Third Quarter 2014 Conference Call
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Transcript of Third Quarter 2014 Conference Call
THIRD QUARTER 2014 CONFERENCE CALL October 30, 2014
MANAGEMENT PARTICIPANTS
2
Chuck Jeannes
President and
Chief Executive Officer
Lindsay Hall
EVP & Chief Financial
Officer
George Burns
EVP & Chief Operating
Officer
Russell Ball
EVP Capital Management
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
3
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements”, within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable
Canadian securities legislation, concerning the business, operations and financial performance and condition of Goldcorp Inc. (“Goldcorp”). Forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the future price of gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc, the estimation of mineral reserves and
resources, the realization of mineral reserve estimates, the timing and amount of estimated future production, costs of production, capital expenditures, costs and
timing of the development of new deposits, success of exploration activities, permitting time lines, hedging practices, currency exchange rate fluctuations,
requirements for additional capital, government regulation of mining operations, environmental risks, unanticipated reclamation expenses, timing and possible
outcome of pending litigation, title disputes or claims and limitations on insurance coverage. Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the
use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”,
“anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”,
“would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of Goldcorp to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such
forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: risks related to the integration of acquisitions; risks related to international operations; risks related to joint
venture operations; actual results of current exploration activities; actual results of current reclamation activities; conclusions of economic evaluations; changes in
project parameters as plans continue to be refined; future prices of gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc; possible variations in ore reserves, grade or recovery rates;
failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes; delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the
completion of development or construction activities and other risks of the mining industry, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled “Description of
the Business – Risk Factors” in Goldcorp’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2013 available at www.sedar.com. Although Goldcorp has
attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other
factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual
results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-
looking statements. Goldcorp does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements that are included in this document, except in accordance with
applicable securities laws.
All amounts are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated.
Third Quarter 2014 Highlights EXECUTING ON PLAN
4
• Cerro Negro and Éléonore achieve first gold production
• Gold productiona of 651,700 ounces
• All-in sustaining costsa,d of $1,066/oz
• Adjusted revenuesa of $1.1B
• Adjusted net earningsa,h of $70M, or $0.09/share
• Adjusted operating cash flowa,e of $399M, or $0.49/share
5
(1) 2014 price assumptions: Au=$1,200/oz, Ag=$20.00/oz, Cu=$3.00/lb, Zn=$0.90/lb, Pb=$1.00/lb
(2) Revised to exclude Marigold post Q1 2014
(3) Includes capitalized exploration
Financial Discipline POSITIVE MOMENTUM THROUGH GROWTH AND LOWER COSTS
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Q1A Q2A Q3A Q4E
969,700 – 1,119,700
679,900 648,700 651,700
Ounces
2014E Guidance (1)
Updated (2)
Gold production (oz) 2.95M - 3.10M
Cash costs $ / oz
All-in sustaining $950 - $1,000
By-product $550 - $600
Co-product $650 - $700
Capital expenditures $2.3B - $2.4B
Exploration expenditures(3) $190M
Corporate administration $185M
Depreciation / oz $350
Tax rate 26%
Production by Quarter
$0
$1,200
$2,400
$3,600
$4,800
$6,000
$7,200
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
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199
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9
200
0
200
1
200
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3
200
4
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5
200
6
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7
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8
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9
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0
201
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201
2
201
3
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
200
3
200
4
200
5
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6
200
7
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8
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9
201
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202
0
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1
202
2
An
nu
al
Pro
du
cti
on
(M
oz)
Peak Gold PEAK PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED ~2015
6
• Gold market forecasters are expecting peak production in ~2015
• This coincides with a ~20 year development cycle from peak discovery
Peak
Production
Source: Consensus estimates. Includes CPM Group, GFMS, and Metals Focus
+ 20 years average
development time
Source: SNL Metals Economics Group
“PEAK GOLD”
Peak
Discovery
3-y
ear
run
nin
g av
erag
e go
ld d
isco
vere
d (
Mo
z)
Gra
ssro
ots
+ 7
5%
of
late
-sta
ge e
xplo
rati
on
bu
dge
ts (
US$
M)
Financial Discipline PEER-LEADING DIVIDEND PAYER
7
F I N A N C I A L D I S C I P L I N E S TA B L E D I V I D E N D
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
Q1'10 Q1'11 Q1'12 Q1'13 Q1'14
US$/share Dividend per Share(1) Percent Yield(2)
(1) Dividends declared each month (2) Source: Capital IQ (as of October 29, 2014)
0.0%
0.5%
1.0% 1.1%
1.6%
2.8%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
Kinross Newmont Agnico Yamana Barrick Goldcorp
OPERATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS
8
Third Quarter 2014 – Operational Highlights SOLID PERFORMANCE
9
• Gold production of 651,700 ounces
• All-in sustaining costs of $1,066 per ounce
• El Sauzal pit wall instability accelerates closure plan
• Red Lake completes de-stress activities for 2014
increasing stope availability
• Pueblo Viejo steadily increasing
• Cerro Negro and Éléonore transition to operating mines
RED LAKE MINE
10
o Third quarter 2014 • Gold production: 99,600ozs
• AISC: $955/oz
• Completed de-stress activities for
2014
o Integration plan for Cochenour
underway
o HG Young target • Five drills from surface
• Numerous high grade intercepts
• Rehabilitating existing infrastructure
for underground access
Operational Update
INTEGRATION PLAN ADVANCING
Scientific and technical information pertaining to Red Lake Gold Mines was reviewed and approved by Chris Osiowy, P.GEO, Manager of
Exploration and a “qualified person” as defined by National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43-101”)
Operational Update
PEÑASQUITO MINE
11
DELIVERING VALUE FROM MEXICO‘S LARGEST GOLD MINE
o Third quarter 2014 • Gold production: 129,500ozs
• AISC: $1,142/oz
o Northern Well Field project on track
for completion expected mid-year
2015
o Pre-feasibility studies advancing on
CEP and pyrite leach projects
o In-fill drilling continues on copper-gold
skarn
PROJECT
HIGHLIGHTS
12
Project Update
ÉLÉONORE
13
FIRST GOLD POURED ON OCTOBER 1, 2014
o Production • First gold: October 1, 2014
• 2014E: 40-60k ozs
• Commercial production: Q1 2015
• 575-625k ozs annually (1)
o Construction • Overall EPCM: 99%
• Initial Capital: $1.8-1.9B
o Mining • Ramp at depth of 788m
• Production shaft at depth of 975m
• Surface stockpile ~244k tonnes
o Exploration focus • Lower Mine: In-fill and exploration
(1) Upon ramp-up to full capacity in 2018
Éléonore
DELIVERED FIRST GOLD ON SCHEDULE
Q3 2014
Process Plant
Commissioned
D E L I V E R I N G A W O R L D - C L A S S M I N E A N D P L A N T
14
Oct 1, 2014
First Gold
(Gravity)
Dec. 31, 2014
Mine & Mill
Sustain
3,500 tpd
Q1 2015
Commercial
Production
H1 2018
Mine & Mill
Sustain
7,000 tpd
Éléonore
STATUS/UPDATE
15
Chemical Storage Building Construction Celebrating Success – First Gold
First 50T Haul Truck for Tailings Received
First Tailings Deposit at Tailings Facility
Project Update
CERRO NEGRO
16
RAMPING UP TO COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION IN Q4
o Production • First gold: July 25, 2014
• Q3 prod: 19K ozs Au, 234k ozs Ag
• Commercial production: Q4 2014
• 2014E: 130-180k range
o Construction • Permanent power expected Q4 2014
• Overall EPCM: ~90% 1
• Initial capital: $1.65-1.7B
o Mining: Development • 2,331 metres in Q3
• 21,751 metres at September 30
o Mining: Production • 93k tonnes in Q3
• 625k tonnes at September 30
1 Includes initial capital scope deferred to 2015
Cerro Negro ON SCHEDULE FOR COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION IN Q4
July 25, 2014
First Gold
Q4 2014
Permanent
Power
Q4 2014
Commercial
Production
T R A N S I T I O N T O O P E R AT I O N S W E L L U N D E R WAY F I R S T G O L D P O U R E D O N J U LY 2 5 , 2 0 1 4
17
July 15, 2014
Plant Startup
Dec. 31, 2013
285kt
stockpile
Cerro Negro
STATUS/UPDATE
18
Warehouse Coarse Ore Stockpile
Main Substation / Switchyard Lab Foundation
19
o Production • Development ore: Q4 2014
• Production ore: Q3 2015
• Commercial production: H2 2016
• Focus on integrating with Red Lake
o Construction • Haulage drift complete
• Ramp to 3540 foot level complete
• Initial capital: ~$496M
o Initial capital ~$496M
o Exploration focus • Drilling Bruce Channel from haulage
drift (currently eight drills, nine drills
expected by year-end)
Project Update
COCHENOUR, RED LAKE
COCHENOUR PROJECT
Cochenour
DEVELOPMENT ON SCHEDULE
March 13, 2014
Shaft Sinking
Complete
F O C U S H A S S H I F T E D T O I N T E G R AT I O N W I T H R E D L A K E
Q3 2014
Haulage drift
Complete
Q3 2015
First
Production Ore
H2 2016
Commercial
Production
Q4 2014
Development
Ore
20
FINANCIAL
HIGHLIGHTS
21
22
Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2013
Gold production (oz)* 651,700 648,700 637,100
Gold sales (oz) 641,400 639,500 652,100
Cash costs by-product ($/oz) (b) 597 470 551
Cash costs co-product ($/oz) (b) (c) 682 643 706
All-in sustaining costs ($/oz) (d) 1,066 852 995
Realized gold price ($/oz) 1,266 1,296 1,339
(*) includes Cerro Negro pre-commercial production ounces of 19,000 ounces
Adjusted net earnings ($m) (h) 70 164 190
Adjusted net earnings ($ per share) (h) $0.09 $0.20 $0.23
Non-GAAP Measures Presented on Goldcorp Share Basis(a)
Q3 2014 HIGHLIGHTS
23
($ millions except per share amounts) Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2013
Net earnings (loss) attributable to shareholders of
Goldcorp ($44) $181 $5
Earnings (loss) per share ($0.05) $0.22 $0.01
Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) on deferred
income tax 85 (24) 9
Losses on dispositions of Marigold, net of tax - 21 -
Revisions in estimates and liabilities on reclamation and
closure costs on closed mine sites, net of tax - 11 -
El Sauzal impairment, net of tax 13 - -
PV SLA Amendment - - 161
Losses (gains) on derivatives, net of tax 14 (10) -
Other 2 (15) 15
Adjusted net earnings attributable to shareholders of
Goldcorp, including discontinued operation (h) $70 $164 $190
Adjusted net earnings per share, including discontinued
operation (h) $0.09 $0.20 $0.23
Non-GAAP Measures Presented on Goldcorp Share Basis(a)
Q3 2014 ADJUSTED EARNINGS
24
3.6 – 3.8 3.7 – 4.0
3.5 – 3.8 3.5 – 3.8
2.7
OTHER
Q3 2014 TOTAL $1,066 per oz*
SUSTAINING CAPEX (f)
$329 G&A(g)
$98 $19
Q2 2014 TOTAL $852 per oz
$23
EXPLORATION
OPERATING COST (b)
$470 SUSTAINING CAPEX (f)
$255
G&A(g)
$92 $26
EXPLORATION
$9
OPERATING COST
OPERATING COST (b)
$597
Other
Other
(*) Excluding the impact of Peñasquito stockpile non-cash reduction in carrying value of $64/oz, all in sustaining costs and by-product
costs would be $1,002/oz and $533/oz, respectively for Q3 2014.
$64 $533 Other
Peñasquito
stockpile
Non-GAAP Measures Presented on Goldcorp Share Basis(a)
ALL-IN SUSTAINING COSTS(d)
25
Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2013
Adjusted operating cash flows ($m) (e) $399 $376 $375
Adjusted operating cash flows ($ per share) (e) $0.49 $0.46 $0.46
Liquidity Position ($ millions) Sep 30 2014
Cash and cash equivalents $376
Money market investments 52
Undrawn revolver 1,500
$1,928
Q3 2014 Cash Flows and Liquidity Position
GOLDCORP ADVANTAGE
Quality
Growth
Safe,
Profitable
Production
Peer-
Leading
Balance
Sheet
Responsible
Mining
Practices
Gold
Focused
Low
Political
Risk
26
SUPERIOR
INVESTMENT
PROPOSITION
27
a) The Company has included non-GAAP performance measures on an attributable (or Goldcorp’s share) basis throughout this
document. Attributable performance measures include the Company’s mining operations, including its discontinued operation, and
projects, and the Company’s share of Alumbrera and Pueblo Viejo. The Company believes that disclosing certain performance
measures on an attributable basis is a more relevant measurement of the Company’s operating and economic performance, and
reflects the Company’s view of its core mining operations. The Company believes that, in addition to conventional measures
prepared in accordance with GAAP, the Company and certain investors use this information to evaluate the Company’s
performance and ability to generate cash flow; however, these performance measures do not have any standardized meaning.
Accordingly, it is intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for
measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.
b) Total cash costs, by-product and co-product, per gold ounce is a non-GAAP performance measure. In the gold mining industry,
total cash costs is a common performance measure but does not have any standardized meaning. The Company follows the
recommendations of the Gold Institute Production Cost Standard (refer to page 2 of the Q3 2014 MD&A for further information on
the Gold Institute). The Company believes these measures provide investors and analysts with useful information about the
Company’s underlying cash costs of operations and the impact of by-product credits on the Company’s cost structure and is a
relevant metric used to understand the Company’s operating profitability and ability to generate cash flow. When deriving the
production cash costs associated with an ounce of gold, the Company includes by-product credits as the Company considers that
the cost to produce the gold is reduced as a result of the by-product sales incidental to the gold production process, thereby
allowing the Company’s management and other stakeholders to assess the net costs of gold production. The Company and certain
investors use this information to evaluate the Company’s performance and ability to generate cash flow. Accordingly, it is intended
to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared
in accordance with GAAP. Total cash costs on a by-product basis are calculated by deducting Goldcorp’s share of by-product
silver, copper, lead and zinc sales revenues from Goldcorp’s share of production costs. Refer to page 39 of the Q3 2014 MD&A for
a calculation of total cash cost per gold ounce.
c) Total cash costs per gold ounce on a co-product basis is calculated by allocating Goldcorp’s share of production costs to each co-
product (Alumbrera (copper); Marlin (silver); Pueblo Viejo (silver); Peñasquito (silver, lead and zinc)) based on the ratio of actual
sales volumes multiplied by budget metal prices, as compared to realized sales prices. The Company uses budget prices to
eliminate price volatility and improve co-product cash cost reporting comparability between periods (refer to page 2 of the Q3 2014
MD&A for budget metal prices use).
FOOTNOTES
28
d) The Company, in conjunction with an initiative undertaken within the gold mining industry, has adopted all-in sustaining cost and
all-in cost non-GAAP performance measures that the Company believes more fully defines the total costs associated with
producing gold; however, these performance measures have no standardized meaning. Accordingly, it is intended to provide
additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in
accordance with GAAP. The Company reports these measures on a gold ounces sold basis. Refer to page 41 of the Q3 2014
MD&A for a reconciliation of all-in sustaining costs.
e) Adjusted operating cash flows is a non-GAAP performance measures which comprise the Company’s share of operating cash
flows before working capital changes and which the Company believes provides additional information about the Company’s ability
to generate cash flows from its mining operations. Accordingly, it is intended to provide additional information and should not be
considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Refer to page 44 for a
reconciliation of adjusted operating cash flows before working capital changes to reported net cash provided by operating
activities.
f) Sustaining capital expenditures are defined as those expenditures which do not increase annual gold ounce production at a mine
site and excludes all expenditures at the Company’s projects and certain expenditures at the Company’s operating sites which are
deemed expansionary in nature. Refer to pages 41 and 42 of the Q3 2014 MD&A for a reconciliation of sustaining capital
expenditures.
g) Including share-based compensation expense.
h) Adjusted net earnings and adjusted net earnings per share are non-GAAP performance measures. The Company believes that, in
addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with GAAP, the Company and certain investors use this information to
evaluate the Company’s performance. Accordingly, it is intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in
isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Refer to page 43 of the Q3 2014
MD&A for a reconciliation of adjusted net earnings to reported net earnings attributable to shareholders of Goldcorp.
FOOTNOTES