Toward 2050 in North Carolina

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    Toward 2050 in North Carolina

    A Roundtable Report on the Changing Face o the Tar Heel Stat

    Julie Ajinkya and Rachel Wil May 2012

    www.americanprogress.o

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    Toward 2050 in North CarolinaA Roundtable Report on the Changing Face

    o the Tar Heel State

    Julie Ajinkya and Rachel Wil May 2012

    About Progress 2050

    Progress 2050, a project o the Center or American Progress, seeks to lead, broaden, and strengthen the progressive

    movement by working toward a more inclusive progressive agendaone that truly reects our nations rich ethnic and

    racial diversity. By 2050 there will be no ethnic majority in our nation and to ensure that the unprecedented growth o

    communities o color also yields uture prosperity, we work to close racial disparities across the board with innovative

    policies that work or all.

    About PolicyLink

    PolicyLink is a national research and action institute advancing economic and social equity by Liting Up What Works.

    Founded in 1999, PolicyLink connects the work o people on the ground to the creation o sustainable communities o op-

    portunity that allow everyone to participate and prosper. Liting Up What Works is our way o ocusing attention on howpeople are working successully to use local, state, and ederal policy to create conditions that benet everyone, especially

    people in low-income communities and communities o color. We share our ndings and analysis through our publica-

    tions, website and online tools, convenings, national summits, and in briengs with national and local policymakers.

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    1 Introduction and summary

    4 Why North Carolina?

    7 Changes in the aging population and multigenerational households

    7 Changes in workforce needs

    10 Demographic change offers Raleigh challenges

    and opportunities

    10 Addressing the regions intertwined challenges of employment and educat

    edunomics 14 Raleigh fights inter-communal division through coalitions

    16 Intergenerational leadership prepares North Carolina for demographic cha

    19 Conclusion

    20 About the Authors and acknowledgments

    21 List of participants at the convening

    in Raleigh, North Carolina

    22 Endnotes

    Contents

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    Introduction and summary

    Te Unied Saes is rapidly approaching he poin where here will no longer be

    any clear racial or ehnic majoriyas soon as he year 2042. A he same ime,

    he ases-growing racial and ehnic groups were hi rs and wors by he recen

    economic downurn and ace persisen barriers o achieving he levels o edu-

    caion, healh, and employmen ha our naion needs o succeed in he global

    economy. As he enire counry undergoes his dramaic demographic ransorma-

    ion, leaders in governmen, business, philanhropy, and he civic secor mus ake

    seps now o prepare or our more diverse uure.

    In many communiies, hese demographic shis are well underway: People

    o color are already he majoriy in our saes and in more han 300 counies

    across he counry. Communiy leaders working in hese places may well have

    wisdom and relevan sraegies o share wih oher communiies as hey prepare

    or similar populaion shis.

    I is in his spiri ha Progress 2050a projec o he Cener or American

    Progressand PolicyLinka naional research and acion insiue advancing

    economic and social equiyparnered o hold a series o 2050 roundables in

    communiies ha have already experienced aspecs o his demographic shi. Te

    roundables are mean o help us learn rom he experiences o hese bellweher

    communiies abou wha he res o he counry may have in sore and wha policy

    shis are needed o ensure ha our naion embraces is diverse uure. Tis is he

    ourh repor in a series documening hese roundable discussions and describes

    a conversaion ha ook place in Raleigh, Norh Carolina, in December 2011. Te

    rs o our roundables was hosed in Arlingon, Virginia (July 2011), he sec-

    ond in Los Angeles, Caliornia (Ocober 2011), and he hird in he San Joaquin

    Valley, Caliornia (Ocober 2011).

    Te broader goal o he Progress 2050/PolicyLink parnership is o iniiae a

    naional conversaion o explore a new vision o wha America can and should be

    in 2050, when here won be an ehnic majoriy in our naion. We inend or hese

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    conversaions o inorm our policy agenda and ulimaely lead o he craing o

    policy ha lis communiies o color and creaes a uure in which all can prosper.

    A he Raleigh roundable, as was he case a he preceding roundables, he

    paricipans included communiy aciviss, policy researchers, business leaders,

    academics, and sa rom eleced oces. (See he atached lis o convening par-icipans on page 20 o his repor.) Te range o heir experise was diverse, span-

    ning issues includingbu no limiedo economic developmen, air lending,

    nancial securiy, educaion, incarceraion, and civil righs.

    We chose Norh Carolina as he sie or his discussion because i is undergoing

    a massive populaion shi. Over he pas 10 years, he saes whie populaion

    has increased by 12.5 percen, while he saes Arican American populaion has

    increased by 17.9 percen, and he saes Hispanic populaion has increased by a

    subsanial 111 percen.1 During his same ime he saes populaion has aged a a

    rapid pace, resuling in signican changes o boh household and workorce com-posiion. Addiionally, Norh Carolinas young populaionwhich will increas-

    ingly deermine he saes housing markes and developmen paterns, as well as

    he srengh o he workorcenow predominanly comprises youh o color.

    Tese changes, paricularly he youh dynamic, are projeced o have signican impli-

    caions on public policy maters in he sae. Consequenly, he number one quesion

    ha roundable paricipans discussed concerned wha invesmens and sraegies

    mus be immediaely pu in place o ensure ha his growing youh populaion is

    prepared o become he saes uure leaders, workers, voers, and homebuyers.

    Norh Carolina was also seleced because o is disincive experience wih he

    civil righs hisory o his counry, which makes he ac ha communiies o

    color coninue o ace persisen inequaliies and dispariies all he more discon-

    cering. Mos noably, he iconic Greensboro si-ins o 1960 sared by Arican

    American college sudens quickly spread o oher ciies across he sae and

    placed enormous economic and poliical pressure on local businesses, evenu-

    ally leading hem o begin serving blacks. Several prominen Arican American

    Norh Carolinians also became naional leaders in he civil righs movemen,

    including Ella Baker o he Suden Nonviolen Coordinaing Commitee, FloydB. McKissick o he Congress o Racial Equaliy, and Reginald Hawkins o he

    Naional Associaion or he Advancemen o Colored People (NAACP) and he

    Mecklenburg Organizaion or Poliical Aairs. Te saes civil righs hisory and

    Over the past 10years, the states

    white populatio

    has increased

    by 12.5 percent,

    while the states

    African America

    population has

    increased by 17

    percent, and the

    states Hispanic

    population has

    increased by a

    substantial 111

    percent.

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    experience wih youh acivism in paricular made an ineresing backdrop or he

    roundable discussion abou increasing levels o diversiy.

    We begin our accoun wih some demographic conex abou he sae o Norh

    Carolina and he Raleigh region in paricular. We hen move on o discuss he

    hree prominen hemes ha roundable paricipans raised rom he regionsexperience in urning challenges ino opporuniies generaed by he saes

    increasing levels o diversiy:

    Addressing he inerwined challenges o employmen and educaion, or wha

    we erm edunomics Fighing inercommunal division hrough coaliions Preparing or he saes uure by invesing in inergeneraional leadership

    Lasly, we recoun and make he case ha demographic change is coming, and i

    is in everyones bes ineress o ully embrace his change, undersanding why i isindeed a rue opporuniy or he enire counry.

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    Why North Carolina?

    Judih Bell, he presiden o PolicyLink, kicked o he roundable wih a quick

    overview o he demographic change ha is underway in his counry and

    described how he upcoming shi o becoming a majoriy-people-o-color coun-

    ry underscored he imporance o preparing our enire populaion or he uure.

    She explained ha by he year 2018 abou 45 percen o all jobs will require a

    leas an associaes degree, ye we know ha only 27 percen o Arican Americans,

    26 percen o U.S.-born Lainos, and 14 percen o Laino immigrans hold an

    associaes degree. Tis leaves a serious disconnec beween he skills our uureworkorce will require and he curren qualicaions ha our growing populaions

    possess. Te pressing quesion, Bell argued, is wha invesmens we need o make

    now o atain he educaion levels needed or he jobs o he uure.

    Bell explained ha by 2019 he majoriy o youh in he Unied Saes will be

    youh o color. In Norh Carolina he change is already eviden. Te saes young

    populaion is predominanly made up o children o color while he elderly popu-

    laion is sill predominanly whie. Tus he quesion ha Bell posed ocuses on

    youh and asks wha sor o invesmens we mus make in his young populaion

    o make sure ha hey are prepared o ake he reins o his counrys uure.

    Bell also discussed how recen economic research shows ha here is a posiive

    relaionship beween equaliy and economic growh. Counries wih greaer

    across-he-board equaliy also experience longer-erm and deeper economic

    growh, according o a recen Inernaional Moneary Fund sudy ha ound

    counries ha were more equal in heir income disribuions had sronger and

    more susained periods o economic growh. Research by Manuel Pasor, a

    proessor o geography and American sudies and ehniciy a he Universiy

    o Souhern Caliornia, and ohers has ound ha regions ha are less segre-gaed and have less concenraed povery also perorm beter economically.2

    Accordingly, PolicyLink has been making he argumen or a ocus on equiy

    as an economic imperaive, mos noably in a recen paper iled Americas

    omorrow: Equiy is he Superior Growh Model.

    http://www.policylink.org/atf/cf/%7B97c6d565-bb43-406d-a6d5-eca3bbf35af0%7D/SUMMIT_FRAMING_WEB_FINAL_20120127.PDFhttp://www.policylink.org/atf/cf/%7B97c6d565-bb43-406d-a6d5-eca3bbf35af0%7D/SUMMIT_FRAMING_WEB_FINAL_20120127.PDFhttp://www.policylink.org/atf/cf/%7B97c6d565-bb43-406d-a6d5-eca3bbf35af0%7D/SUMMIT_FRAMING_WEB_FINAL_20120127.PDFhttp://www.policylink.org/atf/cf/%7B97c6d565-bb43-406d-a6d5-eca3bbf35af0%7D/SUMMIT_FRAMING_WEB_FINAL_20120127.PDF
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    0% 30% 40% 50%

    Percent people of color by county

    Ages 65+

    Ages 0 to 4

    FIGURE 1

    A new generation gap

    The diverging demographics of seniors and youth

    Sources: 2010 Census (Summary File 1), Census TIGER/Line, NHGIS, a

    CURRITUCK

    DARETYRRELL

    HYDE

    WASHINGTONMARTIN

    BEAUFORT

    PAMILCO

    CARTERET

    CRAVEN

    CAMDEN

    PASQUOTANK

    PERQUIMANS

    GATES

    CHOWANBERTIE

    HERTFORD

    NORTHAMPTON

    HALIFAX

    EDGECOMB

    PITT

    GREENE

    LENOIR

    JONES

    ONSLOW

    PENDER

    NEW HANOVER

    BRUNSWICK

    COLUMBUS

    DUPLINSAMPSON

    BLADEN

    CUMBERLAND

    WAYNE

    JOHNSTON

    WILSON

    NASH

    FRANKLIN

    WARREN

    VANCE

    GRANVILLE

    WAKE

    HARNETTLEE

    CHATHAM

    DURHAM

    ORANGE

    ALAMANCE

    PERSON

    CASWELLROCKINGHAM

    GUILFORD

    RANDOLPH

    MOORE

    HOKE

    ROBESONSCOTLAND

    RICHMOND

    ANSONUNION

    STANLY

    MONTGOMERY

    MECKLENBURGGASTON

    LINCOLN CABARUS

    ROWAN

    IREDELLDAVIDSON

    DAVIE

    FORSYTH

    STOKESSURRY

    ALLEGHANY

    ASHE

    WILKESYADKIN

    ALEXANDERCALDWELL

    WATAUGA

    AVERY

    MITCHELL

    YANCEY

    MCDOWELL

    BURKE CATAWBA

    CLEVELAND

    RUTHERFORD

    POLK

    HENDERSON

    TRANSYLVANIA

    JACKSON

    MACON

    CLAYCHEROKEE

    GRAHAM

    SWAIN

    HAYWOODBUNCOMBE

    MADISON

    CURRITUCK

    DARETYRRELL

    HYDE

    WASHINGTONMARTIN

    BEAUFORT

    PAMILCO

    CARTERET

    CRAVEN

    CAMDEN

    PASQUOTANK

    PERQUIMANS

    GATES

    CHOWANBERTIE

    HERTFORD

    NORTHAMPTON

    HALIFAX

    EDGECOMB

    PITT

    GREENE

    LENOIR

    JONES

    ONSLOW

    PENDER

    NEW HANOVER

    BRUNSWICK

    COLUMBUS

    DUPLINSAMPSON

    BLADEN

    CUMBERLAND

    WAYNEJOHNSTON

    WILSON

    NASH

    FRANKLIN

    WARREN

    VANCE

    GRANVILLE

    WAKE

    HARNETTLEE

    CHATHAM

    DURHAM

    ORANGE

    ALAMANCE

    PERSON

    CASWELLROCKINGHAM

    GUILFORD

    RANDOLPH

    MOORE

    HOKE

    ROBESONSCOTLAND

    RICHMOND

    ANSONUNION

    STANLY

    MONTGOMERY

    MECKLENBURG

    GASTON

    LINCOLN CABARUS

    ROWAN

    IREDELL DAVIDSON

    DAVIE

    FORSYTH

    STOKESSURRY

    ALLEGHANY

    ASHE

    WILKESYADKIN

    ALEXANDERCALDWELL

    WATAUGA

    AVERY

    MITCHELL

    YANCEY

    MCDOWELL

    BURKE CATAWBA

    CLEVELAND

    RUTHERFORD

    POLKHENDERSON

    TRANSYLVANIA

    JACKSON

    MACON

    CLAYCHEROKEE

    GRAHAM

    SWAIN

    HAYWOODBUNCOMBE

    MADISON

    Source: Judith Bells presentation at the roundtable discussion.

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    Nex Bell inroduced Michell Silver, he chie planning and developmen ocer

    and planning direcor or he Ciy o Raleigh, Norh Carolina, who presened

    some Norh Carolina-specic demographic inormaion o conexualize he

    aernoons discussion. Silver began his presenaion by explaining ha one o he

    mos surprising elemens o he upcoming demographic change, one ha oen

    ges overlooked, is ha mos o he growh over he nex 50 years will be in hesouh and in he wes. He explained ha he Research riangle (he name used o

    reer o he geographic region in Norh Carolina ha includes he ciies o Raleigh,

    Durham, and Chapel Hill) alone is projeced o grow by 1.2 million residens and

    by abou 700,000 jobs over he nex 20 years.3 Raleigh has grown rom he 54h

    larges ciy in he counry in 2005 o he 43rd larges ciy in 2011.4

    He explained ha over he pas 10 years, Norh

    Carolinas populaion has increased by 12.5

    percen or whies, 17.9 percen or Arican

    Americans, and an incredible 111 percenor Hispanics. He reasoned ha agriculural

    employmen opporuniies were he mos likely

    cause or such disparae populaion growh in

    he region. Given he racial and ehnic break-

    down o Raleigh (see Figure 2), Silver said

    one o he pressing quesions ha he region

    was likely o ace was how he non-Hispanic

    whie and black populaions would reac o he

    exploding Hispanic populaion. School diversiy

    policies, he argued, would be paricularly iner-

    esing o wach over he nex couple o decades.

    Fitingly, a large par o he roundable discus-

    sion ollowing Silvers demographic presena-

    ion did, in ac, address his issue.

    Beore concluding his opening remarks, Silver

    wen on o describe wo imporan demographic

    rends in he regionchanges in he aging popu-

    laion and muligeneraional households, and changes in workorce needs.

    FIGURE 2

    Change in race/ethnicity

    Raleigh, North Carolina (2000-2010)

    Source: Figure composed by author based on demographic data presented in Mitche

    Silvers presentation that cites the SAS, North Carolina Trends Report.

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    2000

    Whites

    African Americans

    Hispanics

    Asians

    Other races

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    Changes in the aging population and multigenerational

    households

    Boh naional and regional populaions are aging quickly. Across he counry,

    by 2030 one in ve Americans will be over he age o 65.5 In Norh Carolina he

    percenage o residens over he age o 65 will increase by 124 percen rom 2000o 2030.6 In addiion o he graying o he populaion, household composiion

    is also quickly changing. By 2050 he overwhelming majoriy o households in

    he Unied Saes will be headed by single aduls and will increasingly become

    muligeneraional. Te later change has o do wih an increasing number o

    2534-year-olds moving back in wih heir parens (his populaion increased by

    25.5 percen rom 20072011), as well as he parens o baby boomers and baby

    boomers hemselves moving ino heir childrens households, due o eiher rising

    healh care coss or heir inabiliy o ake care o hemselves as hey age.

    Silver argued ha hese changes will have serious implicaions or NorhCarolina residens. For insance, in regards o he aging populaion, he region

    will need more young workers o ake care o is elderly residens, and he ax

    base or local governmen migh ace increasing challenges as seniors seek

    propery ax relie due o heir xed incomes. When i comes o he changing

    composiion o households, Silver worried ha he dieren household sruc-

    ures will creae a mismach in he housing markeexpers esimae ha here

    will be an excess invenory o 22 million single-amily homes by 2030 wih no

    buyer marke o purchase hose homes.7 He also prediced ha land-use paterns

    and he need or greaer public ransporaion opions would change as seniors

    realized hey could no longer drive.

    Changes in workforce needs

    Silver also explained ha he graying o he populaion is going o impac he

    regions uure workorce needs. Te percenage o he populaion, or example,

    ha is considered working-age (aged 1864) across he counry is projeced o

    decline rom 63 percen in 2008 o 57 percen in 2050. Moreover, 50 percen

    o he working-age populaion is projeced o be made up o workers o colorby 2039, wih ha number increasing o 55 percen by he year 2050.8 Tis will

    mean ha he counry as a whole will increasingly rely on a racially and ehnically

    diverse workorce o compee in a 21s cenury global economy.

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    Ye, he implicaions o hese changes in workorce needs highligh he ac ha

    curren invesmens are ailing o prepare he regions youh o color o comprise he

    workorce o he uure. Silver explained ha, despie being among he ases grow-

    ing groups, Arican Americans and Hispanics have he lowes educaional atain-

    men raes in he Raleigh region25 percen and 17 percen, respecively. Tus, he

    main quesion ha Silvers demographic presenaion posed o roundable parici-pans was abou wha invesmens are currenly needed o make sure ha he region

    can improve is raes o educaional atainmen among is uure leaders, workers,

    voers, and homebuyers o ensure a collecive sense o prosperiy or all.

    Te generaion gap ha Silver describes in boh o he rends abovewhere

    he growing graying populaion is predominanly whie, and he growing youh

    populaion is predominanly made up o youh o coloris a serious concern

    or he sae, as i may creae an inergeneraional gh over resources. According

    o he U.S. Census Bureaus 2010 American Communiy Survey, 44.9 percen

    o Norh Carolinas under-18 populaion is made up o children o color. Bycomparison, only 34.8 percen o he saes populaion over age 60 is made

    up o people o color. Wha his means is ha a signican percenage o he

    elderly populaion may eel disconneced wih he younger populaion and resis

    invesing in he laters uure.

    Silver said ha as residens begin o age in he region, hey are saring o express a

    sense o relucance o coninue carrying he ax load because o heir own limied

    resources. Educaional unding was one o he cleares casualies o he saes

    recen budge negoiaions; i has clearly suered as a resul o his decreasing pool

    o resources. Te Norh Carolina Jusice Cener esimaes ha 19,215 sudens

    were impaced by he mos recen budge cus in June 2011. Te cus direcly led

    o he loss o 915 eacher posiions and 2,042 eaching assisan posiions rom

    he 201011 school year o he 201112 school year. Since 2009 Norh Carolina

    schools have heavily relied on $1.6 billion in ederal unding o supplemen alloca-

    ions rom he sae. Even wih hese exra resources, 16,678 public school posi-

    ions have been eliminaed since he sar o he Grea Recession in 2007.

    Te racial and ehnic composiion o his generaion gap is mirrored bynaional

    rends as wellwhereas 64 percen o he 65-years-and-older populaion waswhie in 2010, his number is projeced o all o beween 45 percen and 48

    percen by he year 2050. Dowell Myers, a noed demographer and proessor

    o planning and developmen a he Universiy o Souhern Caliornias School

    o Policy, explains he shorsighedness o he older populaions relucance

    Despite being

    among the faste

    growing groups

    African America

    and Hispanics

    have the lowest

    educational

    attainment rates

    in the Raleigh

    region25 perc

    and 17 percent,

    respectively.

    http://ncjustice.org/sites/default/files/BTC%20Just%20the%20Facts_Real%20Solutions%20Require%20Real%20Facts.pdfhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/10/pdf/frey_presentation.pdfhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/10/pdf/frey_presentation.pdfhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/10/pdf/frey_presentation.pdfhttp://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/10/pdf/frey_presentation.pdfhttp://ncjustice.org/sites/default/files/BTC%20Just%20the%20Facts_Real%20Solutions%20Require%20Real%20Facts.pdf
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    o inves in he uure o an increasingly diverse youh populaionhe more

    educaed a child becomes, he argues, he beter he job he or she qualies or

    and he more money he or she is able o give back o sociey.9 In addiion o

    being our uure workorce and axpayers, his youh populaion will also be our

    uure leaders, voers, and homebuyersall vial roles ha will also increasingly

    aec he aging populaion. Silver compared his period o demographic changeo previous periods in Unied Saes hisory where Americans have made sacri-

    ces or he uure and said ha i is ime once again o make a similar decision

    in he bes ineress o our enire counry.

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    Demographic change offers

    Raleigh challenges and

    opportunities

    Te conversaion was hen urned back o Bell, who began he discussion by ask-

    ing paricipans or broad reacions o hese demographic acs abou Raleighs

    growh agains a backdrop o larger naional demographic changes. Paricipans

    agreed ha increasing diversiy in he region was a pressing concern and ha he

    only real way o promoe growh and prosperiy in Norh Carolina was o creae

    growh and prosperiy or all o he various communiies ha reside in he sae.

    Driven by he quesion o wha invesmens were necessary o creae his uuregrowh, paricipans raised he ollowing hree main areas o concern:

    Edunomics, or he ineracion beween educaion and employmen Cross-communiy coaliion work Inergeneraional leadership

    Addressing the regions intertwined challenges of employment

    and education, or edunomics

    One o he mos prominen hemes ha paricipans raised in reacion o he pre-

    senaion abou changing demographics in he region was an issue reerred o as

    edunomics, which encompasses he inexricable relaionship beween educaion

    and employmen. I was noed ha he region is experiencing challenges in boh

    areas, bu paricipans agreed ha rying o deermine which oneeducaion or

    employmenshould be ackled rs was impossible. Insead, paricipans sug-

    gesed ha invesmens should be made in boh areas o ensure ha he regions

    youh receive he educaion hey need o succeed in a rapidly changing workorce.

    According o he Census Bureau, Arican Americans and Lainos have higher

    unemploymen raes han non-Hispanic whie residens in Norh Carolina

    he unemploymen rae in 2010 was 19.1 percen or Arican Americans and

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    14.6 percen or Lainos, while i was 10.5 percen or non-Hispanic whies.

    Addiionally, 27.7 percen o Arican Americans and 33.9 percen o Lainos

    lived in povery in Norh Carolina in 2010, while he rae was 11.8 percen or

    non-Hispanic whies.

    In ligh o hese glaring dispariies, paricipans emphasized he imporanceo coninuing o inves in workorce raining programs ha would close boh

    employmen and earning gaps. Parick Graham wih he Naional Urban League

    Cenral Ciies emphasized he imporance o inclusion o he economyha is,

    making sure ha he public undersands ha public invesmens in job opporuni-

    ies or diverse communiies do generae economic reurns o he enire com-

    muniy. He cied he Urban Leagues shor-erm raining programs in wha he

    organizaion calls 21s cenury skills. Specically he noed a program ha invess

    $700,000 in helping Arican Americans and Lainos obain naional cericaion

    in broadband ber opics and placing hose individuals in jobs a companies such

    as Microso. Teir research shows ha his relaively small invesmen yieldedan esimaed $7,490,000 in salaries in 2011, indicaing ha smar invesmens

    can generae large economic asses in he communiyin he orm o improved

    employmen opporuniies and earnings, which in urn allow residens o conrib-

    ue back o economic growh in he region.

    Research on he increasing levels o buying power o Norh Carolinas communi-

    ies o color underlines he argumens made by our roundable paricipans ha

    invesing in diverse communiies would bene he enire region. According o a

    repor released by Norh Carolinas Insiue o Minoriy Economic Developmen,

    rom 2000 o 2010 he saes Arican American communiys buying power

    increased rom $28 billion o $44 billion. Norh Carolinas Hispanic commu-

    niys buying power increased rom $5.1 billion o $14.2 billion during ha same

    10-year period, while he saes Asian American communiys buying power

    increased rom $2.9 billion in 2000 o $6.9 billion in 2010.10

    urning rom he issue o buying power, Gabriela Zabala rom he Norh Carolina

    governors oce moved he conversaion o economic empowermen and ocused

    on wha she called he Laino communiys bigges challenge: he lack o eco-

    nomic developmen. She said i is a problem also experienced by he AricanAmerican communiy in Durham. While many members o communiies o color

    are enrepreneurs, many also lack he nancial lieracy and raining needed o

    make heir businesses prosper. Addiionally, she said ha banks ail o provide

    loans ha would make Laino businesses more susainable.

    African America

    and Latinoshave higher

    unemployment

    rates than non-

    Hispanic white

    residents in Nor

    Carolinathe

    unemployment

    rate in 2010 was

    19.1 percent for

    African America

    and 14.6 percen

    for Latinos, whil

    was 10.5 percen

    for non-Hispani

    whites.

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    Te Laino Communiy Credi Union (also known as he Cooperaiva Laina

    Credi Union), an organizaion represened a he roundable, has served as

    a paricularly successul model in expanding economic securiy o immigran

    communiies. Te credi union primarily serves low-income individuals (95

    percen), and is services are ailored o new immigrans, 95 percen o whom are

    Hispanic. I oers a ree nancial lieracy program, which includes workshopson uilizing a nancial insiuion, saving and budgeing, building credi, buying

    a vehicle, and purchasing a home. I also oers a wide range o aordable and

    accessible nancial producs, including deposi accouns, remitances, credi

    builder loans, credi cards, car loans, and morgage loans.11 Te credi union is

    commited o providing economic opporuniy or all, and is naional award-

    winning work is a useul model ha could be replicaed elsewhere o improve he

    economic securiy o radiionally economically insecure populaions.

    Numerous paricipans poined ou ha hese economic concerns could no be

    discussed wihou simulaneously addressing educaion in he region. Specically,paricipans poined o a school diversiy debae ha has aken place or he pas

    ew years in Wake Couny, Norh Carolina, as an example o diversiy ulimaely

    being valued in he school sysem and dieren acions o he communiy rallying

    ogeher in suppor o inegraion.

    In 2010 he Wake Couny School Board did away wih he diversiy policy

    ha had been in operaion in he couny since 2000. Te policy had considered

    income as a primary acor in assigning sudens o schools wih he goal o

    limiing he proporion o low-income sudens in any school o no more han

    40 percen. Te approach received naional acclamaion, as suden perormance

    raes soared, paricularly Arican American and Hispanic sudens es raes, and

    i seemed o underline numerous sudies ha showed he academic benes o

    economically diversiying schools.12

    In 2009, however, a newly eleced bloc o our Republican members on he school

    board fipped is composiion rom eigh o one in avor o busing, o ve o our

    in opposiion.13 Te school board debae became a parisan division beween

    hose members who suppored he diversiy policy and he new members who

    advocaed or neighborhood schools or communiy assignmen zones, wheresudens would atend schools in close proximiy o heir addressin eec, con-

    cenraing low-income sudens in low-income schools.

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    While many people hough ha he 2009 elecion was a reerendum on ending

    busing o achieve school diversiy, Michell Silver explained ha he 2011 elecion

    proved ha residens valued boh diversiy and Wake Counys naional repuaion

    as an ousanding school sysem. Civil righs leaders came ogeher wih business

    leaders, parens, and eachers in nonparisan alliances o gh in suppor o diversiy.

    Candidaes backed by diversiy supporers swep our o he ve conesed seas andhe board chairman, Ron Margiota, who had led he eor o dismanle he diversiy

    policy plan, was deeaeddenying Republicans a majoriy on he school board.14

    Silver argued ha his debae gave he communiy an opporuniy o examine is

    values and, in he end, a signican majoriy expressed heir suppor or diversiy

    in he school sysem. He was paricularly appreciaive o he dicul conversaions

    he heard people having abou race as a resul o his debae (because o he high

    number o low-income sudens o color)a conversaion he said was dicul o

    have and ha mos people avoided, bu one ha his communiy ook head on.

    Chris Fizsimon rom he public hink ank NC Policy Wach agreed ha he

    elecion ended up being an elecion around he uure o he public school sysem

    in Wake Couny. He saw he Wake Couny debae as a microcosm o he larger

    debae playing ou in he Norh Carolina legislaure, where a ea pary acion is

    rying o push or vouchers and privae, or-pro schools a he expense o inves-

    ing in public educaion. He applauded he diverse, grassroos coaliion made up

    o groups such as he NAACP, a number o Wake Couny schools, and commited

    mohers o sudens, who wen o every board meeing and relenlessly sen ou

    press releases o garner suppor or inegraion.

    Sill, Fizsimon argued, as much as he inegraion policy had been admired or

    is impac on suden perormance, he debae highlighed he counys ongoing

    educaional dispariies and suggesed ha he school sysem was sill no improv-

    ing he perormance o Arican American sudens, in paricular. According o a

    2010 repor on Wake Counys educaional dispariies, signican gaps sill aec

    Hispanic sudens, as well. In he 200809 school year, while 89.2 percen o whie

    sudens perormed a or above grade level on he End-o-Grade reading com-

    prehension es, only 51 percen o Hispanic sudens and 52 percen o Arican

    American sudens perormed a he same level.15

    Similarly, while 94.5 perceno whie sudens perormed a or above grade level on he End-o-Grade mah

    es, only 72.6 percen o Hispanic sudens and 66.6 percen o Arican American

    sudens reached he same level.16 While diversiying he counys schools had

    cerainly improved raes, Fizsimon argued ha he job was ar rom over.

    In the 200809

    school year, wh

    89.2 percent of

    white students

    performed at or

    above grade lev

    on the End-of-

    Grade reading

    comprehension

    test, only 51

    percent of Hispa

    students and 52

    percent of Africa

    American stude

    performed at th

    same level.

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    Paricipans agreed ha he debaes main srengh was in he coaliion work ha

    i promoed among groups ha usually do no come ogeher. A mass demon-

    sraion march in Raleigh in suppor o inegraion was incredibly diverse. I no

    only brough racially diverse groups ogeher, i also brough ogeher he old, he

    young, and advocaes or educaion and or economic developmen.

    Raleigh fights inter-communal division through coalitions

    Roundable paricipans raised he general need or coaliion building ouside o

    he school diversiy debae, as well. In paricular, as demographics change in he

    communiy, paricipans worried ha dieren communiies o color would have

    diculy nding common ground. One paricipan, or insance, idenied divisive-

    ness wihin communiies o color as an obsacle o orward-hinking policy changes.

    Anoher paricipan agreed and specically idenied confics beween Arican

    Americans and Lainos in he Raleigh-Durham mero area as a challenge ha willhave o be aced and overcome as he areas populaion coninues changing.

    Tese worries were corroboraed by a 2006 Pew Research Cener poll ha repored

    Arican Americans rom Raleigh-Durham el paricularly hard-hi by he surge in

    immigraion in he sae. Specically, he poll repors ha 29 percen o Arican

    Americans in he region repored losing a job or having a amily member who los a

    job o an immigran worker, 57 percen avored reducing legal immigraion, and 58

    percen avored deporing undocumened immigrans. Tese regional numbers were

    higher han naional levels or Arican Americans on he same issues.

    Anoher roundable paricipan, Lisa Chun, an immigraion atorney rom he

    Norh Carolina Jusice Cener, expressed concern ha he sae legislaure was

    considering passing ani-immigran legislaion similar o laws ha have aken

    eec in boh Arizona and Alabama. In he case o Norh Carolina, a he ime o

    he roundable in December, a new commitee was in he mids o being ormed

    by sae lawmakers o examine Norh Carolinas role in immigraion policy. In

    he commitee hearings ha were held ollowing our Raleigh roundable, sae

    legislaors have been invesigaing he eecs o immigraion programs in oher

    saes. One elemen o ha invesigaion is o deermine how lawmakers in ohersaes have pushed eors o creae atriion hrough enorcemenpolicies ha

    aim o make lie so unbearable or undocumened immigrans ha hey sel-

    depor back o heir homelands. Te commitee is also invesigaing he cos o

    undocumened immigraion o he axpaying residens o Norh Carolina.

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    Ye hese programs have been shown o be impracical and expensive o saes,17

    and research shows ha mos unauhorized immigrans are already considered

    ineligible and hereore do no receive mos governmen services. Ye Chun wor-

    ried ha he curren ani-immigran hosiliy spreading around he counry was

    also presen in Norh Carolinas research riangle area. Te previously menioned

    Pew poll jusied his concern, reporing ha 84 percen o Raleigh-DurhamsArican American populaion believed ha police should be required o check or

    immigraion saus during rac sopsa higher percenage han he 67 percen

    o whies who agreed his should be a requiremen.18

    Paricipans also discussed how divisions have arisen beween communiies o color

    and he gay and ransgender communiies in he region. For insance, one parici-

    pan observed ha Arican American suppor or gay and ransgender righs may be

    lacking in he region, bu i has nohing o do wih he black communiy no avoring

    gay righsaer all, no one ges up in he morning and wans o be discriminaed

    agains wice, he argued. Insead, he speculaed ha he lack o suppor sems romrusraion wih he gay communiya communiy ha calls or black suppor

    when he righs o he gay and ransgender communiy are hreaened bu who oh-

    erwise ail o suppor civil righs sruggles based on racial dispariies.

    Anoher roundable paricipan agreed ha here is oen a mispercepion among

    members o he gay, lesbian, and ransgender communiy ha communiies o

    color will no suppor gay and ransgender issues because hey believe ha mos

    members rom his communiy are whie, ignoring he signican percenage o

    gay communiy members o color. Te paricipan who originally raised he issue,

    however, disagreed ha his was he reason and resaed his previous explana-

    ion or division beween he wo communiieslack o muual suppor across

    group issues. In response, he paricipan who spoke rom he gay, lesbian, and

    ransgender perspecive said he was commited o working wih he social jusice

    and he human righs communiy, and ha his group was ineresed in developing

    coaliions. In ac, he gay communiy jus recenly sared working closely wih

    he NAACP, joining he Hisoric Tousands on Jones Sree, or HKonJ, rally and

    march ha brings ogeher nearly 100 Norh Carolina social jusice and commu-

    niy developmen organizaions o show heir solidariy on diverse issues.

    Te HKonJ movemen was menioned a number o imes by paricipans as a

    srong example o he ype o coaliion work ha is beginning o bridge hese

    inercommunal divisions. Te movemen, which reers o he ac ha he Norh

    Carolina House o Represenaives is locaed on Jones Sree, was ounded in

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    2007. Te coaliion currenly ocuses around an annual march and is organized

    in par by he NAACP, promoing a diverse range o issues, including healh care,

    voing righs, collecive bargaining, immigran righs, and qualiy public educa-

    ion.19 Te march draws ogeher members rom nearly a hundred civil righs and

    social jusice groups and is a proud example o he regions abiliy o gh common

    sruggles by building coaliions across diverse communiies.20

    ogeher NC is anoher such coaliion ha paricipans cied as a successul

    example o communiies working across issues. Tis coaliion comprises a number

    o nonpros across he sae seeking o block cus o he saes budge in response

    o he recession. Fizsimon described ogeher NC as a coaliion o organizaions

    o all sripes and ehniciies.

    ogeher NCs approach is o push lawmakers o coninue making wise spending

    choices (invesing in crucial areas o he saes economy and inrasrucure), while

    a he same ime urging hem o recongure he revenue collecion sysem so hai reas all o Norh Carolinas ciizens more equiably. Members o he organiza-

    ion include El Pueblo, Inc. (a saewide advocacy and public policy organizaion

    oriened around he Laino communiy), he Norh Carolina Laino Coaliion,

    he Norh Carolina Minoriy Suppor Cener (recenly renamed Te Suppor

    Cener), and he Norh Carolina NAACP.21

    Ania Earls, ounder o he Souhern Coaliion or Social Jusice, underlined

    he imporance o hese coaliions and said ha black-brown coaliions have

    developed in he sae wih a shared undersanding o common sruggles. She

    explained, I have voing righs cliens who inegraed heir local library back in

    he 60s and 70s, who hen were voing righs plainis o ge a black on he local

    couny commission, and now are learning Spanish and running an aerschool

    program where heyre bringing in Lainos as well as Arican American sudens.

    So heres a recogniion ha heir sruggles, [and he sruggles o ] he new popula-

    ions coming ino he sae, hose sruggles mirror he sruggles o heir lieimes.

    heres kind o a recogniion ha we can broaden he civil righs movemen o a

    human righs movemen and bring in los o people in our advocacy.

    Intergenerational leadership prepares Nor th Carolina for

    demographic change

    Roundable paricipans also discussed he imporance o inergeneraional

    coaliion work in addiion o he muliracial, muli-issue coaliion eors oulined

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    earlier. Parick Graham rom he Naional Urban League Cenral Ciies argued ha

    youh engagemen is vial o he regions uure. He noed ha an exraordinary

    number o young people were acively engaged in he 2008 presidenial elecion

    in large measure because hey ound hen-candidae Barack Obamas message o

    be compelling and charismaic, along wih speaking o heir generaions needs.

    Ye hree-and-a-hal years ino he Obama adminisraion hey helped o elec,Graham says young people have ailed o ranslae heir elecoral engagemen ino

    engagemen wih Norh Carolinas educaional and economic srucures. Par o his

    drop-o in energy, he argued, has o do wih elder communiy members and leaders

    o civic groups alking in a manner and one geared oward an older demographic,

    which ails o appeal o he needs o young people.

    According o he Norh Carolina Civil Healh Index, Norh Carolinas populaion

    aged 1624 is indeed he leas civically engaged o any group in he sae, mirror-

    ing naional rends. While 55 percen o he saes youh aged 1824 voed in he

    2008 elecion, his peak in youh voer urnou did no coninue during he 2009elecion cycle, when youh urnou in municipal elecions ell back o he low levels

    o he pre-2008 municipal races.22 Furher, according o he Cener or Inormaion

    and Research on Civic Learning and Engagemen, voer urnou among Norh

    Carolinians aged 1829 in he 2010 miderm elecions was 23.5 percen.23

    Michell Silver, while agreeing wih Graham ha young people need o become

    more galvanized because hey are he regions uure, noneheless poined ou a

    ac ha is oen overlooked when alking abou his young generaion: Tey are

    voluneering more han any previous generaion. Silver said ha young people

    are willing give back o heir communiies bu noed here is a condiionhey

    require a sense o purpose. I issues such as educaion and land use can be commu-

    nicaed o his generaion wih a sense o purpose, he chances are high ha young

    people will be moivaed o ac, said Silver. Te quesion hen becomes, accord-

    ing o Silver, how o communicae a sense o purpose behind all o he work ha

    roundable paricipans represen.

    Ye i also appears ha his generaion o young people migh be building social

    capial in new and innovaive ways ha he radiional merics o voing and

    organizaion membership are unable o measure. Online-ineres-driven commu-niies such as new orms o social and digial media may in ac be helping diverse

    groups o young people o connec wih one anoher and develop social capial.

    Research suggess ha encouraging young people o use echnology o develop

    meaningul connecions wih heir peers migh lead o more civic engagemen.24

    While 55 percenof the states

    youth aged 18

    voted in the 200

    election, this pe

    in youth voter

    turnout did not

    continue during

    the 2009 electio

    cycle, when

    youth turnout in

    municipal electi

    fell back to the l

    levels of the pre

    2008 municipal

    races.

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    Addiionally, a number o organizaions represened a he roundable have

    acively involved youh in he process o making change. Te Urban League o

    Cenral Carolinas organizes Te Urban League Urban Youh Empowermen

    Program, which provides an educaional and raining bridge or a-risk youh.

    Te Cooperaiva Laina Credi Union has an award-winning Culure o Saving

    program aimed a increasing youh nancial lieracy, which is one o hree pilo proj-ecs ha ocus on hree disinc age groups o encourage a culure o savings across

    muliple generaions. Te Naional Conerence o Communiy and Jusice o he

    Piedmon riad is recognized widely or is award-winningANYOWN summer

    leadership insiue and he ollow-up ANYOWN Anyime programs ha develop

    youh leaders as powerul change agens and champions o diversiy and inclusion in

    heir schools and communiies. Addiionally, he Norh Carolina governors oce

    has aYouh Advocacy and Involvemen Oce ha oers opporuniies or leader-

    ship developmen and experienial educaion ha aims o each sudens abou civic

    paricipaion by encouraging heir involvemen in governmen.

    Melvin Monord, a roundable paricipan rom he A. Philip Randolph Insiue,

    inroduced an iniiaive ha he believed held promise in culivaing no only

    youh leadership bu ha also addresses some o he racial and ehnic dispari-

    ies in educaional atainmen ha Wake Counys inegraion debae raised. Te

    program is run by Carolina College Advising Corps/Universiy o Norh Carolina

    AmeriCorps and connecs local universiy and college graduaes wih local high

    school sudens, where he older sudens serve in advisory roles or he younger

    sudens. For insance, Monord visied a high school in Durham ha hosed

    recen Universiy o Norh Carolina graduaes as visiing advisors. In addiion o

    building upon schools limied budges, where oen only one advisor is burdened

    wih counseling hundreds o sudens on career possibiliies, his program enables

    sudens who have acually made i hrough college hemselves o counsel younger

    sudens abou heir uure higher-educaion opporuniies.

    http://www.urbanleaguecc.org/home/?page_id=523http://www.urbanleaguecc.org/home/?page_id=523http://www.cutimes.com/2009/01/14/latino-community-credit-union-gets-innovation-grant-to-promote-savings-http://nccjtriad.org/anytown/index.phphttp://www.doa.nc.gov/yaio/http://www.doa.nc.gov/yaio/http://nccjtriad.org/anytown/index.phphttp://www.cutimes.com/2009/01/14/latino-community-credit-union-gets-innovation-grant-to-promote-savings-http://www.urbanleaguecc.org/home/?page_id=523http://www.urbanleaguecc.org/home/?page_id=523
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    Conclusion

    Despie he ac ha he Norh Carolina roundable conversaion was mean o

    ocus on he local experience o he saes residens wih demographic change,

    paricipans were eager o make he connecion beween heir experiences and he

    demographic shi ha he res o he naion will soon experience. In paricular,

    paricipans were concerned wih ormulaing an inclusive narraive ha incorpo-

    raed all o he concerns ha were raised hrough heir discussionrom employ-

    men and educaional dispariies o nding common ground across dieren

    communiies and issues o invesing in he youh populaion as our naions uure.

    Some paricipans believed ha his narraive needed o ocus on airness and

    inclusiveness o make sure ha our counry would provide opporuniies or all

    and no jus a selec ew. Oher paricipans hough ha making an argumen

    or invesmens in educaion and workorce-developmen eors mus be ramed

    wihin an overarching commimen o keeping our counry compeiive in he

    global economy o he uure. Regardless o which naional narraive paricipans

    advocaed or, he underlying lesson was he same: Demographic change is com-

    ing, and i is in everyones bes ineress o undersand why i is a rue opporuniy

    or he enire counry.

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    About the Authors

    Julie Ajinkyais a Policy Analys or Progress 2050 a he Cener or AmericanProgress. Her work ocuses on race, ehniciy, gender, and immigraion poliics,

    and she pays paricular atenion o he changing demographics o muliculural

    socieies such as he Unied Saes and Wesern Europe. Prior o joining AmericanProgress, she was an insrucor and eaching assisan a Cornell Universiy

    while earning her docorae in poliical science. Her pas work has also ocused

    on researching global and local womens movemens and he gendered impacs

    o inernaional nancial insiuion invesmens in he developing world. She

    was a New Voices Fellow rom 2003 o 2005 a he Insiue or Policy Sudies,

    where she coordinaed he naional oureach or he insiues Foreign Policy in

    Focus projec. Julie earned her masers degree and docorae in governmen rom

    Cornell Universiy, where her docoral disseraion examined he poliical behav-

    ior o children o Muslim immigrans and heir campaigns or gender-jusice

    acivism in Europe and Norh America. She earned a bachelors degree in poliicalscience rom Amhers College.

    Rachel Wilfis an inern or Progress 2050 a he Cener or American Progress,

    where she assiss wih he eams developmen o policy proposals advancing an

    inclusive progressive agenda. Prior o coming o CAP, Rachel conduced archi-

    val research as a research assisan wih he Yale Universiy hisory deparmen

    and promoed civic engagemen eors wih he Minnesoa Environmenal

    Parnerships eld eam. Rachel received her bachelors degree in hisory rom

    Yale Universiy, where her research cenered on race and gender in conemporary

    American hisory. Her senior hesis ocused on he inegraion o gay and bohe-

    mian communiies in 1920s New York Ciy.

    Acknowledgments

    Te auhors are exremely graeul o hose who helped wih he preparaion o

    his repor. Tey would paricularly like o hank all o he paricipans in he

    Raleigh roundable convening; Michell Silver, he chie planning and develop-

    men ocer and planning direcor or he Ciy o Raleigh, Norh Carolina; JudihBell and Sarah reuha a PolicyLink; and Vanessa Crdenas, Daniella Gibbs

    Lger, and Sophia Kerby a he Cener or American Progress.

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    List of participants at the convening in Raleigh, North Carolina:

    Melvin F. Montord A. Philip Randolph Institute

    Pat McCoy Action NC

    Kevin Rogers Action NC

    Sarah Preston American Civil Liberties Union o North Carolina

    Abigail English Center or Adolescent Health and the Law at University o North Carolina, Chapel Hill

    Mark Dorosin Center or Civil Rights at the University o North Carolina

    Keith Corbett Center or Responsible Lending

    Kristen Smith Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber o Commerce

    Erika Bell Cooperativa Latina Credit Union

    Luis Pastor Cooperativa Latina Credit Union

    Carl Rist Corporation or Enterprise Development

    Stuart Campbell Equality NC

    Jada Drew Guilord College

    Susana Jerez Latin American Coalition

    Colin Austin MDC: Equity and Opportunity

    Dr. Patrick Graham National Urban League Central Cities

    Brigette E. Rasberry NC Association o Community Development Corporations

    Carley Ru NC Housing Coalition

    Andrea Harris NC Institute o Minority Economic Development

    Lisa Chun North Carolina Justice Center

    Chris Fitzsimon NC Policy Watch

    Anna Lee Working Films

    Gabriela Zabala North Carolinas governors ofce

    Anita Earls Southern Coalition or Social Justice

    Susan Feit The National Conerence or Community and Justice o the Piedmont-Triad

    Roberto G. Quercia University o North Carolina, Chapel Hil l

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    Endnotes

    1 mll slv, t cgg dg n cl, - g n cl bl ,db 13, 2011.

    2 ml p , Regions That Work: How Cities and SuburbsCanGrow Together(ml: uvy m p,2000); mk d. pg, d i db a u.s.s e Gw?Journal of Regional Science45 (2) (2005):

    363394; rll eb, Gg ekk, Jk Klz,db i n o ey: p F o e F. Wkg p 06-05 (Flrv Bk clvl, 2006), vlbl ://www.lvl-.g/r/wk/2006/w06-05..

    3 slv, t cgg dg n cl.

    4 rlg w 43 lg y us, nBc17, db 12, 2011,vlbl ://www2.b17./w/2011//12/lg-w-43-lg-y---1706161/. slv, mll. a plgLgy: clbg 60 y y lg frlg, n cl. ob 14, 2010.

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    24 ib.

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