THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

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1 THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

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THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011. Commitment on climate change. Geneva, 2008. The four-pillar strategy. Invest in new technology Including sustainable aviation biofuels Fly using more efficient operations Build and use efficient infrastructure Use effective economic measures. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

Page 1: THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

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THE WAY FORWARDHONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

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Commitment on climate change

Geneva, 2008

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The four-pillar strategy

1) Invest in new technology Including sustainable aviation biofuels

2) Fly using more efficient operations

3) Build and use efficient infrastructure

4) Use effective economic measures

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Global industry targets

2010 2020 20501.5% p/a fuel efficiency

Working towards CNG

CNG from 2020

Implementation of global sectoral approach

50% reduction in net CO2 emissions over 2005 levels

• Goals are at the global level – not States or operators

• Goals do not mean slowing down the growth of aviation

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2005 20502020

No action

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2

emissions

2010

“Frozen technology” emissions

Gross emissions trajectory

(schematic)

CNG 2020

Emissions reduction roadmap

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2005 20502020

TechOpsInfra

No action

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2

emissions

2010

“Frozen technology” emissions

Known technology, operations and infrastructure measures

Carbon-neutral growth 2020

Gross emissions trajectory

CNG 2020

(schematic)

Emissions reduction roadmap

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2005 20502020

TechOpsInfra

No action

CNG 2020

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2

emissions

2010

“Frozen technology” emissions

Known technology, operations and infrastructure measures

Biofuels and additional technology

Carbon-neutral growth 2020

Gross emissions trajectory

Economic measures

Biofuels +

add. Tech

(schematic)

Emissions reduction roadmap

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TAXESARE THEANSWER

SOME POLICYMAKERS BELIEVE

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Uncoordinated patchwork

“Green” taxes

$ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ?$ 4 mn$ 1-13 bn

$3.5bn $1.2bn $0.2bn $ ? $ ? $ ?$6bn?$100m

Emissions trading

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A GLOBALAPPROACH IS THEONLY WAY FORWARD

CONVINCE POLICYMAKERS THAT

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Global policy developments

Positives:– First ever global sectoral agreement on CO2

– Reflects aspirational industry goal of carbon-neutral growth from 2020

– Lists 15 principles for MBMs, in line with industry priorities, e.g.

• Transparency and simplicity• No duplication• Minimise leakage and distortion• Appropriate access to all carbon markets

ICAO

Assembly

2010

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Political and technical challenges

• Lack of political urgency• EU ETS Distraction• Developed vs. developing

country approaches• CBDR issue• Mitigation vs. adaptation

• Avoid competitive distortion

• Level – playing field• Reward early adopters• Accommodate fast

growth markets

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Moving the political agenda

• Remind policy makers of the social and economic benefits of aviation

• Continue to deliver industry contribution to targets

• Call upon governments to deliver on their part

• Work with ICAO to further their agenda

• Above all, work collaboratively across industry, government and civil society

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THE WAY FORWARDHONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011