Trends in Australia’s aviation markets

Jonathan Firth Aviation Statistics Section – BTRE

BTRE Transport Colloquium13 - 14 June 2007

Australian domestic aviation passengers

Source: BTRE

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Year

Pas

seng

ers

(mill

ion)

Top domestic city pairs

City Pair 2006 Pax (000)

Growth (%) Share (%)

Melbourne-Sydney 6 408 3.0 14.5

Brisbane-Sydney 3 823 1.6 8.6

Brisbane-Melbourne 2 544 2.2 5.7

Gold Coast-Sydney 1 910 5.0 4.3

Adelaide-Melbourne 1 851 2.1 4.2

Adelaide-Sydney 1 455 14.6 3.3

Melbourne-Perth 1 424 7.9 3.2

Perth-Sydney 1 258 11.7 2.8

Melbourne-Gold Coast 1 237 11.7 2.8

Brisbane-Cairns 1 113 6.4 2.5

Total Top Ten 23 022 4.8 52.0

Other 21 235 8.4 48.0

Total Domestic 44 257 6.5 100.0

Top domestic airports

Airport 2006 Pax (000)

Growth (%)

Share (%)

Sydney 20 477 4.9 23.1

Melbourne 17 378 3.9 19.6

Brisbane 13 072 6.8 14.8

Adelaide 5 672 6.1 6.4

Perth 5 434 14.2 6.1

Gold Coast 3 469 3.2 3.9

Cairns 3 288 2.8 3.7

Canberra 2 613 3.5 3.0

Hobart 1 618 1.1 1.8

Darwin 1 312 7.2 1.5

Total Top Ten 74 333 5.4 84.0

Other 14 180 12.4 16.0

All Airports 88 514 6.5 100.0

International passengers to/from Australia

Source: BTRE

0

5

10

15

20

25

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Year

Pas

seng

ers

(mill

ion)

Top international city pairsCity Pair 2006 Pax

(000)Growth

(%)Share

(%)

Auckland - Sydney 1 191 -4.2 5.5

Singapore - Sydney 977 4.3 4.6

Hong Kong - Sydney 869 11.5 4.0

Melbourne - Singapore 831 4.8 3.9

Perth - Singapore 818 1.6 3.8

Auckland - Brisbane 764 -1.0 3.6

Brisbane - Singapore 697 6.6 3.2

Auckland - Melbourne 661 1.3 3.1

Los Angeles - Sydney 636 -2.0 3.0

Bangkok - Sydney 552 13.9 2.6

Total Top Ten 7 996 2.9 37.2

Other   13 484 2.9 62.8

Total International 21 480 2.9 100.0

Australian international airportsAirport   2006 Pax

(000)Growth

(%)Share

(%)

Sydney 9 859 3.6 45.9

Melbourne 4 291 1.6 20.0

Brisbane 3 763 4.3 17.5

Perth   2 035 1.4 9.5

Cairns   792 -8.2 3.7

Adelaide 400 19.8 1.9

Gold Coast 193 -5.0 0.9

Darwin   127 21.5 0.6

Norfolk Island 19 -2.6 0.1

All Airports 21 480 2.9 100.0

Conclusion

• The Australian aviation industry is experiencing record traffic levels and operating at high load factors.

• Currently domestic traffic is growing faster than international.

• Challenges facing the industry– Absorbing new capacity and new aircraft types– New entrants (Tiger, International LCCs)– Fuel prices– Environmental costs (emissions trading / taxes)