United States Department of Agriculture National …Seed *97 *97 NC Measured Disappearance *3,937...
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12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service Small Grains Summary Grain Stocks Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch September 30, 2016
Transcript of United States Department of Agriculture National …Seed *97 *97 NC Measured Disappearance *3,937...
12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
Small Grains Summary
Grain StocksExecutive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
September 30, 2016
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Field Crops Grain Stocks Oilseed Stocks
Wheat Corn Soybeans
Barley Wheat Sunflower
Oats Barley Safflower
Rye Oats
Sorghum
Contents
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
September Ag Survey Off-Farm Grain Stocks Survey
Survey Type Farmer Reported Off-Farm Grain Stock Facilities
Collection
Method
Mail, Phone, Internet,
Personal Interview
Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal
Interview
Crops Included Barley, Oats, Rye, Wheat
Barley, Corn, Mustard Seed,
Oats, Soybean, Safflower,
Sorghum, Sunflower, Wheat
States All Except Hawaii All States Except AK, HI, and NV
Sample Size 66,384 8,638
Collection Period August 24 – September 19 August 24 – September 19
Survey Overview
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Wheat, Winter
Planted Mil Ac 36.1 -1.1 -8.9
Harvested Mil Ac 30.2 +0.2 -6.6
Yield Bu/Ac 55.3 +0.7 +30.1
Production Bil Bu 1.67 +0.9 +21.6
36.1
30.2
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
55.3
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Bushels per AcreWinter Wheat Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
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USDA-NASS
9-30-16
USDA-NASS
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Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Wheat, Spring
Planted Mil Ac 11.6 -4.4 -13.2
Harvested Mil Ac 11.3 -4.5 -13.5
Yield Bu/Ac 47.2 -2.3 +2.2
Production Mil Bu 534 -6.5 -11.5
11.6
11.3
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresOther Spring Wheat Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
47.2
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Bushels per Acre
Other Spring Wheat YieldUnited States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
USDA-NASS
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Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Wheat, Durum
Planted Mil Ac 2.41 +12.4 +23.6
Harvested Mil Ac 2.37 +13.6 +23.8
Yield Bu/Ac 44.0 -0.2 NC
Production Mil Bu 104 +13.5 +23.9
2.41
2.37
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million AcresDurum Wheat Acres
United States
Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS
9-30-16
44.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Bushels per AcreDurum Wheat Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
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USDA-NASS
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Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Wheat, All
Planted Mil Ac 50.2 -1.3 -8.8
Harvested Mil Ac 43.9 -0.5 -7.2
Yield Bu/Ac 52.6 NC +20.6
Production Bil Bu 2.31 -0.5 +12.0
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Barley
Planted Mil Ac 3.05 +2.9 -15.8
Harvested Mil Ac 2.56 -0.8 -19.0
Yield Bu/Ac 77.9 +5.8 +12.7
Production Mil Bu 199 +5.1 -8.7
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Oats
Planted Mil Ac 2.83 -6.6 -8.4
Harvested Mil Ac 0.981 -15.8 -23.1
Yield Bu/Ac 66.0 NC -6.0
Production Mil Bu 64.8 -15.7 -27.7
Stocks Mil Bu 78.7 NA -16.1
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Small Grains Annual Summary
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Season
Rye
Planted Mil Ac 1.89 +7.4 +19.4
Harvested Mil Ac 0.414 -6.5 +13.4
Yield Bu/Ac 32.5 NA +2.2
Production Mil Bu 13.5 NA +15.8
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Crop 2014 2015 2016
Percent
Other Spring Wheat 49.7 4.8 8.4
Durum Wheat 70.0 9.2 17.0
Barley 23.6 3.0 5.7
Oats 26.7 8.6 7.7
Percent of Acres Left to be HarvestedUnited States
2.97
2.51
2.82
2.97
2.86 2.88
2.74
2.64
2.80
3.28
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17
Billion BushelsAll Wheat Stocks
United States
Supply Sep Dec Mar JunUSDA-NASS
9-30-16
15.0
13.3
14.7
14.1 14.0
11.9
14.815.0
14.8
15.3
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Billion BushelsCorn Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
3.13
3.54 3.573.47
3.25 3.26
3.53
4.07 4.024.12
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Billion BushelsSoybean Stocks
United States
Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep
USDA-NASS
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USDA-NASS
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Previous
Estimates
Sept 30
EstimatesChange
Million Bushels
Sept 1, 2015 Beginning Stocks 191 191 NC
2015 Production 3,929 3,926 -3
Imports *25 *25 NC
Total Supply 4,145 4,142 -3
Crushings *1,900 *1,900 NC
Exports *1,940 *1,940 NC
Seed *97 *97 NC
Measured Disappearance *3,937 *3,937 NC
Ending Stocks *195 197 +2
Residual *12 8 -4
2015 Soybean Crop
*WAOB Forecast – September WASDE Report
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
September 1, 2016 Grain Stocks
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Year
Stocks
Barley Mil Bu 230 NA +5.0
Oats Mil Bu 78.7 NA -16.1
Sorghum Mil Bu 36.6 NA +99.0
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
September 1, 2016 Oilseed Stocks
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit September Previous Previous
2016 Estimate Year
Stocks
All Sunflower Mil Lbs 414 NA +74.4
Safflower Mil Lbs 15.1 NA -12.2
USDA-NASS
9-30-16
Release Date Report Title
October 1
CAIR: Cotton
CAIR: Grain Crushings
CAIR: Fats & Oils
October 12Crop Production
Cotton Ginnings
October 18 Data Users Meeting
October 21 Cattle on Feed
October 24 Cotton Ginnings
October 28 Rice Stocks
October 31 Ag Prices
Upcoming Reports
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National Agricultural Statistics Service
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