75 4.02 3.90 4.01 4.01 11.92 11.35 12.00

3.03 Cambodia 8.050.350.000.004.702.90 3.00 3.00 2.43 2.34 2.45 2.45 4.70 4.35 4.70

0.96 Laos 5.710.100.000.001.850.93 0.95 0.95 3.11 3.00 3.09 3.09 1.88 1.75 1.85

0.69 Malaysia 1.110.020.000.001.820.69 0.70 0.70 4.02 4.01 4.03 4.03 1.80 1.80 1.82

South America

2.30 Brazil 11.840.900.000.008.502.03 2.30 2.30 5.42 5.52 5.43 5.43 8.47 7.60 8.50

0.34 Peru 2.500.050.000.002.050.35 0.36 0.36 8.14 8.28 8.37 8.37 1.93 2.00 2.05

Africa

0.65 Egypt 0.000.000.000.004.000.65 0.65 0.65 10.10 8.92 8.92 8.92 4.53 4.00 4.00

1.50 Madagascar -0.59-0.010.000.002.371.45 1.45 1.45 2.65 2.57 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.38 2.37

2.70 Nigeria -0.33-0.010.000.002.702.50 2.50 2.50 1.67 1.72 1.71 1.71 2.84 2.71 2.70

0.43European Union -1.41-0.030.000.002.030.43 0.43 0.43 6.70 6.90 6.79 6.79 1.96 2.06 2.03

0.60Iran -2.36-0.040.000.001.740.63 0.61 0.61 4.33 4.32 4.32 4.32 1.72 1.78 1.74

10.28Others 3.930.840.040.0122.3010.81 11.16 11.16 3.11 3.02 3.03 3.03 21.09 21.46 22.29

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process. Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process.


Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

118.40World 3.3310.44-0.15-0.50323.70119.74 122.34 122.14 2.70 2.62 2.65 2.65 319.73 313.26 324.20

33.42United States -3.29-3.520.000.00103.4233.11 32.94 32.94 3.20 3.23 3.14 3.14 106.88 106.93 103.42

84.97Total Foreign 6.7613.96-0.23-0.50220.2886.63 89.40 89.20 2.50 2.38 2.47 2.47 212.85 206.32 220.78

none

South America

32.10 Brazil 6.196.000.000.00103.0033.10 34.20 34.20 3.03 2.93 3.01 3.01 97.20 97.00 103.00

19.34 Argentina 0.880.500.000.0057.0019.40 19.45 19.45 3.17 2.91 2.93 2.93 61.40 56.50 57.00

3.24 Paraguay 2.270.200.000.009.003.40 3.46 3.46 2.50 2.59 2.60 2.60 8.10 8.80 9.00

1.08 Bolivia 0.810.030.000.003.131.28 1.25 1.25 2.45 2.42 2.50 2.50 2.65 3.10 3.13

1.33 Uruguay 50.001.000.000.003.001.00 1.20 1.20 2.47 2.00 2.50 2.50 3.29 2.00 3.00

East Asia

6.80 China 5.170.600.000.0012.206.44 6.80 6.80 1.79 1.80 1.79 1.79 12.15 11.60 12.20

0.08 Korea, South 15.380.020.000.000.120.06 0.07 0.07 1.85 1.82 1.76 1.76 0.14 0.10 0.12

0.14 Korea, North -9.09-0.020.000.000.200.16 0.15 0.15 1.12 1.39 1.33 1.33 0.16 0.22 0.20

0.13 Japan -0.830.000.000.000.240.14 0.14 0.14 1.71 1.70 1.71 1.71 0.23 0.24 0.24

11.09India 58.544.320.000.0011.7011.40 12.00 12.00 0.79 0.65 0.98 0.98 8.71 7.38 11.70

2.24Canada -2.97-0.190.000.006.052.20 2.14 2.14 2.71 2.83 2.83 2.83 6.05 6.24 6.05


1.91 Russia 7.130.190.000.002.902.08 2.10 2.10 1.24 1.30 1.38 1.38 2.36 2.71 2.90

1.80 Ukraine 14.450.57-10.00-0.504.502.14 2.30 2.10 2.17 1.84 2.17 2.14 3.90 3.93 5.00

0.57European Union 9.090.200.000.002.400.80 0.90 0.90 3.21 2.75 2.67 2.67 1.83 2.20 2.40

Southeast Asia

0.43 Indonesia 0.000.000.000.000.600.45 0.45 0.45 1.47 1.33 1.33 1.33 0.63 0.60 0.60

0.10 Vietnam 2.480.000.000.000.170.11 0.12 0.12 1.46 1.46 1.43 1.43 0.15 0.16 0.17

0.04 Thailand -1.750.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 1.61 1.73 1.70 1.70 0.06 0.06 0.06

0.15 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.160.15 0.15 0.15 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 0.16 0.16 0.16

0.18Mexico 12.120.040.000.000.370.25 0.25 0.25 1.88 1.33 1.51 1.51 0.35 0.33 0.37

0.08Iran 0.000.000.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 0.19 0.20 0.20

Africa

0.69 South Africa 61.150.430.000.001.120.50 0.70 0.70 1.54 1.38 1.60 1.60 1.06 0.70 1.12

0.72 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.680.70 0.70 0.70 0.94 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.68 0.68 0.68

0.11 Zambia 0.000.000.000.000.210.11 0.11 0.11 1.88 1.88 1.88 1.88 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.16 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.190.16 0.16 0.16 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.19 0.19 0.19

Middle East

0.08 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 0.19 0.20 0.20

0.04 Turkey 22.220.020.000.000.110.03 0.03 0.03 3.86 3.60 3.67 3.67 0.14 0.09 0.11

0.36Others 7.300.050.000.000.790.38 0.38 0.38 1.91 1.95 2.07 2.07 0.68 0.74 0.79



Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

33.02World 5.942.17-1.17-0.4638.6029.69 29.48 29.24 1.34 1.23 1.32 1.32 44.32 36.44 39.06

3.78United States 23.040.850.000.004.513.27 3.65 3.65 1.23 1.12 1.24 1.24 4.65 3.67 4.51

29.23Total Foreign 4.031.32-1.32-0.4634.0926.42 25.84 25.60 1.36 1.24 1.34 1.33 39.67 32.77 34.55

none

South Asia

12.70 India 4.300.490.000.0011.8911.80 11.33 11.33 0.98 0.97 1.05 1.05 12.50 11.40 11.89

2.95 Pakistan 30.000.900.000.003.902.80 2.70 2.70 1.56 1.07 1.44 1.44 4.60 3.00 3.90

4.40China -4.44-0.39-4.44-0.398.433.10 3.10 2.90 2.67 2.85 2.85 2.91 11.76 8.82 8.82


1.29 Uzbekistan 2.690.040.000.001.491.29 1.26 1.26 1.19 1.13 1.19 1.19 1.53 1.45 1.49

0.55 Turkmenistan 11.790.063.640.020.570.50 0.52 0.53 1.10 1.02 1.07 1.08 0.60 0.51 0.55

0.18 Tajikistan 3.050.000.000.000.140.15 0.15 0.15 0.90 0.87 0.90 0.90 0.16 0.13 0.14

0.13 Kazakhstan -1.270.000.000.000.080.10 0.10 0.10 0.73 0.80 0.78 0.78 0.09 0.08 0.08

South America

1.02 Brazil 1.360.030.000.002.230.97 0.93 0.93 2.31 2.28 2.41 2.41 2.36 2.20 2.23

0.48 Argentina -3.93-0.010.000.000.340.45 0.45 0.45 0.81 0.80 0.76 0.76 0.39 0.36 0.34

Middle East

0.43 Turkey 10.340.090.000.000.960.37 0.42 0.42 2.44 2.35 2.29 2.29 1.05 0.87 0.96

0.06 Syria -11.11-0.010.000.000.080.05 0.05 0.05 1.62 1.80 1.78 1.78 0.10 0.09 0.08

0.11 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.10 0.10 0.10

0.21Australia 1.980.010.000.000.720.31 0.32 0.32 3.24 2.25 2.29 2.29 0.66 0.71 0.72

0.36European Union 13.970.060.000.000.470.31 0.30 0.30 1.47 1.32 1.53 1.53 0.52 0.41 0.47

Africa

0.66 Burkina 4.400.010.000.000.330.66 0.65 0.65 0.57 0.48 0.51 0.51 0.37 0.32 0.33

0.54 Mali 1.070.000.000.000.280.55 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.29 0.28 0.28

0.23 Cameroon -2.72-0.010.000.000.250.22 0.21 0.21 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.19 0.27 0.26 0.25

0.42 Cote d'Ivoire 24.840.040.000.000.200.40 0.40 0.40 0.55 0.40 0.50 0.50 0.23 0.16 0.20

0.35 Benin 15.760.03-6.83-0.010.190.32 0.30 0.32 0.68 0.52 0.68 0.60 0.24 0.17 0.21

0.40 Tanzania 18.640.020.000.000.140.40 0.40 0.40 0.34 0.30 0.35 0.35 0.14 0.12 0.14

0.16 Egypt -50.00-0.05-59.17-0.070.050.10 0.12 0.05 1.02 0.98 1.00 0.98 0.16 0.10 0.12

0.22 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.110.24 0.24 0.24 0.40 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.09 0.11 0.11

0.06 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.070.06 0.06 0.06 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.18 Zimbabwe 28.300.020.000.000.070.16 0.16 0.16 0.35 0.33 0.43 0.43 0.06 0.05 0.07

0.09 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 1.20 1.34 1.34 1.34 0.11 0.07 0.07

0.18Mexico -4.22-0.010.000.000.300.13 0.12 0.12 2.55 2.37 2.44 2.44 0.46 0.31 0.30

0.30Burma 1.720.010.000.000.300.24 0.24 0.24 1.24 1.21 1.23 1.23 0.37 0.29 0.30

0.62Others -0.560.000.000.000.350.60 0.62 0.62 0.65 0.59 0.57 0.57 0.40 0.36 0.35



Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

24.06World -0.04-0.020.000.0040.2024.39 23.95 23.95 1.66 1.65 1.68 1.68 39.85 40.22 40.20

0.54United States -7.35-0.210.000.002.610.63 0.58 0.58 4.40 4.44 4.48 4.48 2.35 2.82 2.61

23.52Total Foreign 0.510.190.000.0037.5923.76 23.37 23.37 1.59 1.57 1.61 1.61 37.49 37.40 37.59

none

4.60China 2.420.400.000.0016.904.60 4.70 4.70 3.58 3.59 3.60 3.60 16.48 16.50 16.90

Africa

2.77 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.003.002.50 2.50 2.50 1.23 1.20 1.20 1.20 3.41 3.00 3.00

1.25 Sudan -25.17-0.470.000.001.402.18 1.80 1.80 0.77 0.86 0.78 0.78 0.96 1.87 1.40

0.88 Senegal 1.380.010.000.000.740.77 0.80 0.80 0.76 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.67 0.73 0.74

0.47 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.550.40 0.40 0.40 1.36 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.64 0.55 0.55

0.33 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.40 0.40 0.40 1.28 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.43 0.44 0.44

0.50 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.400.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.40 0.40 0.40

0.37 Malawi 0.000.000.000.000.380.37 0.37 0.37 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.38 0.38 0.38

0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37

0.78 Niger 0.000.000.000.000.350.74 0.74 0.74 0.52 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.40 0.35 0.35

0.38 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.330.38 0.38 0.38 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.33 0.33 0.33

0.42 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.300.43 0.43 0.43 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.38 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.350.45 0.45 0.45 0.89 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.34 0.35 0.35

0.21 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.26 0.26 0.26

0.06 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.210.06 0.06 0.06 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.10 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.150.10 0.10 0.10 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.06 South Africa 88.890.040.000.000.090.02 0.05 0.05 1.29 1.96 1.70 1.70 0.08 0.05 0.09

0.42 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.14 0.11 0.11

0.08 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.090.08 0.08 0.08 1.51 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.12 0.09 0.09

0.16 Benin -3.45-0.010.000.000.140.16 0.15 0.15 0.92 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.15 0.15 0.14

South Asia

4.74 India 2.910.130.000.004.604.56 4.40 4.40 1.02 0.98 1.05 1.05 4.86 4.47 4.60

0.10 Pakistan -10.53-0.010.000.000.090.11 0.09 0.09 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.94 0.09 0.10 0.09

Southeast Asia

0.63 Indonesia -0.44-0.010.000.001.130.62 0.61 0.61 1.83 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.15 1.13 1.13

0.89 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.380.89 0.89 0.89 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.38 1.38 1.38

0.20 Vietnam 2.730.010.000.000.490.21 0.22 0.22 2.26 2.27 2.28 2.28 0.45 0.48 0.49

0.03 Thailand 2.560.000.000.000.040.02 0.02 0.02 1.64 1.63 1.67 1.67 0.05 0.04 0.04

South America

0.34 Argentina 13.570.140.000.001.160.31 0.35 0.35 3.48 3.24 3.30 3.30 1.19 1.02 1.16

0.11 Brazil -17.50-0.070.000.000.330.12 0.11 0.11 3.15 3.33 3.00 3.00 0.35 0.40 0.33

0.06Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.110.07 0.07 0.07 1.62 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.10 0.11 0.11

1.74Others 1.150.020.000.001.751.75 1.75 1.75 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.70 1.73 1.75



Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

23.29World 7.673.012.431.0042.1923.06 23.56 24.06 1.70 1.70 1.75 1.75 39.59 39.19 41.19

0.61United States -16.14-0.210.000.001.110.73 0.65 0.65 1.65 1.82 1.71 1.71 1.01 1.33 1.11

22.68Total Foreign 8.513.222.501.0041.0822.34 22.91 23.41 1.70 1.69 1.75 1.75 38.58 37.86 40.08

none


6.37 Russia 3.560.330.000.009.506.45 6.80 6.80 1.31 1.42 1.40 1.40 8.37 9.17 9.50

5.30 Ukraine 15.171.718.331.0013.005.25 5.50 6.00 1.92 2.15 2.18 2.17 10.20 11.29 12.00

0.77 Kazakhstan -6.37-0.030.000.000.500.70 0.70 0.70 0.67 0.76 0.71 0.71 0.51 0.53 0.50

4.29European Union 11.260.850.000.008.404.18 4.25 4.25 2.10 1.81 1.98 1.98 9.00 7.55 8.40

South America

1.44 Argentina 12.000.300.000.002.801.25 1.40 1.40 2.19 2.00 2.00 2.00 3.16 2.50 2.80

0.03 Uruguay 15.790.010.000.000.070.04 0.04 0.04 1.47 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.04 0.06 0.07

0.20 Bolivia 5.800.020.000.000.370.22 0.23 0.23 1.50 1.60 1.62 1.62 0.30 0.35 0.37

0.12 Brazil 100.000.060.000.000.120.04 0.08 0.08 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.18 0.06 0.12

0.06 Paraguay -12.28-0.010.000.000.100.07 0.06 0.06 1.69 1.75 1.69 1.69 0.11 0.11 0.10

0.95China 0.400.010.000.002.510.93 0.94 0.94 2.63 2.69 2.67 2.67 2.49 2.50 2.51

South Asia

0.58 India 9.380.030.000.000.350.55 0.40 0.40 0.66 0.58 0.88 0.88 0.38 0.32 0.35

0.16 Pakistan -5.26-0.010.000.000.180.15 0.14 0.14 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.29 0.20 0.19 0.18

Middle East

0.53 Turkey 0.000.000.000.001.000.51 0.50 0.50 2.26 1.98 2.00 2.00 1.20 1.00 1.00

0.07 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.090.07 0.07 0.07 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.01 Israel 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.02 0.02 0.02

Africa

0.01 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.43 2.43 2.43 2.43 0.02 0.02 0.02

0.02 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.58 South Africa -2.74-0.020.000.000.710.72 0.59 0.59 1.15 1.02 1.20 1.20 0.66 0.73 0.71

0.59Burma 0.000.000.000.000.390.60 0.60 0.60 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.38 0.39 0.39

0.03Canada -17.81-0.010.000.000.060.04 0.03 0.03 1.90 1.92 1.88 1.88 0.06 0.07 0.06

0.04Australia -2.220.000.000.000.040.04 0.03 0.03 1.94 1.29 1.38 1.38 0.07 0.05 0.04

0.54Others -0.71-0.010.000.000.830.52 0.51 0.51 2.07 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.11 0.84 0.83



Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Jun 2014/15 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

35.46World -3.05-2.080.000.0066.1533.63 33.65 33.65 2.01 2.03 1.97 1.97 71.38 68.23 66.15

0.63United States -3.22-0.040.000.001.260.69 0.68 0.68 1.81 1.88 1.85 1.85 1.14 1.31 1.26

34.83Total Foreign -3.05-2.040.000.0064.8932.93 32.96 32.96 2.02 2.03 1.97 1.97 70.24 66.92 64.89

none

6.75European Union -1.13-0.250.000.0021.806.50 6.40 6.40 3.64 3.39 3.41 3.41 24.59 22.05 21.80

8.34Canada -9.88-1.700.000.0015.508.10 7.75 7.75 1.97 2.12 2.00 2.00 16.41 17.20 15.50

7.59China -6.99-1.000.000.0013.307.30 7.00 7.00 1.95 1.96 1.90 1.90 14.77 14.30 13.30

South Asia

5.80 India 15.650.920.000.006.805.81 6.50 6.50 0.88 1.01 1.05 1.05 5.08 5.88 6.80

0.25 Pakistan 25.000.040.000.000.200.20 0.23 0.23 0.88 0.80 0.87 0.87 0.22 0.16 0.20

0.25 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.25 0.25 0.25 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.23 0.23 0.23


1.06 Russia 9.890.100.000.001.100.90 0.95 0.95 1.25 1.12 1.16 1.16 1.32 1.00 1.10

0.88 Ukraine -25.46-0.440.000.001.300.68 0.50 0.50 2.50 2.58 2.60 2.60 2.20 1.74 1.30

0.40 Belarus 0.000.000.000.000.300.17 0.17 0.17 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 0.73 0.30 0.30

0.24 Kazakhstan 8.700.010.000.000.150.22 0.22 0.22 0.99 0.62 0.68 0.68 0.24 0.14 0.15

2.82Australia 10.000.300.000.003.302.40 2.60 2.60 1.22 1.25 1.27 1.27 3.45 3.00 3.30

South America

0.05 Chile 13.300.030.000.000.210.05 0.05 0.05 4.10 4.00 4.10 4.10 0.20 0.19 0.21

0.03 Paraguay 13.040.010.000.000.050.04 0.04 0.04 1.28 1.31 1.30 1.30 0.04 0.05 0.05

0.02Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.070.02 0.02 0.02 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.05Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.000.080.05 0.05 0.05 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.08 0.08 0.08

0.29Others -8.74-0.050.000.000.490.26 0.23 0.23 2.11 2.10 2.10 2.10 0.61 0.54 0.49



Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Country / Region

Production


2014/15

Prel.

2015/16

2016/17 Proj.

May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent



Oilseed, Copra

0.00 0.00 0.20 9.52 Philippines 2.23 2.302.302.10

0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.63 Indonesia 1.60 1.581.581.59

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.71 0.720.720.72

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.78 Vietnam 0.36 0.370.370.37

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.21 0.210.210.21

0.00 0.00 0.01 11.11 Papua New Guinea 0.10 0.100.100.09

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solomon Islands 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.20 3.69 World 5.55 5.625.625.42

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

0.00 0.00 0.50 5.75 Indonesia 8.70 9.209.208.70

0.00 0.00 0.50 10.42 Malaysia 5.05 5.305.304.80

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.73 0.730.730.73

0.00 0.00 0.06 9.84 Thailand 0.63 0.670.670.61

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colombia 0.24 0.270.270.26

0.00 0.00 -0.02 -13.33 Papua New Guinea 0.15 0.130.130.15

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Honduras 0.11 0.120.120.12

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.11 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ghana 0.11 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 10.00 Ecuador 0.10 0.110.110.10

0.00 0.00 1.06 6.49 World 16.57 17.4017.4016.34

Oil, Palm

0.00 0.00 2.00 6.06 Indonesia 33.00 35.0035.0033.00

0.00 0.00 2.25 12.00 Malaysia 19.88 21.0021.0018.75

0.00 0.00 0.20 9.52 Thailand 2.07 2.302.302.10

0.00 0.00 0.01 0.85 Colombia 1.11 1.181.181.17

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.97 0.970.970.97

0.00 0.00 -0.06 -10.34 Papua New Guinea 0.52 0.520.520.58

0.00 0.00 0.05 9.80 Ecuador 0.49 0.560.560.51

0.00 0.00 0.02 4.00 Ghana 0.50 0.520.520.50

0.00 0.00 0.06 12.24 Honduras 0.47 0.550.550.49

0.00 0.00 0.05 10.64 Guatemala 0.45 0.520.520.47

0.00 0.00 4.59 7.55 World 61.64 65.3965.3960.80



Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production


MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Jun 2014/15 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)


2014/15

Prel.

2015/16 May May

Prel.

2015/16 Jun

Prel.


2016/17 Proj.2016/17 Proj. 2016/17 Proj.

2014/15

33.99World 5.115.02-1.14-1.19103.1730.59 30.68 30.42 763 699 741 738 119.07 98.15 104.36

3.78United States 14.841.910.000.0014.803.27 3.56 3.56 939 859 905 905 16.32 12.89 14.80

30.21Total Foreign 3.643.11-1.33-1.1988.3727.32 27.12 26.86 741 679 719 716 102.75 85.26 89.56

none

South Asia

12.70 India 4.481.200.000.0028.0011.90 11.80 11.80 506 490 517 517 29.50 26.80 28.00

2.95 Pakistan 28.572.000.000.009.002.80 2.70 2.70 782 544 726 726 10.60 7.00 9.00

4.40China -4.44-1.00-4.44-1.0021.503.10 3.10 2.90 1,484 1,580 1,580 1,614 30.00 22.50 22.50

South America

1.02 Brazil -1.54-0.100.000.006.400.97 0.93 0.93 1,494 1,467 1,506 1,506 7.00 6.50 6.40

0.48 Argentina 2.500.030.000.001.030.45 0.45 0.45 499 489 496 496 1.10 1.00 1.03

0.02 Paraguay 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 348 348 348 348 0.03 0.03 0.03

Africa

0.66 Burkina 4.350.050.000.001.200.66 0.65 0.65 445 379 402 402 1.35 1.15 1.20

0.54 Mali 1.010.010.000.001.000.55 0.55 0.55 419 396 396 396 1.04 0.99 1.00

0.42 Cote d'Ivoire 25.000.150.000.000.750.40 0.40 0.40 449 327 408 408 0.86 0.60 0.75

0.35 Benin 24.000.120.000.000.620.32 0.30 0.30 451 340 450 450 0.73 0.50 0.62

0.16 Egypt -50.00-0.16-60.00-0.240.160.10 0.12 0.05 728 697 726 697 0.53 0.32 0.40

0.23 Cameroon -2.91-0.020.000.000.500.22 0.21 0.21 502 510 518 518 0.53 0.52 0.50

0.40 Tanzania 18.520.050.000.000.320.40 0.40 0.40 169 147 174 174 0.31 0.27 0.32

0.22 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.250.24 0.24 0.24 203 227 227 227 0.20 0.25 0.25

0.18 Zimbabwe 28.570.040.000.000.180.16 0.16 0.16 224 191 245 245 0.19 0.14 0.18

0.10 Ethiopia 14.290.030.000.000.200.07 0.08 0.08 409 586 544 544 0.18 0.18 0.20


1.29 Uzbekistan 2.700.100.000.003.801.29 1.26 1.26 661 627 659 659 3.90 3.70 3.80

0.55 Turkmenistan 3.570.053.570.051.450.50 0.52 0.53 609 610 592 601 1.53 1.40 1.40

0.18 Tajikistan 2.990.010.000.000.350.15 0.15 0.15 498 486 501 501 0.40 0.34 0.35

0.13 Kazakhstan 0.000.000.000.000.200.10 0.10 0.10 408 440 435 435 0.24 0.20 0.20

Middle East

0.43 Turkey 13.210.350.000.003.000.37 0.43 0.43 1,620 1,559 1,537 1,537 3.20 2.65 3.00

0.06 Syria -27.27-0.080.000.000.200.05 0.04 0.04 1,089 1,197 1,089 1,089 0.30 0.28 0.20

0.11 Iran 9.090.030.000.000.300.10 0.10 0.10 594 599 653 653 0.30 0.28 0.30

0.21Australia 4.000.100.000.002.600.32 0.30 0.30 2,443 1,728 1,887 1,887 2.30 2.50 2.60

0.18Mexico -4.19-0.040.000.000.870.13 0.12 0.12 1,578 1,521 1,565 1,565 1.32 0.91 0.87

0.30Burma 1.390.010.000.000.730.24 0.24 0.24 652 656 662 662 0.90 0.72 0.73

1.98Others 5.040.180.000.003.731.75 1.77 1.77 467 443 459 459 4.24 3.55 3.73



TABLE 18 The table below presents a record of the differences between the June projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.3 percent. The average difference between the June projection and the final estimate is 16.2 million tons, ranging from 0.4 million to 32.2 million tons. The June projection has been below the estimate 22 times and above 13 times.

RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/

COMMODITY AND REGION

Root mean square error

90 percent confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Average Smallest Largest

Years Below final

Above final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT

World 3.1 5.3 16.2 0.4 32.2 22 13

U.S. 5.8 9.8 2.7 0.0 8.4 20 15

Foreign 3.3 5.6 15.1 1.1 31.9 21 13

COARSE GRAINS 2/

World 3.7 6.3 26.1 0.6 103.3 18 17

U.S. 14.3 24.3 20.6 1.0 103.8 17 18

Foreign 2.8 4.7 14.0 0.4 41.6 17 17

RICE (Milled)

World 2.5 4.2 7.3 0.3 21.8 22 13

U.S. 7.1 12.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 20 15

Foreign 2.5 4.3 7.2 0.4 21.9 21 13

SOYBEANS

World NA NA 10.9 1.5 27.9 4 8

U.S. 9.0 15.3 4.4 0.0 12.0 17 18

Foreign NA NA 9.3 1.2 23.9 5 6

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 6.2 10.6 4.2 0.0 16.4 20 14

U.S. 10.4 17.6 1.5 0.1 5.7 17 18

Foreign 6.4 10.8 3.4 0.2 12.4 20 14

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 17.0 28.8 811 8 4010 17 18

SORGHUM 20.8 35.3 90 0 228 15 19

BARLEY 14.7 24.9 29 1 206 13 22

OATS 24.3 41.2 32 1 231 8 27

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2015/16. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first June estimates following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2014/15, and for 2015/16 last month’s estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain

June 2016 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA


United States World Agricultural Service Production...Jun 10, 2016 · Egyptian cotton industry...

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