TM Cerno Pacific · 2020-01-31 · Techtronic Industries: power ranger Another definitive deal that...
Transcript of TM Cerno Pacific · 2020-01-31 · Techtronic Industries: power ranger Another definitive deal that...
The Cerno Pacific portfolio is a geographically specific fund, which invests primarily across the Pacific area but also the wider
emerging markets. The fund’s objective is to produce capital growth over the long term through a focus on companies that are
judged to be innovators or are beneficiaries of innovation through their products, services or business models. The optimal route
to access the full benefit of innovation is likely to be, directly or indirectly, in the form of equity, which will be the predominant
asset class in the portfolio. The manager takes an active approach to currency exposures and may hedge where deemed appropriate.
Q4 19 Investment Report
Fund Managers
Fay Ren - Co [email protected]
Michael Flitton - Co [email protected]
Fund Activity
Position changes in the portfolio during the quarter.
Delta Electronics: riding the next power cycle
The world’s largest power supply vendor positioned for the
integration of renewables and EV demand to the grid
Techtronic Industries: power ranger
A leading supplier of power tools and floor care brands
globally
NAV/Share £12.79
Fund Size (£mn) £16.8mn
Currency Share Class GBP (Base)
ACD Thesis Unit Trust Mgt
Custodian Northern Trust
Legal Structure OEIC (UCITS)
Inception Date - Fund Jan 2017
Inception Date - Strategy Oct 2009
Saving Structures SIPPs & ISAs
Share Type Acc & Inc
Fund Data
UCITS Regional Equity Portfolio
Q4 2019
TM Cerno Pacific
Investment Objectives
Fund Activity
The fund returned +6.5% in the final quarter of the year against
the benchmark MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index, which rose 1.4%
in GBP. This takes the cumulative 2019 performance to +25.9%,
representing a pleasing outperformance of 11%.
TSMC was again a key contributor during the quarter (+1.1%).
However, unlike Q3 performance was less concentrated in the
semiconductor supply chain. Murata rose 21% in local currency
(+0.96% contribution) as visibility improved over the global
rollout of 5G infrastructure, for which Murata manufactures
key signal filters and related passive components. Another
beneficiary of improved investor sentiment was Alibaba, which
contributed 1.19%, primarily a function multiple expansion.
As the most liquid and accessible vehicle for foreign investors
to express a China view the stock has suffered from trade war
malaise for most of 2019. Amongst our stock holdings there
were few absolute negatives. Sysmex (-0.28%) and Kingdee
(-0.53%) both ground slowly lower, reflecting more a lack of
near term market ‘narrative’ than any discernible fundamental
headwinds.
The primary drag on performance through the year was,
perhaps unsurprisingly, currency. Your managers aim to find,
and invest, in innovative firms with visible growth trajectories.
This is a fundamentally bottom up approach. Aside from
ameliorating the risks in specific currencies, for example CNY
hedging through most of 2019, we believe we add little value
involving ourselves in the macro world. However, as the fund
is denominated in GBP the UK election presented a sufficiently
specific risk such that we entered December 2019 c45% hedged
back into Sterling. This position contributed +1.2% and helped
our relative performance during the month. Naturally the
overall effect of GBP was a negative but the hedge worked to
lessen the impact. As of writing all outstanding currency hedges
have been closed bar a small INR forward to smooth the FX
volatility of our Emerging India investment back into GBP.
Turnover was higher than usual in the quarter as we continued
to shift portfolio focus towards high conviction equity names.
We exited our holding in Matthews China Small Companies
fund in full and the majority of the Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon
Trust. Capital was recycled into existing names and three new
positions were initiated. Detailed write ups follow on Delta
Electronics and Techtronic Industries. The third new holding is
Kose, a leading Japanese cosmetics company tapping into the
expanding global market for skin care.
Established in 1971 Delta Electronics is the world’s largest
power supply vendor. Originally focused on PC applications
the group has evolved into power infrastructure and, more
latterly, new markets in automation and electric vehicles.
Delta’s management team has shown itself capable of
recognising future trends, repositioning the business and
profiting from these changes. From 1995 to 2005 its core
revenue stream was switched power supply for notebooks and
PCs. As the smartphone era dawned the company expanded into
networking power products to provide power management for
servers and telecom towers. More recently, in 2010, as it became
clear that the PC market was facing prolonged contraction
management articulated a strategic shift away from its legacy
core. PC now accounts for only 8% of revenues against 50% in
2009. In its place is a growing business in industrial automation,
EV charging and datacentre management.
The connecting thread running through the different focal
points of growth is a continued focus on the company’s core
competence in power management. This has enabled the group
to leverage its deep reservoir of IP to lead in new demand
environments. Over time its market share position has become
more entrenched and we are confident in the ability of the
business to remain relevant over time.
As with Nidec, which manufacturers efficient motors, Delta’s
portfolio sits comfortably alongside the structural need
for improved sustainability. Their core business is power
efficiency. The superior conversion rates of their products
differentiate Delta from its competitors across industries. In
addition, as the power generation mix increasingly shifts to
Delta Electronics: riding the next power cycle
Delta Electronics: riding the next power cycleSource: Delta Electronics
renewables, alternative storage assets are added to the grid and
EV charging demands rise, we see a long runway for growth in
transformation equipment.
Delta Electronics was invested in the Pacific portfolio in
November.
- Michael Flitton
Techtronic Industries (TTI) is the second largest global
manufacturer of power tools and floor care tools. Its products
are sold through 12 recognizable brands including Milwaukee
and Ryobi in power tools, and Hoover and Vax in the floor care
space.
The company has heritage in Asia, founded in Hong Kong in
1985 by Horst Julius Pudwill and Roy Chi Ping Chung. TTI’s
history mirrors the technical development of much north
Asian industry: migration up the value chain from outsourcer
for Western incumbents to competitor. TTI began life lining
up suppliers for Western brands, subsequently taking on the
manufacturing as an OEM, to eventually becoming owners of
brands themselves.
The professional power tools market is dominated by American,
German and Japanese players. TTI was the first power tool
company to set up a manufacturing base in China, competing
with high-end makers who historically shunned ‘Made in China’
tools, opting for US or Japan made products for quality reasons.
Their first big break came from Japan’s Ryobi brand in 1988,
who commissioned TTI to make their tools and subsequently
took a 20% stake in the company as a vote of confidence.
Techtronic Industries: power ranger
Another definitive deal that propelled TTI to global status was
the acquisition of the Milwaukee & AEG brands from Sweden’s
Atlas Copco in 2005. Milwaukee now represents over 70% of
TTI’s revenues and growing at over 20% per annum, much
higher than the single digit industry average. The hiring of their
current CEO Joseph Galli Jr. in 2006 was another significant
decision. Mr Galli built a reputation at rival Stanley Black &
Decker for taking their DeWalt tool brand to global No. 1 player
in the 1990s.
Innovation has also been a major growth driver: TTI generates
30-40% of its sales from new products every year and has
expanded their tool portfolio from 100+ products to 400+
over the last 6 years. They were the first to introduce wireless
tools, which has now become the industry standard, and
with earlier experience as an OEM, TTI has the technical
capability to research and develop core components in house,
having extensive knowledge in brushless motors and battery
techniques, comparing to peers who tend to use third party
componentry.
Since 2013 the company has inexorably gained market share
from other global players, such as Bosch and Makita, rising to
global No. 2 player after Stanley Black & Decker from No. 5.
The company was invested in December 2019 in the Pacific
portfolio.
- Fay Ren
Techtronic Industries’ brandsSource: Techtronic Industries
Allocation by Theme
Track Record
Top/Bottom Quarterly Contributors
Geographic Allocation (Ex Cash)
Performance is based on a Net Asset Value (NAV) price basis with income reinvested, net of fees. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Top 10 Holdings Tencent 7.6%
TSMC 6.6%
Alibaba 6.0%
Samsung Eletronics 5.1%
Wuxi Apptec 5.0%
Nidec 4.5%
Murata 4.4%
Midea 4.1%
Sunny Optical 4.0%
Advantech 3.9%
Tech Hardware & Suppliers 22%
Niche Manufacturers 22%
Online Disruptors 17%
Consumer Products 13%
Health Care 12%
Software & Services 5%
Cash 4%
China/HK40%
Japan23%
Alibaba
TSMC
Murata
Nidec
Sysmex
Kingdee
Year Ended Dec 2019 Dec 2018 Dec 2017 Since Inception*
Fund (Class B) +25.9% -13.3% +18.0% +28.8%
MSCI AC Asia Pacific +14.8% -8.1% +20.3% +23.0%
*Inception as a UCITS: 27 January 2017
- TM Cerno Pacific (Class B) - MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index
Taiwan14%
Korea6% India
4%
ISIN:
GB00BDCJ9Z32
GB00BDCJB138
SEDOL:
BCDJ9Z3
BDCJB13
Bloomberg:
TMCPEAA LN
TMCPEBA LN
A Acc
B Acc
Fund Codes
Ongoing Charges
Counterparties
Contact
Class A Management Fee 1.00% Allocated manager’s Fees 0.52%Other Fees (Inc running costs) 0.71%OCF 2.23%
Class B Management Fee 0.75% Allocated manager’s Fees 0.52%Other Fees (Inc running costs) 0.71%OCF 1.98%
Authorised Corporate Director: Thesis Unit Trust ManagementTrustee: NatWest TrusteesCustodian: Northern TrustAuditor: Grant Thornton UK LLP
Tom Milnes0207 036 [email protected]
Key Fund Information
Disclaimer for TM Cerno Pacific: TM CERNO PACIFIC (the “Fund”), which is a sub fund of TM Cerno Investment Funds, is organised under the laws of the United Kingdom and qualifying as an undertaking for collective investment in transferable securities (“UCITS”) under Directive 85/611/EEC (as amended) and is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. This document is issued by CERNO CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP and is for private circula-tion only. CERNO CAPITAL is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom. The information contained in this document is strictly confidential and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any securities and or derivatives and may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose without the prior written consent of CERNO CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP. The value of investments and any income generated may go down as well as up and is not guaranteed. You may not get back the amount originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of investments. There are also additional risks associated with investments in emerging or developing markets. The information and opinions contained in this document are for background purposes only, and do not purport to be full or complete. Nor does this document constitute investment advice. No representa-tion, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document by CERNO CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP, its partners or employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinion. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained in this document.
Cerno Capital Partners LLP 34 Sackville Street, London, W1S 3ED Telephone: +44 (0) 207 036 4110 Website: cernocapital.com