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THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011
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Transcript of THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011
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THE WAY FORWARDHONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011
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Commitment on climate change
Geneva, 2008
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The four-pillar strategy
1) Invest in new technology Including sustainable aviation biofuels
2) Fly using more efficient operations
3) Build and use efficient infrastructure
4) Use effective economic measures
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Global industry targets
2010 2020 20501.5% p/a fuel efficiency
Working towards CNG
CNG from 2020
Implementation of global sectoral approach
50% reduction in net CO2 emissions over 2005 levels
• Goals are at the global level – not States or operators
• Goals do not mean slowing down the growth of aviation
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2005 20502020
No action
2030 2040
-50% by 2050
CO2
emissions
2010
“Frozen technology” emissions
Gross emissions trajectory
(schematic)
CNG 2020
Emissions reduction roadmap
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2005 20502020
TechOpsInfra
No action
2030 2040
-50% by 2050
CO2
emissions
2010
“Frozen technology” emissions
Known technology, operations and infrastructure measures
Carbon-neutral growth 2020
Gross emissions trajectory
CNG 2020
(schematic)
Emissions reduction roadmap
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2005 20502020
TechOpsInfra
No action
CNG 2020
2030 2040
-50% by 2050
CO2
emissions
2010
“Frozen technology” emissions
Known technology, operations and infrastructure measures
Biofuels and additional technology
Carbon-neutral growth 2020
Gross emissions trajectory
Economic measures
Biofuels +
add. Tech
(schematic)
Emissions reduction roadmap
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TAXESARE THEANSWER
SOME POLICYMAKERS BELIEVE
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Uncoordinated patchwork
“Green” taxes
$ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ?$ 4 mn$ 1-13 bn
$3.5bn $1.2bn $0.2bn $ ? $ ? $ ?$6bn?$100m
Emissions trading
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A GLOBALAPPROACH IS THEONLY WAY FORWARD
CONVINCE POLICYMAKERS THAT
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Global policy developments
Positives:– First ever global sectoral agreement on CO2
– Reflects aspirational industry goal of carbon-neutral growth from 2020
– Lists 15 principles for MBMs, in line with industry priorities, e.g.
• Transparency and simplicity• No duplication• Minimise leakage and distortion• Appropriate access to all carbon markets
ICAO
Assembly
2010
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Political and technical challenges
• Lack of political urgency• EU ETS Distraction• Developed vs. developing
country approaches• CBDR issue• Mitigation vs. adaptation
• Avoid competitive distortion
• Level – playing field• Reward early adopters• Accommodate fast
growth markets
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Moving the political agenda
• Remind policy makers of the social and economic benefits of aviation
• Continue to deliver industry contribution to targets
• Call upon governments to deliver on their part
• Work with ICAO to further their agenda
• Above all, work collaboratively across industry, government and civil society
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THE WAY FORWARDHONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011