Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

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Threshold Capital Threshold Capital Corp. Corp. January 23, 2009 January 23, 2009

Transcript of Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

Page 1: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

Threshold Capital Corp.Threshold Capital Corp.

January 23, 2009January 23, 2009

Page 2: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

1Q 20081Q 2008

March 17 – Bear Stearns CollapseMarch 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse

Page 3: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

September 2008September 2008

September 7 – US Govt Seizes Fannie September 7 – US Govt Seizes Fannie Mae and Freddie MacMae and Freddie Mac

September 15 – Lehman Brothers Files for September 15 – Lehman Brothers Files for BankruptcyBankruptcy

September 15 – Merrill Lynch Bought by September 15 – Merrill Lynch Bought by Bank of AmericaBank of America

September 16-19 – Reserve Primary Fund September 16-19 – Reserve Primary Fund ($62 B MM Fund) “Breaks the Buck”($62 B MM Fund) “Breaks the Buck”

Page 4: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

September 2008 (cont.)September 2008 (cont.)

September 16 – AIG Rescue by US GovtSeptember 16 – AIG Rescue by US Govt

September 21 – Goldman Sachs & September 21 – Goldman Sachs & Morgan Stanley Granted Bank Holding Morgan Stanley Granted Bank Holding Company StatusCompany Status

September 26 – Washington Mutual Inc. September 26 – Washington Mutual Inc. Files for BankruptcyFiles for Bankruptcy

Page 5: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

October 2008October 2008

October 2 – Congress Passes TARPOctober 2 – Congress Passes TARP

October 3 – Wells Fargo and Wachovia October 3 – Wells Fargo and Wachovia Agree to MergeAgree to Merge

October 9 – Iceland’s Financial System October 9 – Iceland’s Financial System CollapsesCollapses

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November/December 2008November/December 2008

November 21November 21stst – Dow hits low of 7449 – Dow hits low of 7449

November 24 – Citigroup on the Brink, US November 24 – Citigroup on the Brink, US Treasury Steps InTreasury Steps In

December 8 – Madoff Fraud and ArrestDecember 8 – Madoff Fraud and Arrest

December 19 – GM/Chrysler Auto Industry December 19 – GM/Chrysler Auto Industry Bailout (loans)Bailout (loans)

December 31 – Year Ends with Worst December 31 – Year Ends with Worst Performance since Great DepressionPerformance since Great Depression

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2008 Broad Market Performance2008 Broad Market Performance

-42

-40

-38

-36

-34

-32

-30

DJIA S&P 500 NASDAQ R2000-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

Brazil Russia India China Japan UK Germany

Trillions Have Been LostTrillions Have Been Lost

All Asset Classes Have Been EffectedAll Asset Classes Have Been Effected

Hedge Funds – Sophisticated Investors saw Huge Hedge Funds – Sophisticated Investors saw Huge LossesLosses

Private Equity and Venture FundingPrivate Equity and Venture Funding

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Threshold Capital StrategyThreshold Capital Strategy

Conduct intense fundamental research on Conduct intense fundamental research on individual ideasindividual ideasStrive to invest in companies that are well Strive to invest in companies that are well managed with high insider ownership, track managed with high insider ownership, track record of internal growth, dominant in their niche record of internal growth, dominant in their niche marketmarketIdeas may be inefficiently priced due to lack of Ideas may be inefficiently priced due to lack of awareness or misperceptions of the businessawareness or misperceptions of the businessGreat opportunities in distressed, turnaround, or Great opportunities in distressed, turnaround, or special situationsspecial situations

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Core Portfolio PositionsCore Portfolio Positions

Page 10: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

General ElectricGeneral Electric

Makers of Jet engines, locomotives, power Makers of Jet engines, locomotives, power turbines, consumer appliances, light bulbsturbines, consumer appliances, light bulbs

GE Capital – 40-50% of overall GE GE Capital – 40-50% of overall GE businessbusiness

Strong Infrastructure BacklogStrong Infrastructure Backlog

Buffett invests $3 BillionBuffett invests $3 Billion

CEO – Jeff Immelt – reiterates 2009 CEO – Jeff Immelt – reiterates 2009 guidanceguidance

Page 11: Threshold Capital Corp. January 23, 2009. 1Q 2008 March 17 – Bear Stearns Collapse.

Unilever PlcUnilever Plc

Global Diversified Products – Consumer Goods, Global Diversified Products – Consumer Goods, Home Goods, & Personal CareHome Goods, & Personal Care

2006 – 2008 Hit with Rising Commodity Prices2006 – 2008 Hit with Rising Commodity Prices

2008 – Began cost cutting Program with Non-2008 – Began cost cutting Program with Non-Core Diversification, Price IncreasesCore Diversification, Price Increases

Great Global Brands – Hellman’s, Wishbone, Great Global Brands – Hellman’s, Wishbone, Knorr, Ragu, Ben & Jerry’s, Breyers, Slim-Fast, Knorr, Ragu, Ben & Jerry’s, Breyers, Slim-Fast, Ponds, Suave, VaselinePonds, Suave, Vaseline

New CEO – Paul PolmanNew CEO – Paul Polman

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Whole Foods Market IncWhole Foods Market Inc

Chain of Natural & Organic Food Chain of Natural & Organic Food SupermarketSupermarket

Currently Characterized as a Value & Currently Characterized as a Value & Turnaround SituationTurnaround Situation

2 New Investors2 New Investors– Leonard Green & Partners – 17%Leonard Green & Partners – 17%– Ron Burkle – Yucaipa Cos. – 7%Ron Burkle – Yucaipa Cos. – 7%

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Lorillard IncLorillard Inc

33rdrd Largest US Tobacco Company Largest US Tobacco Company

Newport Brand - #1 menthol, Ranked #2 Newport Brand - #1 menthol, Ranked #2 overall in US with 33.7% Market Shareoverall in US with 33.7% Market Share

Committed to Paying out 70-75% of Committed to Paying out 70-75% of Earnings to Shareholders – Yield 6.10%Earnings to Shareholders – Yield 6.10%

Takeover Candidate?Takeover Candidate?

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Altria GroupAltria Group

Philip Morris USA, US Smokeless Philip Morris USA, US Smokeless Tobacco, John Middleton, 28.5% stake in Tobacco, John Middleton, 28.5% stake in SAB MillerSAB Miller

January 6, 2009 – Completed Purchase of January 6, 2009 – Completed Purchase of UST for $11.7BUST for $11.7B

Current Yield of 7.6%Current Yield of 7.6%

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Philip Morris InternationalPhilip Morris International

World’s Largest & Most Profitable Publicly World’s Largest & Most Profitable Publicly Traded Cigarette MakerTraded Cigarette Maker

August 2008 – Began Selling Marlboro in August 2008 – Began Selling Marlboro in ChinaChina

November 2008 – Re-affirmed EPS of November 2008 – Re-affirmed EPS of $3.32$3.32

Current Yield of 5.10%Current Yield of 5.10%

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China OpportunitiesChina Opportunities

Still Compelling Situations Despite Still Compelling Situations Despite Slowing GDP GrowthSlowing GDP Growth2007 GDP of 13% - Now Ranked 32007 GDP of 13% - Now Ranked 3rdrd Worldwide after the US & JapanWorldwide after the US & Japan2008 GDP Expected in 8-9% Range Even 2008 GDP Expected in 8-9% Range Even With Contraction in Q4With Contraction in Q4Cutting Interest Rates AggressivelyCutting Interest Rates AggressivelyImplementing Massive Stimulus Package Implementing Massive Stimulus Package Worth $584 BillionWorth $584 Billion

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China BAK Battery IncChina BAK Battery Inc

One of the Largest Manufacturers of One of the Largest Manufacturers of Lithium Base Battery CellsLithium Base Battery Cells

2008 – Record Revenues - $245.3 Million 2008 – Record Revenues - $245.3 Million – Up 68.2%; Return to Profitability in Q4– Up 68.2%; Return to Profitability in Q4

Improving MarginsImproving Margins

Continued Success in Transition from Continued Success in Transition from Replacement Market to OEM MarketReplacement Market to OEM Market

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China Yuchai International LtdChina Yuchai International Ltd

Founded in 1951 – CYI is the Largest Founded in 1951 – CYI is the Largest Independent Diesel Engine Maker in Independent Diesel Engine Maker in ChinaChina

The “Cummins Engine” of ChinaThe “Cummins Engine” of China

2007 EPS - $2.00; 2008 EPS 1.75 Est2007 EPS - $2.00; 2008 EPS 1.75 Est

New Letter to the Board of CYI sent on New Letter to the Board of CYI sent on Dec 30 2008Dec 30 2008

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Lingo Media CorpLingo Media Corp

Michael P Kraft - CEOMichael P Kraft - CEO

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Current Domestic EnvironmentCurrent Domestic Environment

US EconomyUS Economy

US Federal Government’s Final US Federal Government’s Final “Guarantee”“Guarantee”

Crisis of Confidence Combined with Crisis Crisis of Confidence Combined with Crisis of Capitalof Capital

New AdministrationNew Administration

Any Good News?Any Good News?

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Strategy for 2009Strategy for 2009

Continue with In-depth Fundamental Continue with In-depth Fundamental Research – Buy the “Brands” & Special Research – Buy the “Brands” & Special SituationsSituations

New Ideas – Beaten Down Technology, New Ideas – Beaten Down Technology, Gold, Oil (other commodities)Gold, Oil (other commodities)

Continue to Avoid Financials Continue to Avoid Financials

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Disclaimer – This presentation is for the Disclaimer – This presentation is for the exclusive use by Threshold Capital Corp. exclusive use by Threshold Capital Corp. It expresses the opinions of Peter A It expresses the opinions of Peter A Delgado II and Threshold Capital Corp Delgado II and Threshold Capital Corp and in no way constitutes a solicitation of and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. It is business or investment advice. It is intended for informational purposes of the intended for informational purposes of the reader and the author.reader and the author.