Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The...

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Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa with AMS Dr. Simon Mullins on behalf of the AMS team

Transcript of Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The...

Page 1: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa with AMS

Dr. Simon Mullins on behalf of the AMS team

Page 2: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Outline

• Brief introduction to AMS

• The iThemba LABS AMS facility

• Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change across Southern Africa via 13-C tree-ring investigations

Page 3: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change
Page 4: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Tandem and injection system at the (then) Schonland Research Institute along with Miklos Rebak (after fleeing 1956 invasion of Budapest).

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2005-2007 : Refurbishment and installation of Pelletron along with gas stripper in

Tandem accelerator funded by R16M DST grant

Page 6: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Gas stripper at the centre of the tandem accelerator

Page 7: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

7th July 2014 : SAIP2014 AMS Workshop at iThemba LABS : opening address by the Hon. Mrs Naledi Pandor, Minister of Science and

Technology, who later declared Africa’s first AMS facility completed.

Page 8: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Stephan Winkler

• Negative Ion Formation

• Low-Energy Mass Spectrometer

• Tandem Accelerator

• High-Energy Mass Spectrometer

• Detector System

Page 9: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

The iThemba LABS AMS system

Page 10: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

System schematics

Page 11: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Ion Source

• Based on LLNL CAMS design • 6-10 times better source output for BeO- (15-

25uA) than commercially available caesium sputter ion sources

• Better output also for Carbon and Aluminium • 64 samples per wheel, allowing for up to 40-50

unknowns per measurement run • Samples are inserted individually into the

measurement position for each run, 500-1000 sample changes per wheel

Page 12: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Low Energy Side Mass Spectrometer

ESA Magnet MBS

Accelerator

Page 13: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Multi-Beam Switching

Page 14: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Multi-Beam Switching

Page 15: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Multi-Beam Switching

The rare isotope and the stable reference isotope are injected sequentially

The rare isotope is measured as single atom events in a gas ionization chamber – the stable isotope is deflected into an offset cup after the magnet

We switch the magnet chamber potential across a few thousand volts 20-40 times per second – this largely eliminates the short term sample performance variability from the uncertainties.

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Accelerator • Refurbished EN tandem (design voltage 6MV)

from belt to an NEC pelletron system

• Useful range for AMS is 3.0-4.3MV, above that frequent sparks prevent AMS measurements (under review – SF6)

• Leakage from the tank insulation gas (N2+CO2) adds a Nitrogen-14 background to 14C-AMS

• The terminal voltage is fine for 14C, and 26Al, but not ideal for 36Cl; nor 10Be with the standard NEC method

Page 17: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

High-Energy Mass Spectrometer

• NEC-supplied AMS beam-line mostly similar to their standard beam-line

dipole magnet 176 MeV∙amu

offset Faraday cups

tandem accelerator

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Detection System

• Multi-Anode Gas Ionization Chamber, for possible Z-identification (demonstration presently)

• Optimized for higher ion energies than we use, and not really state-of-the-art in the first place

Page 19: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Detection System Z-identification by differential energy loss and range

Page 20: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

DAQ/Analysis

• Pixie interface is used for digitisation, however not directly after the pre-amplifiers. Proprietary, non-standard firmware.

• Detector (single-atom) events and stable isotope currents are recorded cycle-per-cycle, which also allows exclusion of “bad cycles”.

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Isobar Suppression in the Detector

UPC: 2 counts

OXII: 8080 counts

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Stephan Woodborne

Baobabs and climate change

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Overview of this part of the talk:

Baobab Age and Architecture

Past climate from baobabs

Comparison with climate models

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Lebombo Baobab - Mozambique

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Luna Baobab – South Africa

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Samples collected from Angola to Madagascar

Image: Google Earth

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0

500

1000

1500

950 1450 1950

Calibrating Radiocarbon Dates In order to date the trees we used radiocarbon, and in the standard protocol it is necessary to convert the radiocarbon analyses into true ages using the calibration curve.

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Dating the Pafuri baobab -600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

900 1100 1300 1500 1700

2 Sigma

1 Sigma

1:1 Line

Calibrated Date (Years AD)

Rin

g C

ou

nt

fro

m B

ark

The Pafiri Baobab (South Africa) fell over and it was possible to sample using a chainsaw. With big samples available it was not necessary to do AMS. This tree was dated using conventional ages. A surprising result was that the ring count reconciled with the radiocarbon dates suggesting annual ring formation. But the outermost part of the tree was already 500 years old.

Page 29: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

How old are baobabs?

The Top 10:

1. Panke, Zimbabwe, 2429 BP

2. Dorsland, Namibia, 1956 BP

3. Glencoe, South Africa, 1898 BP

4. Holboom, Namibia, 1760 BP

5. Humane Bedford, Zimbabwe, 1650 BP

6. Matandere, Zimbabwe, 1550 BP

7. Grootboom, Namibia, 1530 BP

8. Luna, South Africa, 1509 BP

10. Chapman’s Baobab, Botswana, 1371 BP

9. Lebombo, Mozambique, 1435 BP

With Prof Adrian Patrut from Romania we have now dated more than 60 African baobabs.

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δ13C

(‰)

R

ain

fall (

mm

)

-28

-26

-24

-220

500

1,000

1950 1965 1980 1995 2010-28

-27

-26

-25

-24

-23

-22

-21

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

δ1

3C

The baobab records

5 trees, 19 Radiocarbon dates Woodborne et al. 2016 Plos One

4 trees, 17 Radiocarbon dates Woodborne et al. 2015 Plos One

Wet

Dry

The corrected 13C records are represented on an inverted y-axis so that high rainfall is at the top. The record is calibrated against the recent rainfall record which is very fragmentary and short. Even so, it is a good match.

Page 31: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

δ1

3C

δ

13C

More tree records

-28

-27

-26

-25

-24

-23

-22

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

We now have lots of records. By teasing out spatial/temporal variability we can compare this with a climate simulation for the last 1000 years. The comparison is very good.

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(Engelbrecht 2011)

Climate Change Forecasts

The test of the climate models suggests we should take future forecasts seriously. The outlook is bleek, especially over Angola where temperatures will soar and rainfall plummet.

Page 33: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

Thank You……

Page 34: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change

No rainfall in Johannesburg as Xmas approached, but liquids of a different nature were available in copius amounts.

Page 35: Tree-ring-dating of millennial climate change across Southern Africa … · 2019. 9. 1. · •The iThemba LABS AMS facility •Application and results of 14-C AMS to climate change