UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology...

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The Carrot and Heuristic ..the big problem with big data Scott D. McArthur

Transcript of UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology...

Page 1: UCD15 Talk - Scott D. McArthur - The Carrot and the Heuristic – the Big Problem with Technology and Big Data

The Carrot and Heuristic..the big problem with big data

Scott D. McArthur

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…reading

Magic...

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...Denmark

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Milgram

The power of authority…

…and the dangers of abstraction

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Win, Win, Win

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..bigData“The Devil hath power to assume a pleasing shape.” 

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Detail…we all have, on average, 1 testicle and 1 ovary!

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The distinction between correlation

and causation

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From: Spurious Correlations website

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From: Spurious Correlations website

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From: Spurious Correlations website

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From: Spurious Correlations website

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 "All models are wrong;

some models are useful".

George Box

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Why does all this happen?

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Heuristics : mental shortcuts that ease decision making

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...Denmark

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Perfect storm

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Professor Teddy HallArchaeometry

“...like being a detective, looking for clues with the hope of confirming or uncovering reality…”

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Consequences

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“Imagine how much harder physics would be

if electrons had feelings!”

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Big Data

+ Behaviour Science

=Magic

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Birhan Woldu

400,000

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”Imagine how much more effective big data would be if we remember that people have feelings!”