TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSFaltiusminerals.com/storage/presentations/altius... · 9/14/2020 ·...
Transcript of TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSFaltiusminerals.com/storage/presentations/altius... · 9/14/2020 ·...
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
Renewable Power | Clean Steel | Potash | Copper | Lithium | Nickel | Cobalt
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FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT
This document includes certain statements that constitute “forward”looking statements” and “forward-looking information” within themeaning of applicable securities laws (collectively, “forward”lookingstatements”). Forward-looking statements include statementsregarding Altius Minerals Corporation’s (“Altius”) intent, or the beliefsor current expectations of Altius’ officers and directors. Such forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “believe”,“anticipate”, “estimate”, “project”, “intend”, “expect”, “may”, “will”,“plan”, “should”, “would”, “contemplate”, “possible”, “attempts”,“seeks” and similar expressions. Forward” looking statements mayrelate to future outlook and anticipated events or results.
By their very nature, forward” looking statements involve numerousassumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, both general andspecific, and the risk that predictions and other forward-lookingstatements will not prove to be accurate. Do not unduly rely onforward-looking statements, as a number of important factors, manyof which are beyond Altius’ control, could cause actual results to differmaterially from the estimates and intentions expressed in suchforward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date thosestatements are made. Except as required by applicable law, Altius doesnot assume any obligation to update, or to publicly announce theresults of any change to, any forward-looking statement containedherein to reflect actual results, future events or developments,changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting theforward-looking statements.
Non-IFRS MeasuresAttributable revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted operating cashflow is intended to provide additional information only and do nothave any standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS and should notbe considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures ofperformance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Other companies maycalculate these measures differently. For a reconciliation of thesemeasures to various IFRS measures, please refer to our ManagementDiscussion and Analysis.
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ROYALTIES ONA SUSTAINABLE
NATURAL RESOURCE FUTURE
Subsidiary Altius Renewable Royalties Corp. (“ARR”) reinvesting royalties from phasing out coal mines to fund the development of a portfolio of more than 23 GW of new renewable energy projects through royalty financing
Macro-Trend
Fossil Fuel to Renewable Energy Transition
Electrification and Storage
Soil Quality/Agricultural
Yield Improvements
Lower Emission
Steel Making
AltiusRoyaltyExposure
Renewables Replacing Coal
Cu, Ni, Li, Co
Natural Potash Fertilizer
Clean Iron Ore Products
Copper, which benefits more than any other metal from EV and renewable energy transitions, represents our largest portfolio component. Royalty exposure to battery metals - Nickel, Lithium and Cobalt is beginning to ramp-up
Altius’s potash fertilizer royalties relate to a portfolio of top-tier Canadian mines that have pre-built capacity expansions as the need for sustainable food production increases
Royalties relate to high iron / low impurity concentrates and pellets that require less metallurgical coal usage in steel making – minimizing pollution and carbonimpacts
Industry leading fundamental business growth from assets that enable the world to meet its sustainability objectives.
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DIVERSIFIEDASSETS ANDOPERATORS
Investment Grade OperatorsDiversified Royalty Production
Battery Metals3.5%
Potash
28.4%Electricity Generation (Coal)
9.9%
Other Royalties 16.7%
Renewable Electricity Generation
11.2%
Consensus NAV Breakdown†
High Quality Steel Inputs10.9%
Copper
19.4%
†Consensus NAV by asset grouped by primary September 14, 2020.
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Leverage Ratio (Net Debt: EBITDA)Returns of Capital
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
†Capital table values, return of capital and net debt to EBITDA (trailing 12-months) numbers as of Jun 30, 2020 except for market cap as of Sep 11, 2020. Cash and public equity holdings includes $31 million cash (as at Jun 30, 2020) + $70 million LIORC equity value (as at Jun 30, 2020) + $48 million project generation equity values (as at Jun 30, 2020)
Issued Common Shares 41.5 million
Fairfax Preferred Securities 10.0 million ($100 million)
Basic Market Capitalization $440 million
Annual Dividend $0.20 per share
Outstanding Debt $147 million
Cash and Public Equity Holdings† $149 million
Available Under Credit Revolver† $35 million
Cormark Securities Inc
TD
Raymond James
Canaccord Genuity
Laurentian Bank Securities
Scotiabank
Richard Gray
Craig Hitchison
Brian MacArthur
Carey MacRury
Jacques Wortman
Orest Wowkodaw
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF Research Coverage
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020X
2014
Dividends$3M
2015
Dividends$5M
2016
Share buy back$2M
Share buy back$2M Share buy back
$5M
Share buy back$9M
Dividends$7M
2017
Dividends$7M
2018
Dividends$8M
2019
4.9x
2.2x3x
2x
1x
6x
5x
4x
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TRACK RECORD
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 2019
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 2019
$6M
$3M
$28M
$1M
$33M
$15M
$46M
$26M
$67M
$35M
$78M
$44M
Revenues
Adjusted Operating Cash Flow
15 Producing Royalties
Copper 37%
Battery Metals 2%
Potash 19%
Zinc 3%
Steel Making Coal 4%
ElectricityGeneration (Coal) 14%
2019Royalty Revenue
High Purity Iron Ore 20%
2019Royalty Revenues $78.0M
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PG BUSINESS GROWTHRoyalty Creation at Negative Cost
60 Projects
Converted to new
royalties and junior
equities since 2016
market bottom
Raised in 2020 by
companies partnered
with Altius
Altius generates mineral exploration projects for sale in exchange for royalties and equity
positions. This is a proven Equity/Royalty Investment Strategy that allows creation of new
pipeline royalties at negative cost and provides cash for 3rd party royalty acquisitions
Net Investments Net Monetization
April 2016 December 2019 June 2020
$33M
-$3M
April 2017
-$6M
December 2018
$1M
$54M $54M
$17M
$11M
$22M $48M
Junior Equity Portfolio Growth
>$85M
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DRILLING EXPOSURE>$85mm Equity Raised and 130,000m of Drilling in 2020
Top 10 Drill Programs by Meterage within Altius’ PG Portfolio
50,000m
18,000m15,000m
14,600m
5,000m 5,000m 4,000m 3,000m 3,000m 3,000m
$35 M
$25 M
$13.3 M
$3.7 M$2.0 M $1.5 M $0.6 M
Equity Raised in 2020 by Altius’ PG Portfolio Companies
$4.5 M
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Long Term Organic Growth Profile
ALTIUS
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Coal
ROYALTY LIVESUnrivalled Sustainability & Expandability
Weighted to 2019 revenue contribution levels our royalties have a potential weighted average remaining life of more than 121 years.
Mine lives calculated based on current mineral inventory and 2019 throughput. Coal asset lives denote the expected plant closure and not based on mineral inventory. The 2019 revenue weighted average mine life is based on remaining reserves inclusive of MI resources and throughput capacity.
Reserve Mine Life (Years) M&I Resource Life (Years) Inferred Resource Life (Years)
Chapada
Voisey’sBay
777
Gunnison
Sheerness
Genesee
Cory
Esterhazy
Allan
Rocanville
Vanscoy
25IOC
32
14
1
24 19
5
10
76
57
33
29
14
15
73
16
7
2
Total: 1,004 Years
Total: 129 Years
Total: 1,744 Years
Total: 1,433 Years
Total:309 Years
Several additional deposits identified.
Replacement: Conversion to long life renewable royalties underway> 700MW of project royalties created thus far.
Iron
Base Metals
Potash
+
+
+
+
+
M&I: 928Years
M&I: 57 Years
M&I: 928 Years | Inferred: 759 Years
M&I: 528 Years | Inferred: 873 Years
M&I: 194 Years | Inferred: 86 Years
Resource increased by 46% in the past 3 years with several exploration programs ongoing and capcity expansions understufy.identified.
Higher prices/ Lower cut-off grade potentially creates significant additional resource; Further expoloration potential.
Replacement: Gunnison; Curipamba development
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Ramping Up BuildingFinancing
& DevelopmentExpansion
StudyResource
StageDiscovery
ROYALTYGROWTH
OPPURTUNITIES
Rocanville Cory Allan Vanscoy
Chapada Expansion (Cu)
Esterhazy
60+Exploration
Stage Royalties
Voisey’s Underground (Ni-Co-Cu)
Gunnison (Copper)
Organic (Free) Mine Royalty Growth
Renewable Royalty Business Gaining
Momentum
Strong operating margins and long resource lives (121years revenue weighted average) motivating multiple new build and expansion investments by operators = free royalty growth
New renewable energy royalty business growing fast as electricity generation transition accelerates and sector begins to recognize benefits of royalty finance offering
Completed Potash Expansions
New Mines in Construction
Renewable Development Portfolio
Expansion of Existing Assets
New Build Studies
168,000 metres of drilling in 2020
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Renewable Royalties
ALTIUS
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RENEWABLESTRANSITION
MOMENTUM GAINING
Source: “Electrifying Insights: How Automakers can Drive Electrified Vehicle Sales and Profitability,” McKinsey – January 2017 , Bloomberg NEF, Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis – Version 13.0 (November 2019),
Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison
Wind $41
Solar$40
$0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
US
$ p
er
Me
gaw
attH
ou
r
(US$
/M
Wh
)
$0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
Observed prices 18% learningrate
2024 implied price $94/kWh
2030 implied price $62/kWh
Lithium-ion battery pack price (real 2018 $/kWh)
Past theTipping Point
Megatrends Driving Increased Electricity
Demand
Within the electricity sector, renewable energy has become the cheapest form of new generation
Electrification trends (e.g. transportation about to shift to EV)will cause demand for electricity to grow relative to other sources of consumer energy such as fossil fuels. Storage additions allow renewables to gain further grid based market share.
$350
$150
$100
$50
$200
$250
$300
Utility Scale SolarGas-Combine CycleNuclear
WindCoal
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ARR DEVELOPMENT PROGRESS
ACCELERATING
Developed and refined renewable royalty structure and offering (legal, tax, etc.)
Silverpeak acquired Canyon Wind (TX) from TGE with 1st embedded royalty on a TGE project – 9/2019
CIP acquired Woodford Wind (IL) from TGE with 2nd embedded royalty on a TGE project –12/2019
Silverpeak acquired Flatland Solar (TX) from TGE with 3rd embedded royalty on a TGE project – 2/2020
Renewable Royalty Renewable Royalty Renewable Royalty Renewable Royalty
2017 2018 2019 2020
GBR formed and begins working on business concept with Altius –Q1 2017
Developed and refined renewable royalty structure and offering (legal, tax, etc.)
GBR acquired by Altius Minerals (through Altius Renewable Royalties) –2/2019
US$30MM royalty investment in Tri Global Energy (“TGE”) – 2/2019
US$35MM+ royalty investment in Apex Clean Energy – 3/2020
Formation Formation Acquisition Royalty Investment Royalty Investment
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1360
1475
1175
1830
360
760940
TRI GLOBAL ENERGY INVESTMENT-
PROOF OF CONCEPT
• Renewable energy royalties are being generated ahead
of schedule – project sales in first year represent more
than half that required for full royalty vesting threshold
- with remainder expected throughout 2020
• First royalty project, Canyon Wind (360 MW – TX), sold
in October 2019 to Silverpeak Strategic Partners with
operations expected to begin in Q2 2021
• Woodford Wind (400 MW – IL) sold to Copenhagen
Infrastructure Partners in December 2019 with
operations expected to begin in Q4 2021
• Flatland Solar (180 MW – TX) sold to Silverpeak
Strategic Partners in March 2020 with operations
expected to begin in Q4 2021
• TGE development pipeline has increased to over 2,300
MW (even after accounting for the 940+ MW in project
sales)
Three Project Royalties Created To Date
1835
500
Cumulative Projects Sold Qualified Projects Early-Stage Projects Total Active Portfolio
11801180
475
Closing (02/2019) Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 9-Mar-20
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APEX IS ONE OF THE LARGEST
RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPERS IN US
21 GWDevelopment Portfolio
1.6 GWProject Transacted in 2019
+2.0 GWunder construction
Apex is one of the largest renewable energy developers in the U.S. and has commercialized over 5 gigawatt (GW) of clean energy projects since inception in 2009. Its current portfolio includes approximately 21 GW (12.5 GW wind, 8.5 GW solar) of development projects. Apex typically vends these projects to utilities, infrastructure funds and other institutional investors prior to construction.
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Natural Resource Operator vs. Royalty Level Valuations
ARR
Currently in discussions with select strategic
investors to participate in a subsidiary level
equity capital raising in order to allow a more
rapid scaling of the business and to ensure
capture of first mover advantage
Also considering the public spin out of ARR as a
pure play renewable energy royalty business.
Source: Laurentian Bank Securities, Company Reports. May 5, 2020
Oil & Gas
+26
7.9x 10.0x 6.5x 10.2x 9.7x 24.6x
Average Royalty Lift +79%
+56 +154
Diversified
OperatorEV/EBITDA
11.6x
Precious Metals Renewables
Royalty EV/EBITDA
Market Value Potential?
?
TSX Renewable Energy and Clean Technology Index
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
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THANKYOU
Flora WoodDirector, Investor RelationsPhone: (416) 346-9020Email: [email protected]
Producing Royalties
Development Royalties
Project Generation
Renewable Energy Portfolio