TowerXchange’s analysis of the global and European tower … · Passive infrastructure...

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TowerXchange’s analysis of the global and European tower markets today and tomorrow Kieron Osmotherly, Founder and CEO, TowerXchange Frances Rose, Head of Europe, TowerXchange Join the conversation: Twitter: @TowerXchange Community: http://www.linkedin.com/groups/TowerXchange-4536974 Research: www.towerxchange.com

Transcript of TowerXchange’s analysis of the global and European tower … · Passive infrastructure...

  • TowerXchange’s analysis of the global and European tower markets today and tomorrow

    Kieron Osmotherly, Founder and CEO, TowerXchangeFrances Rose, Head of Europe, TowerXchange

    Join the conversation: Twitter: @TowerXchange

    Community: http://www.linkedin.com/groups/TowerXchange-4536974

    Research: www.towerxchange.com

  • Networking club for towercosMeetups, CXO dinners, must-read-journal, 2.5 million words of research, who’s whos

    Meetup Americas 2018 20-21 June, Boca Raton

    Meetup China 2018 26-29 September, Beijing

    Meetup Africa 2018 9-10 October, Johannesburg

    Meetup Asia 2018 4-5 December, Singapore

    Meedup MENA 2019 February, Dubai

    Meetup Europe 2019 30 April - 1 May, London

  • The new market structure in which towercos own 67.4% of towers

    TowerXchange is tracking 279 towercos that now own 2.966mn of the world’s 4.4mn towers

    China Tower Corporation*1,900,000

    29 other towercos with 5,000-20,000 towers286,590

    235+** other towercos with

  • Towerco penetration and business models in different regions

    Global

    52.6%

    13.5%1.3%

    32.6%

    Operator-led towerco Pureplay independent towerco Joint venture infraco MNO-captive sites

    China

    India

    CALA Oceania

    S & SE Asia(Exc India)

    Europe

    N & E Asia(exc China)

    97.3% 2.7%

    15.4%

    15.5%

    9.6%

    59.6%46.6%

    21.8%

    31.5%

    14.7%66.1%

    19.2%100%

    11%

    36.1%48.2%

    13%

    87%

    USA & Canada

    7%

    66%

    27%

    15.6%

    SSAMENA99.5%

    0.01%0.04%

    4.6%59.2%

    36.2%

    Operator-led towerco Pureplay independent towerco Joint venture infraco MNO-captive sites

    China

    India

    CALA Oceania

    S & SE Asia(Exc India)

    Europe

    N & E Asia(exc China)

    97.3% 2.7%

    19%

    10%

    40%47%

    22%

    32%

    20%66%

    14%

    100%

    11%

    40%49%

    8%

    92%

    USA & Canada

    7%

    66%

    27%11%

    SSAMENA99.99%

    0.01%0.2%

    61%

    39%

  • Tower industry 1.0: Vertical real estate

    Tower cash flowTowers

    Rooftops

    Passive infrastructure

    Power-as-a-service

    Amendments

    Escalators

    Accelerated rollouts

    Build-to-suitTenancy ratio growth

    Long-term contracts

    Operational excellence

    Real estate

    Operational excellence

    Monetise assets

    Service Level Agreements

    Master Lease Agreements

    Credit worthy tenants Sale and leaseback

    Credit worthy tenants

    Sale and leaseback

    REITs

    Valuation

    Improvement capex

    Site level profitability

    Permitting

    Zoning

    Pass-through

    Anchor tenants

    DAS

  • The Future Network: new business models for geographic coverage and urban capacity

    An era when networks are dynamically, remotely configurable, rather than optimised by site visits and new equipment overlays

    InnovationFixed / mobile convergence

    In Building Solutions

    MESH networks

    Small cells

    Airborne connectivity

    Virtualisation

    Software Defined Networks

    Self Optimising NetworksSingle platform

    IoT

    Industry verticals

    OrchestrationEdge data centres

    End to end network slicing

    C-RAN

    Multi-host

    Smart poles

    Fronthaul

    Massive MIMO

    Multi-band antennas5G rollout

    Self-deployVR and AR

    Street furniture

    Neutral host

    Street furniturePublic safety networks

    NFV

    Multi-operator

  • The structure of the European tower industry today

    Deutsche Funkturm34,700

    Cellnex27,044

    First Tower Company15,500

    CTIL12,000

    40 towercos with

  • SLB in Europe

    Year Country Seller Buyer Tower count Deal value € Cost per tower € Deal structure

    2017 Italy Wind (Veon) Cellnex * 77,000,000 104,054 SLB 10% stake out

    2017 Spain MasMovil Cellnex 551 40,000,000 72,595 SLB

    2017 Switzerland Sunrise Cellnex, Swiss Life and DTCP 2,339 430,000,000 183,839 SLB

    2017 France Bouygues Cellnex 3,000 854,000,000 284,666 SLB

    2017 France Bouygues Cellnex 600 170,000,000 283,333 SLB

    2016 France Bouygues Telecom Cellnex 230 80,000,000 347,826 SLB2016 France Bouygues Telecom Cellnex 270 67,000,000 248,148 SLB

    2016 Ukraine Lifecell UkrTower 811 47,820,000 58,964 SLB

    2015 Italy Wind (Veon) Cellnex 7,377 693,000,000 94,892 SLB with 10% equity

    2014 Spain Telefonica/Yoigo Cellnex 4,277 385,000,000 90,016 SLB

    2012 France Bouygues Telecom FPS Towers 2,166 185,000,000 100,400 SLB with 15% equity

    2012 Germany KPN American Tower 2,031 393,000,000 193,501 SLB

    2012 Netherlands KPN Protelindo 261 75,000,000 287,356 SLB

    2012 Netherlands KPN Shere Group 460 115,000,000 250,000 SLB2012 Spain Telefonica Cellnex 500 45,000,000 90,000 SLB

    2010 Netherlands KPN Open Tower Company 500 SLB

    2008 Netherlands KPN Open Tower Company 101 SLB

    Totals / average 25,474 3,656,820,000 147,019

  • Cellnex presence in Europe

    588 Sites

    796 Sites

    5,400 Sites c.2,839 Sites

    9,411 Sites8,133 Sites

  • Europe123456

    13,000Russian Towers, Vertical

    and Service Telecom

    3,000

    3,000

    3,500Logycom

    2,200

    7400UkrTOWER

    5,300Cellnex, TDF and American Tower

    1,6003,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,800TT Networks

    Hotspots for future SLB activity

    Processes cancelled

    SLB completed

    Processes believed to be underway

  • Europe

    103,206 European towers carved out by MNOs

    365,424

    72,770

    58,600

    103,206

    Operator-led towerco Pureplay independent towerco Joint venture infraco MNO-captive sites

    China

    India

    CALA Oceania

    S & SE Asia(Exc India)

    Europe

    N & E Asia(exc China)

    97.3% 2.7%

    19%

    10%

    40%47%

    22%

    32%

    20%66%

    14%

    100%

    11%

    40%49%

    8%

    92%

    USA & Canada

    7%

    66%

    27%11%

    SSAMENA99.99%

    0.01%0.2%

    61%

    39%

  • CETIN

    < O2 Czech Republic achieved 126% increase in valuation by spinning

    off infraco CETIN

    < All infrastructure assets, fixed, mobile, 6,000 sites, 38,000km of fibre

    < Freeing O2 management to focus on core business

  • Tower consolidation

    Year Country Seller Buyer Tower count Deal value € Cost per tower € Deal structure

    2018 Finland Digita Digital Colony 556 Company acquisition

    2017 Netherlands Mom and Pop Cellnex 32 12,000,000 375,000 Company acquisition

    2017 Russia Link Development Service Telecom 400 Company acquisition

    2017 Netherlands Alticom Cellnex 30 133,000,000 443,333 Company acquisition

    2016 France ITAS TIM TDF 420 Company acquisition

    2016 Germany WDR American Tower Portfolio acquisition

    2016 France Antin/FPS American Tower 2,482 697,000,000 280,821 Company acquisition

    2016 UK & Netherlands Shere Group Cellnex 1,004 393,000,000 391,434 Company acquisition

    2016 Netherlands Protelindo Cellnex 261 109,000,000 417,624 Company acquisition

    2015 Ireland Coillte Cignal 113 Portfolio acquisition

    2015 Italy Tecnorad EI Towers 134 17,000,000 126,866 Portfolio acquisition

    2015 Italy TowerCo Cellnex 212 94,600,000 446,226 Company acquisition

    Totals / average 5,604 1,455,600,000 322,392

  • Europe heatmap

    123456

  • Europe heatmap

    123456

  • Europe tower counts by country

    Source: TowerXchange

    Russia60,850

    Germany70,136

    Spain49,000

    France47,347

    Italy47,218

    UK38,500

    Kazakh- stan15,400

    Netherlands15,204

    Poland22,000

    CzechRepublic10,200

    Finland9,576

    Ukraine21,600

    Greece12,000

    Portugal11,500

    Sweden8,090

    Norway7,035

    Denmark4,105

    Ireland4,000

    Georgia 3,000

    Lithuania1,226

    Latvia879

    Armenia 2,200

    Estonia530