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The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Urban Risk AssessmentsToward a Common Approach
World Urban Forum, March 2010
World Bank
Finance, Economics & Urban Department
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
A Need for Coordination
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Moving Forward
The challenge:Lack of common approach inhibits
effective and strategic cooperation between agencies and across cities
The objective: Strengthen coherence and consensus,
minimize duplicative efforts, and bring convergence to related work undertaken across relevant organizations
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Vulnerability as a Concept
Vulnerability: ‘Conditions determined by physical, social, economic, and environmental factors or processes, which increase the susceptibility of a community to the impact of hazards’. (UN ISDR)
Vulnerability: ‘The degree to which a system is susceptible to, and unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate variability and extremes’. (IPCC)
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Measuring Vulnerability
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Institutional Mapping
Importance of national and regional city linkages
Identification of planning instruments, policies, programs, and strategies:
City government agencies Non-governmental and
community based organizations
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Institutional Mapping
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Geospatial Data
Cataloguing of datasets held across city government departments and NGOs
Four datasets for a city to begin assessing its vulnerability:
i. Geophysicalii.Socio-economiciii.Land useiv.Lifelines and services
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Geospatial Data
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Geospatial Data
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Geospatial Data
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Geospatial Data
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
High Resolution Imagery
Benefits Limitations
Spatial Resolution Variable Viewing Geometry
Spectral Discrimination Variable Illumination Geometry
Positional Accuracy Availability
Global Coverage Clouds
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Remote Sensing in Urban Areas
Satellite Resolution & Detection Capacity
Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo. Source: Geoeye.com
Spatial Resolution
Applications
0.5 – 1.5 meters Identification, cartography of objects (cars, trees, urban materials).
1.5 - 5 meters Distinction of buildingsIdentification, cartography of objects (construction)
5 - 10 meters Location/cartography of buildings, roads, agricultural lands
10 – 20 meters Location and geometry of large infrastructure (airports, city centers, suburbs, commercial malls, industrial areas)
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Slum Enumeration
Data relating vulnerability does have to be generated only from air or space.• Engagement of urban
poor in risk mapping and vulnerability assessment
Pros: Accuracy and spatial resolution of data
Cons: Time, capacity, resources
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Slum Enumeration
Role of community:– Validation of feature extraction processes
undertaken using remote sensing imagery• Ground Control Points
–Mapping and enumeration of slum areas– Household surveys • Historical incidence of small localized
disasters• Local adaptation measures to quick on-set
hazards, slow on-set risks
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Slum Enumeration
• iPhone/smart phone application prototype • Reports about individual buildings: – Current position; provided by the phones
built-in GPS, – Number of floors, – Building type (residential, office, store, etc.)– Optional parameters; roof shape/material,
construction material, picture
• Links to new open source technology– OpenStreetMap
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Global City Indicators Facility
COMPLEXITY
COST
The World Bank at World Urban Forum 5
Finance, Economics & Urban Finance, Economics & Urban DepartmentDepartment
Thank youThank you