UAB Green and Gold Fund

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General Electric (GE) Buy Presentation September 22, 2011

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UAB Green and Gold Fund. General Electric (GE) Buy Presentation September 22, 2011. GE Business Profile. Provides technology and financial services 100 counties served 5 Business Segments: 1. Energy Infrastructure 2. Technology Aviation, Healthcare, Transportation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of UAB Green and Gold Fund

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General Electric (GE)

Buy PresentationSeptember 22,

2011

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Provides technology and financial services 100 counties served

5 Business Segments: 1. Energy Infrastructure 2. Technology

Aviation, Healthcare, Transportation 3. NBC Universal

51% stake 4. GE Capital

Financial services, loans, credit cards 5. Home and Business Solutions

Appliances

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ENERGY: Acquisitions, HD gas turbines, solar power

OIL AND GAS: Subsea

CONSUMER: Eco trends, “Green” lighting

GE CAPITAL: Lower losses, Real Estate Turnaround

TRANSPORTATION: Emerging markets, Hybrid Technology

AVIATION: Global Airline Strength

HEALTHCARE: Global growth

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GE’s Energy Infrastructure is expected to increase 32.16% over the next two years. GE Capital is being scaled back.Technology is expected to increase 20.70% over the next two years.

•21% increase in Aviation•15.54% increase in Healthcare.

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Strengths WeaknessesBroad range of products Pending law suitsWide geographic presence GE Capital?Increasing profitability

Opportunities ThreatsIncreased dividend Payout Weak economyAcquisitions Highly regulatedEmerging economies Strong competition

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Methodology: Target yield / PEJustification: DCF / DDM difficult to apply given significant business changes on the horizon

Current Price: $15.93

Bull case: Reference Spreadsheet

Dividend2012E Dividend: $0.71Target Yield / Price: 3.0% / $29.67

P/E Multiple2012E EPS: $2.02Target Multiple / Price: 14.0x / $28.25

Average PT: $28.96 (+81%)

2011 Peak Valuation:Dividend Yield: 2.8%P/E: 15.8x

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Risk/reward is favorable @ 1:2.5Downside should be limited to $12

~1x book value~5% div yield (assuming no increase from GE

Cap)

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BUY 200 shares of GE at limit of ~$15 ($3,000)

Total position after purchase: 600 shares / 2.1% of portfolio

Industrials Target Sector Allocation: 7.3%, Current Sector Allocation: 4.9% Allocation after purchase: 6.3%