Understanding the Health Insurance Business: Medicare Advantage · 2019-07-18 · Understanding the...
Transcript of Understanding the Health Insurance Business: Medicare Advantage · 2019-07-18 · Understanding the...
Understanding the Health Insurance Business:
Medicare AdvantageThursday, July 18, 2019
Health Plan Advisory Council
Rachel Sokol
Practice Manager
The Advisory Board Company
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
ROAD MAP6
Overview of Business Line1
2 Major Trends Impacting Medicare Advantage Plans
3 Understanding Key Advisory Board Resources
4 Questions
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
7
Medicare Contains Several Coverage Options
Source: “Medicare 2017 costs at a glance,” CMS, https://www.medicare.gov/your-medicare-costs/costs-at-a-glance/costs-at-
glance.html; “Medicare Enrollment Dashboard,” CMS, https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-
Trends-and-Reports/CMSProgramStatistics/Dashboard.html; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
1) 1) Durable medical equipment.
Medicare in Brief, 2019
Part A
Hospital and long-
term care
insurance;
includes home
health, hospice
Part B
Medical
insurance;
includes tests,
prevention, DME1
Part C
Private Medicare
plans that
combine Part A,
Part B and
(usually) Part D
Part D
Prescription
drug coverage
Part D
Prescription
drug coverage
(if not already
included)
Medigap
Private
supplemental
insurance policies
END
Ineligible for
Medigap
(45.5 M Enrollees)
2. Add drug coverage?
3. Add supplemental coverage?
• Federally-funded
insurance for seniors
(65+) and disabled
• Part A funded through
payroll deductions
• Part A: No premium;
$1,364 deductible,
coinsurance only for
extended inpatient stays
• Parts B, C, D have
monthly premiums,
deductibles,
coinsurance/copays
Traditional Medicare
(38.1 M Enrollees)
Medicare Advantage
(22.7 M Enrollees)
21
Medicare Coverage Options1. What kind of coverage?
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8
Understanding the consumer’s MA decision
1) Out-of-pocket.
Attractive Features
and Potential Benefits
Deterrents and
Potential Risks
Overwhelming set of
product choices
Coordinated, multi-
benefit package
Additional benefit
options (e.g., gym)
Restricted network of
providers and service regions
Utilization approval
rules and restrictions
Familiar customer service
(to employer-based coverage)
Lower or zero premium
costs, with OOP1 limits
Variable, confusing cost
sharing and coverage
Consumer considerations and drivers for choosing Medicare Advantage
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9
Medicare Advantage Continues Record Growth
Source: “Medical Enrollment Dashboard”, CMS, https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/Dashboard/Medicare-
Enrollment/Enrollment%20Dashboard.html; “A Dozen Facts About Medicare Advantage in 2019”. Kaiser Family Foundation, https://www.kff.org/medicare/issue-
brief/a-dozen-facts-about-medicare-advantage-in-2019/; Medicare Advantage: Total Enrollment,” Kaiser Family Foundation, https://www.kff.org/medicare/state-
indicator/ma-total-enrollment/?currentTimeframe=0&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort%22:%22asc%22%7D; “Medicare Advantage Fact
Sheet,” Kaiser Family Foundation, http://kff.org/medicare/fact-sheet/medicare-advantage-fact-sheet/; “Medicare Congressional Budget Office’s January 2017
Baseline,” CBO, https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/recurringdata/51302-2017-01-medicare.pdf; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
1) Projected.
5.6M
13%
19M
33%
31M1
41%
202720172005
MA Enrollment to Nearly Double by 2025
Total Enrollment and Percentage of
Total Medicare Population
0%-13% 39%-51%14%-25%
MA Penetration Varies by State, 2019
Total MA Enrollment as a Percent of
Total Medicare Population
26%-38%
MA enrollment
growth since 201098%
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10
Unpacking a favorable financial opportunity
Plans forced to lean on performance revenue amid fluctuating rates
Source: Jacobson, G, Damico A, Neuman, T, “A Dozen Facts About Medicare Advantage”, November, 2018, https://www.kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/a-
dozen-facts-about-medicare-advantage/; V, “CMS gives Medicare Advantage plans a raise, Modern Healthcare, April 2018;
https://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20180402/NEWS/180409987/cms-gives-medicare-advantage-plans-a-raise; Medicare Advantage plans see
smaller rate hikes for 2020, Modern Healthcare, January 2019, https://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20190130/NEWS/190139987/medicare-
advantage-plans-see-smaller-rate-hikes-for-2020; Ladsariya et al., “Medicare Advantage: Dispelling market misconceptions,” McKinsey & Company,
January 2014; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
2.95%
3.40%
2.53%
2018 2019 2020
Payment rate increases
continue to fluctuate
Annual MA payment rate increases
2015 2016 2017 2018
$3.0 B
$3.8 B
$5.9 B $6.3 B
Bonuses paid to MA plans more
than doubled over four years
Total bonuses paid out to MA plans (in billions)
Established and
new carriers offer
more products 18%Increase in number of
plan product offerings
available to consumers
between 2018-20191
New carriers offering MA plan
products in 2019, up from 7 in 2018
147
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Medicare Advantage Payment a Multi-Step Process
Plans Required to Use Rebate to Supply Supplemental Benefits
“Medicare Advantage Program Payment System,” MedPAC, October 2016, http://www.medpac.gov/docs/default-
source/payment-basics/medpac_payment_basics_16_ma_final.pdf; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
1) Plan share of rebate varies by star rating.
Gym membership Dental
Vision Reduced cost sharing
Risk adjustment factorPlan Bid Rebate
+ =
Payment to plan
Examples of Supplemental Benefits Offered Through Rebates
Medicare Advantage Plan Payment Process
(0.5 to 0.7)1
Regional or local Medicare benchmark
×
Illustration Showing Plan Bid Below Benchmark
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Seniors May Have a Lot More to Shop For
CMS Increases Coverage Flexibility to Reduce Medical Costs
Medicare Advantage
Source: CMS, “CMS Finalizes Policy Changes and Updates for Medicare Advantage and the Prescription Drug Benefit Program for Contract Year 2019 (CMS-
4182-F)”, April 2018 https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/cms-finalizes-policy-changes-and-updates-medicare-advantage-and-prescription-drug-benefit-
program; Foley & Lardner LLP, “Direct Provider Contract Alternative Payment Model - CMS/CMMI Issues Request for Information” April 2018; Health Plan
Advisory Council interviews and analysis; https://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2018/09/12/medicare-preventative-social-needs-000688.
1) Value Based Insurance Design
CMS' Finalized Changes to Medicare Advantage 2019
• Plans can design disease-specific
benefits for enrollees with chronic or
high-risk conditions
Custom(ish) Benefit Design
• Supplemental benefits can cover
services that diagnose, prevent or
improve effects of health conditions
Supplemental Benefit Expansion
Example Plan Services
Reduced co-pays for
diabetic enrollees
Additional tobacco cessation
sessions for enrollees with COPD
Transportation to primary
care appointments
Temporary and portable mobility
ramps for in-home safety
2019 Medicare Advantage Outlook
Leverage supplemental benefits for
Medicare Advantage growth
NEW ADVISORY BOARD
RESEARCH REPORT
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
ROAD MAP13
Overview of Business Line1
2 Major Trends Impacting Medicare Advantage Plans
3 Understanding Key Advisory Board Resources
4 Questions
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
14
Success Requires Juggling Multiple Priorities
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Common Medicare Advantage Plan
Operational Priorities Challenges to Success
Accurate member risk coding
Greater reimbursement for
riskier member populations
• Collaborating with providers to collect member
health information
• Compelling members to complete HRAs
Attracting and retaining
enrollees
Increased revenue from member
enrollment
• Maintaining and increasing quality ratings
• Keeping premiums steady
Closing care gaps
Higher quality rating for managing
and screening members
• Recruiting providers to close clinical gaps
• Capturing member attention
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What Is Risk Adjustment?
Process Assigns Member Risk Score Using Previous Year Diagnoses
Accurate Member Risk Coding
Source: “Primer Medicare Risk Adjustment,” The American Action Forum, https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/primer-
medicare-risk-adjustment/; Naveh, M, “Lax Coding by Physicians Hurts Medicare Advantage Plans,” Managed Care, January 2008,
https://www.managedcaremag.com/archives/2008/1/lax-coding-physicians-hurts-medicare-advantage-plans; Health Plan Advisory
Council interviews and analysis.
Member 1 Member 2
• 66 years old
• No chronic
illnesses
• 73 years old
• Diabetes and
hypertension
Factors Contributing to Risk Score
Diagnoses Age Sex
Accounts for
relative cost
difference
Purpose of Risk Adjustment
Risk Adjustment
The Cost of
Undercoding in
Medicare Advantage
“From a coding perspective,
these plans are often paid
$2,000 less than they should
be paid for these members
because of under-reporting of
ICD-9 codes.”
Al Lewis
Disease Management Purchasing
Consortium
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Casual Relationship Lacking
Few Clear-Cut Wins in Risk Adjustment
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Coding Intervention Conducive Conditions Barriers to Success
Efforts to Improve Coding Accuracy
Direct Provider
Incentives
Plans with dominant
market share that can
offer substantial incentives
Providers working with more
than 10 plans unlikely to be
interested in one payer’s
incentives
Coding
Education
Providers at-risk for total
cost; smaller provider
groups needing support
Larger provider groups
who have not yet
assumed global risk
Embedded
Coders
Provider practices that
contain a majority of
plan’s membership
Larger practices with own
coders or small practices that
outsource billing operations
Home
Assessments
New Medicare
Advantage members
Employed members and
elderly members that
have recent utilization
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17
Success Requires Juggling Multiple Priorities
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Common Medicare Advantage Plan
Operational Priorities Challenges to Success
Accurate member risk coding
Greater reimbursement for
riskier member populations
• Collaborating with providers to collect member
health information
• Compelling members to complete HRAs
Attracting and retaining
enrollees
Increased revenue from member
enrollment
• Maintaining and increasing quality ratings
• Keeping premiums steady
Closing care gaps
Higher quality rating for managing
and screening members
• Recruiting providers to close clinical gaps
• Capturing member attention
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18
Are Stars Worth the Investment?
Majority of Members in 3+-Star Plans
Source: “Part C and D Performance Data,”, CMS, https://www.cms.gov/Medicare/Prescription-Drug-Coverage/PrescriptionDrugCovGenIn/PerformanceData.html;
“Medicare offers improved access to high-quality health coverage choices in 2018,” CMS, https://www.cms.gov/Newsroom/MediaReleaseDatabase/Press-
releases/2017-Press-releases-items/2017-10-11.html; McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform, “Addressing the 2017 Medicare Advantage Star ratings,”
http://healthcare.mckinsey.com/sites/default/files/Intelligence-Brief_2017-Medicare-Stars-Performance.pdf; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
1) For all data analysis, only plans with reported Part C data to generate
a star rating included.
Distribution of Plan Star Ratings, 2018
Number of Plans by Part C Ratings1
2
12
61
139
97
58
16
2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
Contracts that retained a 4+ Star rating from 2014 to
2016 experienced more than 5 times the enrollment
growth of those that lost a 4+ Star rating
Implications for growth
Projected enrollees in 4+ star
MA-PD plans for 2018
73%
Star Rating Definitions
Excellent
Above average
Average
Below average
Poor
Rating domains: Prevention, managing
chronic conditions, member experience,
member complaints, customer service
Attracting and retaining enrollees
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19
11% 11% 11%
21% 24%29%
$0-$4.99 $5-$9.99 $10-$19.99 $20-29.99 $30-$39.99 $40 or more
Switching Relatively Low
But Those That Switch Do So For Lower Premiums and Better Quality
Source: Jacobson G, Neuman T, “Medicare Advantage Plan Switching: Exception or Norm?,” Kaiser Family Foundation, https://www.kff.org/report-
section/medicare-advantage-plan-switching-exception-or-norm-issue-brief/; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
1) Numbers don’t sum to 100 percent because of rounding.
2) Includes members who died, switched to traditional
Medicare, or involuntarily switched.
MA Enrollees Voluntarily Switching Plans
14%12%
9%
3%
2 or 2.5 3 or 3.5 4 or 4.5 5
2013 Plan Star Rating
By Premium Increase, 2013-2014
By Star Rating, 2013-2014
Change in Monthly Premium if Enrollees Did Not Switch
78% 11%
10%
Stayed with
same plan
Switched
plan
voluntarily
Other2
Distribution of
MA Enrollees
By Switching Status,
2013-20141Members more likely to
switch when facing higher
premium increase
Members in higher
rated plans less
likely to switch
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
20
Success Requires Juggling Multiple Priorities
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Common Medicare Advantage Plan
Operational Priorities Challenges to Success
Accurate member risk coding
Greater reimbursement for
riskier member populations
• Collaborating with providers to collect member
health information
• Compelling members to complete HRAs
Attracting and retaining
enrollees
Increased revenue from member
enrollment
• Maintaining and increasing quality ratings
• Keeping premiums steady
Closing care gaps
Higher quality rating for managing
and screening members
• Recruiting providers to close clinical gaps
• Capturing member attention
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
21
Closing Care Gaps A Key Piece of Stars Strategy
Closing Care Gaps
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Staying Healthy:
Screening, Tests,
and Vaccines
Accessibility and
timeliness of care,
care coordination
and customer
service
Screening and
vaccines rates,
maintaining
physical and
mental health
Medication review,
functional status,
chronic condition
care, and all-cause
readmissions
Managing Chronic
(Long Term)
Conditions
Member
Experience with
Health Plan
Member
Complaints and
Changes in the
Health Plan’s
Performance
Health Plan
Customer Service
Plan quality
improvement, as
well as member
retention and
complaints
Appeals review
process and call
center capacity
Five Part C Stars Domains and Metric Areas
Care Gaps
Closing care gaps also essential
for managing member costs
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22
Hard to Budge on Stars
Source: “Five-Star Quality Rating System,” CMS, https://www.cms.gov/medicare/provider-enrollment-and-
certification/certificationandcomplianc/fsqrs.html; Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Plan Star Performance, 2014-20161
325
12
Had available data
Changed star rating
Increased by 1 star
192
41%Plans keeping a
constant rating
over 2 years
Barriers to Closing Care Caps
• Plan data confusing and untimely
• Closing gaps may not be worth
provider time
• Plan communication confusing
• Members uninterested in plan
engagement
Recruiting providers Capturing member attention
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23
(Hook)ing Members
Annual Wellness Visit Focus Scales Marketing Efforts
Sample Case Study: Guided Actions
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews
and analysis.
1) Pseudonym.
Orchid Health Plan1 Program Staff Responsibility
Marketing and risk staff
work together on
member roadmaps
Analytics staff generate
member lists with next
action items
Dedicated marketing staff
create member “hooks”
for identified actions
From: [email protected]
Subject: Take 3 minutes to schedule your free visit!
Happy New Year, Sam!
We’re excited to see you for your annual wellness visit this year. Take 5 minutes to schedule
your visit with Dr. Smith here. Looking forward to seeing you!
Sample Email
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24
Adaptive Learning
Mass Customization Built on Consistent Messages
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
January
Betty,
Age 65
• Email: Schedule
your Annual
Wellness Visit
• Please discuss:
HRA, diabetes,
breast cancer
screening,
colonoscopy
cancer screening
Roadmap Examples for Orchid MA Beneficiaries
Betty went to her
wellness visit.
Phil
Age 71
• Letter: Schedule
your Annual
Wellness Visit
• Please discuss:
HRA, monitoring
mental health,
colonoscopy
cancer screening
Phil did not
schedule
wellness visit.
Email: Check
your blood sugar,
schedule diabetes
follow-up
appointment
Phone Follow-up:
Schedule your
Annual Wellness
Visit
Phil went to his
wellness visit and
scheduled follow
up with behavioral
health specialist.
Betty goes to
provider and has
new medication
issues.
Phone Follow-up:
See your doctor for
medication
reconciliation.
February March April
Phone Follow-up:
Schedule your
colonoscopy
screening.
May
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25
Orchid’s Strong Improvements in Quality Performance
Star Power
Redesigned Messaging Yields Significant Bonus
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Medicare Advantage
members getting annual
wellness visits, up from 6%
30%Increase in 1 year of
strategy implementation
1.5 stars
Knowing What You Want Your Members To Do
“If our communications confuse health plan and health system individuals,
even using the jargon that we all understand, how do we expect consumers in
the individual marketplace to understand what we’re saying? We had to figure
out a way of simplifying the message, not only so that people can consume it,
but so that we understand what we actually want them to do.”
Vice President, Quality
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26
Guided Actions (cont.)
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
1) Pseudonym
Case in Brief: Orchid Health Plan1
• Regional health plan, with >300,000 Medicare Advantage members
• In order to qualify for the MA bonus, Orchid started a quality program a year ago
to steer members towards the MA metrics that carried the most weight
• Orchid sends its Medicare Advantage members customized mailings based on 3-
4 priority activities each member needs to complete
• Succeeding messages to member takes into account their clinical interactions
from the last month and the next action item with the heaviest measure weight
• They attained a 1.5-Star increase for MA Stars within 1 year of implementing the
strategy, associated with a 24% increase in annual wellness visits
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
ROAD MAP27
Overview of Business Line1
2 Major Trends Impacting Medicare Advantage Plans
3 Understanding Key Advisory Board Resources
4 Questions
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
28
Other Health Plan Advisory Council Resources
Source: Health Plan Advisory Council interviews and analysis.
Contact us at [email protected] for
access to more resources on Medicare
Advantage needs and priorities
The Medicare Advantage Stars
Improvement Guide
A custom toolkit for improving stars
performance
New Partnerships for
Risk Adjustment Accuracy
Tactics to encourage provider and
member behavior that supports your risk
adjustment strategy.
How to Give Providers
the Data They Want
Three steps to better data sharing
with providers
Three Major Avenues for Growth
in Medicare Advantage
Quick insight on Medicare
Advantage growth
© 2019 Advisory Board • All rights reserved • advisory.com
ROAD MAP29
Overview of Business Line1
2 Major Trends Impacting Medicare Advantage Plans
3 Understanding Key Advisory Board Resources
4 Questions