UK Berry Market - Thursday 11 januari 2018 · › Full grower traceability › Programmed Volume...
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Transcript of UK Berry Market - Thursday 11 januari 2018 · › Full grower traceability › Programmed Volume...
UK Berry Market
Dr Drew Reynolds
Total Produce
Our Group In Numbers
Introduction To Total Produce
Growing andNew Product Development
Sourcing AgronomicSupport
Importationand Quality Assurance
Storage, Order Assemblyand QC
Distribution
1 2 3 4 5 6Our Supply Chain
People
5000+Operating Facilities
120+Countries
22Cartons of producedistributed annually
340m+
Sales
€3.45bn
Introduction to Total Produce
Global Position
Berries in Total Produce UK
UNITED KINGDOM
Food Service
Wholesale
2017 Turnover
Soft Fruit 75%
Berries in Total Produce UK
2%
20% 0%
0%
0%
10%
0%
3%
65%
Retail Split by Kilos
Blackberries
Blueberries
Raspberries
Redcurrants
Rhubarb
Strawberries
3%0%
11%
0%
0%
8%
6%
72%
0%
Wholesale Split by Kilos
Blackberries
Blueberries
Raspberries
Redcurrants
Strawberries
Strawberry: 65% of retail sales but 72% of wholesale
Significant increase in Blueberry at retail
UK Market Growth
Data Source: Kantar
By 2020, berry category in the UK could be worth almost £2bn!
The berry market has grown by almost 50%, over £400m in last 4 years
Sales driven by more households buying MORE OFTEN
Households Frequency Trip-volume
2013
2017
81% 15 times
422g
84% 21 times
431g
Market Size
£ 833m
£ 1,267m
HUGE further potential
Increase frequency of purchase to just 24 times pa. will add over £180m to the category
UK Market Growth
Data Source: Kantar
Easy to enjoy“convenient”
Graze ability = expandable consumption
Unique place in customers
hearts & minds
Ever-improving availability
No mess; No fussOccasion links e.g.
breakfast
Always room for another berry!
An emotional bondEveryday treat
‘Superfood’ status
Growth in winter sales
What is Driving the Sales Growth (Demand)
Data Source: Kantar
What is Driving the Sales Growth?
£1.124
£0
£200
£400
£600
£800
£1.000
£1.200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F
Berry Market Value £m
The Sales have doubled in 10 years!
TRUST&
CONSISTENCY
Data Source: Kantar
Strawberry Procurement
› For the UK consumer 12 month supply is seamless!
› The variety, origin and pack size may change but to the consumer it is still a berry
› Basically the consumers see a perfect berry every time!
› Strawberries are fast approaching the realms of a “commodity” item.
› Procurement is managed by an experienced and knowledgeable category team
Blackberry; 3%
Blueberry; 27%
Raspberry; 21%
Strawberry; 49%
Soft Fruit Market• Worth £1.1bn• Growing, up 18% YOY• Driven by more customers
buying berries more frequently
› Integrated Supply Chain
› Full grower traceability
› Programmed Volume
› Forecasting
› Seasonal Pricing
› Market and Customer Data
Product share of soft fruit market (by value) shown on chart (right).
Soft Fruit Market• Worth £1.3bn• Growing, up 7% YOY• Driven by more
customers buying berries more frequently
£611m ↑6%131,000t ↑3%
£38m ↑ 16%3,300t ↑ 22%
£342m ↑ 8%34,700t ↑ 5%
£261m ↑ 8%22,800t ↑ 9%
Sales Strategy
Data Source: Kantar
Total Strawberry Sales versus British Strawberries
70,000t UK
Data Source: Kantar and BSF
Weekly Strawberry Sales - 2017
The English Season is getting longer!
Managing the Peaks of Production!
› The move to ever bearers has given a sales issue!
› The second flush of production comes when the UK sales are in decline.
British Summer Fruit SalesTWL Forecast
Varieties
› Eating Quality is highly important!
› Brix is a key measure
› Retailers have approved variety lists
› Consumers do not like dark berries
› Yield per plant is vital as price comes under pressure
Strawberry - June Bearers
› Elsanta and Sonata being phased out
› Malling Centenary growing in volume
› Magnum – Top tier
Ever bearers and Day Neutrals
› Overcrowded sector
› Best tasting varieties do not always yield and are often soft!
› CIV / Driscoll / PSI / Vinson all have approved varieties
Cultivation Systems
The Spanish Tunnel , Table Tops & Substrate
› Step change in quality and consistency.
› Improvement in Customer confidence.
› Additional benefits in picking management and disease and chemical control
Glass Production
› Seasonal extension – variety and origin
› Again the customer becomes more confident.
Cultivation Systems: The Future
› Table tops and substrates are here to stay.
› Increased densities.
› New Varieties – Yield and eating Quality.
› Seasonal management and extension (managing the peaks!): LED
› Sustainable growing systems (Cost reduction)
› Retractable Rafter Houses & Robots to pick and pack?
Marketing
Standard Packs and Consistency
› Dependant upon availability – Winter / Summer
› Similar across retailers
› Grower Labelling
› Varietal labelling and quality tiering(wonky or basic to taste the difference).
Packing
Heat Seal
› Tamper proof.
› Consumers confident that all the berries are 100%
› The packs are easy for the consumer to pick up
Shelf Life Enhancement
› Cool chain and refrigerated display.
› Ethylene absorption.
› Perfotec – Respiration measured MA packs.
Opportunities and Trends
Celebrate Occasions with Strawberries!
Marketing Data! Inspires Confidence
Customer Quality PanelsLEAN – Cost Chain analysisSmart phone shopping
Threats
Perhaps the Biggest Threat to Our Industry?
› The industry is dependant upon migrant labour
› The majority of the plant stock is from Europe
› 12 month availability is dependant upon European fruit principally from Spain and Holland
Available Labour Down
20%
Migrant salaries falling behind EU neighbours
Conclusion
The UK market for berries has grown because:
› The consumer sees and buys consistently good quality week in week out
› The retailer has built “Trust and Confidence” into their supply chains
THANK YOU