Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various...
Transcript of Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various...
Ukraine today: challenges and prospects
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• Methodology: face-to-face interview at the places of residence (PAPI: 1500, СAPI: 1500)
• Sample: • Representative by age (population 18 years of age and older), gender, type of settlement and region; • Sample size: 3000 respondents • Standard deviation +/- 1,8% • Cooperation rate 51%
• Field stage:
Since April, 30 to May, 10, 2019
West: Volyn, Lviv, Rivne, Zakarpatska, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Chernivtsi oblasts Center: Vinnitsa, Kirovograd, Poltava, Khmelnytsky, Cherkasy oblasts. North: Zhytomyr, Kiyv, Sumy, Chernihiv oblasts. East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhya, Kharkiv oblasts. Donbass: Donetsk, Luhansk oblasts (survey was conducted only in controlled territories) South: Mykolayiv, Odessa, Kherson oblasts. Kiyv.
1 May - 2019
2
Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections
Ukraine today: challenges and prospects May-2019
Participation level in the elections of the Presidential of Ukraine on March 31st and April 21st, 2019 (estimates).
3
74,0%
5,0%
4,9%
11,5%
4,6%
Participated in voting inboth rounds
Participated in votingonly in the first round
Participated in votingonly in the second round
Did not participate invoting during
Presidential elections
No answer
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Participated in voting in both rounds 73,0% 73,2% 77,1% 79,0% 69,5% 67,0% 74,3%
Participated in voting only in the first round 4,8% 4,4% 6,1% 4,1% 8,9% 4,9% 3,5%
Participated in voting only in the second round 4,4% 6,0% 4,4% 5,0% 4,2% 5,2% 4,9%
Did not participate in voting during Presidential elections 12,1% 12,9% 6,3% 9,6% 14,2% 15,7% 12,8%
No answer 5,7% 3,5% 6,1% 2,3% 3,2% 7,2% 4,4%
18-29 years
30-39 years
40-49 years
50-59 years
60 years and older
Participated in voting in both rounds 70,0% 70,4% 75,1% 75,6% 78,0%
Participated in voting only in the first round 4,4% 3,5% 2,8% 6,6% 6,9%
Participated in voting only in the second round 5,0% 5,7% 5,4% 4,1% 4,4%
Did not participate in voting during Presidential elections 17,0% 14,2% 12,9% 8,3% 6,6%
No answer 3,7% 6,2% 3,8% 5,4% 4,0%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Who did you vote for in the FIRST ROUND
of Presidential elections on March 31st, 2019?
4 Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Who did you vote for in the SECOND ROUND
of Presidential elections on April, 21st, 2019?
Among those who voted (n=2364)
Based on the data of CEC
74% 73,22%
23% 24,45%
3% Недійсні
2,31%
6,8%
2,9%
6,6% 9,7% 10,1% 48,0%
3,7%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ВВ
If the next Sunday were the elections for Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, would you come to vote?
5
8,8%
5,5%
29,9%
49,3%
6,4%
Definitely, NO
Rather, NO
Rather, YES
Definitely, YES
Hard to answer
14,3%
79,2%
Score on a 10-point scale: "0" - absolutely sure that they will not vote, "10" - are convinced that they will vote
12,1%
11,2% 16,6% 14,1% 11,9% 20,0% 17,1% 16,4%
82,7% 78,6% 82,2% 78,6% 75,3% 74,5% 77,0%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Will not vote Will vote
17,6% 15,4% 16,5% 12,2% 10,9%
75,4% 77,2% 79,1% 81,6% 82,3%
18-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60 years andolder
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
7
Which party will you vote for during Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada elections, if the following parties will be in the list?
29,5%
8,1%
7,8%
6,7%
3,8%
3,7%
2,6%
2,4%
1,8%
1,5%
0,7%
39,9%
10,9%
10,6%
9,1%
5,1%
5,0%
3,5%
3,3%
2,4%
2,0%
0,9%
"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky)
"Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y.Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)
Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist "(P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko)
All-Ukrainian Association"Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko)
«Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko)
"Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko)
Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev,V. Novinsky)
Radical Party Oleg Lyashko
All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O.Tiahnybok)
Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi)
Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S.Vakarchuk)
0,5%
0,5%
0,4%
0,3%
0,3%
0,3%
0,2%
0,2%
0,2%
0,1%
0,1%
0,0%
2,2%
17,3%
8,8%
0,7%
0,7%
0,6%
0,4%
0,4%
0,4%
0,3%
0,2%
0,2%
0,2%
0,2%
0,0%
2,9%
"Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk)
Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman)
"Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko)
Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko)
«UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V.Klychko)
"Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko,B. Filatov)
Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov)
"Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar)
"Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky)
“Osnova” (S. Taruta)
Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin)
Social Party of Ukraine (І. Kyva)
Other party
HARD TO ANSWER
I WOULD NOT VOTE
Among all
Among those who havedecided and will vote(n=2216)
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
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Which party will you vote for during Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada elections, if the following parties will be in the list?
Ukraine
Region
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky) 29,5% 23,4% 33,2% 29,5% 39,4% 21,1% 32,2% 16,8% "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk) 8,1% 2,0% 3,9% 3,7% 14,6% 24,7% 14,2% 4,0% Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist " (P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko) 7,8% 12,8% 10,2% 7,3% 3,5% 4,2% 4,6% 7,5% All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) 6,7% 6,8% 10,0% 9,8% 4,1% 4,7% 3,2% 7,1% «Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko) 3,8% 3,6% 6,0% 4,9% 3,0% 2,1% 2,6% 2,7% "Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) 3,7% 6,1% 4,8% 4,1% 3,0% 0,5% 0,6% 2,2% Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky) 2,6% 0,0% 0,8% 1,0% 7,0% 7,4% 3,2% 1,3% Radical Party Oleg Lyashko 2,4% 2,7% 3,3% 3,9% 1,3% 3,2% 1,4% 0,9% All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O. Tiahnybok) 1,8% 5,1% 1,4% 1,0% ,5% 1,1% 0,3% 0,4% Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi) 1,5% 3,6% 0,2% 1,7% 1,2% 1,1% 0,6% 0% Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) 0,7% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% ,2% 0,5% 0,3% 0,9% "Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk) 0,5% 1,0% 0,4% 0,5% ,7% 0% 0% 0,4% Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman) 0,5% 0,9% 0,4% 0,7% ,5% 0% 0,6% 0% "Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko) 0,4% 0,1% 0,6% 0,5% ,5% 0% 0,6% 0,9% Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko) 0,3% 0,0% 0,6% 0,2% ,3% 0% 0,6% 0% «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko) 0,3% 0,1% 0,6% 1,0% 0% 0% 0% 0,4% "Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko, B. Filatov) 0,3% 0,1% 0,2% 0,2% 0,5% 0% 0,3% 0,4% Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov) 0,2% 0,4% 0,2% 0,2% 0,2% 00% 0% 0% "Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar) 0,2% 0% 0% 0,5% 0,3% 0% 0% 0,4% "Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky) 0,2% 0% 0% 0,5% 0,5% 0% 0% 0% “Osnova” (S. Taruta) 0,1% 0% 0% 0% 0,2% 0,5% 0,3% 0,4% Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin) 0,1% 0% 0% 0,2% 0,2% 0,5% 0,3% 0% Other 2,2% 1,7% 1,5% 1,0% 2,0% 1,6% 5,5% 3,1% HARD TO ANSWER 17,3% 21,7% 11,8% 18,8% 10,3% 14,2% 17,7% 33,6% I WOULD NOT VOTE 8,8% 6,8% 9,1% 7,8% 6,3% 12,6% 11,0% 16,4%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
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Which party will you vote for during Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada elections, if the following parties will be in the list?
Ukraine Your age
18-29 years
30-39 years
40-49 years
50-59 years
60 years and older
"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky) 29,5% 42,0% 34,1% 27,7% 22,3% 22,2% "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk) 8,1% 1,9% 3,6% 6,0% 10,5% 16,0% Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist " (P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko) 7,8% 6,1% 8,5% 7,4% 8,6% 8,5% All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) 6,7% 4,2% 4,3% 7,4% 9,4% 8,2% «Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko) 3,8% 2,7% 3,1% 3,0% 3,0% 6,1% "Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) 3,7% 2,6% 3,6% 4,2% 5,3% 3,3% Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky) 2,6% 1,3% 3,3% 2,2% 3,2% 3,0% Radical Party Oleg Lyashko 2,4% 1,8% 1,0% 2,0% 2,8% 4,0% All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O. Tiahnybok) 1,8% 1,6% 1,6% 1,8% 1,9% 2,1% Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi) 1,5% 1,6% 1,7% 1,2% 1,5% 1,3% Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) 0,7% 1,0% 0,3% 1,2% 1,1% 0,1% "Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk) 0,5% 0% 0,9% 0,2% 0,6% 0,9% Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman) 0,5% 0,2% 1,0% 0,4% 0,4% 0,7% "Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko) 0,4% 0,6% 0,3% 0,6% 0% 0,5% Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko) 0,3% 0,2% 0,5% 0,4% 0,4% 0% «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko) 0,3% 1,0% 0% 0,2% 0% 0,3% "Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko, B. Filatov) 0,3% 0% 0,2% 0,6% ,6% 0,1% Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov) 0,2% 0% 0,7% 0,2% 0,2% 0% "Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar) 0,2% 0% 0% 0,6% 0,2% 0,1% "Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky) 0,2% 0,3% 0,3% 0% 0% 0,1% “Osnova” (S. Taruta) 0,1% 0,3% 0,3% 0% 0% 0% Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin) 0,1% 0,2% 0% 0% 0,2% 0,3% Other 2,2% 2,4% 2,2% 2,8% 2,4% 1,3% HARD TO ANSWER 17,3% 15,7% 18,0% 20,1% 17,8% 15,7% I WOULD NOT VOTE 8,8% 12,3% 10,2% 9,6% 7,7% 5,2%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
10
First choice (1)
Second choice
(2)
Sum of two choices
(3) Antirating (4)** Balance of choice
and antirating "Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky) 29,5% 9,4% 38,9% -5,1% 33,8 "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk) 8,1% 4,5% 12,6% -18,8% -6,2 Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist " (P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko) 7,8% 2,2% 10,0% -43,9% -33,9 All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) 6,7% 4,4% 11,1% -21,7% -10,6 «Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko) 3,8% 4,5% 8,3% -3,2% 5,1 "Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) 3,7% 4,4% 8,1% -4,6% 3,5 Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky) 2,6% 4,2% 6,8% -16,7% -9,9 Radical Party Oleg Lyashko 2,4% 3,4% 5,8% -12,5% -6,7 All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O. Tiahnybok) 1,5% 2,6% 4,1% -5,9% -1,8 Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi) 1,8% 1,4% 3,2% -12,2% -9 Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) 0,7% 2,5% 3,2% -5,0% -1,8 "Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk) 0,5% 1,3% 1,8% -6,8% -5 Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman) 0,5% 1,1% 1,6% -15,2% -13,6 "Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko) 0,4% 1,1% 1,5% -11,1% -9,6 Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko) 0,3% 1,0% 1,3% -3,6% -2,3 «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko) 0,3% 0,6% 0,9% -5,6% -4,7 "Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko, B. Filatov) 0,3% 0,4% 0,7% -7,3% -6,6 Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov) 0,2% 0,5% 0,7% -5,4% -4,7 "Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar) 0,2% 0,4% 0,6% -6,0% -5,4 "Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky) 0,2% 0,3% 0,5% -3,8% -3,3 “Osnova” (S. Taruta) 0,1% 0,4% 0,5% -5,7% -5,2 Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin) 0,1% 0,2% 0,3% -5,5% -5,2 Social Party of Ukraine (І. Kyva) 0,0% 0,1% 0,1% -6,4% -6,3
* The table is arranged by the indicator "Sum of two choices" (1) First choice: Which party will you vote for in the elections to the Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada if the following parties are in the list? (2) Second choice: Tell me, which party will you vote for, if the one you have just selected will not be in the list? (3) The sum of two choices: is calculated as the sum of the answers to the first and second questions (4) Antirating: Tell me which party you will NOT VOTE under any circumstances ?, the sum of answers does not equal 100%, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer option
Level of support and negative attitude towards political parties *
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
11
Attitude to the idea of unification and joint participation in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine
Positive 29,7%
Negative 49,2%
HARD TO ANSWER 21,1%
All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) and party "Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky)?
All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) and party "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)?
Positive 17,8%
Negative 57,4%
HARD TO ANSWER 24,9%
"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky)and party "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)?
Positive 28,0%
Negative 49,4%
HARD TO ANSWER 22,5%
"Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)? and Opposition bloc – partiya Myru ta rozvutku (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky)?
Positive 27,7%
Negative 44,6%
HARD TO ANSWER 27,7%
"Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) and Association " Samopomich" (A.Sadovyi)?
Positive 35,3%
Negative 35,0%
HARD TO ANSWER 29,8%
Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) and «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko)?
Positive 22,9%
Negative 44,4%
HARD TO ANSWER 32,6%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
12
Actual problems of Ukrainian society
May - 2019 Ukraine today: challenges and prospects
According to your expectations, how will the situation in Ukraine change in the coming months?
Definitely will get
worse 4,9%
Rather will get worse
15,9%
Rather will get better
36,8%
Definitely will get
better 12,9%
Hard to answer 29,3%
13
24,0% 24,7% 23,9%
13,2%
26,3%
12,8%
25,2%
43,6% 50,4%
44,4%
59,4% 54,7% 57,7%
35,4%
West Center North East Donbas South Київ
Get worse Get better
13,9% 19,4% 21,3%
25,7% 24,1%
58,3% 53,5%
47,8% 43,9% 45,5%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
According to your expectations, how will the situation in Ukraine change in the coming months?
14
21,5%
24,1%
11,1%
26,4%
26,6%
25,2%
47,1%
29,2%
27,8%
45,2%
35,1%
36,8%
39,1%
35,1%
Zelenskyi Volodymyr
Boiko Yurii
Shevchenko Oleksandr
Vilkul Oleksandr
Tymoshenko Yuliya
Smeshko Ihor
Tymoshenko Yuriy
Liashko Oleh
Hrytsenko Anatolii
Koshulynskyi Ruslan
Poroshenko Petro
Other
DID NOT VOTE
REFUSED TO ANSWER
Hard to answer
-8,0%
-15,2%
-33,3%
-19,5%
-20,7%
-22,8%
-5,9%
-24,7%
-27,2%
-16,7%
-48,8%
-28,9%
-22,2%
-21,5%
70,5%
60,7%
55,6%
54,0%
52,7%
52,0%
47,1%
46,1%
44,9%
38,1%
16,1%
34,2%
38,7%
38,6%
Will get worse Will get better
Vote
d in
the
first
roun
d fo
r:
The sum of answers among those who voted for the particular politician equals to 100%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Evaluate how important to your personally are these issues? Use the scale from "1" to "5", where "1" - not at all important, and "5" - very important.
15
2,3
2,8
4
4,3
4,1
4,4
6,6
6,6
6,9
6,1
6,3
8,4
11,2
9,8
11,5
9,4
11,8
14,8
14,5
13,6
15,1
14,3
88,4
84,3
84,5
82,8
84,5
80,2
76,4
76,1
75,7
74,4
73,7
The ceasefire in the Donbas
Return of Ukrainian prisoners of war and detainees
The current level of prices, inflation
Salary and pensions level
Current utility tariffs
Military conflict in the East of Ukraine and reintegration ofthe Donbas
The level of social protection of the population
The level of medical care
Availability of work, unemployment
Enrichment of the oligarchs and impoverishment of ordinarypeople
Corruption and nepotism in power
12345
Average score
4,84
4,77
4,76
4,75
4,75
4,66
4,65
4,63
4,59
4,57
4,53 1
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Evaluate how important to your personally are these issues? Use the scale from "1" to "5", where "1" - not at all important, and "5" - very important.
16
2,4
2,9
4,2
9,9
11,5
20,4
20,1
24,9
24,2
35,1
34,4
4,8
3,2
5,2
5,4
9,1
11,4
10
9,1
9,8
12
10,8
11,1
12
14
16,8
16,2
20,5
14,8
17,5
16,1
18,4
18,1
19,8
19,7
16,9
17
17,2
15,6
14,1
14,8
14,2
13,1
65,9
61,4
60,9
53,9
49,3
37,1
32,4
36,1
34,4
24,8
22,1
Current volume of state taxes and fees
Crime, street security
Labor migration, changes in the population of Ukraine
Crimea's return
Completion of the initiated reforms
Accession to the European Union
Rights of national minorities
The law on the state language
Accession to NATO
Establishment of OCofU / Tomos
De-communisation
12345
Average score
4,42
4,32
4,30
4,00
3,87
3,42
3,29
3,26
3,26
2,84
2,77 2
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
What should be the first steps of the President of Ukraine? FIVE answers
17
53,7%
40,9%
38,4%
38,1%
33,7%
30,6%
25,8%
25,4%
17,9%
17,8%
16,3%
13,3%
13,2%
35,1%
11,4%
9,9%
Introduce bills to VR on the removal of immunity from deputies, judges, thePresident
Start a direct negotiations in the quadrilateral "Ukraine-Russia-DPR-LPR" to stopthe fire and return the Donbas
Ensure the return of Ukrainian military prisoners and detained persons
Initiate dissolution of the current Verkhovna Rada and holding earlyparliamentary elections
Ensure the stability of the national currency and banking system
Reduce salaries to top officials
Start / accelerate the investigation of the most resonant corruption crimes
To initiate a public discussion on the immediate change of the ProsecutorGeneral, the head of the SBU, the prime minister and the present Cabinet of…
Finishing medical reform
Changing the system of parliamentary elections: the abolition of majoritarianelections and the transition to proportional to the open-ended lists
To deepen negotiations with the EU and the US on Donbas and Crimea
Activate negotiations on the EU accession
To introduce to the Verkhovna Rada a bill on referendums
To deepen economic sanctions against Russia and Russian capital in Ukraine
Initiate the restart of anti-corruption bodies (NABU, SAP)
Activate negotiations on the NATO accession
The sum of answers is more than 100%: respondents could choose five answers
Захід Центр Північ Схід Донбас Південь м. Київ
45,9% 53,1% 59,0% 63,6% 55,3% 52,8% 43,4%
29,8% 32,6% 36,8% 55,0% 50,5% 53,6% 37,2%
39,6% 34,7% 46,3% 37,9% 32,1% 32,5% 43,8%
25,0% 35,7% 33,9% 56,8% 42,1% 42,3% 32,3%
34,9% 37,5% 28,8% 33,4% 37,9% 33,3% 27,4%
24,3% 32,2% 24,6% 32,1% 36,8% 35,7% 39,8%
26,0% 26,8% 22,0% 28,1% 26,3% 31,3% 14,2%
19,3% 21,0% 26,3% 27,6% 33,7% 30,4% 31,9%
11,8% 23,0% 12,4% 16,9% 26,8% 21,7% 24,8%
17,6% 20,5% 20,7% 15,4% 21,1% 13,3% 17,7%
20,5% 19,1% 15,9% 10,4% 21,1% 12,8% 14,6%
24,1% 13,7% 13,4% 5,5% 8,4% 4,9% 16,8%
9,9% 8,1% 11,0% 19,5% 24,7% 13,9% 11,5%
19,0% 13,1% 14,1% 4,5% 6,8% 5,5% 29,6%
10,1% 10,2% 13,9% 11,3% 8,9% 13,0% 14,2%
19,0% 9,1% 9,5% 5,1% 7,9% 4,1% 7,5%
2
1
3
4
5
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
When will it become clear: whether the newly elected President of Ukraine manages the country's leadership?
18
3,9%
18,4%
26,2%
35,5%
7,1%
8,9%
In a month or earlier
After first 100 days
in 6 months
In a year
Other
HARD TO ANSWER
1,8%
1,1%
2,8%
3,8%
4,4%
5,3%
2,5%
3,3%
3,4%
7,7%
4,4%
0,0%
9,5%
2,9%
17,4%
25,8%
16,6%
17,7%
14,0%
15,8%
17,7%
22,0%
23,0%
23,3%
19,0%
44,4%
26,2%
23,5%
26,8%
28,1%
28,5%
27,8%
23,9%
23,7%
29,1%
24,4%
23,0%
22,8%
22,2%
33,3%
23,8%
38,2%
41,1%
39,3%
37,9%
37,3%
37,0%
36,8%
36,0%
35,0%
34,5%
30,8%
25,3%
22,2%
21,4%
20,6%
Boiko Yurii
Liashko Oleh
Zelenskyi Volodymyr
Hrytsenko Anatolii
Did not vote
Voted for another candidate
Tymoshenko Yuliya
Smeshko Ihor
Vilkul Oleksandr
Poroshenko Petro
Refused to answer
Shevchenko Oleksandr
Koshulynskyi Ruslan
Tymoshenko Yuriy
In a month or earlier After first 100 days In 6 months In a year
Vote
d in
the
first
roun
d fo
r:
The sum of answers among respondents who voted for a particular politician is 100% (the "difficult to answer" and "other" indicators are not shown in the chart)
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
How, in your opinion, the Association Agreement and the Free Trade Agreement between Ukraine and the European Union signed in the summer of 2014 influenced the economic situation in Ukraine?
19
23,7%
25,9%
12,3%
20,0%
18,2%
Positive, ingeneral
Partially positive,partially negative
Negative, ingeneral
Did not influence
HARD TOANSWER
33,7%
23,9% 19,0%
13,7% 10,5% 11,9%
55,8%
3,8% 10,6%
6,8%
18,0% 18,9% 26,4%
9,7%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Positive Negative
23,3% 25,6% 24,1% 24,6%
21,6%
10,2% 11,1% 11,2% 12,9% 15,1%
18-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60 years and older
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
What, in your opinion, should be the further development path of Ukraine?
20
43,1
12,3
37,8
6,8
European integration,economic and cultural
rapprochement with thecountries of the European
Union (1)
Restoration and expansion ofeconomic and cultural ties
with Russia (2)
Develop and implement aprogram of economic andcultural development of
Ukraine focused, first of all,on the use of internal
capabilities and resources (3)
HARD TO ANSWER
43,1
%
64,9
%
43,1
%
46,6
%
24,8
%
24,2
%
21,2
%
12,3
%
1,6%
8,5%
5,4%
21,9
%
31,1
%
23,5
% 37
,8%
28,0
% 39
,0%
40,2
%
46,7
%
37,4
% 49
,0%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
1 2 3
44,1
%
45,3
%
41,2
%
44,7
%
40,7
%
8,9%
10,4
%
9,2%
15,6
%
16,1
%
40,4
%
36,7
%
42,8
%
35,6
%
34,9
%
18-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60 years and older
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
If the referendum was held now, which resolved the issue of Ukraine's accession to the European Union or the restoration of pragmatic economic relations with Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and other CIS countries, how would you vote?
57
19,3
13,6
10,1
Would vote for Ukraine'saccession to the European
Union
Voted for the restoration ofpragmatic economic relations
with Russia, Bilorus, Kazakhstanand other CIS countries
Would not take part in such areferendum
HARD TO ANSWER
21
81,8%
63,5% 63,2%
37,4% 30,0% 25,2%
2,0% 10,8% 11,7%
34,1% 39,5% 44,1%
West Center North East Donbas South
EU Restoration of pragmatic economic relations with Russia,…
60,9% 58,7% 57,0% 58,9% 51,1%
14,2% 15,9% 16,7% 20,8%
26,5%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
If now there was a referendum on Ukraine's accession to NATO or the legislative consolidation of non-aligned status of Ukraine, how would you vote?
48,9%
23,2%
16%
11,8%
Would vote for Ukraine'saccession to NATO
Would vote for thelegislative consolidation of
Ukraine's non-alignedstatus
Would not take part insuch a referendum
HARD TO ANSWER
22
75,7%
52,7% 51,2%
31,6%
21,1% 22,6%
62,8%
4,0%
18,0% 19,3%
39,6% 40,5% 41,4%
16,4%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
NATO Non-aligned status
49,3% 53,5%
50,6% 48,6% 44,5%
17,4% 21,6% 22,9% 25,7% 27,6%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
23
Attitude to politicians
May - 2019 Ukraine today: challenges and prospects
Tell us how you feel about the leaders of other countries?
24
0,8%
0,4%
1,6%
1,5%
4,0%
4,7%
8,5%
6,9%
30,5%
16,6%
45,9%
36,7%
11,7%
65,6%
21,3%
13,5%
53,0%
12,6%
22,6%
41,3%
President of Bilorus Oleksandr Lukashenko
President of RF Volodymyr Putin
President of the USA Donald Trump
Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 42,2 56,8 54,6 63,1 54,2 66,7 26,1 Negative 14,5 6,6 7,1 6,1 10,5 4,3 50,4 Neutral 38,5 32, 35,1 24,7 32,6 22,9 19,5 Hard to answer 3,3 2,5% 3,2 6, 2,1 6,1 4, I do not know who this is 1,6 2 0 0,2 5 0 0
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 2,3 4,6 6,6 23,8 30,0 28,4 5,3 Negative 87,2 76,1 77,8 47,4% 32,6 29,9 83,6 Neutral 8,1 14,5 12,2 22, 30,5 29,6 8,4 Hard to answer 2,1 3,5 3,4 6,0 6,8 11,6 2,7 I do not know who this is 0,3 1,4 0 0,2 0 0,6 0
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 28,4 26,6 21, 20, 17,4 15,1 21,2 Negative 16,1 17,4 14,1 22, 26,8 27,5 43,8 Neutral 47, 47,3 51,7 46,4 47,4 44,6 27,9 Hard to answer 7,1 5,6 10,7 10,4 6,8 12,2 6,6 I do not know who this is 1,4 3,1 2,4 1,2 1,6 0,6 0,4
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 55 48,3 40,5 34,4 25,3 28,7 35,8 Negative 5 7,7 8, 16,6 20,5 19,4 40,7 Neutral 33,5 36,1 41,7 38,7 46,8 40, 19, Hard to answer 4,7 5, 8,5 8,8 6,3 11, 4,4 I do not know who this is 1,8 2,9 1,2 1,5 1,1 0,6 0
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Tell us how you feel about these politicians...?
26
1,5%
6,4%
7,5%
26,2%
5,8%
1,6%
0,8%
10,6%
10,6%
2,5%
0,8%
4,1%
9,3%
3,2%
20,0%
33,2%
37,4%
27,8%
22,1%
25,7%
25,7%
37,0%
24,8%
31,5%
17,9%
31,9%
26,8%
38,1%
64,6%
33,5%
31,0%
28,6%
25,9%
23,2%
22,2%
21,5%
20,3%
20,2%
17,4%
17,1%
15,4%
14,7%
13,9%
26,9%
24,1%
17,4%
46,3%
49,5%
51,3%
31,0%
44,3%
45,9%
64,0%
46,8%
48,5%
43,9%
Zelenskyi Volodymyr
Hrytsenko Anatolii
Vakarchuk Sviatoslav
Smeshko Ihor
Boiko Yurii
Liashko Oleh
Tymoshenko Yuliya
Sadovyi Andrii
Vilkul Oleksandr
Groisman Volodymyr
Poroshenko Petro
Savchenko Nadiia
Rabinovych Vadym
Klychko Vitalii
I do not know him/her
Neutral
Positive
Negative
1
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Tell us how you feel about these politicians...?
27
12,9%
25,4%
7,2%
16,9%
9,7%
7,5%
8,5%
15,5%
3,0%
45,4%
33,8%
36,8%
31,3%
46,0%
25,8%
23,0%
23,3%
28,9%
38,3%
29,9%
34,5%
33,8%
25,0%
26,7%
22,6%
22,0%
22,3%
24,8%
26,0%
21,1%
13,0%
12,9%
11,1%
11,0%
10,5%
10,3%
8,9%
8,8%
8,5%
6,5%
6,4%
6,0%
5,2%
4,7% 2,6%
51,1%
38,4%
52,8%
33,8%
49,9%
47,7%
48,8%
50,7%
61,9%
25,5%
37,8%
34,8%
38,7%
23,3%
50,5%
Medvedchuk Viktor
Muraiev Yevhen
Parubii Andrii
Taruta Serhii
Shufrich Nestor
Kolomoiskii Igor
Avakov Arsen
Korolevska Nataliia
Yatsenuik Arsenii
Biletskyi Andrii
Novinskii Vadym
Kyva Illia
Kolesnikov Boris
Skotsyk Vitalii
Liovochkin Serhii
I do not know him/her
Neutral
Positive
Negative
2
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Look at the list and name FIVE politicians that you would like to see in the next Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine?
28
The answer does not equal to 100, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer
29,3% 26,7%
23,6% 22,4%
21,1% 19,3%
17,6% 17,5%
16,5% 16,4%
12,8% 11,6%
9,6% 9,0%
8,7% 8,1%
7,9% 7,4%
6,4% 6,3%
5,9% 4,6% 4,5%
3,8% 2,4% 2,3% 2,2%
1,7% 16,1%
Hrytsenko AnatoliiBoiko Yurii
Smeshko IhorVakarchuk Sviatoslav
Tymoshenko YuliyaLiashko Oleh
Sadovyi AndriiGroisman Volodymyr
Poroshenko PetroVilkul Oleksandr
Savchenko NadiiaMuraiev Yevhen
Rabinovych VadymMedvedchuk Viktor
Taruta SerhiiGerashchenko Iryna
Parubii AndriiKlychko Vitalii
Yatsenuik ArseniiKolomoiskii Igor
Avakov ArsenShufrich Nestor
Korolevska NataliiaBiletskyi Andrii
Kolesnikov BorisKyva Illia
Novinskii VadymLiovochkin Serhii
Other
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Look at the list and name FIVE politicians who actively opposed the policy of P. Poroshenko?
29
The answer does not equal to 100, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer
40,2% 40,0%
30,4% 24,1%
18,3% 17,6% 17,4%
16,0% 15,5%
11,0% 10,7%
6,7% 6,5% 6,5%
6,0% 5,5%
4,2% 4,0% 4,0%
3,3% 3,0% 2,9% 2,8%
20,1%
Tymoshenko Yuliya
Boiko Yurii
Liashko Oleh
Vilkul Oleksandr
Kolomoiskii Igor
Rabinovych Vadym
Savchenko Nadiia
Hrytsenko Anatolii
Medvedchuk Viktor
Muraiev Yevhen
Shufrich Nestor
Novinskii Vadym
Kyva Illia
Smeshko Ihor
Korolevska Nataliia
Taruta Serhii
Sadovyi Andrii
Avakov Arsen
Kolesnikov Borys
Biletskyi Andrii
Liovochkin Serhii
Vakarchuk Sviatoslav
Yatsenuik Arsenii
Other
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Look at the list and name FIVE politicians whose public actions (statements, interviews, speeches, publications) during the last month you remember?
30
The answer does not equal to 100, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer
33,6% 31,2%
25,8% 21,8%
16,3% 12,0%
11,4% 10,6%
10,3% 10,1%
8,2% 7,9%
6,9% 6,6% 6,5%
5,5% 4,5%
4,3% 4,0% 3,9%
3,5% 3,2%
2,8% 2,7%
2,3% 2,2%
1,4% 0,8%
20,4%
Tymoshenko YuliyaPoroshenko Petro
Liashko OlehBoiko Yurii
Hrytsenko AnatoliiGroisman Volodymyr
Rabinovych VadymVilkul Oleksandr
Savchenko NadiiaMedvedchuk Viktor
Smeshko IhorKolomoiskii Igor
Sadovyi AndriiMuraiev YevhenShufrich Nestor
Vakarchuk SviatoslavAvakov Arsen
Gerashchenko IrynaTaruta Serhii
Parubii AndriiKorolevska Natalia
Kyva IlliiaYatsenuik Arsenii
Klychko VitaliiNovinskii Vadym
Biletskyi AndriiLiovochkin SerhiiKolesnikov Borys
Other
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
After the presidential election, it is possible to approve the new Prime Minister of Ukraine. Various options are being discussed now on who can become the Prime Minister of Ukraine. Among the persons on the list, who would you like to see as the Prime Minister of Ukraine?
31
10,2%
10,0%
9,7%
8,8%
7,1%
4,4%
3,9%
3,7%
2,6%
2,3%
2,1%
0,5%
0,4%
11,0%
23,3%
Tymoshenko Yuliya
Smeshko Ihor
Boiko Yurii
Groisman Volodymyr
Hrytsenko Anatolii
Liashko Oleh
Poroshenko Petro
Sadovyi Andrii
Medvedchuk Viktor
Kolomoiskii Igor
Yatsenuik Arsenii
Klychko Vitalii
Avakov Arsen
Other
I DO NOT KNOW/HARD TO ANSWER
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
32
Perception of possible models of conflict resolution in the East
May - 2019 Ukraine today: challenges and prospects
How do you generally fell about the Russian Federation?
Very positive
9,2%
Rather, positive 31,4%
Rather negative
31,4%
Very negative
28,0%
33
13,6%
31,7% 37,1%
59,6% 66,8%
73,6%
24,3%
86,4%
68,1% 62,2%
39,7% 33,2%
24,1%
75,7%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Positive Negative
34,4% 38,6% 41,6% 40,9%
45,1%
65,1% 61,2%
57,8% 58,0% 54,5%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
40,3%
59,2%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Is it necessary to question the status of uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts for an all-Ukrainian referendum?
Yes 49,2% No
29,8%
HARD TO ANSWER
21,1%
34
36,6%
52,3% 45,9%
55,1% 55,8% 52,8% 60,2%
41,5%
27,4%
35,6%
22,2% 18,4%
24,3% 26,1%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Yes No
52,0% 51,7% 49,2% 44,5%
48,2%
27,1% 30,6% 31,1% 33,4%
27,8%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Should Ukraine make compromises for the restoration of peace and the return of territories?
YES, rather YES
65,3%
NO, rather NO
21,3%
HARD TO ANSWER
13,5%
35
50,1%
63,1% 63,9%
75,7% 73,7% 80,3%
61,9%
34,1% 24,3% 22,4%
13,1% 13,2% 6,4%
23,5%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Yes No
65,1% 65,7% 61,6% 64,7% 67,8%
19,7% 21,5% 26,1% 23,5%
17,7%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Should the President of Ukraine have a direct dialogue with the Russian Federation in order to establish peace in the East?
Definitely, YES 50,8%
Rather, YES 24,2%
Rathe, NO 7,7%
Definitely, NO 8,4%
HARD TO ANSWER
9,0%
36
62,1%
74,5% 72,9% 84,1%
77,4% 87,2%
74,3%
25,4% 18,1% 17,8%
9,6% 14,2%
4,3%
15,9%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Yes No
73,8% 73,7% 76,5% 75,0% 75,7%
13,9% 17,1% 16,1% 17,6% 16,0%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
74,9%
16,1%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Should the President of Ukraine have a direct dialogue with the leaders of the so-called "LDPR" in order to establish peace in the East of the country?
Definitely, YES 36,2%
Rather, YES 19,2%
Rather, NO 12,4%
Definitely, NO 20,3%
HARD TO ANSWER
11,9%
37
37,9%
53,7% 46,1%
69,5% 68,4% 77,1%
48,2% 45,5% 35,7%
42,7%
21,7% 18,4% 12,5%
40,7%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Yes No
55,3% 54,2% 55,2% 54,2% 57,2%
31,2% 34,9% 34,5% 33,4% 30,7%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
55,4% 32,7%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
What kind of solution do you support for the uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts?
38
39,9%
18,5%
17,3%
24,3%
Providing these territories with a special status that implies autonomy withinUkraine (1)
Official recognition that these territories in the coming years can not bereturned to Ukraine and their isolation (2)
Continuation of military development aimed at restoring Ukraine's full controlover these territories by military means (3)
HARD TO ANSWER
20,5
% 34
,0%
30,7
%
53,1
%
57,4
%
58,0
%
52,7
%
18,5
%
21,8
%
22,4
%
16,6
%
12,6
%
13,6
%
21,2
%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
1 2 3
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Would you support the decision to grant autonomy in Ukraine to uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions to stop fighting and have peaceful resolution of the conflict in Donbas?
39
Surely would support it
24,5%
Rather would
support 24,4%
Rather would not support it
12,8%
Surely would not support
it 20,7%
HARD TO ANSWER
17,6%
48,9% 33,5%
30,7%
43,1% 37,8%
61,9% 67,4%
73,3%
51,3% 49,1%
36,3%
45,9%
23,0% 20,0% 12,2%
27,9%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Would support Would NOT support
49,4% 48,1% 48,2% 47,8% 50,2%
32,8% 32,5% 34,9% 36,4% 31,9%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
41
The language issue
May - 2019
23,9%
22,0%
35,8%
12,1%
6,2%
The same amount of time asfor the study of the
Ukrainian language (1)
Less than for the study ofthe Ukrainian language, but
more than for foreignlanguages (English, German,
etc.) (2)
The same or less than for thestudy of foreign languages(English, German, etc.) (3)
Should not be studied at all(4)
HARD TO ANSWER (5)
42
In your opinion, to study the Russian language in Ukrainian schools should be given ...
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
1 6,5% 14,9% 10,0% 36,6% 56,3% 47,2% 27,4% 2 9,1% 26,1% 23,2% 32,8% 16,3% 29,6% 15,0% 3 48,6% 44,6% 51,2% 20,0% 18,9% 15,7% 34,5% 4 30,3% 10,4% 11,0% 2,5% 2,6% 1,2% 11,9% 5 5,5% 4,1% 4,6% 8,1% 5,8% 6,4% 11,1%
18-29 years
30-39 years
40-49 years
50-59 years
60 years and older
1 21,0% 23,2% 23,5% 24,0% 27,0% 2 20,2% 20,2% 19,3% 24,6% 24,7% 3 38,4% 39,8% 39,8% 34,9% 28,6% 4 14,7% 11,6% 11,6% 11,4% 11,2% 5 5,7% 5,2% 5,8% 5,1% 8,5%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
43
What language would you like to ...
watch TV programs: news, movies, concerts, sports broadcasts, etc.
Watch movies of Russian production
Read printed editions
Only in Ukrainian 19,7% 12,2% 19,7% Mostly in Ukrainian 13,3% 9,6% 11,1% Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often 30,8% 22,9% 24,9% Mostly in Russian 8,0% 12,8% 8,2% Only in Russian 5,7% 21,0% 9,1% Does not matter, both languages are comfortable 20,3% 18,0% 22,7% Other language 0,2% 0,2% 0,2% DO NOT WATCH / DO NOT READ 0,7% 2,1% 2,8% HARD TO ANSWER 1,2% 1,3% 1,2%
33% 21,8% 30,8%
33,8% 17,3% 13,7%
Only in Ukrainian
Mostly in Ukrainian
Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often
НЕ ДИВЛЮСЯ
DO NOT WATCH
HARD TO ANSWER
Mostly in Russian Only in Russian
Does not matter, both languages are comfortable
Only in Ukrainian
Mostly in Ukrainian
Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often
Mostly in Russian
Лише російською
Does not matter, both languages are comfortable
Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often
Only in Ukrainian
Mostly in Ukrainian
НЕ ЧИТАЮ
Does not matter, both languages are comfortable
Mostly in Russian Only in Russian
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
39,4%
22,9%
5,2%
23,8%
8,7%
I fully support this decision (1)
I support quota fixing in Ukrainianlanguage programs, but I believe thatthis percentage should be lower (e.g.,
50) (2)
I support quota fixing in Ukrainianlanguage programs, but I believe thatthis percentage should be higher (e.g.
90) (3)
I do not support the establishment ofsuch quotas, TV channels themselvesshould decide in which language to
broadcast programs (4)
HARD TO ANSWER (5)
44
What is your attitude to the law that 75% of the airtime of Ukrainian national channels should broadcast programs in Ukrainian?
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
1 67,6% 47,5% 46,8% 19,4% 12,6% 16,2% 31,0%
2 11,9% 20,8% 18,0% 34,4% 25,3% 32,2% 23,5%
3 8,4% 4,2% 2,9% 2,2% 3,7% ,9% 18,1%
4 5,5% 17,6% 20,5% 36,9% 43,2% 45,2% 16,4%
5 6,5% 9,8% 11,7% 7,1% 15,3% 5,5% 11,1%
18-29 years
30-39 years
40-49 years
50-59 years
60 years and older
1 40,2% 40,7% 41,0% 42,0% 35,0%
2 22,0% 22,1% 24,9% 23,3% 22,6%
3 5,5% 6,1% 3,8% 5,6% 5,1%
4 22,5% 23,2% 21,9% 22,9% 27,0%
5 9,9% 8,0% 8,4% 6,2% 10,3%
67,5%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
How do you feel about the rule of law that requires a radio station to broadcast 30% of songs in Ukrainian, 60% in the languages of the European Union countries, and 10% in other languages (e.g. Russian)?
Generally, I support 51,2%
GENerally, I do not
support 31,3%
HARD TO ANSWER
17,5%
45
69,0%
58,9% 59,0%
37,6%
27,9% 29,9%
52,7%
11,9%
22,0% 14,9%
47,4% 55,3%
64,1%
29,6%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Support DO NOT support
53,8% 54,2% 50,8%
54,2%
45,1%
28,9% 30,4% 31,1% 31,1% 34,1%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
46
Mass Media
Ukraine today: challenges and prospects May 2019
Do you agree with the fact that there is an onset on the freedom of speech in Ukraine?
47
Do you agree with the fact that Ukraine has too many Pro-Kremlin propaganda media, and the state and society react weakly to this matter?
Agree 46,9%
DO NOT agree 39,3%
Hard to answer 13,7%
Agree 48%
18%
4,4%
Hard to answer 16,2%
DO NOT agree 35,8%
16,2%
2,3%
5,2% 4%
25,6%
18%
4,4%
16,2%
17,4%
2,3% 7%
5,2%
4%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
48
Do you agree with the fact that there is an onset on the freedom of speech in Ukraine?
Do you agree with the fact that Ukraine has too many Pro-Kremlin propaganda media, and the state and society react weakly to this matter?
46,9% 39,8% 37,3% 36,1%
54,5% 55,8% 60,3% 62,8%
39,3% 45,5% 48,8% 49,8%
30,0% 25,8%
30,1% 30,1%
Ukraine West Center North East Donbas South KyivAgree Do not agree
48,0%
68,9%
52,5% 48,5%
33,9% 28,9% 22,9%
63,3%
35,8%
19,2% 30,3% 32,7%
46,4% 53,2%
60,6%
25,7%
Ukraine West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Agree Do not agree
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
Necessary step for state protection
Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights
HARD TO ANSWER
Necessary step for state protection
Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights
HARD TO ANSWER
49
40,0% 51,5% 8,5%
35,2% 57,5% 7,3%
34,2% 54,3% 11,4%
Necessary step for state protection
Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights
HARD TO ANSWER
The prohibition of Russian TV channels in Ukraine is ...
The prohibition of individual artists and Russian films in Ukraine is ...
The prohibition of Russian social networks in Ukraine is ...
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Necessary step for state protection 64,2% 40,5% 43,7% 23,8% 20,0% 14,5% 55,3%
Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights 26,1% 51,2% 44,1% 69,0% 72,1% 79,1% 38,5%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Necessary step for state protection 58,9% 37,8% 39,8% 21,7% 15,8% 11,3% 35,4%
Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights 31,0% 55,0% 50,7% 72,4% 81,1% 84,1% 58,4%
West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv
Necessary step for state protection 61,2% 39,2% 31,0% 20,4% 14,2% 11,0% 34,1%
Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights 24,7% 49,8% 54,6% 69,5% 76,8% 79,1% 58,8%
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
50
What is your attitude to the following Ukrainian TV channels?
-6
-3,1
-3,8
-7
-6,6
-3,9
-5,4
-3,1
-3
-4,6
-4,8
-8,4
-4,4
-5,8
-3,6
-3,7
-16,4
-9,9
-12,5
-16,5
-15,6
-10,8
-13,8
-9,8
-7,9
-10,9
-11,9
-15,4
-9,3
-10,2
-9,2
-8,5
17,9
28,8
27,5
21,6
26
37,3
39,5
46,8
54
52,7
56,3
49,7
62,6
60,6
64,1
68,5
1 + 1
STB
ICTV
Ukraina
Inter
Novyi
112
TET
Local Tvchannels
UA: Pershyi
24-yi
5-yi
Newsone
Pryamyi
ZIK
Espresso
Completely DO NOT trust Rather DO NOT trust Do not watch
41,1
40,9
40,6
37,8
36,1
34,4
29,6
28,1
24,7
23,4
19,9
19,2
16,9
16,7
16,6
14
18,6
17,3
15,6
17,1
15,6
13,6
11,7
12,2
10,4
8,4
7,1
7,2
6,8
6,8
6,5
5,3
Rather, trust Completely, trust
From which TV channels do you get socio-political information (news social-political talk shows, comments of experts)?
63,8
62
45,8
35,5
33,7
28,5
21,3
16,1
15,6
14,7
13,6
13,2
11,7
10,9
9
7,4
1 + 1
Ukraina
ICTV
Inter
112
STB
Novyi
5-yi
Newsone
24-yi
UA: Pershyi
ZIK
Pryamyi
Local TV channels
Espresso
ТЕТ
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019
51
Attitude to the 9th of May
Ukraine today: challenges and prospects May - 2019
increased compared to the previous years
decreased compared to the previous years
HARD TO ANSWER
52
83,0% 14,2% 2,8%
Importance of this holiday for me…
What is your attitude to the holiday of May 9th - The Day of Victory over Nazism in the Second World War?
It is a great holiday It is a regular day off HARD TO ANSWER
56,8% 28,2% 15,1%
16,7% 69,5% 13,8%
is a correct move it s a wrong move HARD TO
ANSWER Transfer of the holiday to the May, 8th…
47,0% 40,9% 12,1%
Celebration May 8th as a Day of Remembrance and Reconciliation and May 9th as the Day of Victory over
Nazism in the Second World War is correct.
Selection of May 8th on a separate day of honor is wrong, Ukraine should celebrate
only May 9th as Victory Day HARD TO ANSWER
Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019