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Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

EU Wheat Exports Boost Demand for Corn

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 03-13 March 2013

EU corn imports are up sharply in 2012/13 as exports of wheat reduce domestic grain supplies. EU wheat exports are up nearly 20 percent, despite lower production. Ending stocks are also the tightest since Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) reform which effectively eliminated government (intervention) stocks. The vacuum created by the absence of exportable supplies from Russia and Ukraine is pulling wheat out of the European Union to fill demand in North Africa and the Middle East. Although French and German exports are expanding, eastern European countries, such as Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, and Romania are benefitting the most from the reduced competition. Meanwhile, a tight EU domestic feed-quality wheat situation and a nearly 20 percent drop in corn production has stimulated a surge in corn imports. Import licenses have more than doubled year-over-year with demand for corn coming mostly from southern European countries. This year, Ukraine has abundant corn supplies and limited feed-quality wheat resulting in a nearly tripling of corn exports to the EU (Oct-Dec). Brazil has also become a significant supplier.

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2011/12 2012/13

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Wheat Exports Corn Imports

Grain: World Markets and Trade, March 2013

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 34 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 53 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 12:30 p.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

March 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/11

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.1 54.4 61.8 7.6 5.9 6.4 316.2 313.9 273.8

Other 592.1 642.6 593.7 441.5 460.3 461.7 516.3 568.8 580.2

World Total 652.2 697.0 655.5 449.1 466.2 468.1 832.5 882.7 854.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 623.4 657.4 643.4 439.2 452.8 462.9 566.2 582.6 610.2

World Total 654.1 689.6 681.5 443.6 456.2 466.9 851.2 861.6 875.3

Ending Stocks


Other 174.4 176.3 158.7 97.2 104.2 102.4 99.4 106.0 101.4

World Total 197.9 196.5 178.2 98.7 105.5 103.3 128.1 131.2 117.5

TY Imports


Other 128.0 147.6 135.6 33.2 35.8 33.7 90.3 99.5 92.2

World Total 130.6 150.6 139.1 33.8 36.4 34.4 91.0 100.3 95.2

TY Exports


Other 97.7 125.2 113.3 33.0 35.7 33.9 46.6 65.0 74.0

World Total 133.7 153.3 141.8 36.2 39.1 37.4 91.9 103.5 96.5

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

March 2013

Grain: World Markets and Trade, March 2013 4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global wheat production for 2012/13 is raised nearly 2.0 million tons on adjustments to the EU and Indian crops. Global imports are raised due to revisions to Algeria, South Korea and Iran, which are partially offset by a cut in Egypt. Exports are up for Brazil, the EU, and Ukraine but down for the United States. The season-average U.S. farm price is lowered, but remains a record. PRICES

Domestic: Wheat prices for all classes dropped in February. Hard Red Winter (HRW) slumped $22 to $322/ton although drought conditions persist in some growing areas. Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices fell $19 to $293/ton, dropping below corn. Hard Red Spring (HRS) shed $11 to $353/ton and Soft White Winter (SWW) dropped $11 to $323/ton as supplies tighten.

200

250

300

350

400

450

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW HRS SWW

March 2013

Grain: World Markets and Trade, March 2013 5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters • Brazil is boosted 500,000 tons to 1.7 million on the shipment pace to date and as demand

for feed-quality wheat strengthens from Israel, Spain, South Korea, and several other countries.

• EU is up 1.0 million tons to 19.5 million on strong licenses and sales.

• Ukraine is raised 300,000 tons to 6.5 million based on continued shipments. • United States is cut 500,000 tons to 28.5 million on smaller-than-expected shipments and

slow sales.

Selected Importers • Algeria is raised 300,000 tons to 5.5 million due to recent purchases of French soft wheat

and Canadian durum.

• Egypt is cut 1.0 million tons to 8.5 million as a result of tightening foreign exchange reserves and the government’s intent to procure more domestic supplies.

• Iran is up 1.0 million tons to 4.0 million due to the strong pace of deliveries, particularly from the EU.

• South Korea is boosted 500,000 tons to 5.5 million as large purchases of Indian feed-

quality wheat continue.

• Yemen is raised 300,000 tons to 2.9 million due to a strong delivery pace.

March 2013

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

7,5007,50011,9497,7425,2558,651 Argentina

19,00019,00023,04118,47713,76413,450 Australia

1,7001,2001,8602,5391,195369 Brazil

18,50018,50017,60316,76818,99218,674 Canada

19,50018,50016,56922,90622,11525,351 EU-27

8,5008,5001,699746221 India

6,5006,50011,0695,5197,8715,701 Kazakhstan

10,50010,50021,6273,98318,55618,393 Russia

3,3003,3003,6802,9454,3632,342 Turkey

6,5006,2005,4364,3029,33713,037 Ukraine

11,79011,49010,71512,4219,88110,457 Others

113,290111,190125,24897,676111,391116,446 Subtotal

28,50029,00028,07135,97724,17227,101 United States

141,790140,190153,319133,653135,563143,547 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,2002,0002,5003,800 Afghanistan

5,5005,2006,3506,4365,1676,356 Algeria

3,0003,0002,0163,9513,3532,882 Bangladesh

7,5007,5007,0526,7466,6946,767 Brazil

3,2003,0002,9339271,394481 China

8,5009,50011,65010,60010,5009,900 Egypt

6,0006,0007,3704,7275,5197,737 EU-27

6,6006,6006,4576,6075,3645,419 Indonesia

4,0003,0002,7002003,6509,500 Iran

3,7003,7003,7853,6323,8993,879 Iraq

1,6001,6002,0291,3921,8622,063 Israel

6,1005,9006,3545,8695,5025,156 Japan

5,5005,0005,1884,7614,4703,371 Korea, South

4,2004,2005,0203,4623,1963,342 Mexico

4,0004,0003,6253,9032,3043,759 Morocco

3,7003,7003,8724,0514,0203,550 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,5851,7571,7031,385 Peru

3,2003,2004,0203,2713,1883,201 Philippines

1,5001,50055089164203 Russia

2,0002,0002,9031,7421,9091,275 Saudi Arabia

1,8001,8002,5781,9191,6001,128 Thailand

3,5003,5004,4143,5173,2183,578 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6861,4691,5971,501 Venezuela

2,4002,4002,7112,4601,9271,016 Vietnam

2,9002,6002,6372,8452,6022,796 Yemen

39,89039,61545,88139,69342,19343,217 Others

135,590133,815147,566128,026129,495137,262 Subtotal

2,7002,8752,7533,0562,8822,886 Unaccounted

3,5003,5003,0002,5713,1863,399 United States

141,790140,190153,319133,653135,563143,547 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

March 2013

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

11,00011,00015,50017,20012,00011,000 Argentina

22,00022,00029,92327,41021,83421,420 Australia

4,3004,3005,8005,9005,0265,880 Brazil

27,20027,20025,28823,30026,95028,619 Canada

120,600120,600117,400115,180115,120112,464 China

8,5008,5008,4007,2008,5237,977 Egypt

132,251131,726137,227136,017138,816151,122 EU-27

94,88093,90086,87080,80080,68078,570 India

14,00014,00013,50015,03013,4857,957 Iran

9,8419,84122,7329,63817,05112,538 Kazakhstan

23,30023,30025,00023,90024,00020,959 Pakistan

37,71737,70056,24041,50861,77063,765 Russia

15,50015,50018,80017,00018,45016,800 Turkey

15,76115,76122,32416,84420,86625,885 Ukraine

6,7006,7006,3006,5006,2006,000 Uzbekistan

50,17249,83151,29348,68255,50944,645 Others

593,722591,859642,597592,109626,280615,601 Subtotal

61,75561,75554,41360,06260,36668,016 United States

655,477653,614697,010652,171686,646683,617 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,0509,0508,9508,7508,5508,300 Algeria

6,8406,3406,5055,8155,1707,415 Australia

11,00011,10011,20010,80011,00010,700 Brazil

9,3508,8509,7217,8227,0297,985 Canada

123,000123,000122,500110,500107,000105,500 China

18,40018,90018,60017,70018,10017,200 Egypt

121,500121,500127,500122,250125,000127,000 EU-27

84,54085,41081,40681,76078,15070,924 India

15,70015,70015,50016,20016,80015,800 Iran

8,4008,4008,9508,2508,1007,450 Morocco

23,20023,20023,10023,00023,00022,800 Pakistan

34,00034,00038,00038,60039,60038,900 Russia

17,50017,50018,10017,30017,10016,900 Turkey

12,00012,00014,95011,60012,30011,900 Ukraine

7,7007,7008,0007,7007,5007,100 Uzbekistan

141,173140,252144,440135,388135,234126,948 Others

635,611635,315666,292624,554622,824609,379 Subtotal

38,10938,11032,15530,71030,97834,293 United States

673,720673,425698,447655,264653,802643,672 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,7576,2576,9778,1285,0673,109 Australia

5,7046,1295,8797,1767,8296,547 Canada

55,74655,54655,94659,09154,42545,803 China

5,1185,6186,7185,5085,6054,857 Egypt

9,5249,99912,27311,74516,15718,937 EU-27

23,80021,95019,95015,36016,12013,430 India

5,6165,59910,89913,73614,72210,944 Russia

47,46546,81257,61953,69954,52546,664 Others

158,730157,910176,261174,443174,450150,291 Subtotal

19,49918,81820,21123,46626,55217,867 United States

178,229176,728196,472197,909201,002168,158 World Total

March 2013

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

7,128 North America 6,785 6,462 8,516 8,100 8,175

1,474 Central America 1,445 1,687 1,661 1,545 1,545

13,097 South America 13,173 13,003 13,727 13,940 14,215

7,737 European Union 5,519 4,727 7,370 6,000 6,000

1,712 Other Europe 1,696 1,654 1,940 1,760 1,760

6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,415 5,658 8,021 7,060 7,060

28,218 Middle East 22,557 17,286 23,320 20,555 21,855

23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,180 24,659 21,600 20,900

14,174 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,388 15,259 18,158 15,295 15,220

11,322 East Asia 13,744 13,904 16,865 16,225 17,125

10,771 South Asia 7,608 7,619 5,402 6,430 6,430

12,324 Southeast Asia 13,902 16,334 17,863 15,960 15,960

2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,064 2,845 2,845

140,661 Total 132,681 130,597 150,566 137,315 139,090

Production none

100,635 North America 91,464 87,038 83,329 92,185 92,185

21,118 South America 22,213 27,560 25,835 19,959 19,954

151,122 European Union 138,816 136,017 137,227 131,726 132,251

4,710 Other Europe 4,646 3,865 4,359 4,249 4,249


30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,223 40,266 36,780 36,780

14,352 North Africa 20,261 15,933 18,425 16,875 16,875


113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,350 118,774 121,939 121,939

104,070 South Asia 111,144 110,949 117,136 123,870 125,196

21,697 Oceania 22,111 27,687 30,200 22,277 22,277

171 Others 176 181 186 186 186

683,617 Total 686,646 652,171 697,010 653,614 655,477

Domestic Consumption none

48,278 North America 44,307 44,982 49,726 53,660 54,159

24,774 South America 25,923 25,723 26,186 26,225 26,175

127,000 European Union 125,000 122,250 127,500 121,500 121,500

5,585 Other Europe 5,494 5,356 5,593 5,515 5,390


52,587 Middle East 54,441 54,964 56,544 54,430 54,530

37,375 North Africa 39,750 39,225 41,075 40,950 40,450


117,218 East Asia 120,187 123,966 136,881 137,387 137,987

105,401 South Asia 113,755 117,008 115,938 121,250 120,726

12,104 Southeast Asia 13,188 15,093 17,136 16,260 16,260

8,280 Oceania 6,085 6,755 7,637 7,310 7,810

3,363 Others 3,295 3,361 3,317 3,255 3,255

637,115 Total 650,611 654,145 689,577 681,012 681,462

Ending Stocks none

24,729 North America 34,901 31,029 26,485 25,272 25,528

5,420 South America 7,173 8,041 4,046 3,873 3,425

18,937 European Union 16,157 11,745 12,273 9,999 9,524

2,107 Other Europe 2,120 1,453 1,514 1,238 1,213


11,635 Middle East 14,010 12,702 12,293 12,583 13,683

9,216 North Africa 10,949 11,473 13,013 10,138 9,888


48,636 East Asia 57,260 62,110 59,377 58,649 58,949

17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,238 25,644 26,844 28,694

2,813 Southeast Asia 3,115 3,887 4,137 3,342 3,342

3,316 Oceania 5,248 8,360 7,247 6,499 5,999

314 Others 406 372 397 353 353

168,158 Total 201,002 197,909 196,472 176,728 178,229

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

March 2013


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Although global rice production for 2012/13 is forecast at a record, consumption is expected to outpace production. However, stocks are still ample, particularly in major exporting countries. Global trade is virtually unchanged, though U.S. exports are estimated higher. PRICES

Over the past 5 months, the spread between U.S. medium- and long-grain rice export quotes has narrowed from nearly $250/ton to just under $60, the narrowest range since April 2010. Medium-grain export quotes have been driven down as ample supplies face increased competition from Egypt in Middle Eastern markets, since the government ended a 4-year export ban in October 2012. On the other hand, long-grain export quotes have been edging up in recent months as additional shipments to Latin America and the Middle East have led to tightening U.S. supplies.

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

10/2/2012 11/2/2012 12/2/2012 1/2/2013 2/2/2013 3/2/2013

$/M

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Spread between U.S. medium- and long-grain export quotes narrows

U.S. medium grain #1/4 U.S. long grain #2/4

March 2013


10

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES

• India is raised 100,000 tons to 7.6 million in 2013 on account of larger exportable supplies.

• Cambodia is up 150,000 tons to a record 975,000 tons in 2013 as a record crop lowers prices, encouraging imports by regional partners.

March 2013

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

625625608732468594 Argentina

5005004503115417 Australia

8008001,1051,296430591 Brazil

6006006907784451,052 Burma

975825800860750820 Cambodia

300300267487619783 China

850850600320570575 Egypt

235235210241282150 EU-27

300300285257298241 Guyana

7,6007,50010,2504,6372,2282,149 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,8003,8003,5003,4144,0003,187 Pakistan

8,0008,0006,94510,6479,0478,570 Thailand

8508501,056841808926 Uruguay

7,4007,4007,7177,0006,7345,950 Vietnam

8858951,051953768576 Others

33,92033,68035,73432,97427,70126,381 Subtotal

3,5003,4503,3263,2473,8683,017 United States

37,42037,13039,06036,22131,56929,398 World Total

none

TY Imports

700700732591778650 Brazil

400400375310300300 Cameroon

2,2002,2002,600575366337 China

1,1501,1501,450935840800 Cote d'Ivoire

525525330558498457 Cuba

1,4001,4001,2001,4751,2161,383 EU-27

600600600620320410 Ghana

400400372389337300 Haiti

425425415381390397 Hong Kong

8008001,9603,0981,150250 Indonesia

1,8001,8001,7501,8701,5201,470 Iran

1,4501,4501,4701,0361,1881,089 Iraq

700700650742649750 Japan

640640238532320241 Korea, South

1,0501,0501,0851,0769071,086 Malaysia

725725680705575610 Mexico

375375375360325385 Mozambique

2,7002,7003,4002,5502,0002,000 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines

1,2251,2251,1501,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,0001,200805685715 Senegal

1,0001,000950885733745 South Africa

400400600200300300 Thailand

440440430420400380 United Arab Emirates

425425400337330329 Yemen

9,6259,5759,84710,5119,1607,892 Others

33,65533,60535,75933,22028,75626,348 Subtotal

3,0652,8252,6612,3802,2512,368 Unaccounted

700700640621562682 United States

37,42037,13039,06036,22131,56929,398 World Total


Note about dates: 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, and so on.

March 2013

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Milled Production

34,00034,00033,70031,70031,00031,200 Bangladesh

8,1608,1607,8889,3007,9298,570 Brazil

10,75010,75010,81610,52811,64211,200 Burma

4,6004,2254,2684,2334,0563,992 Cambodia

143,000143,000140,700137,000136,570134,330 China

4,7004,7004,2503,1004,5644,673 Egypt

101,00099,000105,31095,98089,09099,180 India

36,90036,90036,50035,50036,37038,310 Indonesia

7,7567,7567,6467,7207,7118,029 Japan

4,0064,0064,2244,2954,9164,843 Korea, South

3,0003,0002,9702,6803,0132,850 Nepal

6,8006,8006,5005,0006,8006,900 Pakistan

10,99010,99010,70010,5399,77210,755 Philippines

20,50020,50020,46020,26220,26019,850 Thailand

27,71027,71027,07526,37124,99324,393 Vietnam

37,84337,95537,31537,29035,30433,080 Others

461,715459,452460,322441,498433,990442,155 Subtotal

6,3566,3565,8667,5937,1336,546 United States

468,071465,808466,188449,091441,123448,701 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,50034,50034,30032,40031,60031,200 Bangladesh

8,0008,0008,0508,2008,4778,400 Brazil

10,38010,38010,20010,10010,89010,800 Burma

3,6153,5003,4503,3703,2703,220 Cambodia

144,000144,000139,600135,000134,320133,000 China

3,9003,9003,6203,3003,9404,270 Egypt

3,3753,3753,3253,2503,1503,075 EU-27

95,00094,60093,33490,20685,50891,090 India

40,00040,00039,55039,00038,00037,100 Indonesia

8,2508,2508,0508,2008,2008,326 Japan

4,8004,8004,9775,1754,7014,789 Korea, South

5,9505,9505,2005,0304,5804,220 Nigeria

12,97012,97012,85012,90013,12513,100 Philippines

10,60010,60010,40010,30010,2009,500 Thailand

20,10020,10019,65019,40019,15019,000 Vietnam

57,48557,37056,22353,41452,28050,373 Others

466,258465,341455,921441,281434,322433,097 Subtotal

3,9753,9743,4704,3174,0164,082 United States

470,233469,315459,391445,598438,338437,179 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

46,12346,12345,02342,57440,53438,546 China

23,00021,50025,10023,50020,50019,000 India

2,7852,7855,0856,1756,5777,057 Indonesia

2,7492,7492,7432,7122,6932,715 Japan

1,4001,4001,0005001,1001,200 Pakistan

11,63011,6309,3305,6156,1004,787 Thailand

2,1592,1591,7491,9411,4701,961 Vietnam

12,54612,62914,14714,15215,03216,162 Others

102,392100,975104,17797,16994,00691,428 Subtotal

9269741,3031,5141,184977 United States

103,318101,949105,48098,68395,19092,405 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

March 2013

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,660 1,765 1,765

902 Caribbean 969 1,099 850 1,100 1,100

1,116 South America 1,354 1,371 1,674 1,545 1,595

126 Other Europe 126 139 120 137 137

412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 402 418 418

5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,974 6,370 6,515 6,515

155 North Africa 345 364 700 420 420


1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,444 4,109 4,170 4,170

524 South Asia 1,016 1,864 635 800 800

4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,665 4,380 4,380

2,217 Others 2,099 2,293 2,044 2,195 2,195

27,030 Total 29,318 33,841 36,399 34,305 34,355

Production none

6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,977 6,484 6,484

833 Caribbean 954 938 1,024 885 885

16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,374 16,080 16,178

1,773 European Union 2,176 2,172 2,090 2,042 2,042

902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,144 1,321 1,294 1,285 1,285

2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,150 2,150

4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,729 4,729


150,087 East Asia 151,828 151,801 155,345 157,663 157,663

142,623 South Asia 132,878 138,116 152,129 146,010 147,800

111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,476 112,905 114,251 114,626

663 Others 799 1,240 1,397 1,483 1,483

448,701 Total 441,123 449,091 466,188 465,808 468,071


5,177 North America 5,160 5,417 4,646 5,159 5,160

1,095 Central America 1,114 1,114 1,156 1,145 1,145

1,774 Caribbean 1,880 2,035 1,992 1,908 1,908

14,777 South America 14,910 14,554 14,424 14,384 14,549

3,075 European Union 3,150 3,250 3,325 3,375 3,375


7,627 Middle East 7,756 8,109 8,350 8,515 8,515

4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,009 4,299 4,299


149,585 East Asia 150,349 151,733 155,983 160,596 160,596

131,561 South Asia 126,275 130,592 136,804 138,430 138,780

96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,653 102,265 102,380

566 Others 619 645 670 737 737

435,545 Total 435,407 443,562 456,249 466,269 466,900

Ending Stocks none

1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,453 1,140 1,092

205 Central America 240 244 285 300 303

114 Caribbean 126 131 198 150 150

2,238 South America 1,875 2,012 1,237 1,727 1,688

1,023 European Union 1,122 1,176 1,024 856 856

1,997 Middle East 1,659 1,807 1,732 1,782 1,782

564 North Africa 498 122 487 487 487


42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,690 48,829 49,721 49,721

21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,542 28,136 24,506 25,846

19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,663 19,426 18,967 19,077

26 Oceania 46 27 60 85 85

128 Others 156 198 130 160 163

92,405 Total 95,190 98,683 105,480 101,949 103,318



March 2013


14

250

275

300

325

350

375

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River U.S. Gulf Black Sea

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global corn production is largely unchanged; consumption is boosted only slightly as higher U.S. feeding is mostly offset elsewhere. Global corn trade is down on lower U.S. exports, despite higher expected shipments from Argentina. The season-average farm price is reduced but remains a record. PRICES

Following the release of USDA’s February report, U.S. export quotes dipped but have since risen to close about unchanged from last month. As Argentina’s new-crop harvest gets underway, prices have dropped $20/ton and are now about $40/ton under U.S. prices. Brazilian corn is not quoted as traders shift their emphasis to soybeans.

March 2013


15

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is cut 1.5 million tons to 22.5 million, the lowest in over 40 years, on slow

sales and shipments and strong competition.

• Argentine corn is up 500,000 tons to a record 20.0 million, despite lower production, on competitive prices and expected strong early-season shipments as Brazil’s exports slow seasonally with an expected shift to soybeans.

• U.S. sorghum is raised 400,000 tons to 2.1 million on the pace of sales and shipments to Mexico. (Mexican imports are raised by the same amount to 2.2 million tons).

Selected Importers

• U.S. corn is boosted 500,000 tons to a record 3.0 million because of continued strong shipments, largely from Brazil.

• South Korean corn is lowered by 500,000 tons to 7.5 million on purchases of Indian wheat for feeding.

TMT TMT TMT TMT

March 2013

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

27,20526,70522,30018,62819,03010,249 Argentina

5,0505,0507,2784,8994,4144,873 Australia

24,50524,50512,67911,5928,6277,187 Brazil

4,7754,8753,8544,4283,0703,852 Canada

5,0054,9057,0975,8944,2624,338 EU-27

3,1253,0504,8583,4372,0722,642 India

2,4052,4052,2061,2011,3631,849 Paraguay

4,6854,6855,9961,0292,5264,945 Russia

2,5202,5201,8532,8571,6342,159 South Africa

15,51015,51017,3337,45610,93611,380 Ukraine

4,4104,4057,3575,4607,1145,650 Others

99,19598,61592,81166,88165,04859,124 Subtotal

24,83025,94540,19249,29253,98951,558 United States

124,025124,560133,003116,173119,037110,682 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,9502,9003,6822,9452,5762,067 Algeria

1,1051,1051,2166331,0491,497 Brazil

1,2251,2251,5171,2711,2751,317 Chile

5,0005,0007,9242,6973,7771,651 China

4,3554,3554,0794,1484,1023,483 Colombia

850850746838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0311,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

4,5754,5757,2395,8395,8975,093 Egypt

10,55510,5556,9768,6873,0122,988 EU-27

1,5001,5001,7243,0411,321317 Indonesia

4,5004,5005,7004,0005,1005,000 Iran

1,4351,4351,5331,4461,5921,295 Israel

18,06018,06017,73018,59019,19019,609 Japan

1,2501,1501,158917713785 Jordan

7,5658,0657,7258,1688,5097,248 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,3092,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

10,92510,52512,76910,76210,91310,465 Mexico

2,3252,3252,4412,0592,1941,833 Morocco

2,0502,0501,9032,0791,8861,520 Peru

9,5009,40510,5858,1389,0769,186 Saudi Arabia

8008001,2821,9592,2742,834 Syria

4,4604,4604,5594,2784,6634,658 Taiwan

1,1001,2001,0719581,202875 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,5741,2512,1981,340 Venezuela

1,1001,1001,5001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

13,59013,61513,80913,20214,15314,983 Others

116,975116,955125,782112,716113,186105,422 Subtotal

1,8952,8504,0811,0073,5762,453 Unaccounted

5,1554,7553,1402,4502,2752,807 United States

124,025124,560133,003116,173119,037110,682 World Total


March 2013

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

37,65238,15230,10533,25830,23119,634 Argentina

10,25210,75212,32511,47210,92012,280 Australia

75,99375,99375,88360,38058,41253,486 Brazil

24,29624,29622,92122,66822,78027,267 Canada

215,010215,010199,660183,398169,775172,391 China

11,33011,33011,43510,4698,0469,034 Ethiopia

140,219140,219147,442140,497155,038162,102 EU-27

38,62038,21042,06043,37033,89039,550 India

8,9008,9008,8506,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

28,97828,97825,75329,22627,27332,222 Mexico

24,01024,01023,80023,25023,25026,670 Nigeria

28,44028,44033,07716,41631,84340,881 Russia

13,47313,97312,91411,32113,88113,084 South Africa

10,57510,57511,27510,18511,17610,408 Turkey

29,31929,31933,30021,44224,14326,275 Ukraine

140,305140,007139,001145,161139,310132,329 Others

837,372838,164829,801769,313766,868786,313 Subtotal

286,005286,005323,728330,236348,755325,867 United States

1,123,3771,124,1691,153,5291,099,5491,115,6231,112,180 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

11,60212,00210,21011,03310,0548,768 Argentina

56,71356,71353,74852,73349,71448,191 Brazil

20,59120,59120,31621,22822,64522,864 Canada

219,005219,005197,105188,175173,151161,062 China

12,35012,35012,85013,59513,07212,162 Egypt

11,18211,18211,2609,9258,5439,033 Ethiopia

150,560150,760149,360152,400150,080151,855 EU-27

36,10035,68037,65038,85032,00036,500 India

18,26018,26017,99018,87519,64519,965 Japan

39,59039,19038,04539,78540,81542,035 Mexico

24,00024,00023,75023,20023,05026,550 Nigeria

25,13625,13627,62818,13130,44033,011 Russia

11,29811,59811,21811,21810,83310,468 South Africa

11,67511,67511,82511,07510,86510,700 Turkey

14,40614,40615,47913,74212,96413,696 Ukraine

210,017210,457207,333208,370201,927196,625 Others

864,709867,405865,212833,086817,640806,038 Subtotal

277,114274,841290,036297,948295,337275,978 United States

1,141,8231,142,2461,155,2481,131,0341,112,9771,082,016 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,97311,2739,59310,63510,28712,450 Brazil

2,9082,8083,4333,6235,6356,437 Canada

61,22761,22760,48250,13452,40252,206 China

10,04110,04114,93216,30325,85020,844 EU-27

3,3193,3193,6393,5594,0633,124 Iran

2,8702,9663,1251,6502,4542,548 Saudi Arabia

3,2853,1953,5503,5765,3674,327 South Africa

32,20132,52437,60344,12843,19045,739 Others

126,824127,353136,357133,608149,248147,675 Subtotal

18,90718,94427,82032,28848,13347,060 United States

145,731146,297164,177165,896197,381194,735 World Total

March 2013

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

15,172 North America 15,199 14,267 16,673 15,825 16,625

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,900 2,765 3,050 3,050

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,137 2,325 2,325

9,745 South America 11,108 10,483 11,926 11,530 11,530

2,988 European Union 3,012 8,687 6,976 10,555 10,555

664 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 1,184 972 1,195 1,195

21,197 Middle East 21,263 18,686 23,103 19,945 20,140

10,592 North Africa 13,107 12,344 15,133 11,750 11,700


33,347 East Asia 36,268 33,889 38,118 35,715 35,215

5,405 Southeast Asia 6,725 7,558 7,207 6,265 6,265

750 Others 919 947 1,053 955 930

108,229 Total 115,461 115,166 128,922 121,710 122,130

Production none

385,356 North America 398,808 382,130 372,402 339,279 339,279

85,272 South America 102,056 106,447 118,061 128,166 127,596

162,102 European Union 155,038 140,497 147,442 140,219 140,219

12,273 Other Europe 11,787 12,139 11,463 8,392 8,392


16,046 Middle East 18,950 18,750 19,041 18,461 18,461

10,218 North Africa 14,890 12,358 11,221 10,681 10,681


174,467 East Asia 171,831 185,366 201,798 217,275 217,275

45,867 South Asia 40,511 49,884 48,711 44,668 45,446

27,734 Southeast Asia 25,451 26,875 29,348 30,405 30,405

12,927 Oceania 11,567 12,119 12,972 11,399 10,899

4,788 Others 4,678 4,736 4,775 4,902 4,902

1,112,180 Total 1,115,623 1,099,549 1,153,529 1,124,169 1,123,377


340,877 North America 358,797 358,961 348,397 334,622 337,295

76,390 South America 79,861 84,854 85,348 90,559 90,159

151,855 European Union 150,080 152,400 149,360 150,760 150,560

10,845 Other Europe 10,752 10,798 10,521 8,929 8,939


37,953 Middle East 38,699 38,302 39,945 39,779 39,754

21,187 North Africa 24,679 25,607 25,190 23,960 23,910


195,705 East Asia 207,953 221,551 229,637 251,991 251,491

42,873 South Asia 38,749 45,429 44,473 42,148 42,968

30,300 Southeast Asia 31,175 33,642 35,395 36,200 36,400

7,897 Oceania 7,702 7,549 6,552 6,527 6,077

9,403 Others 9,488 9,773 9,773 10,123 10,123

1,079,463 Total 1,105,135 1,130,283 1,135,803 1,147,846 1,149,599

Ending Stocks none

58,732 North America 55,774 38,007 33,119 23,831 23,894

16,466 South America 17,373 20,037 13,275 15,300 14,922

20,844 European Union 25,850 16,303 14,932 10,041 10,041

1,538 Other Europe 1,669 1,658 906 764 704


8,542 Middle East 9,271 7,519 9,235 8,229 8,142

2,729 North Africa 5,379 4,900 5,590 4,309 4,286


55,934 East Asia 55,875 53,394 63,567 64,306 64,306

2,060 South Asia 1,674 2,654 2,112 1,537 1,510

4,448 Southeast Asia 3,379 3,506 3,149 2,476 2,284

3,349 Oceania 2,779 1,591 1,129 1,004 1,001

943 Others 811 785 661 787 780

194,735 Total 197,381 165,896 164,177 146,297 145,731



March 2013

World Corn Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

20,00019,50016,50115,19816,9738,466 Argentina

24,50024,50012,67411,5838,6237,178 Brazil

1,5001,5004941,658186366 Canada

1,0001,0003,2141,0781,5191,743 EU-27

3,0003,0004,6743,3761,9172,551 India

2,4002,4002,2011,2011,3591,847 Paraguay

2,3002,3002,027374271,331 Russia

2,5002,5001,8312,8391,5862,111 South Africa

13,00013,00015,1575,0085,0725,497 Ukraine

5005005003001000 Zambia

3,2703,2655,7724,3645,4755,122 Others

73,97073,46565,04546,64243,23736,212 Subtotal

22,50024,00038,43045,24449,72147,758 United States

96,47097,465103,47591,88692,95883,970 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,8002,8003,2032,6832,5691,903 Algeria

8008009372876991,092 Brazil

2,5002,5005,2319791,29647 China

3,5003,5003,1813,5043,6513,068 Colombia

750750691663626586 Costa Rica

850850746838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0311,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

4,5004,5007,1545,8035,8325,031 Egypt

10,00010,0006,2067,4372,9312,754 EU-27

750750691676651673 Guatemala

1,5001,5001,7243,0411,321317 Indonesia

3,5003,5004,0003,5004,3003,600 Iran

1,2001,2001,2211,0291,053846 Israel

15,00015,00014,89215,64815,97116,531 Japan

7,5008,0007,6368,1078,4617,188 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,3092,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

8,5008,50011,1228,2528,2987,764 Mexico

1,7001,7001,9001,7381,8021,566 Morocco

1,9001,9001,7721,9391,7821,429 Peru

1,9001,9001,8161,9331,8721,482 Saudi Arabia

7007001,0821,6592,0241,784 Syria

4,3004,3004,4004,1344,5214,532 Taiwan

750900853677866646 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,5741,2512,1981,336 Venezuela

1,1001,1001,5001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

10,03010,05510,6629,72410,70712,421 Others

92,23092,90599,53490,31289,94581,974 Subtotal

1,2402,0603,1768902,7761,659 Unaccounted

3,0002,500765684237337 United States

96,47097,465103,47591,88692,95883,970 World Total


March 2013

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

26,50027,00021,00025,20025,00015,500 Argentina

72,50072,50073,00057,40056,10051,000 Brazil

13,06013,06011,35912,0439,79610,643 Canada

208,000208,000192,780177,245163,974165,914 China

5,8005,8005,5006,5006,2806,645 Egypt

5,4005,4005,4004,8953,9004,398 Ethiopia

54,67054,67066,17156,16556,94762,321 EU-27

21,00020,60021,57021,73016,72019,730 India

8,9008,9008,8506,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

21,50021,50018,72621,05820,37424,226 Mexico

9,4109,4109,2508,8008,9507,970 Nigeria

7,2157,2157,1307,2716,2316,853 Philippines

7,9947,9946,9623,0753,9636,682 Russia

13,00013,50012,41710,92413,42012,567 South Africa

20,92220,92222,83811,91910,48611,447 Ukraine

84,37184,07385,80385,29782,39178,835 Others

580,242580,544568,756516,322491,432493,431 Subtotal

273,832273,832313,949316,165332,549307,142 United States

854,074854,376882,705832,487823,981800,573 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,5007,9006,7007,3006,9006,400 Argentina

53,00053,00050,50049,50047,00045,500 Brazil

12,00012,00011,66611,75311,86111,738 Canada

209,500209,500188,000180,000165,000153,000 China

11,20011,20011,70012,50012,00011,100 Egypt

66,00066,00067,30062,90059,30061,600 EU-27

18,00017,50017,00018,10015,10017,000 India

10,70010,70010,5009,8008,8008,900 Indonesia

15,00015,00014,90015,70016,30016,700 Japan

7,6008,1007,8158,2148,3827,894 Korea, South

29,70029,70029,00029,50030,20032,400 Mexico

9,4509,4509,2508,8008,8007,900 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,4007,2006,5007,300 Philippines

10,80011,10010,70010,65010,3009,900 South Africa

8,0008,0007,8006,5005,7005,850 Ukraine

134,340133,865132,374127,814124,935120,262 Others

602,641604,771600,590565,321544,187525,432 Subtotal

265,111262,571279,023285,014281,590259,272 United States

867,752867,342879,613850,335825,777784,704 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,57610,8769,27610,2769,98912,084 Brazil

60,13560,13559,33549,41551,30251,183 China

4,3654,3656,6954,8325,2086,149 EU-27

1,6411,6412,2612,3812,7952,502 Iran

1,4681,4681,4841,5891,6221,466 Korea, South

1,4661,4661,2661,1121,3893,559 Mexico

3,0752,9853,3503,4185,1694,113 South Africa

18,69319,04322,37026,40025,06124,151 Others

101,419101,979106,03799,423102,535105,207 Subtotal

16,06216,06225,12228,64443,38042,504 United States

117,481118,041131,159128,067145,915147,711 World Total

March 2013

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

9,945 North America 10,496 9,920 12,634 11,500 12,000

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,889 2,765 3,050 3,050

8,238 South America 9,469 8,336 9,851 9,415 9,415

2,754 European Union 2,931 7,437 6,206 10,000 10,000


9,462 Middle East 11,187 9,942 10,381 9,500 9,500

9,574 North Africa 11,725 11,265 13,610 10,450 10,300


28,479 East Asia 30,378 29,024 32,339 29,930 29,430

5,391 Southeast Asia 6,709 7,541 7,197 6,250 6,250

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,137 2,325 2,325

536 Others 576 586 585 695 670

82,311 Total 90,182 90,996 100,299 95,405 95,230

Production none

342,011 North America 362,719 349,266 344,034 308,392 308,392

76,404 South America 92,518 93,515 104,088 111,405 110,835

62,321 European Union 56,947 56,165 66,171 54,670 54,670

9,951 Other Europe 9,674 10,094 9,494 6,494 6,494


6,748 Middle East 6,305 6,039 5,968 6,783 6,783

6,846 North Africa 6,481 6,701 5,701 6,001 6,001


167,580 East Asia 165,679 178,947 194,593 209,932 209,932

24,959 South Asia 22,020 26,956 27,008 25,670 26,438

3,719 Central America 3,567 3,622 3,661 3,788 3,788

27,485 Southeast Asia 25,212 26,633 29,108 30,165 30,165

1,190 Others 1,157 1,186 1,251 1,274 1,274

800,573 Total 823,981 832,487 882,705 854,376 854,074


303,410 North America 323,651 326,267 319,689 304,271 306,811

67,929 South America 70,639 74,373 74,945 78,945 78,545

61,600 European Union 59,300 62,900 67,300 66,000 66,000

8,376 Other Europe 8,354 8,454 8,205 6,785 6,785


16,005 Middle East 16,885 16,885 16,735 16,935 16,935

16,125 North Africa 17,650 18,525 17,925 17,625 17,525


184,015 East Asia 196,111 209,870 217,045 238,855 238,355

22,250 South Asia 20,470 23,371 22,570 22,570 23,470

30,043 Southeast Asia 30,943 33,393 35,150 35,950 36,150

6,250 Central America 6,300 6,425 6,500 6,650 6,650

3,235 Others 3,225 3,385 3,310 3,515 3,515

782,716 Total 818,668 851,245 861,628 872,986 875,301

Ending Stocks none

47,896 North America 46,507 31,034 27,738 18,938 18,938

15,096 South America 16,284 17,819 12,188 13,976 13,598

6,149 European Union 5,208 4,832 6,695 4,365 4,365

1,198 Other Europe 1,372 1,359 605 479 434


4,073 Middle East 4,409 3,519 3,266 2,549 2,549

2,188 North Africa 2,383 2,148 2,914 1,946 1,930


54,295 East Asia 54,090 52,055 61,876 62,683 62,683

1,472 South Asia 996 1,140 938 962 926

4,443 Southeast Asia 3,376 3,502 3,145 2,472 2,280

723 Central America 534 550 455 618 618

258 Others 311 251 219 203 193

147,711 Total 145,915 128,067 131,159 118,041 117,481



March 2013

World Barley Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

4,0004,0003,6311,531549871 Argentina

3,8003,8005,8194,0883,8463,278 Australia

1,5001,5001,4371,0521,2031,618 Canada

1010491317 China

5513474 Croatia

1010105147 Egypt

3,8003,7003,6414,6282,3842,374 EU-27

1002552303137 India

200200659224354314 Kazakhstan

554421 Kenya

10105104530 Moldova

2,3002,3003,6689692,0863,598 Russia

551092211 Serbia

505010318013 Turkey

2,5002,5002,1662,4465,7525,871 Ukraine

00932411 Others

18,29518,12021,23115,01317,13318,045 Subtotal

200200179181152158 United States

18,49518,32021,41015,19417,28518,203 World Total

none

TY Imports

300300274345346403 Brazil

2,4002,4002,5411,6562,3411,551 China

250250301251237211 Colombia

20020033928666156 EU-27

1,0001,0001,7005008001,400 Iran

200200276287491367 Israel

1,3001,3001,2571,3591,4111,346 Japan

800700750544432514 Jordan

250250350317283252 Kuwait

500500536222248263 Morocco

5005003724111339 Russia

7,5007,5008,7006,2007,2007,700 Saudi Arabia

350300218281336229 Tunisia

2502504639156159 Turkey

300300500330299131 United Arab Emirates

1,6251,5752,2801,9521,7812,538 Others

17,72517,52520,44014,98016,44017,259 Subtotal

32034550166543372 Unaccounted

450450469148302572 United States

18,49518,32021,41015,19417,28518,203 World Total


March 2013

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

1,7001,7001,3501,5002,400560 Algeria

5,5005,5004,5002,9501,3562,110 Argentina

7,0007,0008,3497,9957,8657,996 Australia

2,1002,1002,0131,9662,1232,212 Belarus

8,0108,0107,8927,6279,52811,786 Canada

2,6002,6002,5001,9722,3182,823 China

1,5801,5801,5921,5251,5691,484 Ethiopia

54,40754,40751,44953,51162,14965,509 EU-27

1,6201,6101,6601,3501,6901,200 India

3,4003,4002,9003,2103,4461,547 Iran

1,5001,5002,5931,3132,5192,059 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1002,3402,5703,8001,272 Morocco

13,95013,95016,9388,35017,88123,148 Russia

5,5005,5007,0005,9006,5005,700 Turkey

6,9356,9359,0988,48411,83312,612 Ukraine

8,5118,5118,6618,5518,8747,784 Others

125,413125,403130,835118,774145,851149,802 Subtotal

4,7964,7963,3923,9254,9495,230 United States

130,209130,199134,227122,699150,800155,032 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8501,8001,7001,5001,3501,100 Algeria

1,5001,5001,2001,135990895 Argentina

3,3003,3003,3004,2004,5004,000 Australia

2,2002,2002,1002,0002,2002,200 Belarus

6,8006,8006,9037,5068,6368,949 Canada

4,8004,8004,7004,1504,4004,200 China

52,40052,60051,50056,40056,50057,000 EU-27

1,6001,6801,5501,3501,5001,000 India

4,2004,2003,9003,7003,7003,550 Iran

1,5001,5001,5001,5501,5501,550 Japan

1,9001,9003,1003,0502,9001,700 Morocco

12,30012,30014,3009,50016,65017,100 Russia

7,7257,9257,2256,3257,4257,425 Saudi Arabia

6,1006,1006,7506,0005,9005,700 Turkey

5,0005,0006,3006,0005,6005,900 Ukraine

15,00514,94516,22315,37916,07915,856 Others

128,134128,381132,011131,377140,168138,804 Subtotal

4,6814,6804,1934,5374,6045,127 United States

132,815133,061136,204135,914144,772143,931 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,6351,6601,6351,3361,247184 Algeria

9829821,2471,5412,5832,964 Canada

3,5723,5725,2657,91115,52810,916 EU-27

1,6781,6781,3781,1781,268622 Iran

6986988481,3862,3953,813 Russia

2,5032,6032,7281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia

9379371,1727941,0671,055 Ukraine

6,0385,9896,7526,9648,8427,806 Others

18,04318,11921,02522,36335,00829,563 Subtotal

1,6821,6611,3061,9452,5151,932 United States

19,72519,78022,33124,30837,52331,495 World Total

March 2013

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

737 North America 373 227 619 625 625

810 South America 772 905 851 810 810

156 European Union 66 286 339 200 200

82 Other Europe 158 242 246 155 155


11,631 Middle East 10,019 8,600 12,607 10,400 10,500

973 North Africa 1,215 959 1,483 1,150 1,250

125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 74 75 45 45

3,000 East Asia 3,861 3,108 3,946 3,825 3,825

48 South Asia 10 8 69 5 5

0 Oceania 14 15 19 5 5

17,831 Total 16,742 15,128 20,909 17,975 18,175

Production none

17,797 North America 14,996 12,224 11,771 13,369 13,369

3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,535 6,637 6,637

65,509 European Union 62,149 53,511 51,449 54,407 54,407

1,543 Other Europe 1,406 1,309 1,330 1,294 1,294


8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,100 11,670 10,275 10,275

2,347 North Africa 7,324 4,572 4,435 3,595 3,595


3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,802 2,910 2,910

1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,317 2,327

8,396 Oceania 8,265 8,395 8,749 7,400 7,400

155,032 Total 150,800 122,699 134,227 130,199 130,209


14,901 North America 13,940 12,743 11,796 12,180 12,181

2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 3,047 3,465 3,465

57,000 European Union 56,500 56,400 51,500 52,600 52,400

1,630 Other Europe 1,552 1,537 1,577 1,440 1,450


20,506 Middle East 20,403 19,690 21,761 21,396 21,246

3,987 North Africa 5,847 5,845 6,125 5,075 5,125


6,006 East Asia 6,195 5,900 6,475 6,550 6,550

1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,117 2,392 2,312

4,400 Oceania 4,900 4,625 3,725 3,700 3,700

143,252 Total 144,484 134,282 136,444 133,230 132,861

Ending Stocks none

5,228 North America 5,295 3,686 2,673 2,776 2,797

766 South America 601 851 619 601 601

10,916 European Union 15,528 7,911 5,265 3,572 3,572

281 Other Europe 249 235 220 214 199


4,391 Middle East 4,813 3,923 5,878 5,598 5,507

511 North Africa 2,952 2,694 2,637 2,354 2,347


940 East Asia 1,239 681 950 1,125 1,125

87 South Asia 224 197 261 187 196

2,459 Oceania 1,910 1,034 706 614 611

31,495 Total 37,523 24,308 22,331 19,780 19,725



March 2013

World Sorghum Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

3,2003,2002,1631,8931,507907 Argentina

1,0001,0001,1855753501,360 Australia

505036684132 China

7575757500 Ethiopia

25251323112454 India

707060605050 Nigeria

202020184848 South Africa

6060866712147 Others

4,5004,5003,7572,7872,2412,498 Subtotal

2,1001,7001,5483,8274,0743,598 United States

6,6006,2005,3056,6146,3156,096 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600539729568404 Chile

50508448314 China

600600592391212202 Colombia

300300126922766 EU-27

1,6001,6001,4811,4181,6491,629 Japan

2,2001,8001,3692,3812,5272,496 Mexico

1251255991444 Morocco

100569544 Saudi Arabia

400400125200400300 Sudan

858584977172 Taiwan

445445498466677571 Others

6,5056,0104,9726,7126,3425,762 Subtotal

65160330-100-27331 Unaccounted

30303203 United States

6,6006,2005,3056,6146,3156,096 World Total


March 2013

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

5,2005,2004,2004,4003,6291,660 Argentina

1,7002,2002,2231,9351,5082,692 Australia

2,8002,8002,2052,3141,8542,004 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,9501,5221,875 Burkina

9009007001,000600590 Chad

2,6502,6502,6002,4561,6771,837 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,7003,7003,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,0307,0006,7007,250 India

900900850925980930 Mali

6,8006,8006,4257,3856,2507,067 Mexico

1,0001,0007001,3007391,214 Niger

6,9006,9006,8506,7506,60011,000 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,0894,6062,6304,192 Sudan

760760788800710551 Tanzania

6,6796,6796,6466,5106,1546,320 Others

52,48952,98948,58753,69644,53752,701 Subtotal

6,2726,2725,4478,7799,72811,998 United States

58,76159,26154,03462,47554,26564,699 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,1502,1501,9001,9001,9001,100 Argentina

2,7002,7002,2752,2751,8751,875 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,8001,6951,700 Burkina

900900750950625650 Chad

2,9002,9002,6002,2001,9002,000 China

950950950900900950 Egypt

3,7003,7003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia

8608607601,550630905 EU-27

6,0006,0006,1006,8006,6007,200 India

1,6001,6001,4751,4601,6501,600 Japan

900900850925980930 Mali

9,0008,6008,1009,4009,7008,600 Mexico

1,0501,0508501,2509001,200 Niger

6,8506,8506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria

4,1004,1002,6504,5003,4004,500 Sudan

9,5779,9029,4089,7218,7809,279 Others

54,61154,90252,26955,53450,79155,943 Subtotal

4,3184,5723,9545,2785,8598,319 United States

58,92959,47456,22360,81256,65064,262 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

300300150950152194 Argentina

174174229361681678 Australia

251251146211171188 Brazil

265265515467275456 China

28328330827247238 Ethiopia

4734734737794131,336 Mexico

249249154610309684 Sudan

9649571,1021,5021,0901,407 Others

2,9592,9523,0775,1523,1385,181 Subtotal

5335335836971,0481,390 United States

3,4923,4853,6605,8494,1866,571 World Total

March 2013

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

2,499 North America 2,527 2,383 1,372 1,830 2,230

665 South America 848 1,218 1,199 1,285 1,285

66 European Union 7 922 126 300 300

0 Other Europe 17 0 5 5 5

81 Middle East 48 120 94 30 125

45 North Africa 166 120 40 150 150


1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,654 1,740 1,740

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 10 15 15

4 Others 35 21 5 5 5

5,765 Total 6,342 6,714 4,975 6,040 6,535

Production none

19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,872 13,072 13,072

298 Central America 326 329 329 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,719 South America 6,153 7,351 7,097 8,682 8,682

517 European Union 621 629 673 560 560

654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,620 2,670 2,670

7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 6,145 6,145


2,692 Oceania 1,508 1,935 2,223 2,200 1,700

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

64,699 Total 54,265 62,475 54,034 59,261 58,761


16,919 North America 15,559 14,678 12,054 13,172 13,318

315 Central America 325 325 325 320 320

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,766 South America 5,347 5,938 6,105 6,792 6,792

905 European Union 630 1,550 760 860 860

749 Middle East 669 914 675 675 800

965 North Africa 1,012 1,066 970 1,090 1,090


3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 4,185 4,610 4,610

7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,250 6,150 6,150


1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,105 1,305 855

0 Others 17 0 5 5 5

64,458 Total 56,344 60,809 54,722 59,534 59,355

Ending Stocks none

2,726 North America 1,461 1,476 1,056 1,006 1,006

27 Central America 28 34 36 37 40

491 South America 393 1,217 354 614 614

34 European Union 24 20 15 10 10

62 Middle East 22 35 39 25 29

29 North Africa 43 57 37 7 7

1,760 Sub-Saharan Africa 980 1,769 1,165 1,158 1,158

578 East Asia 397 549 602 352 352

181 South Asia 154 327 123 98 98

678 Oceania 681 361 229 174 174

5 Others 3 4 4 4 4

6,571 Total 4,186 5,849 3,660 3,485 3,492



March 2013

World Oats Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

555615 Argentina

150150174211211161 Australia

555949 Brazil

1,6001,7001,7641,4971,5391,792 Canada

1001001001293731 Chile

100100174113216103 EU-27

101017142 Russia

5534206 Others

1,9752,0752,2421,9702,0322,109 Subtotal


2,0002,1152,2692,0072,0702,147 World Total

none

TY Imports

000500 Albania

000010 Algeria

555532 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202011182114 Canada

505068585739 China

555222 Colombia

101010111114 Ecuador

554624 EU-27

606054645646 Japan

75751341034682 Mexico

15154910348 Norway

252525252133 South Africa

505056494952 Switzerland

555506 Turkey

55511411 Uruguay

0014835 Others

330330445380310318 Subtotal

1701859515915342 Unaccounted

1,5001,6001,7291,4681,6071,787 United States

2,0002,1152,2692,0072,0702,147 World Total


March 2013

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

14014014014014080 Algeria

400400345660182291 Argentina

1,0501,0501,2741,1281,1621,160 Australia

600600448442552605 Belarus

370370370379253239 Brazil

2,6802,6803,1582,4512,9124,273 Canada

560560505564381344 Chile

580580600525580530 China

7,5817,5817,8607,4528,5798,935 EU-27

200200258134204138 Kazakhstan

115115115111130148 Mexico

220220220299277328 Norway

4,0274,0275,3323,2185,4015,835 Russia

210210210204218196 Turkey

630630506458731944 Ukraine

440440475475475457 Others

19,80319,80321,81618,64022,17724,503 Subtotal

9299297791,1781,3511,294 United States

20,73220,73222,59519,81823,52825,797 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14014014014114080 Algeria

400400350650200300 Argentina

9009001,1009009751,035 Australia

575575450475575600 Belarus

375375360370250225 Brazil

1,4501,4501,3741,5231,7541,766 Canada

450450400450350325 Chile

625625625625625575 China

7,6007,6007,6007,7508,1008,500 EU-27

225225225130210135 Kazakhstan

190190245185215210 Mexico

245245245295320320 Norway

4,3004,3005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

600600500475725925 Ukraine

603603635646622608 Others

18,99719,02519,68618,26820,84021,438 Subtotal

2,6532,6672,5492,7893,0112,968 United States

21,65021,69222,23521,05723,85124,406 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

646469747089 Argentina

145145145146126147 Australia

4623628127531,1751,527 Canada

13213212784126114 China

8048049188211,224972 EU-27

202202485167397499 Russia

787853405969 Ukraine

229229237217180208 Others

2,1162,0162,8462,3023,3573,625 Subtotal

6106687989821,1661,221 United States

2,7262,6843,6443,2844,5234,846 World Total

March 2013

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,874 1,695 1,595

32 South America 19 24 25 20 20


62 Other Europe 87 71 112 70 70


6 Middle East 0 5 5 5 5

0 North Africa 1 0 0 0 0


85 East Asia 113 122 122 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,105 Total 1,917 1,848 2,174 1,930 1,830

Production none

5,715 North America 4,393 3,740 4,052 3,724 3,724

897 South America 857 1,644 1,261 1,370 1,370

8,935 European Union 8,579 7,452 7,860 7,581 7,581

605 Other Europe 554 576 497 462 462


196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 170 170 170 170


532 East Asia 582 527 602 582 582

1,235 Oceania 1,237 1,203 1,349 1,125 1,125

25,797 Total 23,528 19,818 22,595 20,732 20,732


4,944 North America 4,980 4,497 4,168 4,307 4,293

896 South America 857 1,538 1,171 1,285 1,285

8,500 European Union 8,100 7,750 7,600 7,600 7,600

647 Other Europe 655 633 579 542 542


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 171 170 170 170


625 East Asia 680 685 685 690 690

1,110 Oceania 1,050 975 1,175 975 975

24,382 Total 23,782 21,064 22,008 21,555 21,541

Ending Stocks none

2,756 North America 2,348 1,740 1,617 1,037 1,079

113 South America 95 150 114 109 109

972 European Union 1,224 821 918 804 804

58 Other Europe 47 63 81 71 71


2 Middle East 10 9 14 19 19

1 North Africa 1 1 2 2 2


116 East Asia 131 95 134 136 136

147 Oceania 126 146 145 145 145

4,846 Total 4,523 3,284 3,644 2,684 2,726



March 2013

World Rye Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

TY Exports

100100251502550 Belarus

17517515922114276 Canada

1001005971136114 EU-27

757528422914 Russia

5592936 Ukraine

000300 Others

455455536469405260 Subtotal


460460544472409266 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania

50503013668 EU-27

10101119911 Israel

1001004610110357 Japan

1010111177 Korea, South

101010121411 Norway

552264 Switzerland

0010151411 Others

185185391332149109 Subtotal

100100-21-813149 Unaccounted

175175174148129108 United States

460460544472409266 World Total


March 2013

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Feb

2012/13

Mar

none

Production

1,6001,6008047351,2271,492 Belarus

340340241237281297 Canada

8,3928,3926,9197,5739,9529,262 EU-27

505028427540 Kazakhstan

2,1332,1332,9671,6424,3334,505 Russia

350350350366343247 Turkey

6766765794649541,051 Ukraine

155155160173182205 Others

13,69613,69612,04811,23217,34717,099 Subtotal

176176161189178203 United States

13,87213,87212,20911,42117,52517,302 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404045405555 Argentina

1,4001,4007006501,3001,400 Belarus

135135102136131143 Canada

8,6008,6007,3008,2009,5508,750 EU-27

9595551059065 Japan

505030407540 Kazakhstan

262626454059 Norway

2,0002,0002,8501,8504,3254,400 Russia

350350350350340275 Turkey

650650600650800800 Ukraine

124124124129124127 Others

13,60613,60612,15412,22816,90016,172 Subtotal

351351317330273292 United States

13,95713,95712,47112,55817,17316,464 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

26326316379144242 Belarus

54542451139113 Canada

6056058631,0131,7271,424 EU-27

1010514185 Japan

137137129250308312 Russia

383838331714 Turkey

178178157189411313 Ukraine

666977 Others

1,2911,2911,3851,6382,7712,430 Subtotal


1,3111,3111,3961,6582,7952,443 World Total

March 2013

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Feb

2012/13

Mar

2012/13

TY Imports none

108 North America 129 148 174 175 175

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


18 Other Europe 22 15 12 15 15


17 Middle East 9 19 16 10 10


64 East Asia 110 112 57 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

217 Total 278 480 565 360 360

Production none

500 North America 459 426 402 516 516

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

9,262 European Union 9,952 7,573 6,919 8,392 8,392

119 Other Europe 98 105 87 87 87


247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,302 Total 17,525 11,421 12,209 13,872 13,872


435 North America 404 466 419 486 486

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

8,750 European Union 9,550 8,200 7,300 8,600 8,600

137 Other Europe 119 119 100 102 102


286 Middle East 349 369 361 360 360


72 East Asia 97 116 66 105 105

20 Oceania 20 17 20 20 20

16,406 Total 17,103 12,525 12,499 13,821 13,821

Ending Stocks none

126 North America 163 71 35 74 74

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,424 European Union 1,727 1,013 863 605 605

1 Other Europe 1 1 0 0 0


14 Middle East 17 33 38 38 38


5 East Asia 18 14 5 10 10

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,443 Total 2,795 1,658 1,396 1,311 1,311



March 2013


34

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 35 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 36 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 37 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 38 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 42 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 44 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 46 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 47

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..48 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 49 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 50 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 51 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 52

DG F/SA &F

March 2013

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.8 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 16.2

136.0 122.352.522.94.75.325.9 2010/11 11.7

137.2 127.558.016.67.45.325.7 2011/12 12.3

132.3 121.552.019.56.05.225.5 2012/13 9.5

Coarse Grains

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.0 150.1112.63.03.04.832.5 2009/10 25.9

140.5 152.4114.86.28.64.729.8 2010/11 16.3

147.4 149.4111.76.57.04.929.9 2011/12 14.9

140.2 150.6112.65.110.64.630.6 2012/13 10.0

Wheat and Coarse Grains

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.1170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 42.0

276.5 274.7167.329.113.35.055.6 2010/11 28.0

284.7 276.9169.723.014.45.155.6 2011/12 27.2

272.5 272.1164.624.616.64.956.1 2012/13 19.6

March 2013

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

120.6 123.023.01.03.25.024.1 2012/13 55.7

Coarse Grains

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 158.0106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.4

172.4 161.1108.70.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.2118.70.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.4

183.4 188.2128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.7 197.1132.00.17.95.635.7 2011/12 60.5

215.0 219.0146.50.35.05.837.2 2012/13 61.2


216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 264.0114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.5

284.9 266.6116.70.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.2128.71.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.8

298.6 298.7141.81.13.65.158.8 2010/11 109.2

317.1 319.6156.01.110.95.360.0 2011/12 116.4

335.6 342.0169.51.38.25.561.3 2012/13 117.0

March 2013

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.7 5.30.60.11.53.01.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 5.80.90.31.54.01.3 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.70.80.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.8

4.4 5.50.90.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.1

4.6 5.50.90.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.1

3.9 5.40.80.81.73.71.1 2010/11 1.5

4.4 5.60.90.61.94.01.1 2011/12 1.5

4.2 5.40.90.91.83.81.1 2012/13 1.2

Coarse Grains

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.0 10.69.40.10.83.42.7 2003/04 1.0

12.7 12.010.60.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.6 12.010.61.40.74.82.6 2005/06 1.5

11.5 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.3 10.39.00.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.4

12.3 10.89.51.90.64.62.6 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.84.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.1 10.89.32.20.84.82.5 2010/11 1.7

11.5 10.59.02.50.84.52.5 2011/12 0.9

8.4 8.97.60.50.83.32.6 2012/13 0.7


15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

12.7 16.09.90.22.33.33.9 2003/04 2.3

18.1 17.911.50.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.8 17.711.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.8 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.7 15.89.90.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.0 16.410.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.6

16.4 16.210.22.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.8

16.0 16.210.13.02.54.53.6 2010/11 3.1

15.8 16.19.93.22.84.43.6 2011/12 2.4

12.6 14.38.51.42.63.53.7 2012/13 1.9

March 2013

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

84.7 72.521.622.66.01.944.6 2006/07 13.0

92.4 75.323.922.06.02.046.3 2007/08 14.1

115.5 76.124.538.26.62.350.6 2008/09 22.0

114.0 78.226.137.25.42.252.6 2009/10 25.9

81.1 75.023.813.95.71.845.8 2010/11 23.8

115.0 79.827.739.78.02.349.8 2011/12 27.4

77.2 72.020.824.17.11.843.9 2012/13 15.6

Coarse Grains

59.1 51.435.88.51.02.028.9 2006/07 5.4

54.2 50.635.05.31.02.027.4 2007/08 4.8

79.0 58.141.517.10.72.630.1 2008/09 9.3

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.5 41.928.48.71.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.5 54.238.424.51.02.927.0 2011/12 6.4

68.6 50.735.520.61.22.527.5 2012/13 4.9

March 2013

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

17.1 7.62.78.30.01.214.3 2009/10 4.3

9.6 6.21.94.90.00.713.1 2010/11 2.9

22.7 7.42.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.4

9.8 6.82.06.50.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

Russia

61.8 39.616.818.60.22.326.7 2009/10 14.7

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 34.012.010.51.51.821.3 2012/13 5.6

Ukraine

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 12.03.56.50.12.85.6 2012/13 2.7

Uzbekistan

6.2 7.51.40.41.74.41.4 2009/10 0.9

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 8.01.70.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.1

6.7 7.71.50.51.54.81.4 2012/13 1.1

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.1 11.21.90.73.52.43.4 2009/10 3.6

6.6 10.91.60.23.92.13.2 2010/11 3.0

7.4 11.41.80.14.72.33.2 2011/12 3.6

7.2 11.51.80.14.02.33.1 2012/13 3.1

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

114.0 78.226.137.25.42.252.6 2009/10 25.9

81.1 75.023.813.95.71.845.8 2010/11 23.8

115.0 79.827.739.78.02.349.8 2011/12 27.4

77.2 72.020.824.17.11.843.9 2012/13 15.6

March 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.51.7 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.51.20.20.11.01.3 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.1

Russia

17.9 16.712.22.70.02.37.7 2009/10 2.4

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.37.92.30.51.87.7 2012/13 0.7

Ukraine

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.03.42.20.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.00.12.71.3 2009/10 0.5

3.3 3.42.60.00.22.41.4 2010/11 0.6

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.4 2011/12 0.6

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.3 2012/13 0.5


36.0 28.120.79.30.22.315.8 2009/10 4.5

21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.1 2010/11 2.9

32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.8

26.0 22.515.44.70.81.914.0 2012/13 2.3

March 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.80.1 2009/10 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.80.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

Russia

4.0 3.73.20.40.03.51.1 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

7.0 4.63.92.00.14.31.6 2011/12 0.5

8.0 6.25.42.30.24.21.9 2012/13 0.2

Ukraine

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 7.86.515.20.16.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 8.06.513.00.14.84.4 2012/13 1.0

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0


2.6 3.02.70.10.23.30.8 2009/10 0.7

2.8 2.92.60.20.23.60.8 2010/11 0.6

3.7 3.22.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.02.70.30.23.40.8 2012/13 0.5


17.7 13.011.35.60.34.34.1 2009/10 1.5

18.4 13.211.35.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

34.1 16.313.817.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.6

32.2 17.815.115.70.44.57.2 2012/13 1.7

March 2013

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.8

11.0 6.00.15.00.03.03.7 2012/13 0.8

Australia

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.70.12.013.5 2010/11 8.1

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.114.0 2011/12 7.0

22.0 6.83.516.50.11.713.3 2012/13 5.8

Canada

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

27.0 7.02.319.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.8

23.3 7.83.016.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.2

25.3 9.74.617.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.44.218.50.52.99.5 2012/13 5.7

Total Wheat Competitors

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

March 2013


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


61.0 20.77.440.40.52.128.8 2008/09 10.9

60.8 18.04.239.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.2

67.9 19.65.644.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.4

70.7 22.27.954.90.62.627.7 2011/12 13.6

60.2 22.27.840.00.62.326.5 2012/13 12.2

India

72.2 72.82.42.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.4 2011/12 20.0

94.9 84.53.66.50.03.229.7 2012/13 23.8

Turkey

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.33.82.07.8 2012/13 1.6

March 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 6.74.617.50.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

26.5 7.54.919.00.07.63.5 2012/13 1.0

Brazil

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.3

72.5 53.045.019.00.84.715.5 2012/13 10.6

China

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

208.0 209.5145.50.22.56.035.0 2012/13 60.1

South Africa

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

March 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.4 10.75.01.80.03.93.1 2011/12 3.4

13.0 10.85.02.50.03.93.3 2012/13 3.1

Total Corn Competitors

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.2 255.9183.643.76.15.455.5 2011/12 72.9

320.0 280.8200.440.73.35.657.3 2012/13 74.7

March 2013


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.3 3.32.15.40.02.23.8 2011/12 0.7

7.0 3.32.13.80.01.83.9 2012/13 0.6

Canada

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.20.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.67.41.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.61.50.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

EU-27

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.1 56.541.51.10.14.513.9 2009/10 15.5

53.5 56.441.24.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.4 51.536.53.00.44.311.9 2011/12 5.3

54.4 52.437.43.90.24.312.6 2012/13 3.6

March 2013


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

5.2 2.21.92.90.04.51.2 2012/13 0.3

Australia

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

1.7 0.90.90.90.02.80.6 2012/13 0.2

March 2013

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

23,46630,7103,58935,97735,0762,5712,63860,062nr319,271 2010/11

20,21132,1554,46028,07128,5633,0003,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

19,49938,10910,20528,50027,8963,5003,53861,755nr319,826 2012/13

Corn

28,644285,014121,79845,24446,590684703316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

25,122279,023115,51838,43039,184765736313,949nr933,989 2011/12

16,062265,111115,57522,50020,9563,0003,175273,832nr835,360 2012/13

Sorghum

6975,2783,1183,8273,853218,779nr51,948 2010/11

5833,9541,7951,5481,610335,447nr31,590 2011/12

5334,3182,2862,1002,03230286,272nr32,005 2012/13

Barley

1,9454,5371,0851811651482073,925nr4998 2010/11

1,3064,1938181791924693543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,6824,6811,3072001744504354,796nr41,313 2012/13

Oats

9822,7891,71537411,4681,4681,178nr2511 2010/11

7982,5491,44527351,7291,621779nr2380 2011/12

6102,6531,55125151,5001,551929nr2423 2012/13

Rye

203309334148141189nr2107 2010/11

113178084174151161nr298 2011/12

2035111257175191176nr2100 2012/13

Rice, Milled

1,5144,317nr3,2473,5286215827,59311,02781,463 2010/11

1,3033,470nr3,3263,2226406155,8668,38881,059 2011/12

9263,975nr3,5003,4417006836,3569,04881,084 2012/13

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

March 2013

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,162.5 278.51,216.1589.7193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5536.7 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.7 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.8640.1187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.3683.3190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.8 448.01,448.2682.6198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,465.3 444.41,468.4688.2214.32.9506.9 1999/00

1,447.2 419.31,472.3697.9205.32.8510.4 2000/01

1,480.6 403.71,496.3711.3208.52.9513.9 2001/02

1,443.6 341.41,505.9708.6209.72.9503.4 2002/03

1,471.1 278.41,534.1714.6206.22.9511.8 2003/04

1,642.5 335.41,585.5754.1214.73.2515.5 2004/05

1,600.0 319.41,616.0754.1222.73.1517.9 2005/06

1,586.1 275.61,629.9744.9230.33.1515.6 2006/07

1,693.4 292.81,676.3758.9245.63.2533.3 2007/08

1,795.8 362.91,725.7770.0254.23.3536.7 2008/09

1,802.3 398.41,766.8777.4254.63.4532.4 2009/10

1,751.7 363.81,786.3771.5249.83.4520.7 2010/11

1,850.5 360.61,853.7802.6286.33.5533.3 2011/12

1,778.9 324.01,815.5807.5265.83.3532.2 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

March 2013

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

588.8 171.6554.3131.5101.32.5231.0 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 163.7573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.2106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.8111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.2 207.3586.9108.8102.42.7215.7 2000/01

583.8 204.3586.7109.6108.12.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.6604.5113.7106.82.7213.6 2002/03

555.4 135.9589.099.3103.52.7207.7 2003/04

626.6 156.3606.3108.7113.32.9216.0 2004/05

618.7 153.4621.6114.9114.12.8217.8 2005/06

596.3 133.8615.8110.2115.62.8211.7 2006/07

612.4 128.2618.1102.3116.82.8217.2 2007/08

683.6 168.2643.7121.3143.53.0224.3 2008/09

686.6 201.0653.8120.4135.63.0225.3 2009/10

652.2 197.9655.3116.1133.73.0217.2 2010/11

697.0 196.5698.4147.1153.33.1221.8 2011/12

655.5 178.2673.7134.3141.83.0215.9 2012/13

Coarse Grains

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6315.3 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.396.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7321.3 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6311.0 1995/96

908.9 203.5869.2573.294.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 217.1867.7579.585.82.8309.5 1997/98

891.4 238.5870.0575.896.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.5 233.5883.0585.5102.43.0294.4 1999/00

863.9 212.0885.4589.1102.92.9294.7 2000/01

896.8 199.3909.5601.6100.53.0299.3 2001/02

873.9 171.8901.4594.9102.93.0289.8 2002/03

915.7 142.5945.1615.3102.73.0304.1 2003/04

1,015.9 179.1979.3645.4101.33.4299.6 2004/05

981.3 166.1994.4639.3108.63.3300.1 2005/06

989.8 141.81,014.1634.7114.73.3303.9 2006/07

1,081.0 164.61,058.2656.6128.83.4316.1 2007/08

1,112.2 194.71,082.0648.7110.73.6312.5 2008/09

1,115.6 197.41,113.0656.9119.03.6307.1 2009/10

1,099.5 165.91,131.0655.3116.23.6303.5 2010/11

1,153.5 164.21,155.2655.6133.03.7311.5 2011/12

1,123.4 145.71,141.8673.2124.03.6316.2 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

March 2013

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.1 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.2605.6422.572.34.4139.0 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.5427.376.04.3137.2 2000/01

601.2 151.3625.1436.572.84.4137.6 2001/02

603.4 126.8627.9433.377.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.1 104.5649.4445.979.24.4141.9 2003/04

716.1 130.7689.8475.876.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.6 124.5706.8478.182.74.8145.7 2005/06

715.1 110.7728.9478.691.44.8149.4 2006/07

794.7 131.8773.5498.498.24.9160.6 2007/08

800.6 147.7784.7481.884.05.0158.9 2008/09

824.0 145.9825.8490.393.05.2158.7 2009/10

832.5 128.1850.3501.891.95.1163.9 2010/11

882.7 131.2879.6504.9103.55.2169.6 2011/12

854.1 117.5867.8522.996.54.9175.0 2012/13

Barley

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.4 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.716.32.553.1 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.617.22.655.8 2001/02

134.4 27.5136.094.816.32.455.0 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.614.92.458.4 2003/04

152.2 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.6 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.555.4 2005/06

137.0 21.4143.798.314.62.456.5 2006/07

133.0 20.4134.091.118.62.456.0 2007/08

155.0 31.5143.9100.018.22.855.4 2008/09

150.8 37.5144.8100.817.32.854.3 2009/10

122.7 24.3135.991.315.22.647.3 2010/11

134.2 22.3136.292.421.42.749.8 2011/12

130.2 19.7132.889.018.52.651.0 2012/13

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

March 2013

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.4399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.8399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.5378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 74.0408.529.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

621.4 76.7414.629.1417.34.0153.9 2005/06

624.7 75.5421.231.9419.94.0154.5 2006/07

642.0 80.9427.229.6432.64.1154.9 2007/08

667.7 92.4437.229.4448.74.2158.2 2008/09

656.9 95.2438.331.6441.14.2156.1 2009/10

670.1 98.7445.636.2449.14.3157.5 2010/11

695.0 105.5459.439.1466.24.4158.9 2011/12

697.8 103.3470.237.4468.14.4158.5 2012/13

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

March 2013


53

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

March 2013


54

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.

March 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


55

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 02-13 February 2013. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 03-13 March 2013. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

March 2013

United States Agriculture Grain - TheFarmSite.com · EU Wheat Exports Boost Demand for Corn ....

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