Training for trainers on Sustainable Development file1 EU Project No....
Transcript of Training for trainers on Sustainable Development file1 EU Project No....
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EU Project No. 224953-CP-1-2005-1-NL-GRUNDTVIG-G11
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Grundtvig 3 training courseGrundtvig 3 training course
Augusts Augusts RUPLISRUPLIS, Riga Tech. Univ., Riga Tech. Univ.Tutor:Tutor:
3.33.3Session: Session:
33Day:Day:
ClimateClimate ChangeChangeTitle of Lecture:Title of Lecture:
Training for trainers on Sustainable DevelopmentTraining for trainers on Sustainable Development
developed bydeveloped by
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Project No. 224953-CP-1-2005-1-NL-GRUNDTVIG-G11
as a
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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Learning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning Objectives 11111111
By the endBy the end of this lecture you will : of this lecture you will :
•• Understand and Understand and
explainexplain
climateclimate’’s changes change
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Learning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning ObjectivesLearning Objectives 22222222
By the endBy the end of this lecture you will : of this lecture you will :
•• Characterise:Characterise:
–– Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
–– Global temperature riseGlobal temperature rise
–– Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
–– Feedback effects of positive and Feedback effects of positive and
negative rise of temperaturenegative rise of temperature
–– Role of Golf streamRole of Golf stream
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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•• The greenhouse effect is the natural The greenhouse effect is the natural
process by which the atmosphere traps process by which the atmosphere traps
some of the Sun's energy, warming the some of the Sun's energy, warming the
Earth enough to support life.Earth enough to support life.
11111111.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
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•• Most mainstream scientists believe a Most mainstream scientists believe a humanhuman--driven increase in "greenhouse driven increase in "greenhouse gases" is increasing the effect gases" is increasing the effect artificially.artificially.
11111111.2.2.2.2.2.2.2.2 Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
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•• These gases include carbon dioxide, These gases include carbon dioxide,
emitted by fossil fuel burning and emitted by fossil fuel burning and
deforestation, and methane, released deforestation, and methane, released
from landfill sites.from landfill sites.
11111111.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3 Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
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11111111.4.4.4.4.4.4.4.4 Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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22222222.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 Temperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature rise
•• In 2001, scientists predicted In 2001, scientists predicted
the Earth would warm bythe Earth would warm by
1.4 1.4 -- 5.85.8 CCelsiuselsius by 2100.by 2100.
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22222222.2.2.2.2.2.2.2.2 Temperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature rise
•• Most scientists blame Most scientists blame ––
at least in part at least in part –– increasingincreasing
amount of certain gasesamount of certain gases
emmitedemmited by fossil fuelby fossil fuel
burningburning and and other humanother human
activities.activities.
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22222222.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3 Temperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature rise
•• The scenarios compare a fossilThe scenarios compare a fossil--fuel driven fuel driven future with one where sustainable future with one where sustainable development is a priority.development is a priority.
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22222222.4.4.4.4.4.4.4.4 Temperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature riseTemperature rise
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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33333333.1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 Carbon CycleCarbon CycleCarbon CycleCarbon CycleCarbon CycleCarbon CycleCarbon CycleCarbon Cycle
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•• The carbon cycle Carbon dioxide (COThe carbon cycle Carbon dioxide (CO22) )
is the main greenhouse gas of concern. is the main greenhouse gas of concern.
A finite amount of carbon is stored in A finite amount of carbon is stored in
fossil fuels, the sea, living matter and fossil fuels, the sea, living matter and
the atmosphere. the atmosphere.
33333333.2.2.2.2.2.2.2.2 Carbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycle
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•• Without human influence, transfers Without human influence, transfers
between these stores roughly balance between these stores roughly balance
each other each other –– for example, plants absorb for example, plants absorb
carbon as they grow, but release it as carbon as they grow, but release it as
they decay.they decay.
33333333.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3 Carbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycle
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•• But when humans cut down trees or But when humans cut down trees or
burn fossil fuels, they release extra burn fossil fuels, they release extra
carbon into the atmosphere, increasing carbon into the atmosphere, increasing
the greenhouse effect.the greenhouse effect.
33333333.4.4.4.4.4.4.4.4 Carbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycle
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33333333.5.5.5.5.5.5.5.5 Carbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycleCarbon cycle
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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44444444.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 Gulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf stream
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44444444.2.2.2.2.2.2.2.2 Gulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf stream
Dramatic temperature Dramatic temperature shifts have happened in the shifts have happened in the past, driven partly by past, driven partly by changes in a major ocean changes in a major ocean currents.currents.
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44444444.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3 Gulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf stream
A "great ocean conveyor" helps A "great ocean conveyor" helps
transport heat around the globe transport heat around the globe
via surface and deepvia surface and deep--sea sea
movements of water.movements of water.
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44444444.4.4.4.4.4.4.4.4 Gulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf stream
This could disrupt mostly windThis could disrupt mostly wind--driven surface driven surface
currents such as the Gulf Stream, which currents such as the Gulf Stream, which
helps to bring milder weather to Northern helps to bring milder weather to Northern
Europe.Europe.
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44444444.5.5.5.5.5.5.5.5 Gulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf streamGulf stream
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44444444.6.6.6.6.6.6.6.6 Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.Gulf stream 4.66666666
1 Surface currents carry warm, salty 1 Surface currents carry warm, salty
water from the tropics.water from the tropics.
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4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.77777777
2 The water cools, its density increases 2 The water cools, its density increases
and it sinks to the deep ocean.and it sinks to the deep ocean.
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4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.88888888
3 The cold water flows back to the 3 The cold water flows back to the
equator, driving the "ocean conveyor" equator, driving the "ocean conveyor"
which in turn contributes to the Gulf which in turn contributes to the Gulf
Stream that warms northern Europe.Stream that warms northern Europe.
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4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.99999999
1 Surface currents carry warm, salty 1 Surface currents carry warm, salty
water from the tropicswater from the tropics
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4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.4 Gulf stream 4.66666666
1 Surface currents carry warm, salty 1 Surface currents carry warm, salty
water from the tropics.water from the tropics.
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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55555555.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1 Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice albedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedo effecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffect
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55555555.2.2.2.2.2.2.2.2 Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice albedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedo effect effect effect effect effect effect effect effect
((((((((explanationexplanationexplanationexplanationexplanationexplanationexplanationexplanation))))))))
1.1. Light coloured ice reflects back the Light coloured ice reflects back the SunSun’’s energy efficiently.s energy efficiently.
2.2. Exposed land is darker coloured and Exposed land is darker coloured and absorbs more energy.absorbs more energy.
3.3. As the ice melts, more land is exposed. As the ice melts, more land is exposed. This absorbs more heat, melting more This absorbs more heat, melting more ice.ice.
4.4. The altitude of the melting ice is The altitude of the melting ice is reduced so it becomes harder for new reduced so it becomes harder for new ice to form.ice to form.
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•• Warming will trigger some processes Warming will trigger some processes
which speed further warming, and other which speed further warming, and other
effects which mitigate it. The balance effects which mitigate it. The balance
between these positive and negative between these positive and negative
feedbacks is a major cause of feedbacks is a major cause of
uncertainty in climate predictions.uncertainty in climate predictions.
55555555.3.3.3.3.3.3.3.3 Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice albedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedo effecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffect
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•• For example, as the diagram shows, For example, as the diagram shows,
decreasing ice cover will mean exposed decreasing ice cover will mean exposed
land absorbs more heat and speeds land absorbs more heat and speeds
warming further.warming further.
55555555.4.4.4.4.4.4.4.4 Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice albedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedo effecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffect
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•• In contrast, for example, plants' CO2 In contrast, for example, plants' CO2
intake is likely to increase as higher intake is likely to increase as higher
temperatures increase growth rates, temperatures increase growth rates,
somewhat countering the warming somewhat countering the warming
effect.effect.
55555555.5.5.5.5.5.5.5.5 Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice Ice albedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedoalbedo effecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffecteffect
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Lecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture OutlineLecture Outline
•• Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
1.1. Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
2.2. Temperature riseTemperature rise
3.3. Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
4.4. Gulf streamGulf stream
5.5. Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect
•• ConclusionsConclusions
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Lecture ConclusionLecture ConclusionLecture ConclusionLecture ConclusionLecture ConclusionLecture ConclusionLecture ConclusionLecture Conclusion
InIn thisthis lecturelecture youyou havehave been been introducedintroduced
fivefive scientificscientific arguments arguments thatthat justifyjustify
thethe EarthEarth’’ss climateclimate changechange nowadaysnowadays: :
•• Greenhouse effectGreenhouse effect
•• Temperature riseTemperature rise
•• Carbon cycleCarbon cycle
•• Gulf streamGulf stream
•• Ice Ice albedoalbedo effecteffect..
ThThis confirms the is confirms the ofof thethe humanhuman activitieactivities. It is s. It is up to us to take action to reduce/stop this.up to us to take action to reduce/stop this.
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Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:Acknowledgements:
This course material has been developed through the financial support provided by the European Commission's SOCRATES programme called Grundtvig 1 for project no. 224953-CP-1-2005-1-NL-GRUNDTVIG-G11