Tim meeting with investors - sep 2012
Transcript of Tim meeting with investors - sep 2012
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TIM Brasil - Meeting with Investors
September, 2012TIM Brasil - Meeting with Investors
September, 2012
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3+
Strategy
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23
27
28
31
37
64
77
92
114
126
246*
332
894
986
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
Mobile Business is GDP-plus phenomenon
*Market Expectations as of August, 03rd(Focus BC) *Expected (ML Matrix)
-0.3%
+7.5%
+2.7%+1.9%
AboveR$4,808
30
46
93
From R$1,115 to R$4,808
From R$768to R$1,115
From zero to R$768
40
113
31
49
47
66
A/B
C
D
E
2003 2008 2014
Mln of people
13 20
16
Class
Demographic
improvements
Global Mobile Markets
Subscribers 2011
4o
Mobile will
continue to
take great part
of growth
Global Mobile Markets
Annual Service Revenues 2011
US$ Bln
173
108
82
Source: BofA ML Global Wireless Matrix 2Q12; Teleco; IBGE * Including Nextel
46,050,2
55,062,0
68,8
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
+9.1%
+9.6%+12.7%
+11.0%
Brazilian real GDP growth Mobile Serv. Revenue growth
R$ Billion
4
Mln Subs
4o
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2845
53
Mobile
Fixed
Continuous Reshaping of the Brazilian TLC Market
(44%) (52%) (56%) (60%)
(56%) (48%) (44%) (40%)
2009 2011 2014 2016
106 117 126 134
Market Transformation
R$ Billion
Voice is Good (Push the FMS)
R$ Billion
Internet for All
R$ Billion
2016
82
2009
96
Fixed
Mobile10
Mobile
2016
52
Fixed
51 2924
28
2009
Mobile Internet
competitive vs
<2 Mbps wireline
BB accesses
5
Mobile over
Fixed”:
towards 60/40
split
Force Fixed-
Mobile
substitution
(voice)
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FMS Secular Trend Remains on Play
-23%
2Q121Q124Q113Q112Q111Q11
Fixed Tariff Premium over Mobile
ARPM (R$/min)
Leading Traffic to a Sharp Increase
(Bln Minutes)
Leadership in LD Market Share
(% Minutes)
Mobile Outgoing price (% YoY)
Lines in Service
(D% yoy)
Fixed Revenue
(D% yoy)
6.7%28.3% 42.0%
49.8%
47.8% 47.7% 48.1%
88.2%66.5%
53.3%
45.8%
48.5% 48.3% 49.7%
jun/11dec/10 dec/11jun/10 mar/12jun/09
Incumbents*TIM
* Telemar, Brasil Telecom, Telesp e Embratel.
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Mobile
Fixed
3Q11
1Q12
4Q11
23.8
-14%
22.621.820.118.417.5
Source: Companies results and Teleco.
40% mobile
discount
Fixed to Mobile Substitution… …impacting Fixed Incumbents
2Q12
jun/10
Lines
(D% yoy)
Mobile Revenue
(D% yoy)
… benefiting Mobile Segment
3Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
-8.0%
-7.0%
-7.6%
-4.9%
-4.0%
-4.5%
-3.4%
+18.0%
+18.6%
+18.6%
+17.6%
3Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
3Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
+11.5%
+14.5%
+12.4%
+7.9%-8.5%
6
Integrated EBITDA
(D% yoy)
-7,0%
-6.2%
-5.9%
-10.0%
-0.6%
3Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
Mobile EBITDA**
(D% yoy)
Category 1
Category 2
Category 3
Category 43Q11
1Q12
4Q11
2Q12
+11.7%
+12.7%
+9.6%
+6.0%
**Represented by TIM
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Integrated Players Loosing Revenues for FMS...
**From 4Q11 to 2Q12, Mobile Revenues are represented by Personal Mobility.
***YoY for Mobile Rev. represented by Pers. Mob. and Fixed Rev. by others ex. Pers. Mob.*Intercompany eliminations were estimated
+7%
YoY
+7%
+1%
YoY YoY
YoY***
-0.2%
+8%
-12%
-6%
+7%
-2%+4%
+17%
+5%
-4%
TIM
(R$ Billion)
Vivo
(R$ Billion)
América Móvil – Brazil*
(R$ Billion)
Oi**
(R$ Billion)
-
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
3.6 3.73.9 3.8
4.34.7
4.5 4.54.4
94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 95% 95% 94% 94%
6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6%
3.6 3.73.9 3.8
4.34.7
4.5 4.54.4
94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 95% 95% 94% 94%
4,3 4,5 4,8 4,7 4,7 4,9 5,3 5,1 5,1
-
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
10,0
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
7.9 8.2 8.08.3 8.6
8.37.8
8.3 8.2
56% 57% 58% 58% 57% 59% 61% 61% 62%
44% 43% 42% 42% 43% 41% 39% 39% 38%
2,5 2,6 2,7 2,7 2,8 2,8 2,9 2,8 2,7
42% 41% 41% 40% 40% 39% 40% 41% 40%
19% 20% 20% 22% 22% 23% 23% 23% 24%
-
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
Fixed Mobile NET
6.4 6.77.0 7.0
7.7 7.57.47.27.7
39% 39% 38% 39% 39% 38% 38% 36% 36%
24% 25% 26% 25% 28% 28% 31% 31% 32%
-
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
7.3 7.3 6.9 7.1 7.06.97.4
6.8 6.9
56% 57% 58% 58% 57% 59% 61% 61% 62%
76% 75% 74% 75% 72% 72% 69% 69% 68%
7
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0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
3. TIM Fiber
Selective attack of the Adsl incumbents via
Naked VDSL ultra BB powered by the
5,300km Optical Fiber in RJ/SP.
Download: 35 Mbps
Upload: 20 Mbps
30%
Fixed
Mobile
Price per minute
<2 Mpbs
nominal speed
> 2 Mbps
nominal speed
Limited BB capabilities from incumbents create 3 opportunities for TIM
22.5% 7.5%75%
25%
BBVoice onlyTotal wireline
market accesses
~70%
100%
% of fixed accesses
1. FMS Voice
2Q12
13,844
2Q11
9,141
2. FMS Data
(Prepaid Internet monthly unique users; „000 clients)
15% 35%Smartphone
penetration +1,980Bps
+51%
8
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9+
2Q12 Results
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Var. % YoYVar. % YoY
+12.6%
+14.7%
+9.2%
+12.4%
+56.4%
+7.0%
+9.8%
+6.0%
+10.2%
+45.9%
2Q12 1H122Q11
4,2524,547
4,668
1,214
1,262
1,057
9,016
9,180
2,383
2,453
1,600
Q2 Financials Highlight
Total Revenue (reported)
Total Revenue (MTR adjusted)
EBITDA (reported)
EBITDA (MTR adjusted)
CAPEX
Guidance
>10%
P Confirmed
>10%
P Confirmed
~R$3 bln
P Confirmed
(+R$0.5 Mln licenses)
R$ mln
1,145
724
Anticipation
focused on
Network
10
Main
Achievements
Quarter
Impact
Leadership in Prepaid segment
Fastest data growth (+40%YoY) and
smartphone at 35.2% of total base
TIM Fiber started-up (Live TIM brand)
MTR cut (-R$121mln rev; -R$48 mln
EBITDA)
Macro-economic and competitive
environment
TIM Fiber start-up costs (~R$11 mln)
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P Macro economic scenario slowdown in 1H12 vs. 1H11 (i.e.:
level of indebtedness; high commitment of income to debt
payment; GDP lower growth)
P Short term competition aggressiveness
-28%
Effects on Q2: MTR and Macro Environment
Total Net Revenues
(R$ billion)
EBITDA
(R$ billion)
MTR Macro Environment
4.5
2Q11 2Q12
0.1
4.3 +7%
+10%
1.1 1.2
2Q122Q11
0.1
+6%
+10%
P -R$121 mln impact on net
service revenues and -
R$48 mln on EBITDA
P Still no elasticity coming on
and traffic reshape to offset
MTR impact
P FMS will lead to lower
dependency on MTR
143%
2Q122Q11
11%
83%
2Q11 2Q12
D YoY
Net Revenues Volume
Drivers to softening these
impactsKeeping the Innovative
approach
EILD regulatory
framework
Macro scenario
improvement
Intelig/ TIM Fiber
(leased lines swap)
4Q12
4.7
1.3
2Q12
Revenues Costs
4,2%3,3%
2,1%1,4%
0,8% 0,7%
2,2%
3,1%3,9%
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
3,5%
4,0%
4,5%
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12e 3Q12e 4Q12e 1Q13e
Source: BCB, Bradesco Corretora and Company’s estimates
GDP Quarterly Growth (YoY)
Handset Sale
11
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Operational Growth Remains Strong
Customer Base
(million lines)
Total Market Share Growth
(% of total lines)
9.7+2.7
+3.7+4.9
+3.1+1.7
68.9
10.0
Pre
Paid
Post
Paid
2Q11
55.5
8.0
1Q11
52.8
7.7
3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
59.264.1
67.2
8.79.3
Net Adds
(000)
Post Paid
Pre Paid
223 632317 655 348
1,598 3,0532,359 4,219 2,786
348
1,308
D YoY
2Q
+2.0
+11.3
+25%
+24%
D%
Oi
Claro
Vivo
18% 20% 18% 17% 15% 14% 16% 19% 20% 18%
17% 17% 19% 24% 25% 25% 26% 26% 27% 24%
15% 16% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 17% 15% 13%
15% 10% 7% 9% 13% 12% 15% 16% 12% 15%
Vivo
TIM
Claro
Oi
3Q112Q111Q11 2Q124Q11
25.5%25.4%
1Q10
25.4%
2Q10
25.3% 25.4%
4Q103Q10
29.5% 29.5%
24.0%
25.5%
29.5%29.5% 29.8%
26.0%
19.5%
25.1%
29.7%
26.8%26.5%
19.4% 19.7% 19.1% 18.8% 18.8% 18.5%
30.1%30.2% 30.1%
24.6%25.3%
20.1%
25.5%24.9%
20.4%
29.6%
18.7%
24.6%
26.9%
1Q12
23.7%24.5%
25.1%
34,6% 34,2% 33,9%32,9% 32,2% 31,8% 31,7% 31,4% 31,1%
30,8%
23,5% 23,5%
24,8% 25,2% 25,3%26,4% 27,6% 29,1% 30,9%
31,7%
25,4%24,6%
24,0% 23,0% 22,5% 22,2%21,6%
20,6% 19,7% 19,7%
16,4%17,7% 17,3%
18,8%19,9% 19,6% 19,1% 19,0% 18,3% 17,8%
57.6 58.947.545.1
50.6 54.8
3Q112Q111Q11 2Q124Q111Q10 2Q10 4Q103Q10 1Q12
SP City Market Share Growth
(% of total lines)
Source: Anatel Source: Anatel
640
bps
270
bps
Oi
Claro
Vivo
3Q112Q111Q11 2Q124Q111Q10 2Q10 4Q103Q10 1Q12
Customer Base Growth
(%YoY)1st in yearly growth for 8
consecutive quarters
12
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Growth Backed by Efficiency Approach
13
Customer Base Growth
(% YoY)
SAC and SAC/ARPU
(R$)
Handset Subsidy
(R$ million)
Bad Debt Trend
(as % of Gross Revenues)
18,5%
26,8%
23,9%
11,7%
15,3%
24,7%
2Q122Q10 2Q11
Prepaid
+830Bps-210Bps
63
3526
2.6
1.4
2Q112Q10 2Q12
1.6
85
0 0
2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q12
0.92%
2Q11
1.08%
2Q10
1.83%
P Continuous growth on pre-paid
and acceleration on postpaid
P But with a rational approach:
o significant subscriber
acquisition cost drop
o continuous bad debt
downward trend
Sustainable business model
o Low bad debt
o No subsidies
o Freedom to customers
SAC/
ARPU
SAC
(R$) -44% -26%
Capitalized
Subsidy
Postpaid+360Bps
+860Bps
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Innovation Platform Generating Value
14
Pre Paid – Customer Base
(000 lines)
Post Paid – Customer Base
(000 lines)
MOU and Post paid Churn
(Minutes, % of lines)
58,873
47,506
2Q12
37,469
2Q112Q10
2Q112Q10 2Q12
2Q122Q11
10,001
2Q10
6,9568,019
Churn
MOU
+24%+3%
-80Bps -50Bps
+27%
+24%+15%
+25%
Volume of Top Up growth
(Mln recharges)
2Q112Q10 2Q12
+42%
+18%
Combining volume and
value throughout a complete
and unlimited platform of
services (local and LD calls,
SMS and data)
Pre-paid consistent growth
Post-paid taking-up with
increasing traffic and lower
disconnections…
..even with no handset
subsidy policy and no loyalty
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Internet Take-Up Supported by Best Handset and Offering
15
Smart/Web phone Penetration
(% smartphones/total CB (lines)
31.1%
1Q121Q11 3Q11
26.6%
35.2%
15.4%
2Q124Q11
12.6%
19.5%
2Q11
Data Revenues
(% of Gross Mobile Service Revenues)
14.6%
16.7%
3Q111Q11
13.8%
2Q11
15.7%
18.7%
1Q12
18.1%
2Q124Q11
+490Bps
SMS unique users growth
(daily unique users)
2Q121Q124Q113Q112Q111Q11
~3X
May 12
18,907
2Q11
12,391
Data users
(monthly unique users)
57% 68%
3G coverage
(% of urban
pop.)+1,100Bps
79%
% sold
77%70%71%54%48%
Value Added Services Revenues
(R$ billion)
0.73
2Q11 2Q12
1.03+40%
+53%
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EBIT Net
Financial
Result
Net
Income
2Q12
Taxes
and
Others
550
1,214
Depreciation/
Amortization
347
EBITDA
2Q12
-64
ΔYoY +6.0% +7.8% +3.9% +44.6% +3.2% -0.9%
-664
-140
1,145
EBITDA
2Q11
EBITDA
2Q12
-172
Marketing
and Sales
1,214
Personnel
G&A and
others
expenses
+27
Handset
Margin
-38
Network
and ITX
+12
Services
Revenues
26.9% 26.7%EBITDA Margin
Service EBITDA Margin32.7% 32.2%
+240
Handsets Rev.:
COGS:
+55
-43
Consistent EBITDA and Net Income Growth
EBITDA Evolution
(R$ Mln)
From EBITDA to Net Income
(R$ Mln)
R$54 mln one
off event due to
mark to market
hedge position
-2.8% +8.7%-14.4% +15.1%+6.4%ΔYoY
16
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230
339 305
Net Debt
(R$ Mln)
OFCF
(R$ Mln)
D Working Capital
(R$ Mln)
436
7241.057
2Q122Q10 2Q11
-260
-82
2Q10 2Q12
147
2Q11
2Q122Q112Q10
2Q12
2,278
2Q11
1,998
2Q10
2,520
Net DEBT/
EBITDA
(trailing 12m)0.68x 0.45x 0.47x
2Q11 2Q12 Var
Network 61% 67% 600 Bps
IT 22% 28% 600 Bps
Others 17% 5% -1,200 Bps
Cash Position Analysis
Capex
(R$ Mln)
DOFCF R$-34mln YoY
DEBITDA-CAPEX = -R$261mln
D WC R$230mln
D Other –R$3mln
Including TIM Fiber
net debt = R$87 mln
D WC: R$230 mln
YoY
+46%
17
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Conclusions and 2H12 Outlook
18
• Focus on network development, quality improvement and
communication to defend post-paid segment and reverse the bad
perception from Anatel ban
• Insist on FMS trend with an innovative approach
• Support data revenues growth through smartphone penetration and
network strengthening
• Launching TIM Fiber (Live TIM)
Ou
tlo
ok
• TIM managed to maintain its solid operational improvements amid
tough 1H12 (macro-economic and competitive scenario)
• Data services continued at a solid pace
• Leadership in market share of net addition for 8th consecutive
quarter is a clear signal how TIM’s offer is indeed the best value option
• Operational efficiency set the tone, with significant subscriber
acquisition cost (SAC) and bad debt reduction
Co
nclu
sio
ns
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19+
Network & Quality
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2Q11 2Q12
TIM is Not the Worst in Quality!
=> Network KPIs
=> Commitment on Quality Improvement
SMP 5 – Originated Calls Completion
(% of completed calls)
SMP 7 – Drop Calls
(% of drop calls)
Anatel Ranking of Complains
(SMP Compl./ Lines in Service * 1000)
Procon Ranking of Complaints
(Compl. of Integrated System of Procon)
TIM Call Center Index of Complaints
(Points)
Player A TIM Player B Player C
Apr-11 Apr-12
Player A TIM Player B Player C
Apr - 11 Apr - 12
Player A TIM Player B Player C
Mar-11 Mar-12
Player A TIM Player B Player C
Jun-11 Jun-12
-30%
Source: Anatel, Procon and Company 20
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Capex Allocation 2012-2014
R$ Million 2012 2013 2014 2012-2014
Total Infrastructure - Capex 2,764 2,733 2,776 8,184
Licenses 473 473
Others - Capex 351 248 266 865
TOTAL Capex 3,498 2,981 3,042 9,521
21
In 2012, due to the injunction, TIM
redistributed its Capex, allocating R$451 Mln
for projects related to Quality Improvements.
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National and Metropolitan Fiber NetworkOTN: Expansion Plan (w/Swap, w/ AES)
2012-’14
Building + Swap + AES
KM 24,068
LONG DISTANCE METRO TOTAL
KM 21,364
KM 27,973
KM 36,540
KM 41,308
KM 9,705
KM 10,666
KM 11,656
2011
2012
2013
2014
KM 7,532
KM 37,678
KM 47,206
KM 52,964
KM 28,896
FTTS: Construction of 14 MAN (Metropolitan Rings) by YE2012
National Plan: Fiber Network
Manaus
Cuiabá
Florianópolis
São Paulo
Macapá
Boa Vista
P. Velho
Salvador
Curitiba
Maceió
Recife
Fortaleza
Brasília
Rio de Janeiro
Porto Alegre
Goiânia
Belém
BHE
Aracaju
São Luis
Natal
João Pessoa
Palmas
Vitoria
Teresina
Rio Branco
Campo Grande Campos
Tucuruí
Petrolina
Maringa
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
MMM
M
MM
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
MM
M
M
M
22
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Improvement Plan Outlook
=> Commitment on Network Development
=> Commitment on Quality Improvement
157 181
205 241
271
# TRX
(„000)
+75% 139
250 328
517
741
2933
38
4753
+84%
76% 82% 87% 92% 96% 97% 100% 100%93% 98% 100% 100%
2011 1H12
4.3x
+1,600Bps+400Bps
+700Bps
2H12 2013 2014
# Data Channel Elements
(„000)
Km of Fiber
(„000 km)
2011 1H12 2H12 2013 2014 2011 1H12 2H12 2013 2014
SMP 5 – Call Completion
(% of cluster above target)
SMP 7 – Drop Call
(% of cluster above target)
SMP 9 – Drop of Data Connections
(% of cluster above target)
1H12 2H12 2013 20141H12 2H12 2013 2014 1H12 2H12 2013 2014
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24+
TIM Fiber Update
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What is TIM Fiber
SP
RJ
Oi-Telemar
1,650
9%
91%
Telefonica
1,500
100%
AES
5,316
50%
50%
P Mission:
Build the strongest network in Brazil
P Rational:
1) Increase of capacity and
capillarity:
a. Backhauling: additional 5,300
km in top 2 cities
b. Most valuable asset to swap
with other operators
2) Network cost structure
transformation
a. Opex (leased lines)
b. Capex avoidance (eg. FTTS)
3) Prevent OPEX increase from
leased lines in the case other
operator buys the company
(AES prices are ~50% lower
than Telefonica)
Network Scale-up
Infrastructure
in SP
Complementary
Capillarities
Backbone Backhauling Access
Mobile
Fixed
(last mile)
TIM/Intelig
AES
B
C
D
E
AA
A unique
Network
AES: widespread network in SP and RJ (urban area)
(Km)
25
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Fonte: BofA Merrill Lynch 2011 Global Wireline Matrix, Teleco, Nielsen and State of the Internet Q1 2012 (Akamai)
Brazilian Broadband Market: Low Performance
Market Share Speed Share
<2M
2-12M
>12MAltern.
Incumbent
3%
22%
75%
80%
Developed
Countries
Brazil
20%
80%
20%< 2km
> 2km
61%
10%
UK
36%
43%
73%
13%
<2MB
US
21%
>5MB
2-5MB
Italy
14%
29%
Share by speed Central distance
BR
65%
31%
4%
• Current incumbents’ base has low performance…
• ...situation should not change in the near term due to the high distance
between clients and the central through the existing cooper network
Incumbents Internet speed Distance: Performance vs average distance from the central
26
45% 55%
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Marginal CAPEX required to connect customers
Metropolitan
Network
Street
EquipmentInstallation
Internal
Network
~500
Investment per active household (R$)
~250 ~125 ~200+ + +
Modem
~125+~1,700
Aerial
network
Underground
nertwork
~2400
~500
• AES Acquisition:
fully exploiting
existing fiber
network with high
capillarity (5,500
Km in SP/RJ). “i.e.
drop instead of
last mile”
• Power Node
(MSAN) + premises
access: high
flexibility. time to
market and costs
efficiency
(standardized
solution)
• Installation. using
existing building
infrastructure
(jumper. DDF)
• Not Necessary:
already existing
connection
belonging to
the building
• VDSL Modem:
cost efficient
solutions with
high standardized
products
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TIM Fiber: Accessing value creation perspective
• Sites directly connected with fiber:
- Reducing leased lines OPEX
- Avoiding future CAPEX and OPEX
• Increasing sites capacity for speeds 4G like
Savings in Transport CAPEX and OPEX
+ TIM Fiber
Mobile Data Acceleration
• Higher speeds in mobile access
• High transport capacity. eliminating bottlenecks
• Possibility to accelerate FMS also through modems
+ TIM Fiber
• SP and RJ metropolitan areas represent 35% of the
national corporate market
• Intelig with ~4% of SME market share
• Capillary access network allows quick installation
and fast growth
+ TIM Fiber
Launch of the Residential Broadband
• Market in strong growth. with potential to grow ~R$
2 Bln over the next 4-5 years
• Residential market underserved by incumbents.
which present low performance due to old copper
networks
TIM Fiber
Total
R$4.8 Bln
R$1.1 Bln
R$0.8 Bln R$2.5 Bln
Corporate Segment AccelerationR$0.4 Bln
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Market Demand
(Units)
Quality of Service
(Mbps)
Buildings authorized
5,700
Building’s accessed
2,100
MSANs installed
214
NetworkConstruction
Homes
Passed Ready
to Sell
220k1
Opticalnetwork
MSANs
Backbone
Network and Marketing Highlights
2
3
Activation 1k
Website
Registration63k
Market
Demand and
Quality of
Service
Download
Speed
Upload
Speed
1,8
35
Market Average Live TIM
0,420
Market Average Live TIM
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Speed
Naked
Price
Fixed
Bundle
(+ Basic TV)
35 Mbps
Unlimited
(+ R$39.90)
R$179.70
Bundle
(BB + Fixed)
R$129.80
50 Mbps
R$89.90 R$119.90
30 Mbps
R$119.11
R$174.01
Suspended
Sales
Unlimited Fixed on-net
(+ R$54.90)
1 Mbps
R$ 84.70
(R$ 29.80 w/
fixed)
R$84.70
R$144.60
Unlimited
local + LD
(+ 69.90)
15 Mbps
R$149.80
R$199.70R$209.70
R$159.80
50 Mbps
R$362.80
(R$299.90 w/
fixed)
R$368.80
Fixed 10k min local + 25
min mobile + 25 LD
(+ R$68.90)
R$428.70
35 Mbps
R$162.80
(R$ 99.90 w/
fixed)
R$168.80
R$218.70
10 Mbps
R$129.90
(R$59.90 w/
TV)
Unlimited local + LD
(+49.90)
20 Mbps
R$179.90
(R$99.90 w/
TV)
R$229.80
R$224.70
Don’t Offer
(R$ 79.90 w/
fixed)
-13%
Discount: TIM Fiber 35Mbps vs others
Discount: TIM Fiber 50Mbps vs. others
TIM Fiber vs. Peers
-23% -56%
R$179.80
R$184.70
-7%
-25%
-25%
Offering: Live TIM
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31+
Appendix
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4151
64
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2012-14 Drivers of Growth
Community Expansion FMS (Voice) Internet for All
90
mln lines200 mou
Services
Revenues
Total
Revenue
13.6
2009
12.8
2014201320122011
15.3
2010
Mobile
Fixed
13.8 14.517.1
Double digit
growth
Double digit
growth
25% VAS
Incidence
90
3 Ways of Growth Revenue Growth
R$ billion
12.912.214.5
0.70.6
0.8
CAGR 11-14
Mobile Customer Base
Million of lines
Double digit
growth
FMS – Voice (MOU)
Minutes of usage per line
Outgoing Voice Revenues
11% 12%14%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
~25%
Double digit
growth
Internet for All (Mobile Data)
Data as % of Service Revenue
Data Revenues
83
116129
~200
0
50
100
150
200
250
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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2014Swap +
built out2011
42 Cities
50%
157
271
2011 2014
64%
20142011
>80%
20142012
14 Cities
Network Continuous Evolution
53.0
24.1
28.9
TIM Fiber
TIM Fiber: a “no Capex intensive”
approach to offer Residential Ultra BB in
SP/RJ
2G (TRX Installed)
000 TRX
3G roll out
Pop %
FTTS
% of total traffic
Fiber Network
000 km
2G Managing the growth
3GSpeed up the toll out in
HSPA mode
WiFi>10,000 hot spots by
YE2012
FTTS Deployment in Top 42 cities
FTTH ~1 Mln households by 2015
Efficiency >50,000 km in fiber optic
Network roadmap
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New
Old
201220112010 20142013
17.1
14.5
14.515.5
1yr in advance
2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
nds
CAPEX
Take-aways on main TIM Brasil trends
201220112010 20142013
MTR glide path (-20% real term) as of feb‟12
impacts approx. 250 bp in Revenues and
EBITDA
Growth resulting from further CB, voice MOU
and internet browsing
For 2012, revenues growth at >10% YoY (vs.
R$17.1Bln in 2011)
Revenues
Network synergies from AES Integration
Continuous efficiency in Go2Market (no
subsidy, SAC/bad debt)
Absorbing MTR cut and TIM Fiber start-up
For 2012, Ebitda growth at >10% YoY (vs.
R$4.6Bln in 2011)
Ebitda
Capex
Expanding 2G capacity and 3G coverage
Accelerate FTTS in Top 42 Cities and Wi-fi
offloading
Tim Fiber start-up
CAPEX flat at 3 bln/year; R$9bn in 3 Years
excluding 4G spectrum license (R$ 382.2 mln)
Revenues (New vs Old Plan)
R$ Billion
Organic Capex
% of Revenues; R$ billion
19,617,5
10
15
20
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Offering (1/2): Prepaid & “Controle”
INFINITY Pré: prepaid plan
Base tariff: R$ 0.25/call (TIM to TIM local
and LD)
INFINITY Mais: R$ 0.50/call (TIM to fixed)
INFINITY Web (data): R$ 0.50/day
(unlimited usage)
INFINITY Torpedo (sms): R$ 0.50/day
(unlimited texting)
No membership fee
No minimum recharge required
Liberty Controle: monthly fee R$ 27 (R$10 to
use as wanted)
Base tariff: unlimited local and LD calls TIM to
TIM
INFINITY Mais: R$ 0.50/call (TIM to fixed)
INFINITY Web (data): R$ 0.50/day (unlimited
usage)
INFINITY Torpedo (sms): R$ 0.50/day
(unlimited texting)
INFINITY WEB MODEM: Daily
internet for smartphones‟ heavy users
(>10MB/day), tablets and dongles in a
prepaid concept.
Base tariff: R$ 1.99 per day
Speed Cap: 80MB per day, after cap
speed is limited to 50 Kbps.
No membership fee
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Offering (2/2): Postpaid
TIM LIBERTY: postpaid plan with monthly fees from R$39 to R$269
depending on the package of minutes for other operators (50 to 800
min)
Base tariff: unlimited local and LD calls TIM to TIM
LIBERTY Torpedo (sms): R$ 9.90/month (unlimited texting)
LIBERTY Viagem (national roaming): R$ 9.90/month (unlimited usage
for incoming calls when roaming)
LIBERTY Rádios (TIM-radio): R$ 9.90/month (unlimited local and LD
calls to radios)
LIBERTY WEB Smart:
R$ 29.9/month (speed cap 300 MB)
LIBERTY WEB Light:
R$ 35.0/month (speed cap 500 MB)
LIBERTY WEB Tablet:
R$ 49.9/month (speed cap 800 MB)
LIBERTY WEB Modem:
R$ 69.9/month (speed cap 3GB + Dongle*)
LIBERTY WEB Modem Plus:
R$ 109.9/month (speed cap 5GB + Dongle*)
*12 x R$8.90 – no fine appliance nor contract
LIBERTY WEB: postpaid unlimited
data plans for Smartphones, Tablets
and Dongles
LIBERTY PASSPORT VOZ (Americas
and Europe) - R$29.9/day: unlimited
incoming calls and 50 minutes of outgoing
calls (local roaming calls and calls to TIM
fixed and mobile numbers in Brazil)
LIBERTY PASSPORT WEB (Americas) -
R$29.9/day: unlimited data / Europe -
R$39.9/day
More than 50 countries among 5
continents are eligible to the offers
LIBERTY PASSPORT: Voice and data
postpaid offers for international
roaming in a daily charge concept
BEFORE:
Roaming Offer: (US$/min)
Americas :
Outgoing: Local – 1.99 / Home – 3.99
Incoming: 2.69
Data – R$ 33.0/MB
Rest of World:
Outgoing: Local - 2.39 / Home – 4.99
Incoming: 2.39
Data – R$ 33.0/MB36
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Historical Data: Financials (R$ Thousand)
37
Description 2Q10 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 2Q12 %YoY
Net Revenues 3,558,982 4,251,758 4,371,388 4,710,566 4,468,319 4,547,332 7.0%
Net Revenues on Services 3,349,985 3,743,998 3,886,617 4,259,425 4,015,418 3,984,174 6.4%
Net Revenues on Products 208,997 507,760 484,771 451,141 452,900 563,158 10.9%
Operating Expenses (2,548,906) (3,106,497) (3,214,681) (3,393,790) (3,299,666) (3,332,928) 7.3%
Personnel expenses (147,520) (156,381) (158,351) (164,652) (175,997) (186,441) 19.2%
Selling & marketing expenses (854,498) (946,894) (1,010,953) (1,079,699) (1,015,274) (920,101) -2.8%
Network & interconnection (1,044,935) (1,140,126) (1,198,558) (1,281,199) (1,301,199) (1,311,753) 15.1%
General & administrative (125,981) (134,326) (110,262) (133,745) (132,180) (126,452) -5.9%
Cost Of Goods Sold (231,867) (587,588) (597,708) (544,674) (533,460) (631,464) 7.5%
Bad Debt (90,458) (66,274) (60,825) (62,451) (56,640) (62,050) -6.4%
Other operational revenues (expenses) (53,647) (74,909) (78,024) (127,370) (84,917) (94,667) 26.4%
EBITDA 1,010,076 1,145,262 1,156,707 1,316,776 1,168,652 1,214,403 6.0%
EBITDA Margin 28.4% 26.9% 26.5% 28.0% 26.2% 26.7% -23 Bps
Depreciation & amortization (771,445) (615,889) (643,829) (641,338) (656,629) (664,233) 7.8%
EBIT 238,631 529,373 512,878 675,438 512,024 550,171 3.9%
Net Financial Results (58,911) (43,974) (61,450) (100,817) (42,178) (63,588) 44.6%
Income before taxes 179,720 485,398 451,429 574,621 469,845 486,583 0.2%
Income tax and social contribution (53,757) (135,417) (134,796) (173,463) (193,407) (139,796) 3.2%
Net Income 125,964 349,981 316,632 401,158 276,439 346,787 -0.9%
Description 2010 2011 YTD 2012
Net Revenues 14,457,450 17,085,976 9,015,650
Net Revenues on Services 13,571,626 15,353,228 7,999,593
Net Revenues on Products 885,824 1,732,748 1,016,058
Operating Expenses (10,263,854) (12,429,883) (6,632,595)
Personnel expenses (586,722) (632,828) (362,438)
Selling & marketing expenses (3,483,164) (3,933,753) (1,935,375)
Network & interconnection (4,227,042) (4,724,475) (2,612,952)
General & administrative (484,609) (502,640) (258,632)
Cost Of Goods Sold (1,026,091) (2,062,552) (1,164,924)
Bad Debt (310,498) (231,529) (118,690)
Other operational revenues (expenses) (145,728) (342,105) (179,584)
EBITDA 4,193,596 4,656,093 2,383,056
EBITDA Margin 29.0% 27.3% 26.4%
Depreciation & amortization (2,993,461) (2,588,651) (1,320,861)
EBIT 1,200,135 2,067,442 1,062,194
Net Financial Results (245,457) (238,857) (105,766)
Income before taxes 954,678 1,828,584 956,429
Income tax and social contribution 1,257,038 (547,357) (333,202)
Net Income 2,211,716 1,281,228 623,226
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Historical Data: Financials (US$ Thousand)
38
Description 2Q10 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 2Q12 %YoY
Net Revenues 1,985,297 2,663,600 2,672,520 2,615,277 2,524,263 2,315,258 -13.1%
Net Revenues on Services 1,868,713 2,345,503 2,376,148 2,364,807 2,268,409 2,028,529 -13.5%
Net Revenues on Products 116,584 318,097 296,373 250,470 255,855 286,730 -9.9%
Operating Expenses (1,421,849) (1,946,128) (1,965,349) (1,884,211) (1,864,063) (1,696,949) -12.8%
Personnel expenses (82,291) (97,968) (96,811) (91,414) (99,425) (94,926) -3.1%
Selling & marketing expenses (476,662) (593,201) (618,063) (599,442) (573,553) (468,466) -21.0%
Network & interconnection (582,893) (714,255) (732,758) (711,314) (735,079) (667,874) -6.5%
General & administrative (70,275) (84,151) (67,411) (74,255) (74,672) (64,383) -23.5%
Cost Of Goods Sold (129,342) (368,106) (365,419) (302,399) (301,365) (321,508) -12.7%
Bad Debt (50,460) (41,519) (37,186) (34,672) (31,997) (31,593) -23.9%
Other operational revenues (expenses) (29,926) (46,928) (47,701) (70,715) (47,972) (48,199) 2.7%
EBITDA 563,448 717,472 707,172 731,066 660,201 618,309 -13.8%
EBITDA Margin 28.4% 26.9% 26.5% 28.0% 26.2% 26.7% -23 Bps
Depreciation & amortization (430,333) (385,836) (393,615) (356,067) (370,946) (338,192) -12.3%
EBIT 133,115 331,636 313,557 374,999 289,255 280,118 -15.5%
Net Financial Results (32,862) (27,549) (37,568) (55,973) (23,828) (32,375) 17.5%
Income before taxes 100,253 304,087 275,988 319,026 265,427 247,742 -18.5%
Income tax and social contribution (29,987) (84,835) (82,410) (96,305) (109,260) (71,177) -16.1%
Net Income 70,266 219,253 193,579 222,721 156,167 176,566 -19.5%
Description 2010 2011 YTD 2012
Net Revenues 8,231,230 10,201,868 4,839,522
Net Revenues on Services 7,724,407 9,163,550 4,296,937
Net Revenues on Products 506,823 1,038,317 542,584
Operating Expenses (5,842,070) (7,423,994) (3,561,012)
Personnel expenses (333,456) (378,222) (194,351)
Selling & marketing expenses (1,982,451) (2,348,218) (1,042,020)
Network & interconnection (2,404,499) (2,820,821) (1,402,954)
General & administrative (275,650) (300,371) (139,054)
Cost Of Goods Sold (587,945) (1,235,395) (622,872)
Bad Debt (175,766) (138,555) (63,590)
Other operational revenues (expenses) (82,302) (202,411) (96,171)
EBITDA 2,389,160 2,777,874 1,278,510
EBITDA Margin 29.0% 27.2% 26.4%
Depreciation & amortization (1,700,012) (1,547,913) (709,137)
EBIT 689,148 1,229,961 569,372
Net Financial Results (139,353) (140,652) (56,203)
Income before taxes 549,795 1,089,309 513,169
Income tax and social contribution 745,372 (325,734) (180,437)
Net Income 1,295,167 763,575 332,733
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Historical Data: Operational
39
Description 2Q10 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 2Q12 %YoY
Brazilian Wireless Subscriber Base (000`s) 185,135 217,346 227,352 242,232 250,826 256,131 17.8%
Estimated Total Penetration 95.9% 111.6% 116.5% 123.87% 128.00% 130.44% 1,882 Bps
Municipalities Served (GSM) 3,198 3,233 3,259 3,294 3,305 3,312 2.4%
Market Share 24.00% 25.55% 26.04% 26.46% 26.80% 26.89% 26.89%
Total Lines (000's) 44,425 55,525 59,210 64,083 67,217 68,874 24.0%
Pre-paid Lines (000's) 37,469 47,506 50,559 54,778 57,564 58,873 23.9%
Post-paid Lines (000's) 6,956 8,019 8,651 9,305 9,653 10,001 24.7%
Gross Additions (000's) 6,366 9,257 10,186 11,836 9,880 9,814 6.0%
Net Additions (000's) 2,057 2,676 3,685 4,873 3,134 1,656 -38.1%
Churn 10.1% 12.3% 11.6% 11.7% 10.5% 12.1% -22 Bps
Total ARPU 24.2 21.6 21.2 21.9 19.1 18.3 -15.4%
Total MOU 110 127 130 131 126 127 0.2%
SAC 63 35 36 28 32 26 -25.7%
Handsets Sold (000's) 1,915 3,507 3,164 2,847 2,284 2,511 -28.4%
CAPEX (R$ Mln) 520 724 852 1,150 543 1,057 45.9%
CAPEX (US$ Mln) 290 454 521 639 307 538 18.6%
Employees 9,007 10,034 10,248 10,562 10,761 10,948 9.1%
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25,00%
3,80% 3,65%
1,35%
ICMS* FISTEL PIS/COFINS FUST / FUNTTEL
Mexico
15%
Argentina
25%
Bolivia
13%
Brazil
40%
Paraguay
10%
Venezuela
14%
Chile
19%
Peru
19%
Ecuador
27%
Colombia
20%
Nicaragua
15%
Taxation Over Telecom in Brazil
Source: UIT, Deloitte and Acel* From 25% to 35%
Source: Teleco website, Telebrasil; Company
LatAm Average
20%
In 2011, considering the abovementioned taxes in addition to others local taxes such as the income tax, TIM paid a total amount of R$7.3 billion or 42.5% of total net revenues.
Telecom Tax Aliquots in Brazil
% of Gross Revenues
Telecom Tax Aliquots in Brazil
% of Net Revenues
40
Amount paid
only by TIM
(R$ Mln)
4,451 1,051 940 224
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12,5%
3,1%
6,5%5,0%
2002 2006 2011 2012*
23,3%
13,3%11,0%
7,3%
2002 2006 2011 2012*
24,0%30,8%
47,2%
2002 2006 2011
0,6
2,4
4,7
2002 2006 2011
1.569
193 218
2002 2006 2011
3,52
2,12 1,88 2,00
2002 2006 2011 2012*
51,4%45,1%
36,5%
2002 2006 2011
37 67
335
2002 2006 2011
Brazil: Becoming a more solid Economy
* Source: Median of Market Expectations (BaCen) – 08/08/2012
Country Risk (EMBI+ Brazil)
(Bps)
FX Rate (EoP)
(R$/US$)
Public Debt as % of GDP
(Avg%)
International Reserves
(Avg Billion US$)
Inflation Rate (IPCA)
(%)
Interest rates (SELIC – EoP)
(%)
Bank Credit as % of GDP
(%)
Bovespa’s Trading Volume
(Avg R$ Billion)
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Shareholders Structure and Stock performance
Stock Performance (base 100)
TIM Celular S.A. Intelig
100%
TIM Brasil Serv. e Part. S.A. Minorities
Telecom Italia International N.V.
Telecom Italia
100%
TIM Participações S.A.
(1,611,969,946) Total: 67% Total: 33% (805,662,701)
100%100%
TIM Fiber RJ TIM Fiber SP
99% 100%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
TIMP3 Ibovespa TSU
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Investor Relations Team
Avenida das Américas, 3434 - Bloco 01
6 andar – Barra da Tijuca
22640-102 Rio de Janeiro, RJ
E-mail: [email protected]
Rogério Tostes
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +55 21 4109-3742
Vicente Ferreira
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +55 21 4109-3360
Leonardo Wanderley
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +55 21 4109-4017
Gustavo Valente
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +55 21 4109-3446
Luiza Chaves
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +55 21 4109-3751
Visit our Website
www.tim.com.br/ir
Safe Harbor and IR Contacts
Safe Harbor Statements
Statements in this presentation, as well as oral
statements made by the management of TIM
Participações S.A. (the “Company”, or “TIM”), that
are not historical fact constitute “forward looking
statements” that involve factors that could cause
the actual results of the Company to differ
materially from historical results or from any
results expressed or implied by such forward
looking statements. The Company cautions users
of this presentation not to place undue reliance on
forward looking statements, which may be based
on assumptions and anticipated events that do
not materialize.
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