Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties ....

20
1 Twitcident Filtering Twitter to obtain real-time intelligence Richard Stronkman, Founder & CEO June 2012 Follow us via @twitcidentapp or @rstronkman

Transcript of Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties ....

Page 1: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

1

Twitcident Filtering Twitter to obtain real-time intelligence

Richard Stronkman, Founder & CEO

June 2012 Follow us via @twitcidentapp or @rstronkman

Page 2: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

2

Today’s challenges

“Polling meaningful information” “Sifting thousands of tweets during hurricane Irene” “Getting situational awareness” “Finding the eye’s on the ground” “

“Twitter is quick and timely” “Messages can be overwhelming” ”

mr. Kaji Japan Cabinet Secretariat

mr. Farmer FEMA

“Finding actionable information” “Providing timely reaction” “

Page 3: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

3

Contents

1.  Introduction

2.  What is Twitcident?

3.  Two case studies

Page 4: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

4

Partners

http://twitcident.org

http://tno.nl/twitcident

http://twitcident.com

Page 5: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

5

Projects Research

.eu

Page 6: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

6

Why monitor Twitter?

•  340 million tweets per day (source: Twitter, ‘12)

•  Netherlands ranks #1 in Twitter penetration (source: ComScore, ’11)

• Twitter users publish about “anything”

•  Work/private life

•  Interesting events

•  Etc.

• We view users as social sensors and citizen journalists

Page 7: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

7

Our goals

1.  Prevention

•  Twitter users publish early signals that might indicate an increased

risk or potential incident.

2.  Law enforcement

•  (Eye-witness) Twitter users disseminate information about incidents

which can support operational emergency services.

3.  Post analyses

•  Analyzing incident data in retrospect to measure the effectiveness of

emergency services.

Page 8: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

8

Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties

Page 9: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

9

80.000 tweets in four hours

Page 10: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

10

600 tweets per minute

Page 11: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

11

Could we see this impact coming?

Semantics 25 minuten before incident

1.  Weather: storm, cloud-burst, wind, …. 2.  Locations: Brussel, Gent, Hasselt, …

3.  Intensity: heavy, crazy, massive… 4.  Impact: hail balls, falling trees…

Impact storm Why is there a peak?

“ ”

Page 12: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

12

Damage reports from the incident site

Page 13: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

13

Real-time intelligence by photos

Page 14: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

14

Case: Utrecht Queen’s Day 2012

Page 15: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

15

Real-time incident dashboard

Page 16: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

16

Classified tweets on Terrorism

Page 17: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

17

Results Queen’s Day

• Data

•  24 hours: 62.491 tweets collected

•  Twitcident made it easy to find ±200 relevant tweets

• Among relevant information

•  Increased risk towards Queen and Royal family

•  Presence of hooligans in Utrecht

• Result: Police visits suspects based on data found by Twitcident

Page 18: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

18

Challenges

1.  Identifying rumor propagation

•  Social correcting: we try to measure ‘doubt’ in replies to rumors.

2.  Finding quality information

•  We try to find ‘eye-witness reports’ and filter away all noise

Page 19: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

19

Technology

http://wis.ewi.tudelft.nl/twitcident

Page 20: Twitcident - International Risk Governance Council...Pukkelpop 2011 Storm incident with casualties . 9 80.000 tweets in four hours . 10 600 tweets per minute . 11 Could we see this

20

Thank you

twitcident.com

@twitcidentapp @rstronkman