Trapping to prove area freedom
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Transcript of Trapping to prove area freedom
biosecurity built on science
Trapping to prove area freedom
Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity
Francis De Lima & Shirani Poogoda Department of Agriculture and Food Western Australia
biosecurity built on science
Project objectives
•reduce monitoring cost
•validate for market access
biosecurity built on science
Methods Dynamic trapping – trap in attractive hosts
Static trapping – trap in fixed grids
Number of Sites – 201 (Donnybrook, Manjimup, Pemberton, Kununurra) Site characteristics 1. Fly density/trap/week = 0; > 0 < 1; > 1 < 2; > 2 2. no control of fruit fly 3. range of alternate hosts Data collected: fly numbers host phenology climate
biosecurity built on science
Orchard Habitats: Citrus / Deciduous
No winter carryover in “Allee” populations:
Manjimup, Pemberton Orchards
Winter survival in Donnybrook
biosecurity built on science
10 Hosts spp monitored by a single dynamic trap vs. 2 Hosts spp by a static trap
Nashi
Pear D3 Nectarine
D1
Plum Nectarine
D7
Peach Apricot
D6 Citrus
Apricot Apple Apple Lemon D5 Plum
S3
Citrus S1/S2 Olive
Apricot Apple D4
Apple Apple Apple D2
Plum Plum Plum Plum Plum Plum Apple
Plum Apple
biosecurity built on science
Donnybrook - Male flies in male Traps (2009)
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
15-Ja
n-09
29-Ja
n-09
12-F
eb-09
26-F
eb-09
12-M
ar-09
26-M
ar-09
09-A
pr-09
23-A
pr-09
07-M
ay-09
21-M
ay-09
04-Ju
n-09
18-Ju
n-09
Collection date
Ave
rage
Fly
num
ber p
er tr
ap
per w
eek
DynamicStatic
(Linear Mixed Model with loge (count+1) transformed data). On average Dynamic traps captured 0.79 flies and Static traps captured 0.32 flies (P<0.001). Interaction: trapping method x date of collection (P<0.001) indicated greater efficiency of dynamic trap when fly numbers were high >1fly/trap/week. Data proves that 40-50 dynamic traps are required for every 100 static traps to provide an equivalent estimate of the population of MFF {0.50 (50%) in 2008 & 0.40 (40%) in 2009}.
biosecurity built on science
(General Linear Mixed Model with loge (count+1) transformed data) Host type had a significant effect on Average fly number (after adjustment for date effects (P<0.001)) With pair-wise comparisons (5%LSD): peach > pear > nectarine > others (lemon, apple, fig, orange, grapefruit) Nectarine and plum> orange and grape fruit
Host effect on average number of male flies
0
1
2
3
4
Peach
Pear
Aprico
t
Nectar
ine Plum
Manda
rin
Lemon
Apple Fig
Orange
Grapefr
uit
Host type
Num
ber o
f flie
s pe
r tra
p pe
r w
eek
biosecurity built on science
Fly numbers at Donnybrook Site 232008 - 2010
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Jul-0
7
Septem
ber
Novem
ber
Janu
aryMarc
hJu
ne
Augus
t
Octobe
r
Decem
ber
Februa
ryMay Ju
ly
Octobe
r
Decem
ber
Februa
ryApri
l
Collection time
Log(
Fly
num
ber+
1)/ f
ortn
ight
Static Dynamic
High numbers show richness of hosts in dynamic trap
biosecurity built on science
Results Summary Dynamic monitoring method is: • more effective (breeding pop is detected earlier and at lower
threshold) • provides more valuable decision making data
(ecology, biology, phenology) • requires less time • requires less labour It is also a good Template for: • proving Area Freedom • proving Areas of Low Pest Prevalence
biosecurity built on science
Discussion Why use a trap GRID when fruit flies are not UNIFORMLY distributed?
•Rigid grids are not based on science •Many traps are in unattractive hosts •Monitoring costs are higher
Alternative: Dynamic method. Required Knowledge: Fruit phenology (attractive hosts) Fly biology (life cycle) Fly ecology (flight patterns, orientation) Environmental conditions (temperature)
Fruit flies will turn up – better trap them in the areas
they prefer to inhabit
biosecurity built on science
Population Lifecycle
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Eggs Adults
Stage Threshold (oC)
Day-degrees
Egg-larva 10.0 176.6
Pupa 11.6 138.6Preoviposition 15.7 60.4
Winter
2-4 days
14-16 days 12-14
days
28-34 days
Summer 2-4 days
14-16 days 12-14
days
28-34 days
Summer
fly emerging 1st 2nd 4th gen 5th gen Overwintering
Au Sep Oct No Dec Jan Feb Ma Ap Ma Jun Jul Au Sep Oct No Dec Jan Feb MaNavel
Valencia Mandarin
GrapefruitApple
PearApricot
PlumNectarine
PeachFig
Loquat
RISK L M H Average of 10yr °C temperature data 1996-2005
3rd gen
Donnybrook
Donnybrook & Manjimup Town Adelaide City
Pemberton Manjimup & Adelaide Orchards
biosecurity built on science
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Au S O N D J F M A My J Jy
Non -Infesting
Phase
Period of HighInfestation Risk
Dispersal Phase
GT GT GT GT
Eggs Adults
Medfly survives in Manjimup Town
biosecurity built on science
where tmi is the mean temperature at day i. TTS1 is the thermal time sum for the development egg phase, TTS2
for the larvae and TTS3 for the pupae. N is the number of days required to complete each phase respectively
The derived thermal time model (De Lima 2007) for the complete life cycle is:
>≤
=⋅−=
>≤
=⋅−=
>≤
=⋅−=
∑
∑
∑
+=
+=
=
3mi
3mi3
)1(333
2mi
2mi2
)1(222
1mi
1mi1
1111
t,1 t,0
with )(
t,1 t,0
with )(
t,1 t,0
with )(
3
2
2
1
1
θθ
δδθ
θθ
δδθ
θθ
δδθ
n
ni
n
ni
n
i
mi
mi
mi
tTTS
tTTS
tTTS
biosecurity built on science
Validating the model
∑∈∈
+
∈
+ =)()(
1}{mNN
mNN xBX
mkNNm
NN
mkN x
xBx
Using the measured data in a time series to describe the information about the dynamics of the system.
k-steps xm N-2 xm N-1 xm N xm N+1 xm N+2
Pop. N
biosecurity built on science
Medfly: mortality due to low temperature
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Perth
Manjim
up
Harve
y
Donny
broo
k
Pembe
rton
Kunun
urra
Benall
a
Bendig
o
Tartu
ra
Ecuch
a
SwanHill
Mildur
a
Tenn
antC
reek
AliCur
ingNT
AliceS
pring
s
Hillsto
nNSW
Broke
nHill
Loxto
nSA
Lens
wood
PortA
ugus
ta
Adelai
de
Laun
cesto
n
Day
s B
elow
6°C
LD50
LD99
CLIMATE
biosecurity built on science
Medfly: Mortality due to high temperature
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Perth
Manjim
up
Harvey
Donnybro
ok
Benall
a
Bendigo
Tartura
Ecuch
a
SwanHill
Mildura
Tennan
tCree
k
AliCurin
gNT
HillstonNSW
Broke
nHill
LoxtonSA
Lensw
ood
PortAugusta
AliceS
prings
Kununurra
Adelaide
Launce
ston
Pembert
on
Hou
rs a
bove
35°
C
LD50
LD99
CLIMATE
biosecurity built on science
biosecurity built on science
Discussion
Comparative Trap Density - Australia and USDA 400 m (AU) = 25 traps /2.56 km2 1 km (AU) = 4 traps/1 km2
1 mile (USDA)= 4 traps/1 mile2 (2.56 km2) density /1 km2 = 4 (USDA) : 25 (AU)
Dynamic system proves area freedom by trapping in attractive hosts @ 2 traps/1km2
biosecurity built on science
Conclusion
We can reduce Monitoring Costs by: 1. Reducing trap density by 50% (no fixed grid)
2. Improving trap placement (phenology, biology)
3. Reducing trap monitoring frequency (ecology, biology)