Understanding of the Vietnamese Economy and Business Environment 2010
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Transcript of Understanding of the Vietnamese Economy and Business Environment 2010
UNDERSTANDING OF
THE VIETNAMESE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Dr. Vuong Quan HoangDHVP Research
VIETNAM’S GDP, 1990 - 2009
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
THE STOCK OF FDI IN VIETNAM(by type of investment, as of Oct. 20, 2009)
Source: GSO and Vietnam Economic Times, 2009. Registration and statutory capital figures in million of USD.
56,527174,71510,805Total
83981Investment holding
4671,7479BOT, BT, BTO contract
1,3544,711183Joint-stock corporation
4,4794,961221Business cooperation contract
15,73354,5642,000Joint venture
34,411108,6348,391100% foreign-owned
Statutory Capital
RegistrationNo. of projects
MAJOR FDI SOURCES
Singapore, 16.9, 10%
Japan, 17.7, 10%
Thailand, 5.7, 3%
BVI, 13.2, 8%
USA, 12.8 , 7%
Hong Kong, 7.8, 4%
Cayman Islands, 6.6 , 4%
Others, 34.1, 20%
Taiwan, 21.3, 12%
Malaysia, 18.1, 10%
S. Korea, 20.5, 12%
Source: Vietnam Economic Times, 2009. (Data point: Country; Cumulated FDI registration; Relative contribution in percentage.
RELATIVE FDI CAPITAL TO GDP vs. REAL GDP GROWTH
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
Real GDP G/R FDI:GDP
Source: GDP, FDI at current price by GSO 2009, US$ rate by Vuong (2003, 2004).
‘SEED’ CAPITAL• Most Vietnamese business people are enthusiastic
about discussing collaboration opportunities
• Perception: foreigners bring
– Future profits
– AND immediate revenues
• Knowledge of the local market should be an asset for
the potential partnership
• Face-saving keeps Vietnamese business people not
asking for what they really want
`Seed’ capital for long-term partnership
CULTURAL INTERPRETER• There is a gap between what the local
partner proposes what he has done or is
able to do
• “Cultural Interpreter”
– local professional business and
consulting firm
– understanding and expertise of the
business and administrative processes
DISGUISED ENTREPRENEURS• Who are disguised entrepreneurs?
– A bunch of ideas and proposals– NO risk-taking, NO implementing, ect.– Trying to be on the “safe-side”
• Middle man:– Willing to facilitate the foreigners’ smooth businesses
in Vietnam– Gains: profits, business relations, images and brands
• Keep encouraging them to do their best for business collaboration.
STRATEGIC PLANNING AND THE USE OF CONSULTANTS
• Many Vietnamese entrepreneurs set up and start running a new company with:– A list of wishes– No business plan
• New fashion of the Vietnamese large corporations: – Doing “big things,”– Thinking globally, – Developing strategy
• Strategic planning services: a multi-million dollars market• High prices for:
– Well-known consulting brands (experts, professors)– The business owner’s ex-ante strategy – Higher prices of equity
HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
Cost-BenefitAnalysis
Short-Sightedness
Short-Sightedness Low quality ofTeamwork and Professionalism
Skills and Behaviorsat work
It is too complicated to show their linkages!!!
Case study: F or P or T is the making of a success story?
• The T- Out of a technology dream, into a technology hotspot
• The P- Reputation is not something in the air, it is on earth– What does FPT stand for?
Food Processing Technology Financing Promoting Technology
• The F- The financials that come last, but never the least
Welcome to Vietnam!