UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Socio-economic Benefits of GEO and GEOSS: Geobene and Geo-wiki...
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UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Socio-economic Benefits of GEO and GEOSS: Geobene and Geo-wiki Steffen Fritz International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria – [email protected] UIC meeting Washington 16th of Nov 2009
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Transcript of UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009 Socio-economic Benefits of GEO and GEOSS: Geobene and Geo-wiki...
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Socio-economic Benefits of GEO and GEOSS:Geobene and Geo-wiki
Steffen Fritz
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria – [email protected]
UIC meeting Washington 16th of Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Public GEOSS benefit assessment
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
The benefit chain concept
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Levels of EO data and associated benefits differentiated towards GEOSS which can be modeled with a global land use model such as GLOBIOM
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Land Constraint World ScenariosLand Constraint World ScenariosGLC-2000 agricultural land: 2 363 M ha
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
MODIS-2000 agricultural land: 1 937 M ha
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Scenario to compute value of land Scenario to compute value of land availability uncertaintyavailability uncertainty
GLOBIOM calculations2030 estimated food and wood demand
+Substitution of up to 10% of transport oil energy consumption
according to IPCC/GGI A2r baseline scenario 2030 in each of the 11 regions
by ethanol.
Variants
a) WITH additional land (explicit supply function)
b) WITOUT additional land
+ avoided deforestation
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Ethanol ConsumptionEthanol Consumption
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
AgLand Use ScenarioAgLand Use Scenario
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Water UseWater Use
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
GHG BalanceGHG Balance
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Crop PricesCrop Prices
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
III. Illustrative applicationIII. Illustrative application
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Land availability uncertainty is a USD 350 billion
Gas bill Question in the scenario
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Before
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
After
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Specific Example: Field survey vs. aerial survey
Terrestrial Mapping Aerial Photogrammetry (Digital)
Cost 100 USD/ha 12-14 USD/ha
Manpower 5 ha/day/team 50,000 ha/yr/company
Damaged Area 300,000 ha 300,000 ha
Time 1 team = 164 years 1 company = 6 years
1000 teams = 2 months
10 companies = 6 months
Total Cost 26.3 million USD 3.6 million USD
Source: K. Wikantika
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
A spatially explicit assessment of current and future hotspots of hunger in Sub-Saharan Africa in the context of global change
ProjectedUntil 2030
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Things to conserve& how much of them to conserve
+
Things to avoid
=
Where to conserve
Benefit chain & conservation planningAn introduction to conservation planning
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Case study 3:The benefit chain & conservation planning
Ecosystems Landcover Species
No
GE
OS
SG
EO
SS
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Finer resolution species, ecosystem & land cover data
10% less land required
1.2 bill €57 mill € pa.
200 mill €
YES!
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
WP6 misssion
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
Geo-wiki.org
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
UIC meeting Washington 16 Nov 2009
