Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis. Foreign Policy Analysis Foreign policy is designed to protect...
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Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis
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Transcript of Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis. Foreign Policy Analysis Foreign policy is designed to protect...
Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis
Foreign Policy Analysis
• Foreign policy is designed to protect and promote the national interest abroad
• Domestic policy is designed to protect and promote the national interest within the country
National Interest
Promote a nation’s
• Security
• Stability
• Prosperity
National Interest
Promote a nation’s• Security• Stability• ProsperityIn the domains of• Domestic• Regional• Global
National Interest
Promote a nation’s• Security• Stability• ProsperityIn the domains of• Domestic• Regional• GlobalIdentify threats to those interests, formulate policy
National Interest Policy Matrix
Domestic Regional Global
Security
Stability
Prosperity
Foreign Policy Analysis
• Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA)– Individual Decision-maker (cognitive
paradigm)• Examine the decision-maker using one of several
different approaches
Decision-making variables
Decision-making variables
Affect
Decision-making variables
Affect
Cognition
Decision-making variables
Affect
Cognition
Personality
Decision-making variables
Affect
Cognition
Personality
Group
Decision-making variables
Affect
Cognition
Personality
Group
Social Milieu
Decision-making variables
Affect
Cognition
Personality
Group
Social Milieu
Time
Foreign Policy Analysis
• Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA)– Individual Decision-maker (cognitive
paradigm)• Examine the decision-maker using one of several
different approaches • This approach costly in time and resources
Foreign Policy Analysis
• Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA)– Individual Decision-maker – Bureaucratic Model
• Standard operating procedures• Turf battles
Iraq War case
President Bush
Secy StatePowell
Natl Sec AdvisorRice
Secy Defense Rumsfeld
Foreign Policy Analysis
• Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA)– Individual Decision-maker – Bureaucratic Model– Neorealist Unitary Rational Actor model
• Assume rationality, assume unity• Personalities and individual quirks are
epiphenomenal• Focus on relative power status
Unitary Rational Actor Black Box analogy
Individual or group dynamics ignored
Party decision or behavior
Environmental condition
Greenstein’s Criteria
• When is it worth the time and resources to open the black box? Remember Occam’s razor “One should not increase, beyond what is necessary, the number of entities required to explain anything.”
Greenstein’s Criteria
• The actor occupies a strategic position
• In an ambiguous or unstable situation
• Where there are no clear precedents
• Or spontaneous or especially effortful behavior is required.
