TWP2: Modeling of the impact of continental nutrient...
Transcript of TWP2: Modeling of the impact of continental nutrient...
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TWP2: Modeling of the impact of continental nutrient inputs on the dynamics of
planktonic diversity
Alekseenko Elena, PhD Scientific adviser: Melika Baklouti
Other collaborators: François Carlotti , Pierre Garreau, Arnaud Guyennon
Mediterranean Institute of Oceanography
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Scientific objective Impact of the high continental
NO3:PO4 ratio on the structure of the food web?
3D modeling of NW Med Sea. Coupled model MARS3D/ECO3M-
MED .
Scientific strategy:
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Why to choose Mnemiopsis leidyi?
Reports of M. leidyi blooms in Mediterranean Sea (Fuentes, 2009, Boero, 2009, Kilie&Lucas, 2013)
• Chosen species – comb-jelly Mnemiopsis leidyi :
• An alien species which successfully colonizes Mediterranean coasts in the last decades
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• Implementation of jellyfish
into Eco3M model (Alekseenko et al, in prep.)
Eco3M-Med biogeochemical model
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0D scenarios on the Mnemiopsis leidyi behaviour
Feeding by constant food concentration of 10 ind/l after 5, 30, 40, 60, 80 days of starvation
For the appropriate Mnemiopsis leidyi implementation into the Eco3M-MED model numerous 0D tests were made on its physiology: • Growth rate and reproduction • Grazing • Mortality • Metabolic requirements • Temperature impact • Feeding after starvation depending on the food quality and quantity
Mn
emio
psi
s le
idy
i a
bu
nd
an
ce (
ind
/l)
M.L has strong survival ability at high food concentration
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A case study on the NW Mediterranean Sea
under the influence of the Rhone River Model bathymetry
Modeled scenarios • high/low NO3:PO4 ratio of the Rhone River ; • with/without jellyfish
Modeled region – Gulf of Lions under impact of the Rhone River
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Total Carbon: 0.0040 mol/l
Carbon repartition
Total Carbon: 0.0063 mol/l
in % from Total Carbon, in the zone III at two contrasting situations
Scenario: no Jellyfish, Rhone NO3:PO4 of 2010
10th April 2010 10th September 2010
BAC µZoo nZoo phytoplankton Copepod Nonliving: POC,DOC
Bloom period • more diatoms
• more Carbon biomass
Stratified period • intense microbial loop
• DOC accumulation
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BAC +10.4%
PHY -2.5%
SZOO +7%
COP -9.67%
JEL -2.9%
9.719
0.078
0.116
2.954
5.801
5.491
BAC +9.6%
PHY -10.7%
SZOO +0.5%
COP -9.70%
JEL ref
9.738
0.079
0.111
2.616 5.566
5.488
BAC ref
PHY ref
SZOO
ref
COP ref
10.942
0.106
2.781 6.757
Units: fluxes over summer period in mmolC/m3
BAC +5.3%
PHY -9.9%
SZOO +16%
COP -6.6%
11.385
0.108
2.877 6.871
Community shifts N
O3:
PO
4 2*
NO
3:P
O4
NO JELLYFISH WITH JELLYFISH
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Conclusions
• The presence of jellyfish in the system activates the microbial loop during the
summer period, which is more reinforced with the NO3:PO4 increase
• The impact of the NO3:PO4 increase on copepods and jellyfish is weaker due to their lower growth rates. Therefore, for studying such impacts on these organisms, longer simulations are needed
These preleminary results show the complex plankton dynamics induced by nutrient changes and how it could impact the higher
trophic levels.
• Mnemiopsis leidyi species was implemented into te Eco3M-‐MED model
• Variety of 0D scenarios on the physiological processes was made
• 3D modelling with different NO3:PO4 ratios in the Rhone River showed:
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Thank you for your attention! ● Accepted publication:
● Alekseenko E., Raybaud V., Espinasse B., Carlotti F., Queguiner B., Thouvenin B., Garreau P., Baklouti M. (2014) ”Seasonal dynamics and stoichiometry of the planktonic community in the NW Mediterranean Sea: a 3D modeling approach”. Ocean Dynamics.
● Newsletter article ● V. Garnier, I.L. Pairaud, A. Nicolle, E. Alekseenko, M. Baklouti, B. Thouvenin, F. Lecornu, P. Garreau.”MENOR: a high
resolution (1.2 km) modelling of the North-Western Mediterranean Sea; Routinely run by the PREVIMER; Operational Forecast System”, Newsletter Mercator N49
● Participation in conferences ● CIESM, November 2013, Marseille, France: E.Alekseenko, Thouvenin B., Tixier C., Tronczynski J., Baklouti M.,
Garreau P., Verney R., Carlotti F., Espinasse B., Queguiner B., Loizeau V. “Modeling of the PCB transfer into the trophic chain of the Gulf of Lions; 3D coupled model application.”. Poster and oral presentation
● EGU 2014, May 2014, Vienna, Austria: Alekseenko E., Baklouti M., Carlotti F., Guyennon A., Garreau P. “Modeling of the impact of Rhone River nutrient inputs on the dynamics of planktonic diversity. Oral presentation
● DIOXIN, September 2014, Barselona, Spain: E.Alekseenko, Thouvenin B., Tixier C., Tronczynski J., Baklouti M., Garreau P., Verney R., Carlotti F., Espinasse B., Queguiner B., Loizeau V. “Modeling of the PCB transfer into the trophic chain of the Gulf of Lions; 3D coupled model application.”. Poster
● Publication in preparation ● Alekseenko E., Baklouti M., Carlotti F. “Mnemiopsis Leidyi modelling; Eco3M-Med approach”
Scientific production
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What evolution in the future ( c h a n g e s i n a g r i c u l t u r a l practices and other anthropic pressures from the continental domain)? Other models from the LABEX
(hydrological, socio-economical,...)
Evolution of nutrient inputs (continental)
Agriculture
Urbain Zone
Industry
Perspectives Application of the
model MARS3D/ECO3M of NW Med Sea