This Month in Real Estate - September 2010
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Transcript of This Month in Real Estate - September 2010
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Brought to you by:
KW Research
Commentary 2
The Numbers That Drive Real Estate 3
Special Reports 9
Topics for Home Buyers, Sellers, and Owners 11
Released:
September 7, 2010
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Commentary
Canadas housing market is back in balance with home sales and prices, continuing to fall
back in line with historical trends. The outlook for the Canadian economy, employment,
and mortgage market remains positive, but tempered from earlier this year.
Canada will continue to be somewhat susceptible to global economic movements, andthe Bank of Canada intends to monitor this closely as it makes further decisions about
interest rate increases. Because the normalizing of the housing market has quelled fears
of a housing bubble, some experts believe the Bank could be less likely to continue rate
KW Research 2
es.
The strong fundamentals of the financial system continue to bode well for the future. The
Royal Bank of Canada was honored with a spot in the Top 10 safest banks in the world,
while 6 Canadian banks made the Top 10 list for North America.
Overall, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic, but it is widely recognized that theCanadian economy remains strong, resilient, and stable compared to other major
economies.
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Brought to you by:
KW Research
Home Sales 4
Home Price 5
Inventory 7
Mortgage Rates 8
The Numbers That
Drive Real Estate
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Home SalesIn Thousands
Existing home sales activity totaled 31,536 units in June, down 6.8% from the
previous month, as sales trend back toward the 20-year average. Experts consider
this departure from the seasonal norm to be due in large part to the effects of
changes to mortgage regulations and rising interest rates, which caused buyers toact in April when they would have otherwise done so at a later date.
KW Research 4
42.0
44.6
43.4 41.5
31.5
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
Data released on August 15, 2010
Sources: The Conference Board, CREA, Royal Bank of Canada
Sales back at
historical markers
July 09-10
July 08-09
20-Year Average: 31.3
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$326.9
$341.2$347.0
Home PriceIn Thousands
The national average home price slid 3.6% to $330,351 in June from a month earlier,
but still remains 1.1% above year-ago levels. Now that home prices have fallen back
in line with 30-year historic appreciation, economists and industry experts expect
prices to increase at a slower rate as the market balances.Home Price previous year
KW Research 5
$328.7 $330.4
Jun '09 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun '10
Data released on August 15, 2010
Sources: The Conference Board, CREA, Royal Bank of Canada
Jul '06 Jul '07 Jul '08 Jul '09 Jul '10
Home Price - past 5 years
enlarged above
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NT
$404K
YT
$284KPrices Increased
Prices Decreased
Home Price Direction(Year-Over-Year Change)
Home Prices by Province and Territory10 out of 12 provinces and territories experienced an increase in home prices
National Average: $330,351
No Data
KW Research 6
BC
$492KAB
$355KSK
$249K
MB
$219K ON
$329K
QC
$251K
NL $237K
NS $99K
NB $160K
PE $145K
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Inventory Sales-to-New Listings Ratio
Number of homes available for sale
The new supply of homes continues to mirror the number of buyers in the market.
This balance of supply and demand provides an environment suited for home
price stability. The market is solidly back in balanced territory as seen by sales-to-
new listings ratios close to 50% for the past four months. This is a good indicatorfor a sustainable housing market.
Sellers
KW Research 7
63% 64% 67% 68% 66% 63% 60% 58% 55% 52% 49% 48% 48%
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
Buyers
Market
Balanced
Market
Market
June
09-
10
June
08
-09
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Mortgage RatesAverage for 25-year amortization, 5-year term
Mortgage rates fell to 5.39% for the month of August from 5.79% in July. Aside from
February, which was the last time the interest rate hit 5.39%, this was the lowest since May
2009. Low rates provide an excellent opportunity for savings on monthly payments every
1% change in interest has the same effect on monthly payments as a 10% change in price
on a 30-year amortizing loan. As recovery gains a firmer footing, rates continue to beexpected to increase in order to keep inflation in check.
35-year average: 9.94%
KW Research 8Source: Bank of Canada
5.25%
5.85% 5.84%
5.49%
5.39%
6.25%5.89%
5.39%
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
August 08-09
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Brought to you by:KW Research
Special Reports Canadians Purchase MostU.S. Property 10
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Canadians Purchase Most U.S. Property
Last year, Canadians purchased more property in the United States than residents of any other
country. Of all the property purchased by non-U.S. citizens, Canada weighed in at 23%, followed
by Mexico at 10% and the United Kingdom at 9%. China and Germany followed closely behind.
Given the strong Canadian currency, the low interest rates, and the reduced home prices in
some of the sunniest and warmest winter states its understandable why. Some of the warmest
states; including Florida, Arizona, and California; also have higher levels of distressed properties,
which could mean further savings for savvy buyers.
KW Research 10Source: TheGlobeandMail.com
The following are a few things to keep in mind for those who decide to spend substantial time
south of the border:
1. Taxes. If you spend more than 4 months in the United States each year, you might be
considered a citizen for tax purposes. Fill out an IRS Form 8840 to let the U.S. government
know you are a Canadian citizen.2. Automatic Payments. Set up automatic payments for bills while youre gone. Make sure
your drivers license and insurance will not expire while youre away.
3. Health Insurance. Not having health insurance while in the United States could cost you
serious money. Plan ahead and secure insurance before heading south.
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Brought to you by:KW Research
Topics for Home Buyers,
Sellers, and OwnersFinancial Fitness 12
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Is homeownership a key component to being financially sound?
Financial FitnessHow Homeowners Compare
According to a survey sponsored by Genworth Financial Mortgage Insurance
Company, homeowners are the most financially fit.
The following are some of the key findings:
65% paid off their credit card balances every month; thats 12% more than
KW Research 12Source: REM online.com, newswire.com
non- omeowners
25% have made additional payments on their mortgages in the past year
44% of homeowners were able to save some money after paying their
monthly bills
About half of homeowners surveyed made down payments of 20% or more 13% said they are in great financial shape
Compared to the same survey 3 years ago when the economy was booming,
there was a 5% increase in those who say their financial fitness is good
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Although it is important to stay informed about what is going on in the
national economy and housing market, many different factors impact the real
estate market in your own area.
Your Local Market
KW Research 13
conditions in your local market.
KW associates are equipped with all the knowledge and information to help
navigate you through the home-buying or selling process in any market.
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About Keller Williams Realty
Founded in 1983, Keller Williams Realty, Inc., is an international real estate
company with more than 77,000 associates and 677 offices located across
the United States and Canada. The company began franchising in 1991, and
following years of phenomenal growth and success, became the third-largestU.S. residential real estate firm in 2009.
The company has succeeded by treating its associates as partners and shares
its knowledge, policy control, and company profits on a system-wide basis.
KW Research 14
Focusing on helping associates realize their fullest potential, Keller WilliamsRealty is known as an industry leader in its family culture, unmatched
education, profit sharing business model, phenomenal coaching program,
and technology offerings.
www.kw.com
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KW Research 15
The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and
national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed on This Month in
Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of
opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information,
and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for
educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own
research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some
degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information
contained in This Month in Real Estate.