Unit II Decision Making

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    Decision Making

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    Definition of DM

    Decision Making is the Cognitive processleading to the selection of a Course Of

    Action among Alternatives According to Rollinson:- Decision making is

    the process of producing a solution to arecognized problem

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    Cont.

    Acc to Allen, Management decision-making is the work a manager performs to

    arrive at conclusion and judgment. It is the choice made by the decision

    maker about what should be or should notbe done in a given situation.

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    Elements of Decision-makingprocess The Decision-maker

    The Decision problem

    The environment in which the decision is to be

    made. The objective of the decision-maker

    The alternative courses of action

    The outcomes expected from variousalternatives

    The final choice of the alternative

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    Decision-making involves the entireprocess of establishing goals, defining

    tasks, searching for alternatives, anddeveloping plans in order to find the bestanswer to the decision problems.

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    CHARACTERISTICS OFDECISION-MAKING

    It is the process of choosing the bestcourse of action from among the alternative

    courses of action. It is a mental or intellectual process.

    It is always purposive or goal-oriented.

    It may be positive or negative. A decision may be expressed in words or

    may be implied from behavior.

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    Cont..

    It is the end process preceded bydiscussions and deliberations andreasoning.

    Decision making is a blend of thinking,deciding and action.

    Decision-making involves certain

    commitment. Decision-making involves a time decision

    and a time lag.

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    Cont..

    It is always related to environment orcircumstances or situations.

    Decision-making is both a managerialfunction and an organisational process.

    Decision-making is rational.

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    Importance of Decision-making

    No business can survive without effectivedecision-making.

    It is an essential part of every function ofmanagement.

    It is the core of managerial activity.

    Decision-making and planning are deeplyinterlinked.

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    Cont..

    Acc to Peter.F.Drucker, whatever a

    manager does, he does through decision-

    making.

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    Stages in Rational Decision-making

    Rational Decision is a ability to follow asystematic, logical, thorough approach in

    decision-making. Judicious, sensible, scientific.

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    Stages :-

    Diagnosing and defining the problem Analysing the problem

    Collection of data

    Developing alternatives

    Review of key factors

    Selecting the best alternative

    Putting the decision into practice

    Follow up

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    Diagnosing and defining theproblem

    Identify what business practices are

    causing the company to incur losses.

    Are the prices too low or expenses toohigh?

    Sufficient time should be spent on definingthe problem .

    Clear definition of the problem is veryimportant as the right answer can be foundonly to a right question.

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    Analysing the problem

    Classifying the problem and gatheringinformation.

    To know who should take the decision andwho should be consulted in taking it.

    - the nature of the decision (strategic or

    routine) -the impact of the decision on other

    functions

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    cont..

    -the futurity of the decision

    - the periodicity of the decision

    The limiting or strategic factor relevant tothe decision.

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    Collection of Data

    Trying to analyse without facts is likeguessing directions at a crossing without

    reading the highway signboards. Decision is as good as the information on

    which it is based.

    Money and time spent- to gatherinformation.

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    Developing Alternatives

    Alternatives exist for every decisionproblem.

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    Review of Key Factors

    A limiting factor- one which stands in theway of accomplishing the desired goal.

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    Selecting the Best Alternative

    Intuition choosing a solution that seemsto be good at that time.

    Is to weigh the consequences of oneagainst the those of others.

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    Acc to Peter Drucker - Criteria

    Risk

    Economy of Effort

    Situation or Timing Limitation of Resources

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    Putting the Decision into Practice

    Implementationresistance by thesubordinates who are affected by the

    decision. Make subordinates committed to the

    decision.

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    Follow Up Reasons are :-

    If the decision is a good one, one will knowwhat to do if faced with the similar problem

    again.

    If the decision is bad one, one will knowwhat not to do the next time.

    If the decision is a bad and one follows upsoon enough, corrective action may still bepossible.

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    Kinds of Decision

    Programmed Decisions and Non-Programmed Decisions

    Strategic Decisions and Routine Decisions Policy Decisions and Operating Decisions

    Major Decisions and Minor Decisions

    Organisational Decisions and PersonalDecisions

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    Cont

    Individual Decisions and Group decisions

    Departmental Decisions, Interdepartmental

    Decisions and Enterprise Decisions Objective Decisions and Subjective

    Decisions

    Off-the-cuff Decisions and PlannedDecisions