Top Investment Questions for 2012
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Top investment questions or 2012 January 2012 FOR INSTITUTIONAL AND PROFESSIONAL INVESTOR USE ONL Y | NOT FOR RETAIL USE OR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION • Withso manyde velope d-mark etcoun tries slowing,whereshouldIsourcegrowthfor myportfolio? • Acoroll arytoslowg rowthappearstobelow governmentbondyields.What’sthebestway togetmoreyield? • Whatwi ll2012br ingfor Europe ?Dowene ed tothinkaboutanendtotheeuro? • Pensio nplansa refaci ngext remecha llenge sin meetingliabilities—istherearightwaytodeal withfundinggaps? • Withde veloped-marke tgov ernment ratin gsin question,howshouldIthinkaboutfixed incomeallocationsandinvestmentguidelines? 2011wasayearunusuallypacked withmarketsurprises. Cultural revolutions, earthquakes and tsunamis, ratings downgrade s o major economies and extraordinary political events dominated macro sentiment and the investment landscape. Volatility across asset classes was subsequently at the highest levels since the 2008–2009 nancial crisis. The normally quietly trending U.S. 10-year Treasury yield saw a dramatic 12-month trading ran ge o more than 200 basis points. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 moved more than 2% intraday in nearly every other day during the second hal o 2011. Such volatility has only been surpassed three times since 2000 (Exhibit1). As 2012 begins, there seem to be more questions than answers. In this publication— as well as in research pieces throughout the year ahead—we will try to address those most requently raised by investors. D a y s 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Bloomberg data, as o December 19, 2011. EXHIBIT 1: NUMBER OF DAYS IN PREVIOUS THREE MONTHS WITH S&P 500 INTRADAY TRADING RANGE > 2%
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