Tutorial on Propogation of Errors

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    Question 1 : The boiling point of water is measured four times. The

    results are 110.01◦C, 110.02◦C, 109.99◦C and 110.01◦C. Which of the

    following statements best describes this measuring process?

    i. Accurate but not precise

    ii. Precise but not accurate

    iii.Neither accurate nor precise

    iv.Both accurate and precise

    Ans : Precise but not accurate.Explanation: The measurements are close together, and thus

    precise, but they are far from the true value of 100◦C, and thus

    not accurate

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    (2) The length of an object is given as 3.21 ± 0.02 cm. True or false:

    Measurements = Measured value ± σ (uncertainty)

    a. The length was measured to be 3.21 cm.Ans: True

    b. The true length of the object is 3.21 cm.

    Ans: False

    c. The bias in the measurement is 0.02 cm.

    Ans: False

    d. The uncertainty in the measurement is 0.02 cm.

    Ans: True

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    (3) A person stands on a bathroom scale. The reading is 150 lb. After the

    person gets off the scale, the reading is 2 lb.

    a) Is it possible to estimate the uncertainty in this measurement? If so,

    estimate it. If not, explain why not.

    b) Is it possible to estimate the bias in this measurement? If so, estimateit. If not, explain why not.

    a) No, it is not possible to determine the standard deviation of the

    process from a single measurement.

    b) Yes, As the scale reads 2 pounds when the true weight is 0, the biascan be estimated to be 2 pounds.

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    4: Assume that X and Y are independent measurements

    with uncertainties σX =0.2 and σY =0.4. Find the

    uncertainties in the following quantities:

    a. 3X

    b. X−Yc. 2X+3Y

    2649140920494

    44704020

    602033

    2222

    32

    2222

    3

    ...

    ...

    ..

    Y X Y X 

    Y X Y X 

    X X 

     

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    5) The length of a rod is to be measured by a process whose

    uncertainty is 3 mm. Several independent measurements will be

    taken, and the average of these measurements will be used to

    estimate the length of the rod. How many measurements must be

    made so that the uncertainty in the average will be 1 mm?

    σ ̄   X  =  σ 

     √n

    Sample mean uncertainty =  σ ̄   X  = 1 mm

    Process measured uncertainty = σ  = 3 mm

    No of measurements = n = = 9σ ̄   X 

    σ ( )2

    =  3( )

    2

    1

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    (6) In the article “The World’s Longest Continued Series of Sea Level

    Observations” (M. Ekman, Paleogeography, 1988:73 –77), the mean annual

    level of land uplift in Stockholm, Sweden, was estimated to be

    for the years 1774 –1884 and to be for the years 1885 –1984.

    Estimate the difference in the mean annual uplift between these two timeperiods, and find the uncertainty in the estimate.

    4.93 0.23 mm

    3.92 0.19 mm

    2 2 2 20.23 0.19 0.30 mm X Y X Y      

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    7. A force of F = 2.2 ± 0.1 N is applied to a block for a period of time,

    during which the block moves a distance d = 3 m, which is

    measured with negligible uncertainty. The work W is given by W = F d.

    Estimate W, and Find the uncertainty in the estimate?

    Answers : Estimate of the workdone :- W = F d

    m d ,N .F    3103 

     

    Nm ..workdone of  estimate i n Uncerta 

    ..

    Nm ..d F W 

    F W 

    3036

    301033

    36312

    inty

     

    X cX 

      c  

    If X is a measurement and

    c is a constant, then

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    8. Find the uncertainty in Y , given that X = 4.0 ± 0.4 and

    (a) Y = X2

    (b) Y =√X

    (c) Y = 1/X

    (d) Y = ln X(e) Y = eX

    (f ) Y = sin X (X is in units of radians)

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    (9) The volume of a cone is given by V = πr2h/3, where r is the radius of 

    the base and h is the height. Assume the height is 6 cm, measured

    with negligible uncertainty, and the radius is r = 5.00 ± 0.02 cm.

    Estimate the volume of the cone, and find the uncertainty in the

    estimate.

    Height = h = 6 cm

    Radius = r = 5 cm

    Volume of cone = V = πr2h/3 = π×6×52/3 = 157.0796 cm3

    σ V  =  dV 

    dr   σ r 

    dV 

    dr = 2πrh/3 = 2×π×6×5/3 = 62.832

    σ V = 62.832 × 0.02 = 1.3 cm3

    σ V  =

      dV 

    dr   σ 

    Measured uncertainty = = 0.02 cmσ r 

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    (10). The period T of a simple pendulum is given by

    where L is the length of the pendulum and g is the acceleration due to

    gravity.

    a. Assume g = 9.80 m/s2 exactly, and that . Estimate T ,

    and find the uncertainty in the estimate.b. Assume L = 0.742 m exactly, and that . Estimate g, and

    find the uncertainty in the estimate.

    0.742 0.005 m L 

    0.742

    9.80, 0.742, 0.005, 2 2 1.72899.80 L L

     g L T   g    

    1.165204 0.005 0.0058T LdT 

    dL   

    1.7289 0.0058 sT  

    (a)

    1.73 0.05 m L 

    LT   2

    1652041897420

    1

    2

    12   .

    ..Lg dL

    dT 

     

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    2 2

    2 2

    0.7420.742, 1.73, 0.01, g 4 4 9.79

    1.73T 

     L L T 

    T    

    2

    23 32 8 0.7424 11.315

    1.73dg LdT T 

      

      

    2

    11.315 0.01 0.11

    9.79 0.11 m/s

     g T 

    dg 

    dT 

     g 

      

    1.7289 0.0058 sT  

    (b)

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    c. Assume g = 9.80 m/s2 exactly, and that . Estimate

    T , and find the relative uncertainty in the estimate.

    d. Assume L = 0.855 m exactly, and that . Estimate g, and

    find the relative uncertainty in the estimate.

    0.8559.80, 0.742, 0.005, 2 2 1.588558

    9.80 L

     L g L T 

     g    

    1 12 1.08532   0.855 9.80

    dT dL   Lg 

      

      

    1.0853 0.005 0.005426T LdT 

    dL   

    1.586 .11 sT  

    (c)

    0.855 0.005 m L 

    0.005426Relative uncertainty in 0.002923

    1.588558

    T T T 

      

    L = 0.855   1.8588

    1.8588

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    7987985618550

    22

    005085618550

    .g .g 

    .

    LT 

    ..T .L

     

    L

    dT 

    dg ; 

    L

    T g 

    22

    2

    4

    2

    4  

    4

    22  10498650050

    85504

    85612

    4

    ...

    .

    L

    dT 

    dg T T g 

     

    %..

    .

    g 005610100

    79879

    1049865100

    4

     

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    11. Convert the following absolute uncertainties to relative

    uncertainties.

    a. 37.2 ± 0.1

    b. 8.040 ± 0.003

    c. 936 ± 37

    d. 54.8 ± 0.3

    Ans:

    a) The relative uncertainty = 0.1/37.2 = 0.27%

    b) The relative uncertainty = 0.003/8.040 = 0.0373%

    c) The relative uncertainty = 37/936 =3.953%

    d) The relative uncertainty = 0.3/54.8 = 0.547%

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    (12) The acceleration g due to gravity is estimated by dropping an

    object and measuring the time it takes to travel a certain distance.

    Assume the distance s is known to be exactly 2.2 m. The time is

    measured to be t = 0.67 ± 0.02 s. Estimate g, and find the relative

    uncertainty in the estimate. (Note that g = 2s/t2)

    Time = t = 0.67 sec Distance = s = 2.2 m

    Measured uncertainty = = 0.02 secσ t 

    g = 2s/t2 = 2×2.2/0.672 = 9.802 m/sec2

    d g

    dt 

    -2×2×s

    3=  -2×2×2.2

    0.67 

    3= = -29.259

    σ g =  d gdt 

      σ t    σ g = -29.259 × 0.02 = 0.585 m/sec2

    g =σ g

    % σ g = 9.802 = 0.06 = 6.0 %0.585

    g = 9.802 m/sec2 ± 6.0%

    σ Y  =  dY 

    dX   σ  X 

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    13

    fi d i h d h di i i

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    14 From a fixed point on the ground, the distance to a certain tree is

    measured to be s = 55.2 ± 0.1 m and the angle from the point to the

    top of the tree is measured to be θ = 0.50 ± 0.02 radians. The height of 

    the tree is given by h = s tan θ.

    a. Estimate h, and find the uncertainty in the estimate.

    b. Which would provide a greater reduction in the uncertainty in h:

    reducing the uncertainty in s to 0.05 m or reducing the uncertainty

    in θ to 0.01 radians?

    Angle = θ = 0.5 radian Distance = s = 55.2 m

    = 0.02 radianσ θ = 0.1 mσ sh = s tan θ

    E i h d fi d h i i h i

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    a. Estimate h, and find the uncertainty in the estimate.

    h = s tan θ = 55.2 tan(0.5) = 55.2 × 0.546 = 30.156 m

    θ= s × sec2 θ = 55.2 × sec2(0.5) = 55.2 × 1.1392 =71.67

    h s

    = tan θ = tan(0.5) = 0.546

    = (0.5462 ×0.12 +71.672 ×0.022)0.5 = (0.003+2.055)0.5 = 1.434σ h

    h = 30.156 ± 1.434 m

    b Whi h ld id d i i h i i h

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    b. Which would provide a greater reduction in the uncertainty in h:

    reducing the uncertainty in s to 0.05 m or reducing the uncertainty

    in θ to 0.01 radians?

    = 0.02 radianσ θ

    = 0.05 mσ s

     

    θ =71.67

    s= 0.546

    = (0.5462 ×0.052 +71.672 ×0.022)0.5σ h

    = (0.0007+2.055)0.5 = 1.434 = (0.5462 ×0.12 +71.672 ×0.012)0.5σ h

    = (0.003+0.514)0.5 = 0.719

    = 0.01 radianσ θ

    = 0.1 mσ s

     h 

    θ=71.67

    s= 0.546

    Reducing the uncertainty in to 0.01 radians provides the greater reduction.

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    (15) When air enters a compressor at pressure P1 and leaves at pressure

    P2, the intermediate pressure is given by . Assume that

    1 210.1 0.3 and 20.1 0.4 P MPa P MPa

    3 1 2 P P P 

    a. Estimate P3,andfindthe uncertainty in the estimate.b. Which would provide a greater reduction in the uncertainty in P3:

    reducing the uncertainty in P1 to 0.2 MPa or reducing the

    uncertainty in P2 to 0.2 MPa?

    (a)1 11 2 3 1 210.1, 0.3, 20.1, 0.3, 14.25 P P  P P P PP    

    3 1

    3

    2 1

    1

    3

    1 22

    2 2

    2 23 3

    2

    1 2

    3

    0.5 / 0.705354

    0.5 / 0.354432

    0.25

    14.25 0.25

     P P P 

     P  P P 

     P 

     P 

     P P  P 

     P P 

     P P 

     P MPa

      

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    (b)1 2 3 1 210.1, 20.1, 14.25 P P P PP 

    3 1

    1 2

    3

    1 2

    3

    3

    2 1

    1

    3

    1 2

    2

    2 2

    2 23 3

    21 2

    2 2 2 2

    0.5 / 0.705354

    0.5 / 0.354432

    0.25

    When 0.2 and 0.4, then

    0.705354 0.2 0.354432 0.4 0.20

    When 0.3 and 0.2, then

    0.70

     P P P 

     P P 

     P 

     P P 

     P 

     P  P P 

     P 

     P  P P 

     P 

     P P 

     P P    

      

      

      

      

      2 2 2 25354 0.3 0.354432 0.2 0.22

    Reducing the uncertainty in P 1 to 0.2 MPa provides the greater reduction.

    16 The lens equation says that if an object is placed at a distance p from a lens and an image

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    16. The lens equation says that if an object is placed at a distance p from a lens, and an image

    is

    formed at a distance q from the lens, then the focal length f satisfies the equation

    1/f = 1/p + 1/q. Assume that p = 2.3 ± 0.2 cm and q = 3.1 ± 0.2 cm.

    a. Estimate f and find the uncertainty in the estimate.

    b. Which would provide a greater reduction in the uncertainty in f : reducing theuncertainty in p to 0.1 cm or reducing the uncertainty in q to 0.1 cm?

    Answers : a.) Estimate f and its uncertainty :

    q

    1

     p

    1

    1

    7573013

    1

    32

    1

    q

    1

     p

    1

    1.

    ..   3201f    .

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    .......21   n X 

    X X U X 

    U  

     

     

    q p

     pqf 

      2

    q

    2

    2

     p

    2

    f q

     p

     

      

     

     

      

     

     

      2

    2

    2

    22

    2

    2

    22

    q

    2

    2

    22

     p

    2

    2

    2

    f    201332

    32201332

    13

    q p

     p

    q p

    q ...

    ....

    .

      

      

      

      

      

      

      

      

    075803e316413e43444f    ...  

    075803201f    .. b reduction in the uncertainty in f : reducing the uncertainty in p to 0 1 cm or reducing

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    b. reduction in the uncertainty in f : reducing the uncertainty in p to 0.1 cm or reducing

    the uncertainty in q to 0.1 cm

    If p = +/- 0.1 and q = +/- 0.2

       

    2

    2

    2

    22

    2

    2

    22

    q

    2

    2

    22

     p

    2

    2

    2

    f    201332

    32

    101332

    13

    q p

     p

    q p

    q

    ...

    .

    ...

    .

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    0490103e316413e0861f    ...  

    0490103201f    .. 

    If p = +/- 0.2 and q = +/- 0.1

     

      2

    2

    2

    22

    2

    2

    22

    q

    2

    2

    22

     p

    2

    2

    2

    f    101332

    3220

    1332

    13

    q p

     p

    q p

    q.

    ..

    ..

    ..

    .

     

      

     

     

      

     

     

      

     

     

      

     

    0690103201f    ..  

    0690103e291033e43444f    ...  

    Reduction in p uncertainty will increase accuracy