Two roads diverged in a yellow wood
-
Upload
cilla-de-lacy -
Category
Government & Nonprofit
-
view
50 -
download
0
Transcript of Two roads diverged in a yellow wood
Two roads diverged in a yellow wood
• The public water utility of the future
The public water utility of the
future
2
National landscape Politically unstable
Traffic congestion driving infrastructure debate
Rural water focus
Demise of National Water Commission
• Reform now with Productivity Commission and Infrastructure Australia
• Smart Cities Plan touches on water reform
Funding and market reform of the transport sector represents the most significant infrastructure challenge for Australia’s governments.
3
Over the horizon• Empowerment
o Technology enabledo Driving disruption
• Demise of major political partieso Rise of identity and local politics
• Globalisation = Temporary migration
• Breakdown of large institutions
• Volatility the new norm
4
Two roads diverged in a yellow wood• Followers
• Policy takers
• Risk averse
• Fails to understand business
• Leaders
• Policy makers
• Clever risk takers
• Understands their business
5
What business are you in?
6
Drivers of change 2020 - 2050
2020
• End of Net FiT for early solar adopters – now shopping for best deal
• Solar and batteries value competitive with grid electricity
2030• Customers = users and generators/manufacturers
common• Regional and localised services
2040• Global water crisis• Miners enter market
2050
• MAR, desalination and geothermal energy common• Cross-sectoral, multiple markets and players (micro and
macro)
7
2020 – Empowered solar customers
End of Gross and Net FiT for early adopters in WA, SA, Vic and NSW
75,000 WA customers affected
Solar and batteries value-competitive with grid electricity
2030 – Micro grids and localised services
Prosumers drive electricity market and price deregulation
Micro-grids and co-ops take off
Bespoke services managed by Government’s stewardship of the network through strategic policy and regulatory oversight
9
2040 - Global water shortages
By 2050 about 40% of the projected global population of 9.4 billion will experience critical water shortages.
Global water demand: Baseline scenario, 2000 and 2050
Note: BRIICS: Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, South Africa. RoW: Rest of the world. Source: The Environmental Outlook Baseline; output from IMAGE model suite.
Water more valuable than oil
Miners enter market
Fully privatised water services
10
2040 – The Conscious business built from the contemporary strategy
11
“We sustain life”WHY“We sustain life”
HOWShared decision-makingAsset optimisationTailored servicesBespoke business structuresGlobal citizen
WHATProvide energy and water services
12
Who are your Prosumers?Water and energy Users Generators Manufacturers
HouseholdersCo-operativesStrata companiesIrrigatorsCouncilsCommercial businessesDevelopers
Solar PV output is forecast to triple to more than 2,500GWh within a decade.
13
What do they want? Reliable and customised
services Value for money Respect
Types of packages Water/wastewater services only Water/wastewater and energy
services Efficiency packages Liveability packages
On and off grid Bundled and unbundled Smart metered One service provider = One bill
User
PartnerSupplierPROSUMER
14
The new landscapeGovernment
Bipartisan, long term
strategy and policy
making
Strong ‘network
stewardship’
regulation
Ownership and structure
Private sector
Off-grid individualsNational, regional,
local providers
Customers and CommunitiesCustomer-
centric services
Holistic community engageme
nt
Drive economic
development
15
How will we innovate to get there?
Source: Bettini, Y. and Head, B.W. (2016) Governance structures and strategies to support innovation and adaptability. Melbourne, Australia: Cooperative Research Centre for Water Sensitive Cities.
16
Lead the change
Positioning
Leveraging
Optimising
• Know your strengths• Define the ‘why’• Incorporate ‘context’
• Prosumer relationships
• Private sector• Local government
leadership• Assets (includes
customers)• Disruption =
opportunity• Regulation