Thurston County HCP Cost Analysis Habitat Conservation ......Feb 23, 2017 · Bobby Cochran,...
Transcript of Thurston County HCP Cost Analysis Habitat Conservation ......Feb 23, 2017 · Bobby Cochran,...
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Thurston County Habitat Conservation Plan
HCP Cost AnalysisFebruary, 2017
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• Recent listings of 4 species• Quicker path to economic development and growth
• Provides predictability and local control
• Limits liability for County and private land owners
• More common sense conservation
Why an HCP for Thurston County?
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Focus Group included 36 people from:• Homebuilders and realtors• Agriculture• Cities• Conservation and Ag land groups• WA Department of Fish and Wildlife• Chambers of Commerce• Landowners• Public works and Schools
HCP evolved a lot from feedback from Focus Group
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• Don’t have to go back to USFWS for another permit (permit for full expected development; and all listed and likely listed species)
• A short time to development permit issuance is key
• Developers think in per unit costs
• No MPG surveys for development permits
Key Assumptions in Current HCP
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• A strong emphasis on working lands: conservation, Ag land preservation, and other benefits
• Larger, more consolidated conservation is lower cost and better for species
Key Assumptions in Current HCP
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HCP Covered Habitats & Species
Prairie soils
Oak
Prairie vegetation
Open prairie
Wetland & Riparian
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30-yr Projected Residential Construction
Estimates based on population projections and Thurston Regional Planning Council Buildable Lands Analysis
Residential Capacity
C6
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Slide 7
C6 This is County jurisdiction, andCarolyn, 2/21/2017
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30‐year impacts by covered activityALL NUMBERS ARE DELIBERATIVE
Covered Activity 30-year Projected Area of Activity (acres)
30-year Projected Impacts (functional acres)
To Minimize (func. acres)
To Mitigate (func. acres)
Residential Development 12,718 5,331 1,919 3,412Added Accessory Structures 700 290 104 185Underground tank extension or repair (temporary)
273 123 44 79
Commerical & Industrial Development 1347 955 344 611Public Service Facilities 143 89 30 57Landfill/Solid Waste Management 59 24 8 15Transportation Projects 342 184 63 118Transportation Maintenance & Work in right of way (temporary)
1101 474 161 303
Water Resources Management 136 55 19 35County Parks, Trails, and Land Management 47 39 13 25TOTAL 16,866 7,564 2,647 4,916
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Compensating for a new Single Family Residence
5 acre parcel
New home & driveway
60ft envelope
9
• New home & driveway
• Impact in 60ft development envelope
• ~ 1 acre of impact area
• Habitat value less for lower preference soils and further from known gopher locations
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Ways to Reduce Impacts within a Lot
High
5 acre parcel
Med
New home & driveway
60 ft envelope
• Avoid high preference soils
Low
10
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Ways to Reduce Impacts within a Lot
High
5 acre parcel
Med
New home & driveway
60 ft envelope
• Avoid high preference soils
• Cluster development
Low
11
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Ways to Reduce Impacts within a Lot
High
5 acre parcel
Med
New home & driveway
60ft envelope
• Avoid high preference soils
• Cluster development• Decrease
development footprint
Low
12
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Legacy conservation lands
(1,800 acres)
Temporary Working Lands Agreements
(650 acres)
Avoid impacts(3,115 acres)
Acquired conservation lands
(2,000 acres)
ALL NUMBERS ARE DELIBERATIVE
Permanent Working Lands Easements(1,800 acres)
BC1
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Slide 13
BC1 Update categories based on USFWS currently-suggested namingBobby Cochran, 2/21/2017
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Easements and Land Acquisition, 41%
Habitat Enhancement, 13%
Long‐term Maintenance and Monitoring, 38%
HCP Admin & Reporting, 8% ALL NUMBERS ARE DELIBERATIVE
What is driving cost in the HCP?
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The full cost of habitat conservation
Variables Value Range
Acquisition Cost per Acre $4,000 to $50,000Initial Stewardship/Maintenance per acre $300 to $750On‐going Stewardship/Maintenance per acre $200 to $500Project Management per acre $200 to $600
*based on sample of 5 prairie projects in Thurston County15
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The full cost of habitat conservation
Variables Value Range
Acquisition Cost per Acre $22,180 $4,000 to $50,000Initial Stewardship/Maintenance per acre $500 $300 to $750On‐going Stewardship/Maintenance per acre $300 $200 to $500Project Management per acre $300 $200 to $600
*based on sample of 5 prairie projects in Thurston County16
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The full cost of habitat conservation
Variables Value Range
Acquisition Cost per Acre $22,180 $4,000 to $50,000Initial Stewardship/Maintenance per acre $500 $300 to $750On‐going Stewardship/Maintenance per acre $300 $200 to $500Project Management per acre $300 $200 to $600
17
59%
10%
31%
Elements of the Cost of Conservation
AcquisitionEnhancementMaintenance
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Thurston County Habitat Conservation Plan
Cost Saving OptionsFebruary, 2017
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ALL NUMBERS ARE DELIBERATIVEAgreements we need from USFWS to hold current costs
Cost saving action Results
Impact on per residential unit cost
Impact on total HCP cost
Other considerations
Credit for early action (Conservation Futures)
Important A small part of the cost
Can jump right into permitting
Credit for Legacy Lands (Get credit for $ proportion County invests)
Important A small part of the cost
Can jump right into permitting
Site performancestandards (clear and manageable)
Significant Important
Keep 5‐yr accounting benchmarks
Important Important Allows some flex on credits and debitswithin a 5‐yr period
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ALL NUMBERS ARE DELIBERATIVE
Cost saving action Cost impact Drawbacks?
Impact on per residential unit cost
Impact on total HCP cost
A. Reduce build‐out assumption to 70%
No change Significant reduction Less insurance, certainty
B. Reduce to 20‐yr permit No change Significant reduction Less insurance, certainty
C. Re‐project Countywideimpact (e.g., minimize accessory structures)
No change Significant reduction if av. of 1ac of impact and not 2ac.
Less certainty, flexibility
D. Reduce coverage (only cover listed species)
Almost no change Minor reduction No coverage if new listed species
E. Reduce coverage (only cover County activities for some species—like OSF)
Minor or no change
Important reduction Less coverage for private sector
Ways to reduce costs of HCP
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ALL NUMBERS ARE DELIBERATIVE
Cost saving action Av Mitigation Fee per Residential Unit by Scenario
Drawbacks?
Impact on per residential unit cost
Impact on totalHCP cost
A. County to hold/manage mitigation lands
Almost no change Almost no change New County program, Costs
B. Redefine/Analyzeimpacts
Significant reduction
Significant reduction
Cost of restarting HCP process, uncertainty of USFWS issuing permit
C. Assume no MPG North of I‐5
Minor reduction Minor reduction Less insurance, minorsavings
Options considered but rejected