Trillion Dollar Industry | Deals 3D

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A Trillion Dollar Industry Jim Moran | @jdmoran | blog.yipit.com Deals 3D: Monday, July 18

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Transcript of Trillion Dollar Industry | Deals 3D

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A Trillion Dollar IndustryJim Moran | @jdmoran | blog.yipit.com

Deals 3D: Monday, July 18

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DAILY DEALS TODAY

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The Daily Deal Stack

MERCHANTS

CO

NSUMERSMerchant Services

SOON…Merchant Agencies

Consumer Services

White Label Publishers

Vertical Deal Sites

Data

Exchanges

Aggregators

Daily Deal Sites

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New Multi-Billion Dollar Industry

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Industry Leaderboard

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SUSTAINABLE?

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High Repeat Rate

43% of daily deal merchants in May had run

at least one prior deal

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Shifting Ad Spend

Reducing Other Advertising Spend After Running Daily Deal

Yes 43%No 57%

Data from Yipit phone survey of SMBs who have completed a Daily Deal in the last 12 months. 80 responses.

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High Merchant Satisfaction

Would You Use a Daily Deal Site for Another Promo-tion?

Yes 93%No 7%

Data from Yipit phone survey of SMBs who have completed a Daily Deal in the last 12 months. 80 responses.Groupon’s reports repeat interest at 97% (grouponworks.com)

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Breakage Rate ≤20%

Recent data on Groupon is consistent: (i) breakage of 10% (TechCrunch, 8/14/10), and (ii) 20% redemption in month 1 and 15% redemption in month 12 (Chicago Tribune 8/16/10).

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Profitable at 19% Retention

Assumptions from industry research and Yipit phone survey of SMBs who have completed a Daily Deal in the last 12 months. 80 responses.

Merchant Profitability Per Voucher

Drivers Gross Profit / VoucherDeal Assumptions Existing CustomersDeal Value $50 Revenue from Groupon $2.2

Deal Discount 50% Revenue from Overage1 1.1Deal Price $25 Revenue from Existing Customers 3.2Overage % 14% Less: COGS 3.4Commission % 40% Less: Cannabalized GP 1.8Cost of Goods Sold % 40% GP from Existing Customers ($2.0)Credit Card Fee % 2.5%

GP from Breakage $2.9Buyer Mix AssumptionsUnredeemed (Breakage) % 20% New CustomersCurrent Customer % 20% Revenue from Groupon $8.6

New Customer % 60% Revenue from Overage1 4.2Revenue from Existing Customers 12.8

Repeat Visitor Assumptions Less: COGS 13.7

Conversion to Repeat %23 19% GP from Existing Customers ($0.9)Repeat Visits 3Vouchers per Customer 1.5 New Repeat CustomersCurrent Customers Already Going % 25% Revenue from Repeat Customers $13.0

Less: COGS 5.2GP from Existing Customers $7.8

Incremental GP / Voucher $7.9

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FROM BILLIONS TO TRILLIONS

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Much Larger Than Local Advertising

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Trillion Dollar Industry

Increase Penetration- Global expansion- Demographic expansion- Channel Expansion

Daily Deals

Increase Share of Wallet- Reduce Friction: Credit Cards, mobile- Personalization- Expand Categories- More Merchants

1%

% of Consumers

% of Total Spend1%

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One Scenario

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HOW?

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Daily Deals Today

&

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Beyond Email

>50% of clicks from Yipit’s now through web users

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More Categories

Total Urban Daily Deal PenetrationClothing & Services $120,907 $675 0.56%Entertainment 188,756 422 0.22%Healthcare 219,105 231 0.11%Food 446,622 370 0.08%Transportation 536,510 132 0.02%Rent & Mortgage 1,183,074 0 0.00%Insurance & Pensions 383,469 0 0.00%Other 359,358 38 0.01%Total $3,437,801 $1,869 0.05%

$ in Millions - Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, DOL

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Not Just Discounts

~ 1 in 4 offers aren’t “deals”

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National Brands

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Beyond “Prepay”

Groupon Now!LivingSocial Instant

ScoutMobBlackboardEats

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Frictionless Redemption

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WHO WILL WIN?

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Google

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Amazon

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Everyone

MERCHANTS

CO

NSUMERSMerchant Services

SOON…Merchant Agencies

Consumer Services

White Label Publishers

Vertical Deal Sites

Data

Exchanges

Aggregators

Daily Deal Sites

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ABOUT YIPIT

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Data Product OverviewIndustry-wide Reach- Tracking 500+ Competitors across

all major North American markets

Comprehensive Deal Database- 100,000+ historical deals- 20,000+ new deals per month

A Powerful and Versatile Tool - Source new, high-quality merchant

leads- Analyze past offers to optimize

merchandizing- Track performance of competitors

30+ Current Partners

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Recognized Industry ExpertiseSpeakers at Industry Conferences Expert Commentary

Asked for Advice by Major Companies

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THANK YOU

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Thank You

blog.yipit.com@jdmoran