Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2013 10:45-11:45 Linda Wigington Linda M. Wigington Associates
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Transcript of Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2013 10:45-11:45 Linda Wigington Linda M. Wigington Associates
Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2013 10:45-11:45
Linda WigingtonLinda M. Wigington Associates
www.thousandhomechallenge.org
KEEA/PBI ENERGY EFFICIENCY 2013
Program Track; Behavioral Change
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FROM TIPS TO TRANSFORMATION!
Exploring the power of example
& collective action
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Conclusions
1) The impact of the integration of efficiency, lifestyle/behavioral choices, renewables is huge
2) Deep reductions of energy use (~75% or greater) are attainable in many existing homes/households in PA
3) High value from redefining what is possible, case studies, & ongoing feedback
4) Getting there is simultaneously easier than expected & elusive
5) Many implications from deep reduction efforts to efficiency initiatives, particularly concept of “On the Path” strategies
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“FIND YOUR VOICE, AND INSPIRE OTHERS TO FIND THEIRS”
Stephen Covey – “The 8th Habit”
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My Paradigm Shift ~2005• Recognition – accumulation of personal CO2 emissions• Birth of first grandson• Rediscovery of Passive House Institute• Concept of Factor-10 reduction • Fundamental disconnect – inadequacy of my
personal/professional efforts
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New Paradigm – New Thinking
• We see only what we perceive as possible • We often see what we expect to see• Our assumptions limit our vision (blinders or filters)• Need a new mental map
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What Motivates & Supports Behavior Change & Action?
Dollars & Savings? Or Value & Meaning?
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For Action to Occur
• Recognize the need or opportunity • Recognize that my actions can make an impact• Have access to accurate, consistent information • Have access to resources (financial, technical expertise, time)
• Receive feedback or incentives• Have a way to measure progress against a goal
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PURPOSE:
To lay the foundation for transforming
North American homes by demonstrating
the potential for greater than 70% energy
reductions in 1,000 existing homes.
Thousand Home Challenge (THC)
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What is the Value?• Demonstrate & Redefine What is Possible
• Through case studies and webinars of deep energy reduction projects
• Examples of performance-based design, deployment, verification• Educate & Inspire
• Provide resources for educating homeowners, contractors, designers, etc.
• Establish aggressive targets for residential energy performance• Encourage getting on the path to deep energy reductions
• Build Capacity & Champions• Highlight local, regional, & national expertise• Stimulate collaboration & innovation
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Older homes from New England to California
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Newer homes from Pennsylvania to California
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Deep Energy Reductions
Integrate energy efficiency with on-site renewables, behavioral & lifestyle choices, & community-based solutions
BehavioralChoicesEfficiency
Renewables
CommunitySolutions
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THC Threshold Vs. Actual (kWh) Annual Net Household Site Energy Use of THC
Participants
Includes PV production; US single family average energy consumption 31,400 kWh (2001 RECS)
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1st Principle
Go beyond energy reductions to make a value proposition
Integrated solutions needed!• Increased resilience, adaptability• Decreased peak, water use• Improved house durability & viability• Improved comfort & IAQ
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HANDOUT
Home Owner Priorities •Clarifying the Value Proposition•Ranking Priorities •Team Communication
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2nd Principle
A performance target can be a powerful & useful determinant of energy use if it is:
• Transparent - logical - fair• Easily tracked & verified• Meaningful to the participants• Within participants’ field of influence
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THC Option B Allowance (kWh/yr) by Ft2 & Occupants (1 or 3) (rounded)
INPUTS: detached, fossil or wood heat, finished floor area (FFA), not conditioned floor area (CFA)
NOTE: 7,500 kWh= 25 MMBtu
NOTE: 7,500 kWh = 25 MMBtu, or ~250 therms of natural gas
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3rd Principle
Rapid feedback is critical
• Anticipate• Set targets• Zoom in as needed• Compare against targets• Track• Adjust
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Thousand Home Challenge Case Studies
For Complete Case Studies…
www.ThousandHomeChallenge.org
Check back frequently – website is being updated
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Thousand Home ChallengeInsights from Early Returns
1) Maintain & continue efforts to go deeper
2) Broad sustainability goals
3) High commitment to learn & share
4) Some technologies (e.g. ductless heat pumps) enhance impact of lifestyle choices
5) Huge variety of costs & strategies
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ACI 13 Conference May 2, 2013 23
Added DHP Jan 2011; also took steps to reduce electric baseload
How Can Your Initiative Create Champions…
& Support Behavior Change?
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How Does Your Program View Occupants?
• From Liability to Resource? • From Transaction to Key Account?• From Client to Partner?• From Curmudgeon to Champion?
Additional opportunities: Case studies, testimonials, recognition, engage as volunteers or hire.
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Which is the Missing Link?For Action to Occur
• Recognize the need or opportunity • Recognize that my actions can make an impact• Have access to accurate, consistent information • Have access to resources (financial, technical expertise, time)
• Receive feedback or incentives• Have a way to measure progress against a goal
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Resources
Garrison Institute: Climate Mind & Behavior Program
https://www.garrisoninstitute.org/2013-09-16-15-39-23/cmb-video-presentations/cmb-video-2013
Three Annual Symposiums (Garrison, NY) – by invitation only•Climate, Mind & Behavior Symposium•Climate, Cities & Behavior•Climate, Buildings & Behavior
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Resources
The 2013 Behavior, Energy and Climate Change Conference (BECC) http://beccconference.org/
•November 18 - 20, 2013Sacramento, CA
•A conference focused on understanding the behavior and decision-making of individuals and organizations and on using that knowledge to accelerate our transition to an energy-efficient and low-carbon future.
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• Precourt Energy Efficiency Center – Stanford University
• http://peec.stanford.edu/behavior/
• This interdisciplinary, solutions-oriented website centralizes key behavioral science resources relevant to accelerating the adoption and sustained use of energy-efficient technologies and climate-positive actions by individuals, groups, and organizations
Resources
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Occupants Matter!
Nearly identical homes re construction and renewables
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FIND YOUR VOICE, AND INSPIRE OTHERS TO FIND THEIRS
Stephen Covey – “The 8th Habit”
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Feedback, Case Studies, & Projects Welcome!
Linda [email protected]
www.1000HomeChallenge.org
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Additional Information on the 1000 Home Challenge
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Key Metric Transparent & Direct Include Occupants
Net Annual Household Site EnergyCredits/offsets: Solar & on-site renewables
Wood counts (not excluded from energy use)!
Each household has a customized energy allowance to meet or exceed.
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Two Options for QualifyingMeet or Exceed a Customized
Household Energy (Site) Allowance
OPTION A
Relative, 75% reduction
From recent, measured, verifiable baseline
OPTION B
Absolute, not relative
Reflects weather, house size, # of occupants, heating source, attached vs. detached
GOAL: Fair & challenging to all!
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THC Allowance Calculator Spreadsheet
•www.1000HomeChallenge.org• http://thousandhomechallenge.com/sites/thousandhomechallenge.com/files/user-files/
thc_threshold_calculator_v_1_3_mod3.xls
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Energy Conversions (site energy)
• ~30 kWh = 1 therm natural gas• ~40 kWh = 1 gallon of #2 oil• 7,500 kWh = 25 MMBtu• 7,500 kWh = 250 therms• 7,500 kWh = 180 gallons/#2 oil
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Energy Use Terms
• kWh/yr. does not refer only to electrical energy use
• In the Thousand Home Challenge & case studies, household energy use is converted to kWh site energy
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THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh
(Pre, Post, & Allowance)
Loads Pre-use Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yrTarget-
useTHC Allowance
(breakout
may be estimated)
EfficiencyBehavior Renewables Community
(kWh/yr) Building EquipmentChoice
ReductionsOn-site
Generation
Solutions (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr)
Heating
Cooling
Hot Water
All Else
Total 66,64266,642 Starting Place – Your annual energy use
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THC REDUCTION MATRIXANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh
(Pre, Post, & Allowance)
Loads Pre-use Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yrTarget-
useTHC Allowance
(breakout
may be estimated)
EfficiencyBehavior Renewables Community
(kWh/yr) Building EquipmentChoice
ReductionsOn-site
Generation
Solutions (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr)
Heating 48,781
Cooling
Hot Water 6,000
All Else 6,000
Total 66,64266,642
1,200 gallons of oil = 48,781 kWh
Break out by use or fuel
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THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh
(Pre, Post, & Allowance)
Loads Pre-use Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yrTarget-
useTHC Allowance
(breakout
may be estimated)
EfficiencyBehavior Renewables Community
(kWh/yr) Building EquipmentChoice
ReductionsOn-site
Generation
Solutions (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr)
Heating 48,781 3,3753,375
Cooling
Hot Water 6,000 2,2292,229
All Else 6,000 2,1602,160
Total 66,64266,642 7,7647,764
OPTION B THC Threshold Assuming Electric Heat,
Enter THC Threshold
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THC REDUCTION MATRIX ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD kWh
(Pre, Post, & Allowance)
Loads Pre-use Proposed Usage Reductions - kWh/yrTarget-
useTHC Allowance
(breakout
may be estimated)
EfficiencyBehavior Renewables Community
(kWh/yr) Building EquipmentChoice
ReductionsOn-site
Generation
Solutions (kWh/yr) (kWh/yr)
Heating 48,781 3,3753,375
Cooling
Hot Water 6,000 2,2292,229
All Else 6,000 2,1602,160
Total 66,64266,642 7,1707,170
.
Many ways to get from here to there!
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Behavioral ChoicesExploration, Not Simplification
• Process focused; household level • Examine assumptions & boundaries• Explore new paths to meeting needs• Social networks, goal setting, information, feedback,
aggregation, benchmarking
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Thousand Home ChallengeCRITERIA•Defines deep reductions •Accelerate innovation•Information exchange – lessons learned•Support climate champions •Focus – complementary, not competition•Potential catalyst - projects, partners, & programs
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Essential Principles
1) Go for the 2-fers and 3-fers 2) Get the Signals Straight
3) What is On the Path?
4) It Is Not Just About Energy - Collaborate
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Thousand Home Challenge Pilot Project Summary (4-29-2013)
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Thousand Home ChallengeCRITERIA•Defines deep reductions •Accelerate innovation•Information exchange – lessons learned•Support climate champions •Focus – complementary, not competition•Potential catalyst - projects, partners, & programs
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THC Option B Allowance (kWh/yr) by Household Size
OPTION B INPUTS: Detached, fossil or wood heat, 1,200 ft2 finished floor area (FFA), not conditioned floor area (CFA)US single family average energy consumption 31,400 kWh (201 RECS)
NOTE: 7,500 kWh = 25 MMBtu, or ~250 therms of natural gas
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OPTION B THRESHOLD ALLOWANCEkWh/Ft2 (net site energy)
Assumptions: fossil/wood heat; single-family detachedEUI (KBtu/Ft2 = kWh/Ft2 * 3.412); US res. avg. EUI is 44.8 KBtu/Ft2 KEEA/PBI October 1, 2013 49
OPTION B THRESHOLD ALLOWANCEkWh/Ft2 (net site energy)
So, What??
THC threshold has profound implications as a customized, meaningful deep reduction target that is not biased by house size!!
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Asset Rating
• Represents the energy efficiency of the building (the asset) under standardized conditions of weather and internal environment. The rating takes into consideration construction, U values of the windows, doors, floors, ventilation levels, lighting systems, etc.
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Operational Rating
. . . is based on actual energy use. It is a measure of the energy performance of the ‘‘asset’’ when a particular occupant uses it. The rating would usually be based on the energy bills for the building rather than on a survey or plans.
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What Can Go Wrong?Technical?
Behavioral?
When Operational Performance ≠
Asset Performance
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Behavioral ChoicesExploration, Not Simplification
• Process focused; household level • Examine assumptions & boundaries• Explore new paths to meeting needs• Social networks, goal setting, information,
feedback, aggregation, benchmarking
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The Lutz Passive House Inspired Retrofit (Urbana, OH)
Total Household Energy Use/Day (kWh)
Comparing 2008-09 & 2009-10
NOTE: 2008 winter interior: ~63° F2009 winter interior: ~50°-55° F
Insulated six sides, new door & windows, added mechanical ventilation
Case Study - www.ThousandHomeChallenge.org
Goal: 90% reduction in heating energy
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Project HighlightsInsulate all six sides of a small home to achieve higher performance than most believe is possible
R-25 added to floor
R-40 added to wallsFinal: 200 CFM50
Isolated crawl space
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2008 winter interior temperature ~ 63° F 2009 winter interior temperature ~ 50°–55° F
Total Household Monthly Energy Use
(Comparing kWh/Month)
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Winter (Creative) Comfort
• Creative Comfort – Psychological – the satisfaction of reducing fossil fuel consumption, of
increasing awareness in my community - it is the right thing to do!– Physical – regard the reduced temperature not as a hardship, but
rather as an adaptation, such as wearing extra clothes – In my view [Ward Lutz], psychological comfort trumps physical
adaptation • Temperature Settings
– Pre-retrofit 63˚ F (thermostat)– Post-retrofit 50˚-55˚ F (turn on electric space heater when needed)
• NOTE: Ductless heat pump installed 2/2011
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NOTE: Pre to Post Heating Use – 89% Reduction (Technical & Behavioral)THC Threshold (OPTION B) Inputs : 5,880 Degree Days; 576 Ft 2 FFA, Single Family Detached; 1 Occupant; Electric Heat
Pre Period: 9/15/08-9/14/09Post Period: 9/15/09-9/14/10
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Possible Tools/Processes for Energy Initiatives
• Identify occupants’ needs & concerns• Apply segmentation to customize service & offerings• Apply commitment process• Interpret utility bills/benchmark• Offer feedback devices• Use low energy homes or high savers as mentors• Ongoing communication (virtual community & social
marketing)
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