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reacting species. This enables structural interpretation even for
intermediates that only transiently exist during the reaction. (b)
Multivariate data allow the application of a wide range of
model-free analyses, from simple factor analysis [19] to indicate
the number of reaction species to sophisticated complete
analyses based on evolving factor analysis [20] or the
alternating least-squares algorithm [21]. These model-freetechniques can also be combined with the hard-modelling
techniques described in this tutorial to give the benefits of both
approaches [22,23]. (c) The need to determine a “good”
wavelength to follow the reaction is eliminated. (d) The analysis
of multiwavelength data is often significantly more robust. The
disadvantages of multiwavelength data include the large
number of data that are acquired in a short time and the large
number of parameters that need to be fitted. Readily available
personal computers with large memory solve the first problem;
appropriate algorithms solve the second.
The most recent development, and not yet widely
accepted, is the globalisation of the analysis of several setsof kinetic data. The investigation of reasonably complex
mechanisms requires the measurement of data acquired under
different conditions, e.g., variation of initial concentrations.
Global analysis of the complete collection of data invariably
results in increased robustness, reduced model ambiguity and
also significantly less operator input as only one analysis has
to be performed.
All of the algorithms and analyses described in this tutorial
were completed using the commercially available software
package Pro-KII [24] or in-house Matlab® [25] software. Other
software packages offering some similar features have also been
reported in the literature or are available commercially such as
OPKINE [26], KINAJDC (MW) [27,28] and SPECFIT/32™
[29].
2. Multivariate absorption data and Beer–Lambert's law
Light absorption spectroscopy is a common technique used
for chemical reaction monitoring, with the ultraviolet-visible(UV–Vis, practical range of 190–700 nm) and near-infrared
(near-IR, range of 700–3000 nm) wavelength regions com-
monly used. While measurements in the mid-IR (3000–12,500
nm) are less commonly used for kinetic studies, the use of this
region is increasing with the development of faster scanning
instruments. Any of the above wavelength ranges can be used to
follow the time-dependent spectral changes during chemical
reactions and for the subsequent determination of reaction
mechanisms, its kinetic parameters and the spectra of the
absorbing reacting species. These spectra can be used evaluate
the structure of intermediates and products. Instruments for
making absorbance measurements are widely available with bench-top spectrophotometers now being sold covering a large
portion of the UV–Vis to near-IR wavelength range in a single
device. Generally, experiments are made using stopped-flow
techniques for rapid reaction kinetics (milliseconds–minutes),
and manually mixed or batch reactor measurements for slower
kinetics (minutes–hours).
To follow the evolution of a reaction, spectra are acquired as
a function of the reaction time. This type of measurement results
in data that can be arranged into a two-dimensional matrix
which will be named Y. If each measured spectrum is arranged
as a row, then the resulting row dimension is the number of
measured spectra (nt rows) and the column dimension is the
Fig. 1. Structure of multivariate absorbance data arranged into a matrix Y.
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number of measured wavelengths (nλ columns). This arrange-
ment is shown in Fig. 1.
According to Beer –Lambert's law the absorbance of a
solution at one particular wavelength λ at time t is the sum of
the contributions from all absorbing species. Each element in Y
represents this sum for a specific time t and wavelength λ. The
contribution from each species to the absorbance is linearly proportional to the concentration and the optical path length (the
distance travelled through the solution by the incident light
beam). If the path length and proportionality constant are
expressed by the single constant εi(λ) then Beer –Lambert's law
and each element in Y is represented by Eq. (1) (for nc absorbing
species).
yðt ;kÞ ¼ c1ðt Þe1ðkÞ þ c2ðt Þe2ðkÞ þ : : : þ cncðt ÞencðkÞ¼
Xnci¼1
ciðt ÞeiðkÞ ð1Þ
The structure of Eq. (1) is such that when spectra arearranged according to the matrix Y, Beer –Lambert's law can be
elegantly expressed using matrix notation [4].
Y ¼ CA þ R ð2ÞThis equation is represented graphically in Fig. 2. The
columns of the matrix C contain the concentration profiles ci of
the nc absorbing species at the nt measurement times. The rows
of the matrix A contain the molar absorptivities εi(λ) for each
species at the nλ measured wavelengths. These will be referred
to as pure component spectra. Because measurements are never
perfect, the matrix Y will contain some measurement noise and
as such cannot be perfectly represented by the product of C andA. This difference is captured in the matrix of residuals R ,
which shares the same dimensions as Y. The fact that each
element in Y is an application of Beer –Lambert's law of Eq. (1)
is illustrated by the shading of Fig. 2. Each element in Y is the
vector product of the corresponding row in C and column in A
plus the noise component in the matrix R . Also shown are
typical plots of the type of data contained in each matrix. They
were produced by simulation of simple first-order kinetics.
3. Calculation of kinetic concentration profiles
The central step in the fitting of a kinetic model to
multivariate absorbance data is being able to calculate the
concentration profiles of all the species involved in a chemical
reaction. The concentration profile of a species is its change in
concentration with time. The concentration profiles of all species
are arranged into column vectors and they correspond to the
columns of the matrix C in Fig. 2. According to kinetic theory,
the concentration profiles of the species in a reaction mechanism
are defined by a system of ordinary differential equations
(ODEs) [30]. With knowledge of the initial conditions, ODEs
can be integrated to any time point, allowing the calculation of the concentration profiles corresponding to data acquisition
times.
For a number of simple first- and second-order reactions, it is
possible to explicitly integrate the resulting system of ODEs.
For example, consider the reaction mechanism of Eq. (3).
Shown is the system of ODEs and their integrated form for this
second-order mechanism.
2AYk 2A
B
d½Adt ¼
−2k 2A
½A
2
;
d½Bdt ¼
k 2A
½A
2
A½ ¼ ½A01 þ 2½A0k 2At
Fig. 2. The matrix Y of multivariate absorbance data expressed using Beer –Lambert's law. A plot of typical data is given below each matrix.
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B½ ¼ ½B0 þ ½A0−½A
2 ð3Þ
For the majority of multiple step reaction mechanisms, it is
not possible to explicitly integrate the resulting systems of
ODEs. To overcome this, numerical integration is used.
Numerical integration allows an approximation to the explicit
solution to be calculated for any system of ODEs, within limits
of numerical accuracy and computation time [31]. Numerical
integration routines are, at least in basic principle, based on
Euler's method [31]. Euler's method uses a form of the Taylor
series expansion truncated to the first derivative (see the
Appendix for details of the Taylor series expansion).
The principle of Euler's method is represented graphically in
Fig. 3. Starting with the concentration at time t , the
concentration at t +Δt is estimated by moving along the tangent
(the derivative dciðt Þ
dt ) at t . It can be seen that the accuracy of the
approximation is dependent on the magnitude of the increment
size Δt and the shape of the function. The greater the curvatureand the steeper the tangent, the smaller the increment size that
must be used to give an accurate approximation.
Eq. (4) formalises the graph and Eq. (5) shows the equation
as would be applied to calculate the concentration profiles of
species A and B from Eq. (3).
ciðt þ Dt Þcciðt Þ þ dciðt Þdt
Dt ð4Þ
½At þDt c½At −2k 2A½A2t Dt ; ½Bt þDt c½Bt þ k 2A½A2t Dt ð5Þ
In practice, Euler's method as described here is not used in
modern numerical integration routines due to its lack of accuracy. Some of the modern strategies include using higher-
order terms from the Taylor series expansion or calculating the
first derivative at multiple points within an increment. Adaptive
increment size control is also used to achieve a specified level of
accuracy. The most robust of the modern numerical integration
routines use the idea of extrapolating from a particular result to
the value that would have been obtained if a much smaller,
ideally infinitesimally small, increment size were used [31].
A system of ODEs can be considered either non-stiff or stiff
depending upon the relative difference in the rate of change of
the concentration profiles. If the rate of change of each
concentration profile is similar, the system of ODEs is said to
be non-stiff. For non-stiff systems of ODEs, the fourth-order
Runge–Kutta method [31] is the “workhorse” of numerical
integration and it was used in this tutorial. It is called fourth
order because the first derivative is calculated at four points
along the increment of integration, allowing much larger
increments and thus dramatically reduced computation timescompared to the simple Euler method. Alternatively, if one
concentration profile changes rapidly while another does not,
the system of ODEs is said to be stiff. Such a situation can occur
if either rate constants or concentrations vary by orders of
magnitude or the mechanism is a mixture of elementary steps
with different reaction orders. In this case, if a traditional
method is used the increment size must be reduced to such a
small value to yield accurate integration of the rapidly changing
concentration profiles, that the computation time becomes
excessive for the more slowly changing concentration profiles.
A modified approach to carrying out the integration is then
required. For stiff systems the Bulirsch–Stoer method using
semi-explicit extrapolation [31] was used.To carry out numerical integration, it is first necessary to
construct the system of ODEs that represent a given reaction
mechanism. This can be done manually, however such an
approach is both error-prone and cumbersome for mechanisms
of any complexity. Rather, an automated method commonly
used to construct ODEs from chemical equations can be adopted
[32]. Firstly, the number of species present in the reaction
mechanism and the stoichiometry of each reactant and product is
determined. Consider the reaction mechanism of Eq. (6).
A
þ B Y
k AB
C
2CYk 2C
D ð6ÞTwo matrices are then constructed; one containing the
reactant stoichiometries Xr , and one containing the product
stoichiometries X p. Each matrix has ns columns, representing
all the reacting species in the mechanism (A, B, C and D as
distinct from the number of absorbing species nc≤ns), and np
rows, representing reactions or rate constants (k BA and k 2C). Xr
contains the stoichiometry of each species as a reactant and X pcontains the stoichiometry of each species as a product. If Xr is
subtracted from X p, the result is the matrix of stoichiometric
coefficients X (see Fig. 4).Fig. 3. Application of Euler's method to the calculation of a concentration profile.
Fig. 4. Reactant and product matrices for the reaction mechanism of Eq. (6).
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Once Xr and X have been determined, the differential
equations can be constructed in a completely generalised way,
according to Eq. (7). The expression defining v j is the rate law of
the j -th elementary step in the mechanism [30].
v j ¼ k j Ynsi¼1
c xrj ;ii where j ¼ 1 to np
dci
dt ¼
Xnp j ¼1
x j ;iv j where j ¼ 1 to ns ð7Þ
The ODEs that result from the application of Eq. (7) to thereaction mechanism of Eq. (6) are given by Eq. (8). The result of
integrating the ODEs in Eq. (8) with [A]0= 1, [B]0=0.8, k BA= 2
and k 2C= 1 from 0 to 10 time units in 100 increments is shown in
Fig. 5.
v 1 ¼ k AB ½A1½B1½C0½D0
v 2 ¼ k 2C½A0½B0½C2½D0
d½Adt
¼ d½Bdt
¼ 1v 1 þ 0v 2
d½Cdt
¼ 1v 1−2v 2
d½Ddt
¼ 0v 1 þ 1v 2 ð8Þ
4. Linear and non-linear least-squares regression
4.1. Linear parameters
Once the concentration profiles have been calculated, the
pure component spectra can be calculated in a single step. This
is because they are linear parameters, and as such, there is no
need to pass them through the non-linear optimisation routine[4,33].
Fig. 5. Integrated concentration profiles for the mechanism of Eq. (6) using the
ODEs of Eq. (8).
Fig. 6. Flow diagram of the Newton–Gauss–Levenberg/Marquardt (NGL/M) method.
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Recall that a multivariate spectroscopic measurement Y
can be expressed as the product of C and A plus a matrix of
residuals (Eq. (2)). This is a system of linear equations and,
for such systems, there is an explicit least-squares solution
[34]. Given Y and C, the best estimate for A can be
calculated as shown in Eq. (9). C+ is called the pseudo-
inverse of C. It is necessary to use the pseudo-inverse as C isnot a square matrix precluding direct calculation of its
inverse.
Cþ ¼ ðCTCÞ−1CT
A ¼ CþY ð9Þ
C+ can be calculated as shown in Eq. (9); this, however, is
not recommended as there are numerically superior methods
[31].
4.2. Non-linear parameters
The non-linear parameters to be fitted are the rate
constants of the reaction mechanism that define the matrix
of concentration profiles C. The rate constants are refined
so as to minimize the sum of squares of the residuals
matrix of Eq. (2) ( ssq, the sum over the all elements in
R 2). The parameters are non-linear because the relationship
between the parameters and the residuals is not linear. A
vast range of non-linear regression algorithms exists. One of
the most commonly chosen methods of non-linear regres-
sion is the Newton–Gauss–Levenberg/Marquardt (NGL/M)method [4,35,36], and it will be described in detail here.
This method is a gradient method, which means it relies on
calculation of the derivative of the function being optimised
(the residuals). Methods also exist that do not rely on
calculation of the derivative, such as the Simplex method
[37] or genetic algorithms [38]. In general, the convergence
of gradient methods is superior to other methods if the
initial parameter estimates lie in the region of the global
optimum. Fig. 6 is a flow diagram showing the NGL/M
method. The NGL/M method is able to vary smoothly
between an inverse Hessian method and a linear decent
method. It evolved in essentially two stages. The inverseHessian Newton–Gauss method was developed first; this
will be the starting point for a description of the NGL/M
method.
4.2.1. Newton – Gauss method
The first step in any gradient method is to define initial
estimates for the non-linear parameters, the rate constants, to
be refined. The next step is to evaluate the target function to
be minimised, the ssq over the residuals. To do this, the
concentration profiles must be calculated according to
Section 3 using the initial rate constants. The linear
parameters, the pure component spectra, can then be
calculated by Eq. (9). This gives the matrices C and A.
The residuals matrix and its ssq can now be calculated by
rearranging Eq. (2) to yield Eq. (10).
R ¼ Y−CA
ssq ¼ X
nt
i¼1X
nk
j ¼1r 2
i;
j ð10
ÞOnce the ssq has been determined, the next step is to
calculate a shift in the non-linear parameters in such a way that
the ssq moves towards its minimum value. To do this, it needs to
be emphasised that R , and subsequently the ssq, are functions of
the non-linear parameters only. By substituting Eq. (9) into Eq.
(10), R can be written as a function of C only, which is itself a
function of the rate constants. If the non-linear parameters to be
fitted, p1 to pnp, are arranged into a vector p = ( p1, p2, …, pnp),
this relationship is given by Eq. (11).
R
ðp
Þ ¼ Y−CCþY
ð11
ÞIf the initial parameter estimates are given by the vector p0,
the Taylor series expansion can be used to estimate R following
a small shift in the parameters Δ p = (Δ p1, Δ p2, …, Δ pnp) (see the
Appendix for details of the Taylor series expansion). If only the
first derivative of R is used a linear expression results and is
given by Eq. (12).
R ðp0 þ DpÞcR ðp0Þ þAR ðp0Þ
A p1D p1 þAR ðp0Þ
A p2D p2
þ: : : þ AR ðp0ÞA pnp
D pnp ð12Þ
While this is a crude approximation, the fact that it is a linear expression makes it easy to deal with. The goal is to determine
the vector of parameter shifts that moves R (p0+Δp) towards
zero. So, if R (p0+Δp) is replaced by zero and Eq. (12) is
rearranged, Eq. (13) results.
R ðp0Þc−AR ðp0Þ
A p1D p1−
AR ðp0ÞA p2
D p2− : : : −AR ðp0ÞA pnp
D pnp
ð13ÞR (p0) is calculated as described and the partial derivative
AR ðp0ÞA pi
can be calculated by the method of finite differencing
according to Eq. (14). To calculate the partial derivative for
parameter pi, pi is shifted by a small amount Δ pi and the
residuals are calculated to yield R (p0+Δ pi). AR ðp0Þ
A piis then
calculated by subtracting R (p0+Δ pi) from R (p0) and dividing
Δ pi (equivalent to calculating the tangent in two dimensions).
AR ðp0ÞA pi
cR ðp0 þD piÞ−R ðp0Þ
D pið14Þ
In its current form, it is not clear how Δp can be calculated
using Eq. (13) as it is not a single matrix–vector product. One
solution to this problem is to vectorise (unfold into long column
vectors) the residuals and partial derivative matrices. This
expression can then be easily collapsed into a matrix–vector
product. This procedure is illustrated graphically in Fig. 7. The
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matrix of vectorised AR ðp0Þ
A pi
matrices is called the Jacobian J and
results in Eq. (15).
rðp0Þ ¼ −JDp ð15ÞThis equation is now in a form that has a structure that can be
solved by the linear least-squares method for Δp. This solution
is given in Eq. (16).
Jþ ¼ ðJTJÞ−1JT
Dp ¼ −Jþrðp0Þ ð16Þ
Since both the truncated Taylor series expansion and the
partial derivatives used are only approximations, the calculated
parameter shifts of Eq. (13) will not be perfect. Thus, aniterative procedure is adopted, where the approximations are
successively improved. The calculated shifts are applied to the
parameters (p0, j +1= p0, j +Δp going from the j -th to the j +1-th
iteration) and the process of calculating C through to Δp is
repeated. This process is iterated until the relative change in the
ssq from one iteration to the next falls below some threshold
value ( ssqold≈ ssq). A relative change of less then 10−4 is
generally appropriate.
4.4. The Marquardt modification
Generally, the Newton–Gauss method, as described so far,
converges rapidly, quadratically near the minimum. However, if
the initial estimates are poor, the functional approximation by
the Taylor series expansion and the linearization of the problem
becomes invalid. This can lead to divergence of the ssq and
failure of the algorithm.
The modification suggested by Marquardt [36], based on the
ideas of Levenberg [35], was to add a certain number, the
Marquardt parameter mp, to the diagonal elements of theHessian matrix, H = JTJ, during the calculation of the parameter
shifts, as shown in Eq. (17).
H ¼ JTJ
Dp ¼ −ðH þ mp IÞ−1JTrðp0Þ
where I ¼ the identity matrix ð17ÞWhen the value of mp is significantly larger than the elements
of H, the expression H + mp × I becomes diagonally dominant.
This means the inverse is effectively a diagonal matrix, with 1
mpin the diagonal elements. This causes Eq. (17) to collapse to Eq.
(18), which has the form of the linear descent method.
Dp ¼ 1mp
I
JTrðp0Þ ð18Þ
When the value of mp is small, Eq. (17) reverts to that of the
inverse Hessian method. The Marquardt parameter is initially set
to zero. There are many strategies to manage the Marquardt
parameter, ours is the following. If divergence of the ssq occurs,
then the Marquardt parameter is introduced (given a value of 1)
and increased (multiplication by 10 per iteration) until the ssq
begins to converge. Once the ssq converges the magnitude of the
Marquardt parameter is reduced (division by ffiffiffiffiffi
10p per iteration)and eventually set to zero when the break criterion is reached.
4.5. Error estimates and correlation coefficients
A spin-off from the NGL/M algorithm is that it allows
direct estimation of the errors in the non-linear parameters.
The inverted Hessian matrix H−1, without the Marquardt
parameter added, is the variance–covariance matrix of the
parameters. The diagonal elements contain information on the
parameter variances and the off-diagonal elements the
covariances. The formula for the standard error σi in
parameter pi is given by Eq. (19).
ri ¼ rY ffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
h−1i; j
q ð19Þ
h− 1i,i is the i-th diagonal element of the inverted Hessian
matrix H− 1 and σY is the standard deviation of the residuals
R (see Eq. (20)).
rY ¼ ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
ssq
nt nk−ðnk þ nc nk Þr
ð20Þ
The denominator of σY is the number of degrees of freedom.
This equals the number of experimental values, the number of
elements in R (nt × nλ), minus the number of fitted parameters
Fig. 7. Vectorising and collapsing Eq. (13) into a matrix and vector product [39].
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(np + nc × nλ, that is the number non-linear and linear para-meters). If H is normalised to one in the diagonal elements, this
yields the correlation coefficients between parameters [40]. The
element hi, j of the normalised H is the correlation coefficient
between parameter i and j . This is the cosine of the angle between
the columns in J for these parameters. The closer the value of the
correlation coefficient to one (the cosine of 0°) the more
correlated the parameters. High correlation between parameters
means that the two parameters cannot be distinguished from one
another and one needs to be removed from the fit.
5. Second-order global analysis
Up to this point, the analyses discussed have involved a
single multivariate measurement. This approach has been
dubbed first-order global analysis [1,4]. A powerful extension
of this approach is second-order global analysis [2,41]. In
second-order global analysis, the procedures already described
are applied simultaneously to multiple measurements of the
same system made under different conditions. Typically,
measurements where the initial concentrations have been
varied. Thus, a global model is simultaneously fitted to multiple
measurements. This has a number of advantages, including
more robust determination of the parameters, determination of
parameters that are not defined in any single measurement andthe breaking of linear dependencies [2,42]. Also, by fitting a
global model to multiple measurements made under different
conditions, more confidence can be had in the model.
A convenient way of organising a second-order global
analysis process is to organise the data sets in such a way that
existing matrix based software can be adapted. If nm
multivariate measurements have been made, the first step for
carrying out second-order global analysis is to concatenate
(stack one atop the other) the data matrices to form one large
matrix Ytot . It is assumed that each measurement covers the
same wavelength range, and thus, each data matrix has the same
number of columns. The individual concentration profile
matrices are then concatenated in a similar manner to the data
matrices, to form one large matrix Ctot . Although multiple
multivariate measurements have been concatenated, because
each measurement obeys the same reaction mechanism, Eq. (2)
can still be applied using Ytot and Ctot (see Eq. (21)).
Ytot ¼ Ctot A þ R tot ð21ÞThis equation is represented in Fig. 8. This means calculation of
the linear parameters, and fitting of the non-linear parameters,
can be carried out in the same manner as previously described
by replacing Y with Ytot and C with Ctot .
Second-order global analysis is at its most powerful when a
single matrix of pure component spectra, A, can be calculated
for Ytot and Ctot , as shown in Fig. 8. This is known as the global
spectra mode of analysis. It is not always possible however. If
there is baseline drift, or some other inconsistency between the
measurements such as temperature-dependent spectra, a single
A matrix cannot be used. This is because all measurements will
no longer share the same pure component spectra. In this
situation, a separate A matrix is calculated for each measure-ment. This arrangement is shown in Fig. 9, and is known as the
local spectra mode of analysis.
To illustrate the power of second-order global analysis,
consider the second-order reaction Eq. (22) where the concen-
tration profiles for a single measurement are linearly dependent.
A þ B Yk A
B ¼1
C ð22ÞFor a single multivariate measurement of this mechanism,
starting with the initial concentrations [A]0 and [B]0, the
concentration profiles of the species A, B and C are linearly
dependent. The smallest number of linearly independent termsthat can be used to represent the data is called the rank of the data.
The rank of the data can be estimated by carrying out factor
analysis [19] and in this case the rank of C and subsequently Y is
two and the calculation of C+ and thus A, Eq. (9), is not possible.
However, if a second measurement of the same reaction, having
different initial concentrations for A and B, was also made the
linear dependence can be broken. By fitting the mechanism
Fig. 8. Application of second order global analysis using a single matrix of pure
component spectra A (global mode).
Fig. 9. Application of second order global analysis where an individual A i iscalculated for each measurement (local mode).
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using second-order global analysis to both measurements, using
a single A matrix, the pure component spectrum of all the species
can be resolved. The rank of the resulting combined data matrix
Ytot is three as it can no longer be represented by two linearly
independent terms.
This is illustrated in Fig. 10, which shows simulated
concentration profiles and data for the mechanism of Eq. (22),with one set of initial concentrations in part (a) and with two
different sets and second-order global analysis in part (b). Both
concentration profiles have [A]0=0.5 and for the first [B]0=0.2
and the second [B]0=0.4. A single Gaussian peak was used for
the pure component spectrum of each species and the
absorbance data was calculated as Y = CA. If one single data
file and matrix of concentration profiles are used to calculate the
pure component spectra according to Eq. (9) ((a) of Fig. 10), the
pure component spectra cannot be resolved. However, if both
data files and concentration profiles are used according to
second-order global analysis ((b) of Fig. 10), the spectra of all
three species can be calculated and are well defined.
6. Examples
In this section a number of examples are given where the
techniques described have been applied, first to a complex
simulated example, and then to three real examples. Each
example will be used to highlight particular benefits of the
global analysis of multivariate data. This tutorial does not deal
directly with how to discriminate between different models.
However, in summary, the basic approach adopted is that the
residuals are used as an indication of the validity of the
Fig. 10. Calculation of pure component spectra using (a) one single measurement and (b) two measurements and second order global analysis using global spectra.
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Fig. 11. Reaction scheme used for the chlorination of benzene. The chlorination reagent is omitted.
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underlying model. In all cases, the simplest model (in terms of
number of parameters) that yields residuals with a noise level
and error structure expected from the instrumentation is chosen.
The identifiabilty of model parameters is estimated based on the
error values and correlation coefficients calculated during the
non-linear regression. If the estimated error in a parameter is
large or two parameters are highly correlated then this is used toindicate that the model is incorrect or overly complex.
Convergence of the model parameters to the same values
from different starting guesses is also used as an indication of
model correctness and parameter identifiability. For a discus-
sion of this topic, see Vajda and Rabitz [43].
6.1. Simulated chlorination of benzene
As a first example of the power of fitting kinetic models to
multivariate data a simulation will be considered. The
chlorination of benzene to hexachlorobenzene involves a
complex series of reactions. The scheme is represented in Fig.11. To highlight the complexity of the mechanism, consider the
third chlorination step. Three dichloro isomers react to produce
three trichloro isomers. 1,2-dichlorobenzene reacts only to the
1,2,3- and 1,2,4-trichlorobenzenes; 1,3-dichlorobenzene reacts
to form all three isomers and 1,4-dichlorobenzene reacts only to
form 1,2,4-trichlorobenzene. Data were generated for the
mechanism by assigning hypothetical rate constants defined
by the probability of the reaction given by the number of
substitution possibilities that leads to a particular product. For
example, for 1,3-dichlorobenzene to 1,2,4-trichlorobenzene
there are two possibilities so k 1,3–1,2,4 was assigned a value of
2 and for 1,3,5-trichlorobenzene to 1,2,3,5-tetrachlorobenzene
there are three possibilities so k 1,3,5–1,2,3,5=3. This modelignores electronic effects of the substituents which in reality
slow down additional substitutions. This is not relevant for the
present purpose. There are a total of 13 species and 20 rate
constants in the mechanism.
Data were generated by modelling the pure spectra of the
benzenes as severely overlapping Gaussian peak s. The
chlorination reagent was assumed to be non-absorbing.
Absorbance data was generated by multiplying simulated
concentration profiles by the simulated pure spectra. White
noise with a standard deviation of 0.001 (a realistic value for
UV–Vis spectrophotometers) was added to the data. Anexample of the generated data is shown in Fig. 12. Due to the
complexity of this system it cannot be resolved from a single
measurement, even with perfect noise-free data as serious rank
deficiencies result and simplified models can be fit. 10
measurements were generated, each one starting with the
unsubstituted benzene and with one of the isomers in the steps
involving three isomers (di-, tri- and tetra-chloro isomers). This
was necessary to break the rank deficiencies in the concentra-
tion profiles. A concentration of 1 with a ten-fold excess of
chlorination reagent was used, with 100 spectra generated at
equal intervals between 0 and 0.3 time units.
All 10 measurements were analysed globally using second-order global analysis. The determined rate constants were
essentially correct (exactly correct to two significant figures).
Such an analysis would be practically impossible without the
use of multivariate data and second-order global analysis. Due
to the severely overlapped spectra, there is no single wavelength
that could be chosen to follow a single species. Furthermore,
due to the complexity of the mechanism, there is no single
measurement or subset of the measurements that could be made
to elucidate all the rate constants and spectra due to the severe
rank deficiencies of the concentration profiles.
6.2. Complexation of Cu(II) by cyclam using stopped-flow and
standard spectrometry
In this example the reaction between Cu(II) and the
macrocyclic ligand cyclam (1,4,8,11-tetraazacyclotetradecane)
in aqueous solution was investigated. The details of the
Fig. 12. Generated data for the benzene example with a 1 : 10 ratio between benzene and the chlorination reagent: (a) calculated concentration profiles and pure spectra(inset) and (b) calculated absorbance data.
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experiments and results can be found elsewhere [13]. Cyclam is
a tetradentate ligand and forms a 1:1 complex with Cu(II) in
aqueous solution. The reaction rate depends upon the level of
protonation of cyclam, and as such is strongly pH-dependent.
Multiwavelength kinetic data of the reaction was collected
using both stopped-flow and manually mixed measurements
with [Cu2+]0=3.9×10−3 M and [cyclam]0=4.3×10
−3 M and
different starting acid concentrations (1×10−7
−0.057 M). Thekinetic model given in Eq. (23), coupled to the protonation
equilibria given by Eq. (24) (L-cyclam), was fitted simulta-
neously to all the measurements. A description of the method
used to couple the kinetic model and protonation equilibria is
beyond the scope of this tutorial. The reader is referred to
Maeder et al. [13] for details. However, beyond some
modification to the method used to calculate the concentration
profiles, the fitting was done as described in this tutorial.
Cu2þ þ LHþ Yk Cu
LH
CuL2þ þ Hþ
Cu2þ þ LH2þ2 Yk Cu
LH
2 CuL2þ þ 2Hþ ð23Þ
L þ HþW K 1 LHþ
LHþ þ HþW K 2 LH2þ2
LH2þ2 þ
HþW K 3
LH3þ3
LH3þ3 þ HþW K 4
LH4þ4 ð24ÞThe calculated concentration profiles, calculated pH as a
function of reaction time (calculated as − log10([H+])), fits of the
absorbance data at two wavelengths and the calculated pure
component spectra of the absorbing species are shown in Fig.
13. In this case, it was necessary to calculate the pure
component spectra in the local mode due baseline shifts
between measurements. However, because of the multiwave-
length data and the fact that only Cu2+ and CuL2+ absorbed the
calculated pure component spectra were well defined for all the
measurements. This allowed measurement to measurement comparison as well as comparison with independently deter-
mined spectra for verification purposes. However, the real
benefit for the study of this system comes from the fitting of a
global reaction model to a number of measurements simulta-
neously. All the parameters associated with this mechanism
cannot be defined by a single measurement due to the effect of
pH on the reaction velocity. Only through fitting multiple
multivariate measurements simultaneously are all the para-
meters defined.
6.3. Acid-induced dissociation of tris(ethylenediamine)
nickel(II)
In this example, the acid-induced dissociation of tris
(ethylenediamine) nickel(II) (Ni(en)32+) in aqueous solution is
considered. This reaction has been studied in detail [44–47],
and in the presence of an excess of acid the Ni(en) 32+ complex
undergoes irreversible dissociation in the three first-order steps
given by Eq. (25).
NiðenÞ2þ3 YHþ
k NiðenÞ3 NiðH2OÞ2ðenÞ2þ2 þ en
Ni
ðen
Þ2þ2 Y
Hþ
k Niðen
Þ2 Ni
ðH2O
Þ4
ðen
Þ2þ
þ en
NiðenÞ2þYHþ
k NiðenÞ3 NiðH2OÞ2þ6 þ en ð25Þ
The reaction proceeds as the bidentate en ligand becomes
protonated and dissociates from the metal centre.
Multiwavelength kinetic data of this reaction was measured
using a stopped-flow spectrophotometer. Initially a 0.040 M
solution of Ni(en)32+ was prepared by dissolving Ni2+ in the
presence of an excess of en and 1 M sodium perchlorate. This
solution was then mixed with a 1 M solution of perchloric acid
in the stopped-flow and the reaction was followed between 430
and 640 nm for 10 s. Experimental details can be found
elsewhere [48]. The reaction mechanism of Eq. (25) was fitted
Fig. 13. Fit results for a manually mixed measurement with [Cu2+]0=3.9×
10−3 M, [LH22+]0=4.3×10
−3 M and [H+]0=1.0×10−7 M. (a) Calculated
concentration profiles and pH and (b) measured (•••) and calculated (—)
absorbance data and calculated pure component spectra (inset).
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to the data and Fig. 14 shows the resulting calculated
concentration profiles and fits at selected wavelengths.
For this example the benefits of using multivariate data are
significant and three-fold. Firstly, without knowledge of the
spectrum of the intermediate species selection of a single
wavelength to follow the reaction is difficult. Choosing a single
wavelength below 500 nm results in k Ni(en) being poorly definedand choosing a wavelength above 640 nm means k Ni(en)3 is
poorly defined. The second advantage is related to the fact that
the mechanism consists of three first-order consecutive
reactions. The parameter values determined for the mechanism
are k Ni(en)3 =99.0±0.3 s−1, k Ni(en)2 =4.10± 0.01 s
−1 and k Ni(en)=
0.184± 0.001 s−1. Swapping of the values of k Ni(en)3 and k Ni(en)2or k Ni(en)2 and k Ni(en) results in fits of identical quality. This fast-
slow ambiguity exists for all consecutive first-order reactions
and it has been well documented in literature [49]. However, the
correct ordering of the rate constants is immediately apparent
upon examination of the pure component spectra, as can be seen
in Fig. 15. When the wrong ordering is used, severely distorted
and often negative spectra will result. When using single
wavelength data, such physically impossible spectra may not
occur or may not be detected. For example, using 640 nm and
swapping the values of k Ni(en)3 and k Ni(en)2 still results in all
positive molar absorptivities and reasonable values. The last
advantage is that the calculated pure component spectra allow
structural determination of the intermediate species. In this case,
the determined spectrum of Ni(en)22+ indicates that it is in the cisform [50].
6.4. Epoxidation of 2,5-di-tert-butyl-1,4-benzoquinone
As a final example the epoxidation of 2,5-di-tert -butyl-1,4-
benzoquinone (TBB) is considered. The experimental details
can be found elsewhere [17]. In summary, TBB and tert -butyl-
hydroperoxide (TBH) were added to a small volume (b45 mL)
stirred and thermostated reactor. The solvent used was a mixture
of 1,4-dioxane, ethanol and water. The reaction was initiated by
addition of a catalyst, Triton-B (benzyltrimethylammonium
hydroxide), in methanol. The two-step epoxidation reaction wasthen followed by IR spectroscopy using an in situ ATR probe.
Fig. 15. Calculated pure component spectra for all species with (a) the rate
constants in the correct order and (b) with the values of k Ni(en)3 and k Ni(en)2swapped.
Fig. 14. (a) Calculated concentration profiles and (b) measured (•••) and
calculated (—) absorbance data for the dissociation of Ni(en)32+. The time axis
has been plotted with a logarithmic scale so initial fast changes are visible.
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Calorimetry data were measured simultaneously but were not
considered here.
To highlight the ability of second-order global analysis to
break rank deficiencies two measurements made at 30 °C, with
different initial concentrations of reagents have been chosen.
The reaction mechanism used to fit the data is shown in Fig. 16.
The reaction was fitted as irreversible (TBH is in excess) andthird order in each step (with the Triton-B catalyst as a reactant
and product) to allow inclusion of the catalyst.
If the reaction mechanism of Fig. 16 is fitted to a single
measurement with TBB, TBH, monoEp and diEp set as
absorbing species ([TBB]0=0.22 M, [TBH]0=2.2 M and
[Triton-B]0=0.064 M), the calculated pure component spectra
of Fig. 17(a) result. The poor outcome is due to linear
dependencies amongst the concentration profiles. The rank of
the concentration profiles matrix is three, but four species have
been set as absorbing. To address this, one of the species could
be set as non-absorbing. The resulting calculated pure
component spectrum would then represent a mixture of multiplespecies. A better alternative is to include a second measurement
into the analysis, with different initial concentrations
([TBB]0=0.24 M, [TBH]0=1.5 M and [Triton-B]0= 0.072 M),
and calculate a global pure component spectra matrix according
to the method of second-order global analysis. The result of
doing this is shown in Fig. 17(b). The linear dependence of the
concentration profiles is now broken and the pure component
spectrum of all the species can be resolved.
7. Conclusion
The methods required to carry out the fitting of a kinetic
chemical model to measured multivariate spectroscopic datahave been outlined in detail. From the postulation of the model
and the derivation of the differential equations, through the
numerical integration of the model to yield the concentration
profiles and finally the calculation of the pure component
spectra and fitting of the model's rate constants to measured
data.
The benefits of fitting kinetic models to multivariate data
have been explained and demonstrated by simulated and real
examples. These benefits include: more robust model and
parameter determination; calculation of pure component
spectra; the breaking of linear dependencies (second-order
global analysis); and elimination of the need for single
wavelength selection and a reduction in the number of
measurements required for analysis. Probably the most
important point of all is that, particularly with the
Fig. 17. Calculated pure component spectra with TBB, TBH, monoEp and diEp
as coloured for (a) calculation with a single measurement and (b) calculation
using two measurements with different initial concentrations and global spectra
(shaded area shown in inset). NB: The absorbance data has not been divided by
the optical path length for visual clarity so the absorptivity is in M −1 rather than
M−1 cm−1.
Fig. 16. Reaction mechanism for the epoxidation of TBB by TBH with Triton-B as a catalyst.
162 G. Puxty et al. / Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 81 (2006) 149 – 164
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availability of instrumentation capable of delivering multi-
variate data, there is no reason not to take advantage of the
techniques that exist for their treatment. Furthermore, a
n umber o f simulated and real examp les h ave b een
considered to illustrate the benefits.
An additional point to note is that although the techniques
described in this tutorial relate directly to absorbance data, theycan be applied to any multivariate data that shows a linear
response to the concentration of species in the reaction
mechanism. For example the techniques can just as easily be
applied to fluorescence or time resolved NMR data. It is also
straightforward to extend the kinetic models used for non-
isothermal conditions using either Arrhenius of Erying based
rate constant temperature dependencies [3,15] (although careful
attention must be paid to the temperature dependence of
spectra). It is also possible to mix measurements of different
types (for example, absorbance data covering different
wavelength ranges or absorbance and fluorescence data) or
use different types of modelling to calculate the concentration profiles (for example, equilibria models [42]).
Appendix A. The Taylor series expansion
The Taylor series expansion [51] is a mathematical means of
approximating the value of a function that cannot be explicitly
calculated. It is used both for the numerical integration of a
kinetic model and during the calculation of parameter shifts
during non-linear regression. It relies on knowing the value
taken by a function at some point x. The derivative(s) of the
function at x is (are) then used to extrapolate the value taken by
the function at some other nearby point, x +Δ x (Δ x is some
small increment in x). As an example, consider some function f ,for which the value of f ( x) is known. The full form of the Taylor
series expansion as would be used to calculate its value at f ( x
+Δ x), and its truncated form as used in Euler's method and the
Newton–Gauss–Levenberg/Marquardt method, are shown in
Eqs. (26) and (27), respectively.
f ð x þ D xÞ ¼ f ð xÞ þ 11!
d f ð xÞd x
ðD xÞ þ 12!
d2 f ð xÞd2 x
ðD xÞ2
þ: : : þ 1n!
dn f ð xÞdn x
ðD xÞn ð26Þ
f ð x þ D xÞ ¼ f ð xÞ þ 11!
d f ð xÞd x
ðD xÞ ð27Þ
For practical reasons, generally only the first or second
derivative of the function is used. However, the higher the order
of derivative that is used, the greater the accuracy with which
the prediction of f ( x +Δ x) is made.
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