TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTS...Week Ending January 16, 1976 S 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1975...
Transcript of TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTS...Week Ending January 16, 1976 S 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1975...
$Bil.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTSJanuary-June, 1976^
_ Uses
Gov't Acc't'Investment
AdjustmentsTo Cash -**
r633/4"— V4JIncrease inOperatingCash
'Maturities
Off BudgetDeficit
Budget Deficit
Sources
* Special Issues
^_ *— Savings Bonds, Etc2% "~
YIVz
343/4 |Net New Cash
Refundings'
- Bills |[Done
"Coupons)
' To Be Done
* Includes $2 billion (net) CMB's and $1.5 billion 1/31/76 bills in 2-year cycle slot.±1 Assumes $9 billion June 30 cash balance.
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
January 26, 197615
TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTSJanuary - June, 1975
$Bil.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Uses
Increase in Operating Cash^ \i/AG.A Investment"* ^^m " ^
VAMaturities
15%
|3/* June Agency &Other33/4*May21/4*-Apr.!£44**Mar.
Off BudgetAgency Deficit
Budget Deficit
Otdce of the Secretary of the TreasuryOftice of Debt Analysis
Sources
2y4 ^ Adjustments to Casha-Special Issues
23/4
Savings Bonds, /Foreign, etc
Refunding'
New Cash'*
January 26.1976-18
ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, REAL AND NOMINAL GNP^Quarterly, Seasonally Adjusted
1972
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
1973 1974 1975-1/Shaded areas represent private forecasts.
1976
January 26,1976-9
$Bil.50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
TREASURY NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGFiscal Year Halves 1972 to Date
Coupons:
Over 7 years
3 • 7 years
Under 3 years
Bills
15.1
•1.1
.5
9.8
-1.2
j_
1972II I II I II
1973 1974 1975
* Less than $5Q million.
48.5
1976
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
January 26,1976-25
MARKET YIELDS ON GOVERNMENTS
1975
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
10 Years to Maturity
1976*
* Yield curves represent the 15th of each month.
Yield toMaturity
(PerCent)
January 26,1976-6
%
TREASURY YIELD CURVE SPREADSWeekly Averages
K /*•••<
\ /""-w--\//n / V*
v\
20 Year Less\*" 3 Month Bill^
3 Year Less3 Month BilU
20 Year Less 3 Year
V
Week EndingJanuary 16, 1976
S
0Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
1975
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
1976
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
y3 Month billon coupon equivalent basis.January 26, 1976-3
INTERMEDIATE AND LONG MARKET RATESMonthly Averages
J SNJMMJSNJMMJSNJMMJSN J1972 1973 1974 1975
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Oebt Analysis
January 26,1976-2
i i i i i
1972
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
SHORT TERM INTEREST RATESWeekly Averages
1973 1974
Calendar Years
1975
January 26,1976-11
$Bil.
30
20
10-
0$Bil.
30
20-
10-
MUNICIPAL AND CORPORATE BOND SALESCumulative
Munidpal
Corporate**1975^
* Public offerings, over1 yearto maturity.** Publicofferings, including foreign.
Source: Daily Bond Buyer.
Ollle*el Hwlamtani ol tin HrwwoiOWm of OvM AMlyfta
JmayaMWU
SHORT-TERM CREDIT DEMANDSWeekly Data
Business Loans ($Mil.) Commercial Paper ($Bil.)
130
125
120
115
110
105
100M
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
aA,/
M J1974
Business Loans
v^v/"-\
Commercial Paper Dealer (Ex Bank) + Non - Fin.
N J M M J
1975
N M M
1976
20
15
10
January 26, 1976-4
%9
8-
6-
5$Bil.
COVERAGE OF TREASURY COUPON ISSUESIN CALENDAR YEAR 1975
Average Yield
Coverage
S R
Accepted Tenders!Total Tenders
• i',vr
N
llllllll<OI>*2tVQlOrviO00C^
Gto>oioo*&0icn&OT
N 16 Is Ol N 00 N^ is. ^ r*. iv rv ooOi d o oi o> ci c*
is.iv0> 0* <J> 01 O) Ot
S CO 00 N Nrv 15- rv £• 00
rvIVo>
6? &e 6? B? 69 6?s? °° ^" £ £ s?iv tv. i** iv m
B? 6?„^^e^6e^Bee9&?69696e69&9&96969696?6969SS6969&96e
* °° N N p. OOtOCb^lvlvj^ooOOOOOOOO CO Is- rv 00 rs
January 26,1976-10Office of th« Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
COVERAGE OF 13 AND 26 WEEK BILLSIN CALENDAR YEAR 1975
Ottict of tht S«cr«tary of tha TreasuryOflict of Debt Analysis
20 25 30Weeks
January 26,1976-20
%
12
8
4
0
-4
16
12
8
4
VA
TWO MONTH AVERAGE ANNUAL RATESOF CHANGE IN iV^ AND M2
(With FOMC Policy Ranges)
M,
777* r777i mm
M,
vwlAVl
l
(553
HllillHV7.
VAm
1 llllllJ ASONDJ FMAMJJASOND
1974 1975
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
January 26, 1976-7
MONEY SUPPLY
270J FMAMJ J ASONDJ FMAMJJASOND
1974 1975
Officeof the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
January 26, 1976-8
$Bil.
TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIESPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes
l$Bil.
1.6
Li1.7
1.7
1
2j0
1.4
Ji
1980
1.7
L1981
1982
1.9
1983
\2
1984
1.0
-ft.
1.1
2.7
I2.4
JFMAMJJASOND JFMAMJJASOND
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
B9 New issues calendar year 1975.EH3 Issued or announced through January 15,1976.
January 26,197612
$Bil.
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
4
2
0
2
0
4
2
0
2
0
2
0
2.5
I
TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIESPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes
i4 1985• I
i.i
z
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
19922.1
I1993
1994
$Bil
2f-
0
2h
0
2h
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
.6
.6rm
.9
1995
19%
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
1.8
JFMAMJJASONDSS New issues calendar year 1975,
JFMAMJJASOND
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of debt Analysis January 26,1976-13
TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIES-ACTUAL AND HYPOTHETICALPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes
$Bil.
4
2
0
4
2
0
4
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
Actual—December 1975
1976
4bI
J 4.1 I | 4.0
'I a I15 • I1-6 " J1al 1 Isa I la • sale
i* 1977I i| y 3.1
2.0
•* i Ji i J|2.4 25
I I5.0
I
1.6
2.8
1.7
I
6101978 4,
1979 2a]i 1.7 • J* IIa a I a I17 1980 L7• I •
1981
1982 1S
£
4.6
I2.3
i.i
2.7
12.4
24
JFMAMJJASOND
E2S9 Actual securities issued during calendar year 1975.ilil] Securities issued orannounced through January 15,1976.^N Hypothetical securities to be issued during calendar year 1976.
• Treasury bills (in 2 year cycle slot).Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
$Bil.4
2
0
4
2
0
4
2
0
2
04
2
0
2
0
2
0
Hypothetical—December 1976
5.0
ill 1
jj 1977
Ya aall i g|g60
19784.5
1:2.0
1^
21 PS 2*1tea 83.0 3J.
4.6
13.4
3.6 [
1.6
2.8
g1.7
I2.9
40197948
g25 1980 20
1.7 ,r 1.7 20
43
1.9 M 2-0•
17 1?w 17 2.0 2.0
11 i I § • I8 1981 %
1.41982 ,,
1.9 19831.2 1.3
2.7
12.5
2.0
JFMAMJJASOND
January 26,1976-21
AVERAGE LENGTH OF THE MARKETABLE DEBTPrivately Held
June 1966
5 years4 months
1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOfficii of Debt Analysis
*EstimatedJanuary 26, 1976-23
OWNERSHIP OF THE FEBRUARY 15,1976 MATURITIES(In millions of dollars)
Total outstanding
Federal Reserve Banks and Government Accounts
Total privately held
State and local pension funds and life insurance companies.
Fire, casualty, and marine ins., mutual savings banks,savings and loan, and corporate pension funds
Commercial banks
New York reserve city banksChicago reserve city banksOther reserve city banks :Country member banksNonmember banks
State and local general fundsCorporationsOther private holders
*less than 500,000 or Vz of one percent.
Office of the Secretary of the Treasury
Office of Debt Analysis
5 7/8 %Note
4945
1436
3509
5
303
1984
51
14
410
880
629
118
224
875
%
100
56
1*
12
25
18
3
6
25
6V4%Note
3739
2859
880
5
51
410
1*
20
197
192
55
12
347
0//o
100
1
47
2
23
22
6
1
39
Total
8684
4295
4389
10
354
2394
52
14
430
1077
821
173
236
1222
100
8
55
1*
10
25
19
4
5
28
January 26, 1976-24
$Bil.
AGENCY MATURITIES vPrivately Held
$Bi
1
0
1
0
1984
.7
1988
.4 .4
1.5
I1992
1985
.6 .6 £• ll
1989
1993
1986 1987
* .iA
1990 1991
.2
1994 1995
1 -
0
1
0
.2 2 .i .i .i
1996 1997 1998 1999
±mA i .5
• ££• AJLiLA. .i
2000 2001 2002 2003
lh
0
1
0
2004 2005 2006 2007
^1 2
1234 1234 1234 1234 1234 1234 1234 1234
Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Debt Analysis
Calendar Years Quarterly
-1/ Issued and announced through January 15, 1976.* Less than $50 million. January 26, 1976-1