Ultimate Platform Hotness Smackdown (Twitter, Facebook, iPhone, Native Web / Search)
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Transcript of Ultimate Platform Hotness Smackdown (Twitter, Facebook, iPhone, Native Web / Search)
ULTIMATE PLATFORM
HOTNESS SMACKDOWNStartup2Startup / Boulder
June 30, 2009David Cohen, TechStars
Dave McClure, Founders FundJeff Clavier, SoftTech VC
Ryan McIntyre, Foundry GroupHoward Lindzon, StockTwits/WallStrip
Platforms: HOT or NOT?
• Facebook• iPhone• Twitter• Native Web (Search)
• Social Networks: Facebook, MySpace, LinkedIn, Twitter, Orkut, hi5, Friendster• Email & IM: Yahoo, MSFT, Google, AOL, Skype• Mobile: iPhone, Palm, Android, Blackberry, etc• Gaming: Zynga, RockYou, Slide, Playfish, SGN• E-Commerce: Amazon (1-Click), eBay (PayPal), Apple (iTunes)• Dev: Amazon (AWS), Google AppEngine, Ruby/Rails, Python/Django, etc• Other: SalesForce, Craigslist, Wikipedia, YouTube
Platform Viability
Users .Users . . Money. Money
FeaturesFeatures
Growth Profit
ProfitableGrowth
Nirvana
Successful Platforms have 3 Things:1) Features2) Users3) Money
Discussion Topics
• Distribution– Viral? Paid?
• Monetization• Gatekeepers & Trolls vs Support• Stability / Predictability• Reputation / Identity• Demographic• The Future ?
Facebook Platform & Facebook Connect:
Big Pimping via Profiles, Apps, Feeds
Facebook Overview• Users: 250M and counting (100M+ in US)• Demographic: college -> everyone (moms, grandmas)• Distribution: Most viral platform on the planet• Monetization: up to you: ads, lead-gen, virtual goods• Gatekeepers: not much, unless you get spammy• Stability / Predictability: stable, but fickle?
– Invitations/Notifications: lot s of rules, changes often– NewsFeed: amazing distribution, but algorithm continues to “evolve”
• Reputation / Identity: amazing access to social graph– Facebook Connect: portabile identity across the web (+ payments?)
The Good Stuff
• Social Networks Viral Distribution via Friends Lists – 1) Messaging, 2) Profile Surfing, 3) News Feeds
• Social “Gestures” & Communication (pokes, wall posts, emails) drive User Engagement & Distribution
• Social Content (notes, photos, videos) can be “tagged” with people data that also drives User Engagement & Distribution
• Social Applications are “carriers” for Content & Communication
• Facebook Connect enables “data portability” for logins, profile data, friend lists, and other social network content, data, & applications
• Facebook Payments is coming… soon?
Facebook Connect, Facebook Payments
Facebook Connect• Standardized User Login for use OFF-Platform (outside Facebook)• Access to ON-Platform data (user profiles, friend lists)• “Data Portability” -> take my network with me, anywhere on the web• Lightweight app framework for use OFF-networkPossibility: 250M+ users across the web; “1-click” login / “always logged in
Internet”, use of FB Connect use by branded sites & retailers
Facebook Payments• Not launched yet; “coming soon” (now in alpha)• On-platform payment option (wallet? Micro-transactions?)• Off-platform payment option (via FB Connect)Possibility: Social Commerce, “Viral” Products / Digital Goods
Jeff Clavier (aka @jeff)Managing Partner, SoftTech VC
Disclosure: Whoopsie, I actually own AAPL
iPhone: The Good,
The Bad and the Ugly
iPhone Platform – The Good• 30M devices (iPhone/iPod Touch) as of 12/08(?)
• Over 1B downloads from AppStore
• Easy referencing (sort of), deployment, update
• Baked in monetization: premium apps, subscriptions, in-app commerce
• Zero-carrier friction
iPhone Platform – The Bad• Limited discoverability among 56K applications
– Tough organic customer acquisition
• No internal virality (no contacts/graph)
• Challenging economics– Apple’s 30%– Only the head of the tail of applications makes money– Like video, advertising only works for premium
content/applications
• Proprietary development language
iPhone Platform – The Ugly
• Application developers are not managed like an asset by Apple, more like a necessary evil
• Lot of crappy apps out there
iPhone Platform – The Ugly
• Application developers are not managed like an asset by Apple, more like a necessary evil
• Lot of crappy apps out there
• Proprietary development language
What is StockTwits? • StockTwits is an open, community-powered investment
idea and information service
• 80,000 twitter subscribers• Our "Human Ticker” adds context
• TweetDeck's functionality enables "Social Bloomberg"
• Eavesdrop on traders and investors in the “Now Web”
• Piggyback on Twitter’s reputation system
• Transparency assures meritocracy
Free Model
Tweetdeck Integration
Native Web(Search)
Web / Search: One Platform to Rule Them AllHotness• Features (yes, all of them!)• Users (1.6B and counting)• Money (lots! GOOG is $22B, AMZN $20B, EBAY $8B)• The search gesture carries more economic value than social/sharing
gestures (for now)• The über platform: all interesting apps built on web stack, whether FB,
Twitter, iPhone, etc• Big serendipity/surprise factor inherent in the web/search platform• No gatekeeper, no approval process, widest flexibility in developer tools,
ease of deployment• Web’s ecosystem of ad networks, payment systems, affiliate revenues,
etc. enable monetization for non-developers: publishers, retailers
Web / Search: One Platform to Rule Them All
Coldness• Growing more slowly than FB, Twitter, iPhone, etc• You can build anything. Constraints imposed by FB,
Twitter, iPhone platforms can actually benefit developers WRT stability, distribution, monetization
• De-facto gatekeeper: Search engine dynamics throttle distribution. Time/money required to build Google juice/SEO and to engage in SEM
• Pages not people (links are king, ignores the social, makes distribution hard)
• Then, not now (web is archive, not zeitgeist)
Discussion Topics
• Distribution– Viral? Paid?
• Monetization• Gatekeepers & Trolls vs Support• Stability / Predictability• Reputation / Identity• Demographic• The Future ?
Platform Viability
Users .Users . . Money. Money
FeaturesFeatures
Growth Profit
ProfitableGrowth
Nirvana
Successful Platforms have 3 Things:1) Features2) Users3) Money