Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin What has been achieved? The draft Revised Guidebook.
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Transcript of Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin What has been achieved? The draft Revised Guidebook.
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
What has been achieved?
The draft Revised Guidebook
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Outline
• Project and TFEIP mandate• Approach• Review• The state-of-play
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Project and TFEIP mandate
• “Revision” commissioned by the European Commission • Fixed budget and deadline• Contractual conditions apply
• Deliverables:• Draft revised Guidebook to be presented in TFEIP• Draft Emission Factor database, containing numerical data from the GBK• Draft Maintenance Plan (to be delivered after this meeting)
• TFEIP to• Discuss draft revised Guidebook as developed under the contract• Accept or not accept the draft as the latest version of the Guidebook to be
used for LRTAP reporting under the (2007) Reporting Guidelines.
Project budget (including meetings, travel etc.)
± 75 chapters 6 to 7 working days per chapter, including review results
± 1750 pages 2 to 3 working hours per page, including review results
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Procedure to prepare the draft revised Guidebook
Technical workshops
TEAM prepares first order drafts
Experts to solve gaps and problems
EP meeting
TEAM prepares zero order drafts
Zero order drafts
Existing Guidebook from August
2007
from ASeptember
2007from February
2008
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Review of First Order Drafts
Technical workshops
TEAM prepares first order drafts
Experts to solve gaps and problems
EP meeting
TEAM prepares zero order drafts
Zero order drafts
Existing Guidebook from August
2007
from ASeptember
2007from February
2008
Review of the First Order Drafts:• Usability: Does the Guidebook support national emissions reporting to
LRTAP and NECD?• All pollutants• All source categories
• Technical quality Does the Guidebook provide technically sound and up-to-date guidance?
• Up-to-date?• Complete?• Explained and Referenced?
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Guidebook FOD downloads
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
25 February 2008
03 March 2008
10 March 2008
17 March 2008
24 March 2008
31 March 2008
num
ber o
f dow
nloa
ds
sectoral_guidance general_guidance
Review: Number of FOD downloads over time
In total:• General Guidance: 517• Sectoral Guidance: 1870
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Review: Number of FOD downloads per chapter/volume
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
1A Combustion1B Fugitives
2A Mineral Industry2B Chemical Industry
2C Metal Industry2D Other Production Industry
2E POP Production2D POP Consumption
2G Other
3 Product Use4 Agriculture
6 Waste11 Natural Sources
IntroductionMethodological ChoiceData Collection Issues
Time Series ConsistencyUncertainties
Inventory ManagementSpatial Disaggregation
Projections
Number of downloads
Energy Industrial Processes Other sectors General Guidance
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Review: Number of comments received: reviewer
-
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
13/03/08
15/03/08
17/03/08
19/03/08
21/03/08
23/03/08
25/03/08
27/03/08
29/03/08
31/03/08
02/04/08
Com
men
ts re
ceiv
ed
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Martin AdamsCarlo Trozzi
Morten WintherPaul Boulter
Ole-Kenneth NielsenAntonio Ferreiro
Sergey KakarekaKristin Rypdal
Brian SmithersSteen Gyldenkaerne
Laura ValliNadine Allemand
Karin GroenesteinLeon Ntziachristos
Chris DoreKlaas van der Hoek
Paul DuffyNick Hutchings
Birgit BrahnerNatalja Kohv
Geoff SalwayBernard HydeCosimo Chiffi
Laszlo GasparLiesbeth SchrootenElisabetta Angelino
Ulrich DammgenStephan PoupaBarbara Amon
Marian van SchijndelWilfried Winiwarter
Julien Vincent
Cummulative fraction of comments
You have kept the deadlines very wellSome remarks on this! In total 67 reviewers
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Review: Number of comments received: by contents
- 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200
General comment
Introduction
Methodological Choice
Data Collection Issues
Uncertainties
Inventory Management
Spatial disaggregation
Time Series Consistency
Projections
Energy
Industrial Processes
Product use
Agriculture
Waste
Other
Number of Comments
In total 3059:• General Guidance: 529• Sectoral Guidance: 2084• EFs: 446
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Manure management… (4.B)Road transport, gaso… (1.A.3.b.v)
Road transport… (1.A.3.b)Civil aviation… (1.A.3.a)
Navigation… (1.A.3.d)Road transport, auto… (1.A.3.b.vi)Mobile Combustion in… (1.A.2.f.ii)
Paint application… (3.A)Iron and steel produ… (2.C.1)
Stationary combustio… (1.A.2.f.i)Distribution of oil … (1.B.2.a.v)
Other sectors… (1.A.4)Public electricity a… (1.A.1.a)
Other chemical indus… (2.B.5.a)Agricultural soils… (4.D)
Railways… (1.A.3.c)Manufacturing indust… (1.A.2)
Synthetic N-fertiliz… (4.D.1)Chemical products, m… (3.C)Waste-water handling… (6.B)Petroleum refining… (1.A.1.b)
Refining / storage… (1.B.2.a.iv)Energy industries… (1.A.1)Zinc production… (2.C.5.d)
Cement production… (2.A.1)Copper production… (2.C.5.a)
Other mineral produc… (2.A.7.d)Field burning of agr… (4.F)
Cummulative fraction of comments
In total 103 NFRs
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Review: Treatment of comments
General Guidance chapters Sectoral Guidance chapters
Editorial38%
Accepted43%
Noted8%
Rejected9%
Consult with Expert Panel
2%Editorial
9%
Accepted42%Noted
32%
Rejected11%
Consult with Expert Panel
6%
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?Guidebook structure
• Goals• A “Cook book”
• Providing algorithms and parameters• An “Educational Cook book”
• Providing background information and discussion• Achievements
• Directly linked to the reporting requirements• Consistent structure across sectors• Structure similar to IPCC 2006 GLs
• Benefits:• Usability
• Decision trees and Tiers to support methodological choice• All tables “complete” as seen from the reporting table
• Quality • Identified problems • Identified inconsistencies
and solved many of them !
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?Problems identified and solved
Missing pollutants:• Consistent EFs for all relevant pollutants for all NFRs
• Where we have EFs, these are provided• Where the reporting table indicates “Not Applicable” the pollutant is in the
“Not Applicable” cell in the table• All other pollutants are in the “Not Estimated” cell in the table• Our assumption is that these are minor sources for these pollutants
Oops: for some NFR and pollutant combinations we have emission factors, although the reporting format marks these as “Not Applicable”.
Unit errors correctedReferences corrected and where possible updated
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?Lessons learned
• Complete harmonisation with IPCC is impossible (Air Pollutants are much more complex)
• IPCC principles can be used but methods may be different
• Difficult to separate out some NFRs (e.g. 1A2 & 2)
• Units conventions for EFs need discussion (reluctance to adopt g/GJ for some methods)
• Guidebook needs resourced technical maintenance and co-ordination
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: what has been achieved?Problems identified and not solved
• Inconsistencies between different references
• Particulate EF < sum of relevant HM EFs
• NFR structure• Glass is only significant source category in “Other Industry; why not call it “Glass
Industry”• Road transport non-tailpipe emissions are in the “Combustion” sector• “Manure Management” could probably be called “Animal Husbandry” to enable including
non NH3 emissions (dust)• Pollutant oriented source categories 2E and 2 F (POPs production & consumption)
• General Guidance• Key Category Analysis (Aggregation)
• Tier 3 Methods• Navigation (New methods and data from a number of sources).• Eurocontrol for Aviation
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
State-of-Play: after the review• Improved following the comments on the FODs.• No important changes in present draft• Check for suitable linkages to Sectoral chapters needed for Spatial
mapping and Projections
General Guidance
• Updated quite a bit since the FODs, • Might need additional reviewing
1.A. Stationary Combustion
• Updated considerably to meet the comments and discussions with the Expert Panel.
• Might need an additional review cycle• Some work needed on tier 3 methods due to new data..
1.A.3 Mobile Combustion
6. Waste
3. Product Use
2. Industrial Processes • Improvements of the chapters since FOD. • No important changes in present draft
1.B. Fugitives
• “Source category" versus "pollutant” organisation. • The present drafts have tried to solve this issue• Needs some additional review/comments by the relevant experts.
4. Agriculture
Tinus Pulles, Jeroen Kuenen & Justin Goodwin
Main perspectives for the discussion
1. User’s perspective• Does the draft provide all what is needed to report air pollution
inventories compliant with the LRTAP Reporting Guidelines?• Are the methods clear?• Are sufficient EFs available?
2. Expert’s perspective• Is the guidance of sufficient technical quality?• Is new information included?