United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2019-06-11 · 12:00 P.M....

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12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service June Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch June 11, 2019

Transcript of United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2019-06-11 · 12:00 P.M....

Page 1: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2019-06-11 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service June

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United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June Crop ProductionExecutive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

June 11, 2019

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Contents

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Winter Wheat Citrus Maple Syrup

Prunes

Sweet Cherries

Tart Cherries

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Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Winter and Durum Wheat Winter Wheat

States 26 10

Sample Size 3,430 825

Collection Period May 30 - June 6 May 25 - June 1

Survey Overview

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25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

PercentU.S. Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019USDA-NASS

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019USDA-NASS

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U.S. Winter Wheat ProgressPercent HeadedPercent

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June 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season

Wheat, Winter

Harvested Mil Ac 25.2 NC +1.9

Yield Bu/Ac 50.5 +0.4 +5.4

Production Bil Bu 1.27 +0.5 +7.6

Production by Class

Hard Red Mil Bu 794 +1.8 +20.0

Soft Red Mil Bu 258 -2.4 -9.5

White Mil Bu 222 -0.8 -6.1

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50.5

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per AcreWinter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

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2004

20052006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015

2016

2017

2018

Jun - 19

0.530

0.540

0.550

0.560

0.570

0.580

0.590

0.600

0.610

0.620

0.630

0.640

0.650

0.660

0.670

0.680

0.690

0.700

38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield RegionHeads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006) USDA-NASS

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LowOf Expectations

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Winter Wheat ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation

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June 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 5.25 -0.8 +33.8

Grapefruit Thou Tons 604 -0.5 +16.8

Tangerines

& MandarinsThou Tons 927 -0.1 +15.3

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June 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit June Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season

Production

Maple Syrup Mil Gal 4.24 NA +1.0

Prunes, dried Thou Tons 110 NA +37.5

Sweet Cherries Thou Tons 362 NA +13.2

Tart Cherries Mil Lbs 290 NA -17.7

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Release Date Report Title

June 13 Potato Stocks

June 18 Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts – Ann.

June 21 Cattle on Feed

June 27Agricultural Prices

Hogs and Pigs

June 28

Acreage

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

July 1 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

July 11 Crop Production

Upcoming Reports

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United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov

For Questions202-720-2127

800-727-9540

[email protected]