TOCICO CONFERENCE 2008TOCICO CONFERENCE 2008 Viable ...€¦ · Presented by… TOCICO 2008...
Transcript of TOCICO CONFERENCE 2008TOCICO CONFERENCE 2008 Viable ...€¦ · Presented by… TOCICO 2008...
TOCICO 2008 Conference
TOCICO CONFERENCE 2008TOCICO CONFERENCE 2008
Viable Vision -A RealityViable Vision A Reality
Presented By:Presented By: Niranjan Kirloskar Fleetguard Filters Pvt LtdNiranjan Kirloskar Fleetguard Filters Pvt Ltd
1© 2008 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Presented By: Presented By: Niranjan Kirloskar, Fleetguard Filters Pvt LtdNiranjan Kirloskar, Fleetguard Filters Pvt LtdDate:Date: November 4, 2008November 4, 2008
Presented by…Presented by…TOCICO 2008 Conference
Niranjan KirloskarManaging Director, Fleetguard Filters Pvt Ltd, India
Kiran Kothekar,Director,Vector Consulting Group, India
2© 2008 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
FG’s BusinessFG’s BusinessTOCICO 2008 Conference
Fleetguard Filters – A leader in filtration solutions for air,Fleetguard Filters A leader in filtration solutions for air,
fuel and lube systems for automotive and industrial
marketsmarkets.
Part of the Cummins Group,
Preferred OEM supplier to HCV makers and leader in
aftermarket .
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TOCICO 2008 Conference
• This is the story of a company which decided toThis is the story of a company which decided to
take up VV inspite of facts indicating that VV is not
at all possible.
Hope this is an inspiration for companies where VV p p p
conditions exist
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Starting conditionsStarting conditionsTOCICO 2008 Conference
When we decided to go for the Viable Vision in early 2005 we were‐
• Sales‐ 35 USD millf 12%• PBT of 12%
• Of which 80% of which was to OEM segmentOf which 80% of which was to OEM segment
• 10% to the After market (Retail)
5% t E t d• 5% to Exports and
• 5% to Institutional segment
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Our Viable VisionOur Viable Vision-- as seen in 2005as seen in 2005TOCICO 2008 Conference
Our Viable Vision‐Achieve a profit of 25 million in four years–
• Normally this would take a sales of about 250 million i.e.
doubling of sales. This will require a huge investment which
is also a big risk as we are dependent only on OEMs
• The way out‐ achieve the profit with minimum investmentThe way out achieve the profit with minimum investment
i.e. if we can achieve the target profit with about 150 mill
sales.
For this, for the next 4 years
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Sales to increase by 30% each year
Profits to increase by 50% each year.
Viable Vision for FGViable Vision for FG-- ObstaclesObstaclesTOCICO 2008 Conference
• Limited sales‐
• FG has 80% of its sales to OEM segment and nearly all of it is as a singleFG has 80% of its sales to OEM segment and nearly all of it is as a single
source supplier
• FG is already supplying near 100% on time to the OEMs
• In OEM b siness for an gro th FG is dependent on OEMs increasing• In OEM business, for any growth, FG is dependent on OEMs increasing
their business. OEM segment is growing at just 10%
• Can sell in retail at prices higher than the OEMs
• Pressure on Throughput
• OEMs are always pressurizing for price reductions
• 70% of the material cost is steel and 20% paper. Both were increasing p p g
rapidly
• Increasing Operating Expenses‐
• Will increase substantially as we have to continuously build infrastructure
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• Will increase substantially as we have to continuously build infrastructure
to be able to our customers adoption of the new technologies.
Viable Vision for FGViable Vision for FG-- ObstaclesObstaclesTOCICO 2008 Conference
So no Viable Vision for our company!!
But we are determined to achieve a Viable Vision
But then-How?
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Our Viable VisionOur Viable VisionTOCICO 2008 Conference
Sales to increase by 30% each year
Profits to increase by 50% each year.
C h l if Th h t h f t th t OECan happen only if Throughput grows much faster that OE
Leverage points‐
• Increase sales – in segments other than OEM
• From existing capacity (with minimal increase in investment)
• Seek segments with higher throughput to compensate for
throughput decrease in OEM sales.
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throughput decrease in OEM sales.
The foundationThe foundationTOCICO 2008 Conference
•Our determination
•Dr Goldratt has been gracious to provide us the vision in•Dr Goldratt has been gracious to provide us the vision in
every possible meeting we could have with him.
•FG aligned with Vector Consulting Group to make this
happen.
•Dr Goldratt advised “You are in safe hands”
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(FG is solidly on POOGI)
Project1001
StrategyTOCICO 2008 ConferenceFG has bottom line of Rs 100 Cr ( PBT) in year 2010
For FG to have such rapid growth in bottom line in 4 years, the thru put must grow (and continue to grow)much faster than OEParallel thru‐put must grow (and continue to grow) much faster than OE.
Exhausting FG's resources and/or taking too high risks severely endangers the chance of such rapid growth opportunity
Parallel assumptions
g p g pp y
Build a decisive competitive edge and the capabilitiesTactic Build a decisive competitive edge, and the capabilities to capitalize on it, and service big enough market without exhausting FG's resources and without taking real risksreal risks.
The way to have a decisive competitive edge is to satisfy a client’s f d h f
Sufficient assumptions
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significant need to an extent that no significant competitor can.assumptions
TacticTactic-- 2.12.1TOCICO 2008 Conference
We needed to implement‐
Tactic :
Build a decisive competitive edge, and the capabilities toBuild a decisive competitive edge, and the capabilities to
capitalize on it, and service big enough market without
exhausting FG's resources and without taking real risks.
High dependence on OEM is risky
High dependence on OEM is risky
Are other segments big enough?
Are other segments big enough?
If yes, what is the decisive competitive edge
If yes, what is the decisive competitive edge
TOC will help in release at least 50% additional capacity
TOC will help in release at least 50% additional capacity
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yyto dominate themto dominate them
Big enough markets & DCE?Big enough markets & DCE?TOCICO 2008 Conference
OEM segment‐• Though we are single source for the items we supply we do not supply all the• Though we are single source for the items we supply, we do not supply all the items
• We don’t want to compete on price and harm our throughput further• We identified the significant needs of the OEMs
VMI
Fast and reliable new product development • Today the OEM are introducing / changing products frequently and have very short time to introduce the new VMI q y yproduct .
• Once product is accepted we become single source and capture sales for long term.
Decisive Competitive Edge:
• VMI
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• Develop new products reliably in 1/2 the lead time- CCPM
Big enough markets and DCE?Big enough markets and DCE?TOCICO 2008 Conference
After Market‐V i d k d i i i ( h h !)• Very unorganized market and very price sensitive (we thought!)
• We were just 20% of the market • Our distributors had stockouts and surpluses (4 Inventory turns)O h i il ( 000 f h 0000) d (10%)• Our reach in retailers (5000 of the 50000) and range (10%) was very limited
Decisive Competitive Edge:
Enable the distributors to achieve 36 inventory turns at
100% availability of wider range
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Big enough markets?Big enough markets?TOCICO 2008 Conference
Institutional segment‐ earth movers, mining equipment, etcC k h 2%• Current market share‐ 2%
• Currently serviced by distributors who buy material from Singapore. Buy 1‐2 containers in a semester.
• You can imagine the unreliability to customers as the distributors• You can imagine the unreliability to customers as the distributors try to liquidate the forecasted material at the first opportunity
• The customers had no option but to keep a stock of more than 6 months to avoid unavailability of sparesmonths to avoid unavailability of spares
• And the customer requires to change filters every 7th day.
D i i C titi EdDecisive Competitive Edge:
Guarantee for Availability at very low stocks (15 days)
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Big enough markets?Big enough markets?TOCICO 2008 Conference
Exports‐ as sourcing company to Fleetguard worldwideExports as sourcing company to Fleetguard worldwide
• Our performance in terms of delivery and new product
development was very poordevelopment was very poor
• Market share negligible
Decisive Competitive Edge:
• 100% reliability at shorter lead times
• New product development reliably in 1/2 the lead time
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The Viable VisionThe Viable VisionTOCICO 2008 Conference
So we had to address four segments with different DCEs i.e. diff S Tdifferent SnTs
OEMOEM RetailRetail InstitutionalInstitutional ExportsExportsOEMOEM RetailRetail InstitutionalInstitutional ExportsExports
CCPM Consumer
Goods
GFA Reliability
SNT SNT SNT SNT
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BuildBuild-- Capitalize Capitalize -- SustainSustainTOCICO 2008 Conference
OEMOEM RetailRetail InstitutionalInstitutional ExportsExports
New productsGFA Reliabil
ityConsu
mer Goods
3:1Capture
opportunities
New products
Build Sustain
pp
3:7High
Throughput
3:53:8
LoadControl
3:9Capacity elevation
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BuildBuild-- Capitalize Capitalize -- SustainSustainTOCICO 2008 Conference
OEMOEM RetailRetail InstitutionalInstitutional ExportsExports
Base Growth
CCPM GFA Reliability
2:1 Inventory Turns Comp.
Edge
Build Capitalize Sustain
3:1Produce
To Availability
3:2Inventory
Turns Selling
3:4Maximizing Throughput
3:3Expand client base
3:5Capacity Elevation
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▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼
BuildBuild-- Capitalize Capitalize -- SustainSustainTOCICO 2008 Conference
OEMOEM RetailRetail InstitutionalInstitutionalExportsExports
Base Growth
CCPM GFA2:1Reliability
Comp. edge
Consumer
Goodsp g
Build Capitalize Sustain
3:199% DDP
3:3ExpandClient Base
3:2Reliability
Selling
3:4Load
Control
3:5CapacityElevation
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Base
BuildBuild-- CapitaliseCapitalise-- SustainSustainTOCICO 2008 Conference
OEMOEM RetailRetail InstitutionalInstitutional ExportsExports
2:4
Base Growth
CCPM Reliability
Consumer
Goods
2:4
GFA Comp. edge
Build SustainCapitalize
3:1Ensure
Availability
3:5Prevent
deterioration
3:3GFA
Selling
3:2ProposalDesign
3:4Expand client base
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ChallengesChallenges--TOCICO 2008 Conference
Operations‐
• MTO and MTS in the same plant
CCPM‐
• Skilled engineers not easily available
• Unpredictable interruptions from OEM clients
Di ib iDistribution‐
• Distributors did not have any IT infrastructure
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• The retail market was very unorganized
ChallengesChallenges--TOCICO 2008 Conference
Institutional segment‐
• Even infrastructure for ‘Build’ did not exist.
E tExports‐
• Needed to develop new products in half the lead
time, and reliably
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Achievement so farAchievement so far-- BUILDBUILDTOCICO 2008 Conference
• MTO‐more than 95% OTDMTO more than 95% OTD
• MTS‐ 98% availability at PWH and regional warehouses
• CCPM• CCPM‐
• Rate of new product development has doubled
• While lead times have decreased to nearly half
• Distribution‐
• Distributors are enjoying near 24 inventory turns
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Achievement so farAchievement so far-- SalesSalesTOCICO 2008 Conference
• Around 30% increase in sales OLY for each of the 3 years, hi h b heven at a higher base each year
• I.e. we nearly doubled our sales in 2 years
• Inspite of sluggish market growth• 20% in 2006• 10% in 2007• 5% in 2008
• FG is the fastest growing company in its product category
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Achievement so farAchievement so far-- Sales increaseSales increaseTOCICO 2008 Conference
Segment 2006 2007 2008 2009On track for Viable Vision‐Segment 2006 2007 2008 2009
OEM 21% 34% 20% 18%
RETAIL 33% 50% 67% 100%
INSTITUTIONAL 60% 67% 100% 88%
EXPORT 60% 67% 100% 75%
TOTAL 24% 38% 32% 30%
OEM sales has shifted from 80% of total sales to 70% of total
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sales though the sales have doubled in two years
Achievement so farAchievement so far-- ProfitsProfitsTOCICO 2008 Conference
• Around 50% increase for the first two years and 40% in 20082008.
• Most of the competition has been increasing profits at about 10%.
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Achievement so farAchievement so farTOCICO 2008 Conference
• Profits increasing by 50% each year, over LY in spite of • T% being reduced by‐T% being reduced by
• Steel prices have increased by nearly 100% in the last one year‐ decreased the overall throughput by 6%
• OEM and other segments not increasing pricesOEM and other segments not increasing prices proportionately
• Our OE in 2008 was double that in 2006Our OE in 2008 was double that in 2006.We had no choice but to invest in machines /lines to comply with new standards and technology required by the OEMs Resultthe OEMs. Result
Could have been much betterWe could have achieved, in 2008, near 80% increase in
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We could have achieved, in 2008, near 80% increase in profits over 2007 as against the 40% increase.
Critical Success FactorsCritical Success FactorsTOCICO 2008 Conference
• Belief in the Strategy and Tactic treeBelief in the Strategy and Tactic tree
• Belief in the three principles • There are no complex systemsThere are no complex systems• People are good• There is always a WIN‐WIN solution
• Management participation in transition‐ i.e. no delegation of the change management
• Vector’s immense understanding of the SNT and strong belief in TOC. They perseverance with process deployment is unique (stubborn!!)
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unique (stubborn!!)
PresentersPresentersTOCICO 2008 Conference
Niranjan Kirloskar is theNiranjan Kirloskar is theManaging Director of FleetguardIndia. He is actively leading the Viable Vision projectHe is actively leading the Viable Vision project for the company.
Kiran Kothekar is Director of Vector Consulting Group, IndiaHe has been consulting in TOC for the past 7He has been consulting in TOC for the past 7 years. He is also Director in Goldratt [email protected] in
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www.vectorconsulting.in