TURNING NC BLUE
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Transcript of TURNING NC BLUE
TURNING NC BLUE1 + 1 + 1 = Victory
Can NC Be POTUS Blue?
2000 Gore Bush Margin
1,257,692 1,631,163 -373,471
2004 Kerry Bush Margin
1,520,339 1,966,676 -446,338
2004 Actual Numbers
Repub over DemsRep (40%) Dem (39%) UNA (21%) Total
Totals 1,394,806 1,359,936 732,273 3,487,015
Vote D 55,792 (4%) 1,142,346 322,200 (44%) 1,520,339
Vote R 1,339,014 217,590 (16%) 410,073 (56%) 1,966,676
446,338
2004 Actual Numbers
Repub over DemsRep (40%) Dem (39%) UNA (21%) Total
Totals 1,394,806 1,359,936 732,273 3,487,015
Vote D 55,792 (4%) 1,142,346 322,200 (44%) 1,520,339
Vote R 1,339,014 217,590 (16%) 410,073 (56%) 1,966,676
446,338
2004 Actual Numbers
Repub over DemsRep (40%) Dem (39%) UNA (21%) Total
Totals 1,394,806 1,359,936 732,273 3,487,015
Vote D 55,792 (4%) 1,142,346 322,200 (44%) 1,520,339
Vote R 1,339,014 217,590 (16%) 410,073 (56%) 1,966,676
446,338
Can NC BE POTUS Blue?
Is it hopeless?
Victory is closer than you think –It is as simple as 1 + 1 +1
If Democrats act!
2004 Results Adjusted
Repub over DemsRep (34%) Dem (45%) UNA (21%) Total
Totals 1,185,585 1,569,157 732,273 3,487,015
Vote D 160,053 (13.5%) 1,142,345 351,491 (48%) 1,653,889
Vote R 1,025,532 329,523 (21%) 380,782 (52%) 1,735,837
81,947
Keys To Victory In ‘08
• Drive Up Democratic Turnout• Register 200,000+ new Democrats • Energize 200,000 non-voting Dems to vote
in ‘08.
• Convince More Independents• Work 100,000 more Unaffiliated Voters to
Vote Democrat.
• Keep reaching out to dissatisfied Republicans.
North Carolina
# UNREGISTERED
VAP 1/2008 # Blacks # Age 18-24
Unreg 1.32 M
Unreg 0.27 M
Unreg 0.46 M
35%
Democrats Desperately Seeking ..
18 to 29 year olds (males and female)
VOTE BY AGE 2004
BUSH KERRYTOTAL 2004 200418-29 (14%) 43% 56%
Democrats Desperately Seeking…..
Single Women
• In 2000, 22 million unmarried women did not vote.
• The largest group of non voters in America today.
DEMOCRATS CAN DO IT!
CountyDem 1/08
Rep 1/08
UNA 1/08
Dem 4/5/08
Rep 4/5/08
UNA 4/5/08
Dem Change 1/08
to 4/5/08
Repub Change1/08
to 4/5/08
UNA 1/08 to 4/5/08
Totals2,520,2
471,925,1
321,172,3
512,565,8
801,934,8
921,213,8
98
45,633 9,760
41,547
% Totals 44.86% 34.27% 20.87% 44.90% 33.86% 21.24%
Democrats Desperately Seeking ….
Sleeping Democrats
• 1.65 NC registered voters did not vote.
• Over 600,000 Democrats since 2000
North Carolina
MISSING VOTERS
Adults Who Are Unreg. Or Who Did Not Vote, 2000-07
Number | % VAP
Black Miss'g Voters
18-24 Miss'g Voters
2.96 M 43% 0.66 M 0.76 M
North Carolina
% REG. WHO VOTED IN 2004
Total Turn-out, 2004
Turn-out White
Turn-out Black
Turn-out Women
Turn-out Age 18-25
64% 66% 59% 65% 52%
Dispel Myths
Have you moved to North Carolina since 1990?
(2000 exit polls)
% of % oftotal category total
19% Yes 56% (Gore) 44%
(Bush)
‘08 Winning Formula
• 35 Dems – average – per county.• Either singly or in combination – per
week:• 5 new voters, or• 5 non-voting Dems, or • 5 Unaffiliated voters• 5 in any combination
• 175 per week x 30 weeks = 5,250.• 100 counties = 525,000 a) new
registrations or activation of non-voting Dems, or Unaffiliated conversions.
1+1+1 = A Blue NC
• It is literally • 1 Democrat• Contacting 1 person • Every day
It equals a Blue North Carolina
Question
Who did you contact today?
The Political Junkies
• Produced by The Political Junkies (thepoliticaljunkies.net)
• TPJ is a “webzine” of Democratic Party politics in North Carolina.