The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM)...

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The world before DCM

description

 Different models are compared that either include or exclude a specific connection of interest  Goodness of fit compared between full and reduced model: - Chi 2 – statistics  Example from attention to motion study: modulatory influence of PFC on V5 – PPC connections Linear regression models of connectivity Inference in SEM – comparing nested models H 0 : b 35 = 0

Transcript of The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM)...

Page 1: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

The world before DCM

Page 2: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Linear regression models of connectivityStructural equation modelling (SEM)

y1

y3

y2

b12

b32b13

z1z2

z3

0 b12b13

y1 y2 y3 = y1 y2 y3 0 0 0 + z1 z2 z3

0 b320

y – time seriesb - path coefficientsz – residuals (independent)

Minimises difference between observed and implied covariance structure Limits on number of connections (only paths of interest) No designed input - but modulatory effects can enter by including bilinear terms as in PPI

Page 3: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Different models are compared that either include or exclude a specific connection of interest

Goodness of fit compared between full and reduced model: - Chi2 – statistics

Example from attention to motion study: modulatory influence of PFC on V5 – PPC connections

Linear regression models of connectivityInference in SEM – comparing nested models

H0:b35 = 0

Page 4: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Modulatory interactionsat BOLD versus neuronal level HRF acts as low-pass filter especially important in high frequency (event-related) designs

Facit: either blocked designs or hemodynamic deconvolution of BOLD time series – incorporated in SPM2

Gitelman et al. 2003

Page 5: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A brave new world

Page 6: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1Z2

Z4

Z3

Z5

Basics

Page 7: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1Z2

Z4

Z3

Z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21a

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Page 8: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1Z2

Z4 = a42z2

Z3

Z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21a

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Page 9: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Increase:Z = 1 - e (-t/r) r = time constant in [s]

r = 1s t=1s Z = 1 - e-1 = 63%r = 2s t=1s Z = 1 - e-1/2 = 30%Short r fast increase

Rate = 1/r in [1/s] or HzLong rate fast increase

ms

Page 10: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1Z2

ż4 = a42z2

Z3

Z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21a

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Page 11: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1Z2

ż4 = a42z2 + a45z5

Z3

Z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21a

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Page 12: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1

ż4 = a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

ż2 = a21z1 + a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Page 13: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2 Z1

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

ż2 = a21z1 + a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Page 14: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

ż1 = a11z1

Page 15: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

ż1 = a11z1

Stimuliu1

“perturbation”

Page 16: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Extrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”

Page 17: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Extrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

Page 18: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: a

Extrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

Page 19: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ a23z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: aInduced connectivities: bExtrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

223b 2

42b

Page 20: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ a42z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ (a23 + b23u2)z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: aInduced connectivities: bExtrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

223b 2

42b

Page 21: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ (a42 + b42u2)z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ (a23 + b23u2)z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: aInduced connectivities: bExtrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

223b 2

42b

Page 22: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ (a42 + b42u2)z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ (a23 + b23u2)z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: aInduced connectivities: bExtrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

223b 2

42b

bilinear

Page 23: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Z2

ż4 = a44z4

+ (a42 + b42u2)z2 + a45z5

54a45a

35a 53a

42a

23a

21aż5 = a55z5

+ a53z3 + a54z4

ż3 = a35z5

+ a35z5

ż2 = a22z2

+ a21z1+ (a23 + b23u2)z3

Basics

Latent (intrinsic) connectivities: aInduced connectivities: bExtrinsic influences: c

ż1 = a11z1

+ c11u1

Stimuliu1

11c

“perturbation”Setu2

“context”

223b 2

42b

bilinear

CuuBzAzz

Page 24: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Basics CuuBzAzz

Page 25: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Basics CuuBzAzz

Neuron BOLD ?

Page 26: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Basics CuuBzAzz

Neuron BOLDBOLD = f(z and 4 state variables)

Hemodynamic model: 4 state variables: vasodilatory signal, flow, venous volume, dHb content

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Bayes

Page 28: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A1

WA

A2

An example

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A2

WA

A1

.

.

Stimulus (perturbation), u1

Set (context), u2

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A2

WA

A1

.

.

Stimulus (perturbation), u1

Set (context), u2

Full intrinsic connectivity: a

Page 31: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.

.

Stimulus (perturbation), u1

Set (context), u2

Full intrinsic connectivity: a

u1 activates A1: c

Page 32: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.

Stimulus (perturbation), u1

Set (context), u2

Full intrinsic connectivity: au1 may modulate self connections induced connectivities: b1

u1 activates A1: c

Page 33: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.

Stimulus (perturbation), u1

Set (context), u2

Full intrinsic connectivity: au1 may modulate self connections induced connectivities: b1

u2 may modulate anything induced connectivities: b2

u1 activates A1: c

Page 34: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

.37 (91%)

-.62 (99%)

-.51 (99%)

.37 (100%)

u1

u2

Page 35: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: a

Page 36: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: a

Extrinsic influence: c

.37 (100%)

Page 37: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: aConnectivity induced by u1: b1

Extrinsic influence: c

.37 (100%)

-.62 (99%)

-.51 (99%)

Page 38: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: aConnectivity induced by u1: b1

Extrinsic influence: c

.37 (100%)

-.62 (99%)

-.51 (99%)

saturation

Page 39: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: aConnectivity induced by u1: b1

Connectivity induced by u2: b2

Extrinsic influence: c

.37 (100%)

-.62 (99%)

-.51 (99%)

.37 (91%)

saturation

Page 40: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: aConnectivity induced by u1: b1

Connectivity induced by u2: b2

Extrinsic influence: c

.37 (100%)

-.62 (99%)

-.51 (99%)

.37 (91%)

saturation

adaptation

Page 41: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

A2

WA

A1

.92(100%)

.38(94%)

.47(98%)

u1

u2

Intrinsic connectivity: aConnectivity induced by u1: b1

Connectivity induced by u2: b2

Extrinsic influence: c

.37 (100%)

-.62 (99%)

-.51 (99%)

.37 (91%)

saturation

adaptation

A1

A2

WA

Page 42: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Design: moving dots (u1), attention(u2)

Another examplec

Page 43: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Design: moving dots (u1), attention(u2)SPM analysis: V1, V5, SPC, IFG

Another example

Page 44: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Design: moving dots (u1), attention(u2)SPM analysis: V1, V5, SPC, IFGLiterature: V5 motion-sensitive

Another example

Page 45: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Design: moving dots (u1), attention(u2)SPM analysis: V1, V5, SPC, IFGLiterature: V5 motion-sensitivePrevious connect. analyses: SPC mod. V5, IFG mod. SPC

Another example

Page 46: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Design: moving dots (u1), attention(u2)SPM analysis: V1, V5, SPC, IFGLiterature: V5 motion-sensitivePrevious connect. analyses: SPC mod. V5, IFG mod. SPCConstraints: - intrinsic connectivity: V1 V5 SPC IFG - u1 V1 - u2: modulates V1 V5 SPC IFG - u3: motion modulates V1 V5 SPC IFG

Another example

Page 47: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Design: moving dots (u1), attention(u2)SPM analysis: V1, V5, SPC, IFGLiterature: V5 motion-sensitivePrevious connect. analyses: SPC mod. V5, IFG mod. SPCConstraints: - intrinsic connectivity: V1 V5 SPC IFG - u1 V1 - u2: modulates V1 V5 SPC IFG - u3: motion modulates V1 V5 SPC IFG

(photic)

Another example

Page 48: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

V1

IFG

V5

SPC

Motion (u3)

Photic (u1)Attention (u2)

.82(100%)

.42(100%)

.37(90%)

.69 (100%).47(100%)

.65 (100%)

.52 (98%)

.56(99%)

Another example

Page 49: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

M M M

Estimation: Bayesp(N|B) α p(B|N) p(N)posterior likelihoood prior

Page 50: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Estimation: Bayes

p(N|B) a p(B|N) p(N)

Unknown neural parameters: N={A,B,C}Unknown hemodynamic parameters: HVague priors and stability priors: p(N) Informative priors: p(H)Observed BOLD time series: B.Data likelihood: p(B|H,N)

Assumption: all p-distributions Gaussian M, VAR sufficient

Page 51: The world before DCM. Linear regression models of connectivity Structural equation modelling (SEM) y1y1 y3y3 y2y2 b 12 b 32 b 13 z1z1 z2z2 z3z3 0 b 12.

Normalisation

j

jj

jj b

bb

BB

a

a

AA

21

1211

21

12

1

1

[σ] = 1/s

stable system