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Tindak Malaysia:Together we can make a difference

2

An assessment of the electoral &

financial outlook for Malaysia.

What the numbers tell us and what

conclusions to draw from it.

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6 POINTS:

1. BN cannot lose,

2. They know they are in trouble.

3. Their solution: push Malaysia

into bankruptcy,

4. IMF come in to clean up the

mess. Blame IMF for problems

later,

5. New Rat Race System starts.

6. You don’t have to believe a

word that is said!

4

Questions:

1. Where are we?

2. How did we get here?

3. Where are we headed?

4. How can we make it better?

RATIONALE BEHIND

TINDAKMALAYSIA.COM

Tindak Malaysia supports the reason why the Election Commission was formed - to ensure elections in Malaysia are free and fair.(Elections Act S 5 (1a)) EC has to enjoy public confidence. (Federal Constitution Article 114)

A group of caring Malaysians

carrying out community service

through voter education and

PACABA Training.

Our training is based on the election laws

and is politically-neutral.

We are pro-Rakyat and accept any party

that is voted in freely and fairly.

We believe that “Power Corrupts, And

Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely”.

We take the position that there must be

checks and balances and that no one

party should hold too much power.

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• Mobile phone to silent mode,

• Introduction,

• Stickers,

• Outline of Programme and duration,

• Expected results.

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Tindak Malaysia strategy:

• Understand the principles of

psychological warfare,

• How is it used against us?

• Develop self-defense measures.

Nations move in 50 to 60-year cycles!

When politicians hold power for too

long, they become arrogant, bullies

and corrupt! The ABC’s of politics.

Their goal is to amass fortunes through all means, legal and illegal, live a life of luxury, and preserve their dynasty in any way that they can (such as pampered intelligence and military services, cadres of corrupt cronies, discriminatory governance to divide the citizenry, and costly foreign support). The result is that these countries have been financially plundered, with an inhospitable business climate, an underdeveloped private sector and little economic and social progress.http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ML22Ak02.html

Where is this place?Middle –east!

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PoliticsEconomics

Social

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BN CANNOT LOSE,

ALTHOUGH BN WANTS THE

PEOPLE TO BELIEVE THEY CAN

LOSE!

Politics

Economics

Social

12

WE NEED TO STUDY HISTORY !

YearAlliance Party/BN* Opposition Total

seatsSeats % seats % vote Seats % seats % vote

1959 74 71.15 51.7 30 28.85 48.3 104

1964 89 85.58 58.5 15 14.42 41.5 104

1969 95 65.97 49.3 49 34.03 50.7 144

1974 135 87.66 60.7 19 12.34 39.3 154

1978 130 84.42 57.2 24 15.58 42.8 154

1982 132 85.71 60.5 22 14.29 39.5 154

1986 148 83.62 55.8 29 16.38 41.5 177

1990 127 70.55 53.4 53 29.45 46.6 180

1995 162 84.38 65.2 30 15.62 34.8 192

1999 148 76.68 56.5 45 23.32 43.5 193

2004 198 90.41 63.9 21 9.59 36.1 219

2008 140 62.61 52.2 82 36.93 47.8 222

BN

140 MPs (63.1%)

8 states

50.27 % of votes

PR

82 MPs (36.9%)

5 states

46.75 % of votes

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysian_general_election,_2008

Putra Jaya (BN)

Smallest

6608 voters

Kapar (PKR)

Largest

112,224 voters

Voters ratio = 1:17Even the 2nd smallest seat, Lawas, has

15,717, which is 2.4 times larger!

1515

Selangor ConstituenciesSame DUN but

separated by land

and sea

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N45 SELAT KELANGSame DUN but

separated by land

and sea

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Four evenly matched districtsRedrawing of boundaries to give three-district advantage to Party 2

All districts produce an even votingratio for each party

District A,B,C votes 90% for Party 2District D votes 90% for Party 1

Party 1 Party 2SOURCE: http://www.comprofessor.com/2010/10/gerrymandering-through-corporate.html

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One Voter One Vote ?

Question: Do the

Chinese & Indians

decide for a

simple majority?

Courtesy of the famous retiree: Ng CN

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DESIGN: 1st 112 seats: 1.85 million.

2008, BN contested 139 seats to win

112 seats. 2.08 million votes required

(19%).

Total voter population: 10,922,140

Total Parliament seats: 222

Simple majority: 112 seats

Do you agree that 2 million can decide

for 28 million?

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The smallest 112 seats come from:

Sabah, incl Labuan: 26,

Sarawak: 25,

Johor: 13,

Perak: 12,

Pahang: 8,

(Peninsular Malaysia: 61)

For simple majority rule, rural Bumis decide. Only for

2/3 majority, the non-Bumis have a say!

(Show Sabah & Sarawak powerpoint)

Seats can be increased after Mar 2011 but

need 2/3 majority. BN can even create 200

Putrajayas!

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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 1 - 28

13 =

Sarawak

12 =

Sabah

Majority

Sabah &

Sarawak

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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 29 - 56

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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 57 - 84

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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 85 - 112

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Point No. 1: BN cannot lose.

Is that the reason we have such blatant

corruption and inequality?

Is it a coincidence that the poorest

groups with the worst infrastructure,

education and health-care facilities,

are the king-makers?

Is it a coincidence that the natives are

driven off their land to join the urban

poor?

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It‟s good to

belong to the

Ruling Class!

States with the highest incidence

of poverty: Sabah & Sarawak

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Results of not paying attention:

Ruling Party enjoyed 2/3 majority for

more than 50 years since 1957.

Consequences: 700 Constitutional

amendments since 1957.

Compare with US, 234 years old: Only 27

Constitutional amendments.

Answer: You have to avoid a 2/3 majority

to prevent too much power in the hands

of the Ruling Party.

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21-06-1962, Constitutional Amendment:

Article 116: Safeguard to maintain voter

difference to less than 15% removed.

Clauses (3), (4) and (5): Clauses were

repealed by Act 14/1962, sub-section 22

(c)

Source: (page 197)

http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_protect/---protrav/---

ilo_aids/documents/legaldocument/wcms_125966.pdf

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PoliticsEconomics

Social

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Politics

Economics

Social

They start looking

for alternatives!

CIVIL UNREST: When the poor are hungry

and angry, they have nothing left to lose !

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EGYPT

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Do we want this?

No!

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WE GO BANKRUPT BY

2013!

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BONDS: Thompson Reuters Eikon

DOMESTIC DEBT: Treasury Report

GLC’s: Annual Accounts

CAUTION: There may be some double-counting due to

obscurity of some of the figures in the Treasury Report.

GLC & Domestic Debt Analysis: Credit to Lee Wee Tak

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NATIONAL

DEBT –

Govt Bonds

USD 179.8 B

13.01.2011

USD 44B rolled over last year!

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Screenshot of Thomson Reuters Eikon

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NATIONAL DEBT – GLC’s

USD 19.5

Billion

GLC: Govt-

linked cos

USD Million

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DOMESTIC DEBT

USD 125.9 BillionUSD 136 B :

57% Debt/GDP

31st Dec

In 3 ½ years,

domestic debt has

gone up by 70%!

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TOTAL DEBT – USD 331.4 B

Countries

that

collapsed at

Debt/GDP:

Ireland, Dec

2010: 96%

Greece, May

2010: 134%

Malaysia

144% Jun 2011: 144%!

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TOTAL DEBT – USD 331.4 B

WHERE IS THE MONEY COMING FROM?

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CAN IT GET WORSE?

Debt/GDP: 139%, annual deficit: 4 – 5%

Operating expenditure eats up all revenue & pensions depend on current income.

How can the Govt afford giving out RM 500 per head? What‟s the source?

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RM 200 vouchers for 1.3 million students:

RM 260 million,

One-off RM 100 aid each to 5.3 million

students: RM 530 million.

RM 500 for 3.4 million households: RM

1.8 billion,

Civil servants increment 7% - 13%,

Money given today will be taken back via

GST tomorrow – Anil Netto: Atimes

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0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

Bureaucracy as % of Population

1.4 M Civil Servants, 3 M RELA = 4.4 M

How long can this go

on?

Problem: Low

productivity, poor work

attitude, corrupt,

entitlement-mentality.

Does a change of govt

solve these problems?

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WHAT ARE THE PIIGS ?

P: Portugal

I: Ireland

I: Italy

G: Greece

S: Spain

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WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ?

• THEY GET SLAUGHTERED !

• Bond yields shoot sky-high

• Is that Malaysia’s fate ?

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GREECE

• Bond-buyers have to take a hair-cut !

In late October 2011, euro-zone

governments called on Greece to secure

a 50% write-down on the debt held by

private creditors. Greece offered 25%

only.

Must charge very high interest to

compensate – more than 100%!

Source: Wallstreet Journal

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• We have oil palm!

• We have oil & gas!

• We have electronics & electricals!

• We have high savings rate – EPF!

BUT MALAYSIA IS DIFFERENT !

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In 2009, Robert Kuok was forced to sell

off his sugar monopoly to some

“businessmen”.

Don‟t mess with Robert !Kuok.

How has it hurt us?

• Robert Kuok invested in the world‟s

largest sugar mill in Australia. Our

international sugar price went up.

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SUGAR PRICE

International sugar

price goes down

World price dropped but

domestic price went up by 40%!

Why ?

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Oil palm: Najib asked China to increase oil palm

import from Malaysia but no deal.

• Why?

• Robert Kuok‟s Arowana Cooking Oil controls

40% of China domestic oil palm refining

• Then Robert Kuok decided to invest

USD 10 B in Indonesia oil palm. That‟s our

lowest-cost competitor! Will it hurt us?

Blowback from grab of Robert

Kuok‟s sugar business in

Malaysia (click to see link)

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• We become net importer by 2014,

2015!

• Govt demanding more and more

money from Petronas.

• Petronas tried to stop the outflow.

• So previous CEO forced out & replaced

with Najib nominee.

• Ex-CEO now working for Singapore.

BUT WE STILL HAVE

OIL & GAS.

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• This depends on foreign countries.

• Europe is in serious trouble.

• So‟s the US.

• Even China is having a housing bubble

and if her exports are hit for her biggest

market (Europe), she will import less

from Malaysia.

• Outlook does not look good.

WHAT ABOUT

ELECTRONICS &

ELECTRICALS?

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NOTHING CAN HAPPEN TO CHINA !

Property crashing - Chinese ghost town: http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/1928-China-Crash-Coming-China-That-Urban-Empty-

Feeling?highlight=china+ghost+cities

The soft landing view foresees Chinese central technocrats responding timely with well-calibrated fiscal and monetary policies that maintain GDP growth of around 8%, the annual rate Beijing must achieve to absorb new graduates into the work force and keep unemployment manageable.

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The hard landing scenario predicts that an uncontrolled implosion of the property market will unleash waves of wealth destruction, a credit crunch and consumption collapse that no amount of government intervention will be able to meaningfully forestall.

Southeast Asia will inevitably be among the worst hit by a soft or hard landing in China.

http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/ML22Ae02.html

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• Malaysia cannot borrow cheaply from

international market as we are in the

same situation as Greece.

• So they tap into EPF for cheap funding.

• By now 60% is gone!

• That‟s our retirement savings!

OUR GOOD OLD EPF

WILL SAVE US !

Don’t feel bad. Govts do this as a matter of routine when they

get into trouble.

http://malaysiatoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/EPF-in-

Trouble2.pdf

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IMPLICATIONS: INTERNATIONAL BAILOUT

Greece outlook: Look at Greece‟s situation

• Expulsion from EU,

• New currency with massive devaluation,

• Job loss,

• Drop in wages,

• Sale of state assets,

• Cost-cutting – pensions, subsidies, civil

service, welfare aid, govt services,

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• Petronas, banks and insurance cos

forced to buy low interest Govt bonds,

• Equivalent loans from international

market will exceed 10% interest,

LOCAL IMPLICATIONS

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/civil-

servants-fear-losing-jobs-in-iwk-restructure/

Restructuring and down-sizing Govt,

slash pensions, subsidies, govt services.

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DO THE BUSINESS PEOPLE KNOW?

RM 39,000/person!

Highest in the world per capita!

GFI reports that

Malaysia lost USD 338

Billion (RM 1.08 trillion)

from year 2000 – 2009.

5th largest in the world!

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How much is RM 1.08 Trillion?

RM 100 notes

stacked all the way

from Singapore to

Phuket!

For the smallest 112 seats,

each voter lost RM 73,000

Equal 75% of US Govt‟s gold in Fort Knox!

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Equal to RM 100

notes stacked all

the way from

Singapore to

Phuket!

Capital flight

RM 150 B in 2009,

24% of GDP !

Where did this

money come from ?

3 x KL MRT

RM 250,000/family !

Watch out for a

currency crash!

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An Amah in 1970 earned more than a Graduate today?!!0.39

0.4

0.41

0.42

0.43

0.44

0.45

0.46

0.47

0.48

1970 Amah 2010 Graduate

Monthly Salary (oz of gold)

1970 Amah

2010 Graduate

0.426

0.476 oz

CASHING OUT !

PUSHING MALAYSIA TO

BANKRUPTCY !

DO OUR LEADERS KNOW ?

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Never mind, they will find some suckers in the KLSE

to buy their shares during listing.

Lim Teck Ghee warning.

FELDA:

Dr. Tan Kee Kwong, ex-Dep Min of Primary

Industries: In 2001, FELDA had RM 4.5B

cash. They should make RM 2 B per year.

By 2011 they should have RM 25B cash.

Instead, they owe EPF RM 6.5 B. Why ?

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KL MRT 12 times cost of

Beijing – Shanghai High Speed Train.

Not economical – sure bankrupt.

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KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1.6 B

TO RM 3.9 B WITH 1 YEAR DELAY !

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• Sg Besi Airport

land, worth RM

5.2 B but sold for

only RM 1.6 B !

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• Regain 2/3 majority to shore up power,

• Put all the laws in place to control

dissent,

• Push country to bankruptcy.

• Bring IMF in to do the dirty work,

• Millions lose their jobs,

• Civil servants chopped by 2/3,

WHAT‟S THE PLAN?

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• Public Assembly Bill passed to prepare for

repression by the police

PREPARING FOR UNREST !

As law-abiding citizens, it is our duty to obey the law.

Let all Malaysians stay home for 1 week!

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1st JAN 2012: START OF POLICE STATE ?

UPSI 01.01.12: The president of undergraduate movement Bebas, Muhammad

Safwan Anang taken to Slim River hospital in critical condition

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EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL

• SOVEREIGN DEFAULT:

• Italy,

• Greece,

• Spain,

• France,

• UK,

• US,

• China

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WHAT ARE THE DANGERS ?

• Banks or bank holidays,

• Capital control,

• Commercial property & housing,

• Borrowings and high-gearing for

businesses,

• Mortgages for speculative investments,

• Shares,

• Mutual funds,

• EPF.

• Police State

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Bank Runs

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NEW

MALAYSIAN

EXPORT:

MAIDS &

LABOUR

Maybe to

Indonesia!

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HYPER-

INFLATION

Zimbabwe, Nov

2007: USD 1 =

Zimbabwe Dollars

1 million.

1 year later, it was

ZDR 250 billion!

Where Will We End Up??

1. Uneven development along group lines,

2. Criminalization &/or delegitimisation of the State,

3. Progressive deterioration of public services,

4. Widespread violation of human rights,

5. Security apparatus as “state within a state”,

6. Rise of factionalised elites

7. Demographic pressures,

8. Massive amount of refugees,

9. Legacy of vengeance-seeking groups over past grievances,

10. Chronic & sustained human flight,

11. Sharp & severe economic decline,

12. Intervention of other states or external factors.

12 FACTORS OF A FAILED STATE.

WE ARE HALF-WAY THERE

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30 STAGES OF COLLAPSE

Public Assembly Bill

IMF

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IS THERE HOPE ?

1. When nearing bankruptcy...

• A country‟s best chance of survival is for

foreign investors to bring money in.

• Will they come in if its management is

corrupt?

2. Do you want to hold corrupt leaders to

account?

3. There are 198 non-violent methods –

http://www.aeinstein.org/organizations/org/

198_methods-1.pdf

94For simplification: Use mental models!

1ST UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM

Study tindakmalaysia.com:

• History

• Religion

• Psychology

• Social

• Trends

• Finance & economics

• Politics

• Strategies of non-violent self-defense

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(Shrinking)

(expanding)

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UMNO Rebels

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ATTORNEY GENERAL’S OFFICE ELECTION COMMISSION (EC/SPR) IMMIGRATION DEPT INLAND REVENUE BOARD (IRB) JAKIM/MUIS JUDICIARY MACC MILITARY INTELLIGENCE/UNIT TINDAKAN KHAS

(UTK) POLICE/SPECIAL BRANCH RELA ROS

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SYSTEM DEPENDS ON CASH-FLOW

LOYALTY IS TO MONEY

SYSTEM BREAKS DOWN WHEN CASH-FLOW STOPS

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HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN ?Leverage 100x

4 million foreigners

Are banks safe?

Are jobs safe?

http://www.imi.gov.my/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=524%3Ajumlah-statistik-pekerja-asing-sah-dan-pati-

yang-telah-didaftarkan-menerusi-program-6p-sehingga-18-ogos-2011&catid=1%3Aberita-terkini&lang=bm

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POLITICS

SOCIAL

ECONOMICS

XSTARVE

THE

BEAST

?

?

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SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE !

CONFIDENCE& TRUST

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WHAT WE NEED !

The US: A depression does a lot of good.

It wipes out bad investments and eliminates bad speculators.

It forces capital into more productive, more profitable uses.

It kills off zombie industries.

It retires worn-out industries and reduces costs so that new

industries can arise.

It‟s the „destruction‟ that Schumpeter‟s „creative destruction‟

needs.

Solution for US Debt: http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/4259-NIANswers-

FAQ?p=11708#post11708

Same for Malaysia.

We cannot ignore the laws of economics for too long.

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2013 - Economic cycle: 50 – 60 years !

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kondratieff_Wave.svg

HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?

• Bank savings: Convert to gold bullion,

• Pensions: Withdraw if possible,

• Stocks and mutual funds: Sell all,

• Insurance: Give it up,

• Taxes: Minimize exposure through

incorporation,

• Commercial property: Sell,105

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HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?

• Stock up on essentials & dried-food,

• Food-growing land –

move to the countryside!

• Housing: Sell. Keep only 1 to stay,

• Businesses: Minimize loans,

• Life-style: Cut down on expenditure,

• Financial: Reduce debt,

• Barter trade

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PREPARING FOR A HARSH FUTURE

• Don‟t accept whatever is said today.

• Do you own due diligence.

• Monitor future events carefully and

compare with what is said today to see

if it makes sense.

• Use the knowledge wisely to protect

yourselves, your family & your friends.

• Help one another.

• Our best protection is National Unity.

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FURTHER READING

Banking & debt, simply-explained.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGk5ioEXlIM&featur

e=player_embedded

Teh Chi Chang‟s analysis: The Budget & it‟s Shadow.

High Alert!

http://thedailybell.com/Public/Files/High%20Alert%20-

%203rd%20Edition(1).pdf

198 Ways To Bring Down A Dictatorship.

**** PACABA 0 Thread & Tindakmalaysia.com ****

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Join Tindak Malaysia

Spread the word !

To be free:

Understand psychological warfare,

Mental revolution needed to take action.

Join us. Learn self-defense techniques,

Click the top yellow banner at

tindakmalaysia.com, or email:

pywong.tindakmalaysia@gmail.com