THE UNITED STATES NAVAL WAR COLLEGE - … 2061G THE UNITED STATES NAVAL WAR COLLEGE JOINT MILITARY...
Transcript of THE UNITED STATES NAVAL WAR COLLEGE - … 2061G THE UNITED STATES NAVAL WAR COLLEGE JOINT MILITARY...
NWC 2061G
THE UNITED STATES NAVAL WAR COLLEGE
JOINT MILITARY OPERATIONS DEPARTMENT
A Primer for: The Joint Strategic Planning System (JSPS), Guidance for
Employment of the Force (GEF), Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan
(JSCP), the Adaptive Planning and Execution (APEX) System, and
Global Force Management (GFM)
by
Professor Michael McGauvran
15 July 2017
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Table of Contents
Joint Strategic Planning System (JSPS). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Guidance for Employment of the Force (GEF) . . . . . . . . . . 3
Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Theater and Functional Campaign Plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Security Cooperation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Adaptive Planning and Execution (APEX) . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Global Force Management (GFM) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
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The purpose of this primer is to provide an unclassified overview of the Joint Strategic
Planning System (JSPS), the Guidance for Employment of the Force (GEF), the Joint
Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP), Regional and Functional Campaign Plans, the
Adaptive Planning and Execution (APEX) System, and Global Force Management
(GFM).
The Joint Strategic Planning System
The JSPS provides the structure for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff to interact
with National, Congressional, and DoD processes; it encompasses how the Chairman of
the Joint Chiefs of Staff carries out statutory responsibilities assigned in Titles 6, 10, 22,
and 50 of the United States Code. The Chairman’s primary roles within the JSPS, listed
in figure 1, are to Direct, Execute, Assess, and Advise. This primer will focus on the
Direct and Execute roles of the Chairman.
Figure 1: The Chairman’s Statutory Roles and Responsibilities
The Chairman assists the President and SecDef in providing unified strategic direction to
the Armed Forces by linking the President’s and SecDef’s national strategic objectives to
the military strategy, plans, and resources needed to achieve them. The Chairman’s
strategic guidance is issued in the National Military Strategy (NMS), the Joint Strategic
Capabilities Plan, the Capstone Concept for Joint Operations, and Joint Training
Guidance.
For execution, the Chairman assists the President and SecDef by translating their
direction into coordinated military missions, tasks, and activities. These missions, tasks,
and activities include Global Force Management, producing the SecDef’s Orders Book,
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validating Joint requirements via the Joint Requirements Oversight Council and
conducting strategic analysis. Figure 2 illustrates how the Chairman’s statutory
requirements and associated processes align with SecDef and National Security Council
(NSC) processes.
Figure 2: JSPS in Relation to OSD and the NSC
Please keep in mind that the JSPS is a four-year cycle beginning with the President’s
inauguration. By law, the President must produce a National Security Strategy within
150 days of inauguration. This ‘new’ document drives the publication of major OSD and
JSPS strategy documents (to include the Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), NMS,
Unified Campaign Plan (UCP), GEF, and JSCP) in the President’s second year in office.1
These strategic-direction documents are then reevaluated and, if required, updated in year
four. The assessment and advice documents are generated annually (see CJCSI 3100.01C
for a notional four year schedule of these processes). Moreover, while the National
Security Strategy (NSS) and the NMS are two major national strategies, strategic
guidance may also be found in several other documents in the ever-expanding library of
national guidance documents. These include the National Strategy to Secure Cyberspace,
the National Strategy to Combat WMD, and 14 other similar documents.
The JSPS is how the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff carries out statutory
responsibilities assigned in Titles 6, 10, 22, and 50 of the United States Code. Once the
documents required for Strategic Direction are available, the Chairman and the Joint Staff
1 Although these processes/steps (Figure 2) are linearly depicted, they are often developed
concurrently. Additionally, though OSD, the Joint Staff, or the NSC are depicted as the approval authority,
most of the documents are developed with formal (or informal) collaboration with the Service Chiefs,
CCDR’s, DoD agencies and the Joint Staff.
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then produce documents which guide joint force employment and management. The first
document, developed by the OSD staff and approved by the SecDef, is the Guidance for
the Employment of the Force, or GEF.
Guidance for Employment of the Force (GEF)
Background
In previous years, OSD strategic guidance to combatant commanders and their staffs
were contained in five separate documents. As these documents were released
independently and at different times, one could characterize the coherency of the
collective strategic guidance as sub-optimal. Recognizing the inefficiencies, these five
separate guidance documents, listed below, were consolidated and integrated in 2008 into
a single, comprehensive strategic directive known as the Guidance for Employment of the
Force.
Security Cooperation- Tasks combatant commanders with developing theater
Campaign plans to illustrate how all steady-state activities in their respective
AORs contribute to strategic end states. Provides focus areas and tools for
combatant commanders (CCDRs) to integrate into their peacetime military
engagement activities on a regional basis, thereby gaining efficiency through the
coordination of engagement activities, theater end states, and objectives.
Contingency Planning- Directs and guides the development of contingency plans,
which will be branches to the campaign plan.
Global Posture- Provides DoD-wide global defense posture realignment guidance,
to include DoD’s broad strategic themes for posture changes and overarching
posture planning guidance, which inform the Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan
(JSCP) theater posture planning guidance. It establishes the requirement for
combatant commanders to submit theater posture plans annually.
Global Force Management- Enables global sourcing regardless of the command
or Service to which the force is assigned. Provides a decision framework for
making assignment and allocation recommendations to the SecDef and
apportionment recommendations to the CJCS. The Force Allocation Decision
Matrix provides the framework for prioritizing CCDR force sourcing
requirements with finite forces. Allows for the SecDef to make proactive, risk
informed force management allocation decisions.
Nuclear Weapons Planning- Self-explanatory.
.
Melding multiple sources of strategic planning guidance into one document minimized
the possibility of conflicting guidance. It also resulted in a more expansive document
directing Combatant Commanders (CCDR) to develop theater (or functional) strategies to
meet GEF objectives and, in turn, create and execute a Campaign Plan (CP) to obtain
these objectives. The overarching CP would integrate steady-state events, for example,
ongoing operations and security cooperation activities and contingency plans (developed
through contingency planning) were to be linked to the CP as branches and would be
executed should the CP fail to achieve desired results (e.g., maintain the peace).
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The 2015 GEF
The 2015 GEF is greatly changed from previous editions. First, the timeframe has shrunk
from a previous 10-year to a two to five year horizon. In short, the GEF is now ‘less
strategic’; it has gone from an ‘aspirational’ strategy-central document with strategic end-
states to a more achievable threat-based document listing specific, resource constrained
campaign objectives. Secondly, it introduces a planning construct designed to address
threats as larger ‘problem sets’ rather than piecemeal through individual contingency
plans. This approach recognizes that many threats (e.g., non-state actors, WMD) or
missions (Cyber, Global Deployment Operations, etc.) cross UCP-directed boundaries
and emphasizes the need for CCDR’s to plan collaboratively. Finally, the 2015 GEF,
recognizing increasing resource constraints, introduced new readiness and availability
priorities to improve DoD’s ability to balance force allocation between regional
engagement and surge response to a major contingency.
While the GEF’s time horizon has
shortened, the CCDR’s campaign plan
remains the central mechanism for
integrating DoD steady-state activities.
Campaign plans should focus on defusing
strategic problems before they become
crises and resolve crises before a large
scale contingency response is needed (see
Figure 3). At the same time, CP’s should
also set the conditions for success should
contingency operations be required. The
focus on CCDR collaboration and prevention reflects OSD’s expectation that continued
resource limitations will ‘require different methods to attain near-term objectives with
fewer resources’ (this subject is discussed in more depth later in the Global Force
Management section). Finally, the 2015 GEF’s shorter time horizon drove a
corresponding reduction in the number of chapters. From the previous ten chapters, the
GEF now contains six chapters; Contingency Planning Guidance and NUWEP are
located in separate annexes:
Chap 1. Introduction: Self-explanatory.
Chap 2. Global Priorities and Assumptions: Discusses global security priorities based
on near-term threats, lists the top priority planning (problem sets) requirements (and three
lesser priorities), and provides 2-5 year strategic-level assumptions. Again, Contingency
Planning Guidance (CPG), once folded into the GEF, is now located in a separate annex.
Chap 3. Resource Planning Guidance: Provides direction and planning factors for the
resources available to support CCDR steady-state theater campaign objectives and
respond to emerging threats given a two to five year horizon (resources include forces,
security cooperation, contingency and operations and maintenance funding). This
chapter further states that DoD must have a “global view” of the Joint Force to include
Figure 3: Campaign Planning
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current forces and commitment, availability and readiness. To accomplish this, the GEF
requires development and implementation of a centralized, automated system for Joint
Force reporting to replace the Global Status of Resources and Training System
(GSORTS). This system will assist decision makers in force allocation decisions to
better balance the need / ability to surge against the need for global engagement.
This chapter also provides CCDR’s a “minimum” or baseline force—and requires
CCDR’s to identify—and justify—the forces and capabilities required to support then in
steady-state activities. One assumes this is to assist CCDR’s in resource allocation given
the reduction of DoD resources and the need to shift forces from region to region based
on emerging threats. Finally, many plans that didn’t require a Time Phased Force
Deployment Data (TPFDD) now require a “force closure estimate.”
Chap 4. General Campaign Planning Guidance: Provides broad planning guidance for
the development of CCDR (both theater and functional) campaign plans. Given the
lesser time horizon, campaign objectives are prioritized and are designed to be militarily
achievable with in a five-year period. CCDR’s responsible for CP’s will establish
Intermediate Military Objectives (IMO) that directly—and measurably—contributes to
the achievement of each GEF campaign objective.
Chap 5. Implementation Guidance: Levies the requirement for campaign plans to be
assessed annually (bi-annually once the plan is approved). Discusses the plan approval
process (In-Progress Reviews (IPR’s) (see CJCSI’s 3110.01 and 3141.01), and
coordination instructions for plan coordination with allies and partners. Requires that
Level 1, 2 and 3 contingency plans be reviewed annually or as directed, and given the
new focus on collaborative planning and problem sets, plans dealing with the same threat
will normally be reviewed together to better understand the force and risk dynamics.
This chapter also requires each CCMD to use APEX for planning and produce an annual
assessment of how well the CCDR’s campaign plan is meeting the GEF directed
objectives. To support this assessment requirement, a list of questions to be answered is
provided. Finally, guidance is provided on CCMD interaction for planning with other
departments / agencies: informal action officer contact can be made with other
departments / agencies, but SecDef approval is needed before formalizing plans.
Chap 6. Steady-State Planning Guidance: This final chapter, subdivided by regional
and functional Combatant Command, provides strategic context, U.S. goals and DoD
priorities for each combatant command. It lists strategic-level (broad) campaign
objectives, assumptions, and regional posture planning guidance.
Despite the shorter time-frame and the threat-centric vice strategy centric approach, the
GEF’s focus remains on the steady-state campaign plan as the central mechanism to
achieve assigned campaign objectives. The GEF, together with the NSS, NMS (and
Dense Planning Guidance, if issued) are then used by the Joint Staff and Chairman to
provide CCDR’s more specific guidance and tasking via the JSCP.
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The 2015 Joint Strategic Capabilities Plan (JSCP)
Integrating separate OSD-level guidance
documents into the GEF reduced the
possibility of conflicting strategic guidance.
To minimize guidance conflicts between the
SecDef’s GEF and the Chairman’s JSCP,
these documents were envisioned to be
developed concurrently; the OSD staff and
the Joint Staff would work on the documents
in tandem. That said, the JSCP is driven by
the requirements within the GEF (see
Figure 4). The JSCP (CJCSI 3110.01J) also
leverages the GEF; rather than restate
portions of the GEF, it refers readers to the
GEF for campaign objectives and other
guidance. The JSCP, with the GEF, provides
guidance to the CCDRs, the Joint Chiefs of
Staff, the Services, and specific DoD agencies
to accomplish tasks and missions based on
current military capabilities.
The 2015 JSCP reflects the changes in the 2015 GEF vis-à-vis resource informed
planning, near-term campaign plan prioritized objectives, and integrated problem set
planning. The GEF’s transformation from a
strategic 10-year to a two to five year look reduced
the need for JSCP specificity somewhat. For
example, the previous GEF listed the required
contingency plans and the JSCP assigned the plans
to specific CCMDs. Today, the GEF assigns
CCMD leads for the listed mission and problem
sets in the CPG Annex, eliminating the need for
the JSCP to do so (though the JSCP, mirroring the
GEF, also moved CPG guidance to a separate,
TOP SECRET supplement). As a result, the 2015
JSCP, like the GEF, is shorter than previous
versions and is now organized into six enclosures
(see Figure 5).
Despite being shorter, the JSCP still provides
additional, more specific planning guidance to the
CCMDs. In broad terms, the GEF can be
considered “what” needs to be done; the JSCP is more
“how” the GEF requirements should be met. Sometimes the additional JSCP guidance is
little more that coordination instructions, e.g., what office and when to contact members
Figure 4: National Strategic Direction
Figure 5: JSCP Enclosures
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Figure 6: Joint Phasing Construct
of the Joint Staff to schedule GEF required IPRs, provide required assessments of CP’s
and so forth. Other guidance is definitional and / or provides additional direction; for
example, the 2015 JSCP added an appendix and chapter to clarify OSD policy on security
cooperation and integrated planning respectively. Directive guidance is seen in the
JSCP’s guidance to CCDR’s on meeting the GEF’s requirement to develop an
overarching strategy and Campaign Plan. The 2015 JSCP provides additional guidance
on what a CCMD strategy is and what it does—and suggests how to develop a strategy to
meet the GEF tasking. Finally, the JSCP provides additional, more focused direction on
the campaign plan the CCDR needs to meet to obtain the GEF directed campaign
objectives (Enclosure D provides each CCMD campaign plan intent, followed by more
specific requirements). The GEF, for example, has a half-page of prioritized campaign
objectives for one CCMD; the JSCP’s more specific directives span two pages.
The JSCP is the Chairman’s document. It is informed by the NSS, the NMS (and other
strategic documents) and nests with the GEF to provide CCDR’s additional, more
specific guidance and direction to meet SecDef requirements.
Theater and Functional Campaign Plans
Perhaps the greatest
change created by the
2008 GEF / JSCP
guidance is the
requirement for CCDRs
to develop campaign
plans to support their
theater (or functional)
strategies. The intent of
the campaign plan is to
“operationalize” CCDRs’
strategies and to
transition planning from a
“contingency–centric”
focus to a “strategy-
centric” design—with an
eye towards identifying
all steady-state force and
resource requirements.
While CCDRs have been given latitude in how the campaign plan might be constructed,
they are expected to include:
A comprehensive integration of steady-state activities (security cooperation and
other shaping activities) with the Phase 0 of combatant command contingency plans.
“Phase 0” refers to “shaping” in joint doctrine (see Figure 6).
o Theater posture plans are annexes to the theater campaign plans.
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o Contingency plans become “branches” to the campaign plan—with associated
‘triggers’ to review these plan should execution appear likely.
Identification of supporting “force providers,” that is, Services, CCMDs, and select
defense agencies and field activities which will develop campaign support plans.
Another critical element of this new “strategy-centric” paradigm is a forcing mechanism
to synchronize functional campaign plans with theater campaign plans. As the title
implies, functional campaign plans impact multiple theaters; therefore, supporting
CCDR’s must develop subordinate plans in support of the lead or supported CCDR’s
functional campaign plan. These subordinate plans are then embedded in the CCDR’s
own theater campaign plan (see Figure 7). The 2015 GEF / JSCP, as touched on earlier,
expand this ‘collaborative / integrated’ planning to the regional CCDRs with the use of
problem sets. This broader review of challenges acknowledges that more than one
regional or functional CCMD’s resources can be brought to bear against a problem to
meet the SecDef’s strategic objectives. Again, an emphasis on the need for a ‘global
perspective”.
Since the CCDR’s theater campaign plan “operationalizes” the commander’s theater
strategy, one should expect to find a theater campaign plan containing the common
characteristics seen in Figure 7. First and foremost, the campaign plan should flow from
the commander’s strategy (see Figure 8). This expectation could be problematic,
however. A CCDR may choose to publish an unclassified strategy—after all, a CCMD
has a broad audience. Communicating a
strategy to regional partners and
adversaries (much like an unclassified
NSS and NMS) has its own intended
outcomes. This ‘messaging’ strategy
could deprive the planners of the clarity
found in unvarnished concerns and
expectations that would be more closely
held—sharpness that would likely prove
useful to campaign planners. As such, the
commander’s classified theater
Figure 7: Generic Campaign Plan Construct
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campaign plan will likely require a bit of “reverse engineering” to ensure the CCDR’s
objectives are free of ambiguity.
While each combatant command’s campaign plan may approach the task differently, a
GEF directed campaign plan will ultimately address the commander’s Area of
Responsibility (AOR) in an interconnected manner (problem sets and integrated
planning) and seek to avoid a myopic focus on one or two stove-piped contingency plans
developed during contingency planning. While directed contingency plans must be
linked to the campaign plan, they are branch plans in the event of campaign plan
‘failures’. In addition, the theater campaign plan must include and support the CCDR’s
Theater Posture Plan. The Theater Posture Plan uses three interdependent posture
elements to define the need, plan for, and assess U.S. overseas military presence.
The nature of host-nation relationships, including associated legal arrangements.
The footprint of facilities, personnel, force structure, and equipment.
The steady-state and surge activities of U.S. military forces.
One aspect of the theater campaign plan which should support greater cohesion is the
requirement to closely integrate security cooperation objectives into the theater campaign
plan. In theory, the very nature of many security cooperation activities, which often span
multiple objectives and outcomes, will assist in the campaign plan’s goal of a cohesive
framework.
Security Cooperation (SC)
Security cooperation activities, which are integrated into the CCDR’s campaign plan, are
grouped into ten focus areas.
Human Capacity/Human Capital Development – Facilitate activities which
enhance and/or develop Partner nation’s military members and civilian security
officials’ capacity to sustain their defense sector over time.
Operational Capacity and Capability Building – Build usable, relevant, and
enduring Partner capabilities while achieving U.S. and Partner objectives.
Institutional Capacity – Strengthen Partner nation’s security sector long-term
institutional capacity and capability through Security Force Assistance (SFA).
Support to Institutional Capacity/ Civil-Sector Capacity Building – Strengthen
Partner nation’s non-security civil sector capacity and capability to deliver services
to its own population through stable and effective civil sector institutions.
Combined Operations Capacity, Interoperability, and Standardization –
Develop operational and technical capabilities, doctrine, and tactics, techniques and
procedures with Partner nations to enable effective combined operations or improve
a collective defense capability.
Operational Access and Global Freedom of Action – Gain unfettered access to
and freedom of action in all operational domains. Support global defense posture
realignment and larger U.S. political and commercial freedom of action and access
needs.
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Intelligence and Information Sharing – Gain and/or share specific kinds of
intelligence or information and develop shared assessments of common threats.
Assurance and Regional Confidence Building – Assure Allies and Partners,
enhance regional stability and security, reduce the potential for inter- or intra-state
conflict and international consensus building, and/or expand community of like-
minded states dedicated to more peaceful and secure international order.
International Armaments and Space Cooperation – Encourage armaments and
space activity cooperation activities with allies, Partner nations and alliances (e.g.,
NATO to increase efficiencies, leverage expertise, and enhance relationships.
International Suasion and Collaboration – Build cooperative political-military
relationships with key security influencers and offset counterproductive influence in
key regions and international organizations
The CCDR’s campaign plan integrates and synchronizes current activities and future
shaping operations with contingency plans and provides Service components and
operational-level commander’s strategic objectives and goals. The Maritime Security
Cooperation Policy: an Integrated Navy-Marine Corps-Coast Guard Approach (2013)
prescribes a planning framework for the Navy-Marine Corps-Coast Guard headquarters,
regional components, force providers, and SC enabling providers to achieve an integrated
maritime approach to SC to support the CCDR’s campaign plan. Navy Component
Commanders (NCCs) balance their naval service policy/strategy with the theater
campaign plans (TCP) of CCDRs and provide guidance to the fleet in the form of
Maritime Security Cooperation Plans (MSCPs). MSCPs provide resourcing guidance
and maritime capabilities to the tactical maritime commanders for further planning and
execution that support achievement of the CCDR’s theater objectives. Maritime staffs
utilize higher headquarters guidance and country-specific information normally resident
in appendices to the TCP and can leverage two key publications, the NWP 5-01, Navy
Planning, and the NTTP
3.07-15 (2010), Navy
Component Commander
Support to Theater
Security Cooperation, to
develop the MSCP.
As can be seen in
Figure 10, a close
nesting of a component’s
security cooperation
activities/actions will
support the combat
commander’s theater
campaign plan and its Figure 10: Nesting of Security Cooperation Activities
with CCDR’s Strategy
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associated Intermediate Military Objectives (IMO) and/or strategic objectives. When
planning security cooperation activities, staffs must be able to identify the ultimate
objective of a given activity and be able to assess the results of said activity.
Assessment
A critical requirement in the planning construct—and the requirement is often repeated in
the 2015 GEF— is the need for regular assessments to provide annual, or as directed,
feedback to the SecDef on:
Change in the strategic environment
To what extent did CP implementation shape the environment
Implications of executing strategic outcomes
Program execution and output
Critical points of the assessment process include:
The CJCS is responsible for building an annual comprehensive assessment and
for providing an independent analysis
The assessment focuses on more than security cooperation
That all CCDR’s are responsible for establishing baselines, IMO’s, and metrics
that support achievement of their respective campaign objectives.
That CCDR’s and other defense agencies / departments that administer global
security cooperation initiatives must provide assessments of program execution
and output (to include the execution of campaign support plans).
Adaptive Planning and Execution (APEX)
Adaptive Planning
GEF directed (or CCDR directed) contingency plans are developed using the Joint
Planning Process (JPP). Contingency plans typically address a possible future crisis and
are therefore often conceptual in nature. Uncertainty of when the plan will be executed
requires planners to make assumptions across the DIME, e.g., who will be the political /
military leaders and what are their objectives? Who are the allies, both friendly and
enemy? What are the enemy (and friendly) force composition and locations? Many
assumptions are made so detailed planning may continue. A large number of assumptions,
however, can result in a less than executable plan if many of the planning assumptions
prove incorrect. Contrast this with crisis planning for emergent or unforeseen events
where there is less ambiguity and fewer assumptions, yet also less time to understand the
complexities of the operational environment or explore alternative course of action.
Leveraging time is one advantage of contingency planning. With the potential conflict on
a distant horizon, CCMD planning staffs have the time to investigate multiple courses of
action. They also have time to shape the environment through the campaign plan to
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either avoid the crisis or shape the environment to better support the contingency plan
should it be executed (example: War Plan Orange and the development of U.S.
amphibious doctrine to support the plan’s island-hopping strategy). But time can also be
a weakness; many large-scale contingencies in the past, e.g., DESSERT STORM, were
contingency planned yet when the crisis came, conditions were not as expected.
Assumptions were often invalid and a multi-month, around-the-clock effort to produce a
new plan began.
The Adaptive Planning initiative was designed to ‘close the gap’ between the Joint
Operation Planning and Execution System’s2 (JOPES) former “deliberate” and “crisis
action” planning processes—to avoid the oft-seen, time-intensive need to re-plan
contingency plans (APEX, as well as the 2017 JP 5.0, have removed the terms
“deliberate” and “crisis action” planning. Since they both use the Joint Planning Process,
they fall under the umbrella term “contingency planning”). The intent of AP is to
produce relevant contingency plans more quickly, and then update them annually (or as
needed) to ensure the assumptions upon which the plan was based remained valid. If the
assumptions changed, the plan would be updated. This, in theory, would keep these plans
current and therefore more executable.
Tightening the time line could make these plans more relevant, but CCMD planning
staffs, especially the J-5, were already overwhelmed with the tasked number of plans and
the planning detail required (annexes, TPFDD, etc.). Adding a requirement to develop
contingency plans in one year (it usually took two to three years) and then review these
plans at annually was not possible without major change. Since adding manpower was
not an option, OSD leadership chose to 1) review and reduce the number of contingency
plans required; 2) prioritized the
remaining plans, and then; 3) reduced
the ‘fidelity’ requirement of the
lesser priority plans (see Figure 11).
For example, if a potential crisis was
a high risk to U.S. security AND
likely to occur, this would be
identified as a high priority plan and
require more detail—in this case a
Level 4 plan.
Reducing both the number and level of plans decreased the overall work load for
planning staffs, but level three and four plans still required a lot of time and effort to
develop—especially those plans requiring a TPFDD. OSD personnel assisted planning
coordination by developing collaborative tools allowing planners to meet virtually with
members of their joint planning group and to review and update plans in secure, shared
folders. These tools reduced travel time and increased productivity. OSD personnel also
understood that TPFDD development was a lengthy process, and again leveraged
2 JOPES is an integrated joint conventional command and control system used to support military
operation monitoring, planning (deliberate and crisis action), and execution activities. JOPES is
transitioning to APEX.
Figure 11: Plan Levels
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technology to automate TPFDD development, reducing an often six-month effort to 30
days or less. These efforts, when combined, made the goal of one-year plan development
more achievable.3
Another challenge contingency planning timelines faced was strategic guidance. As
discussed earlier, there were multiple—and sometime conflicting—sources of OSD-level
guidance. The result was that many CCMD
plans, when reviewed by the SecDef or
designated representative, did not meet
expectations and had to be revised;
thousands of man-hours were wasted.
Guidance consolidation—the GEF and
JSCP—helped mitigate many of these
misunderstandings. To minimize any other
guidance challenges in the future (and
understanding that GEF and JSCP guidance
could be overcome by events), the Initial
Progress Review (IPR) concept was
instituted (see Figure 12). CCDR’s tasked
with contingency plans would meet
regularly with OSD to discuss the tasked
plan before the plan was submitted for
approval, thus minimizing the possibility
the plan would be rejected.
Yet another challenge to ‘executable’ contingency plans was a lack of interagency (IA)
cooperation. The reason for this varies, but it often comes down to priorities.
Contingency plans might get executed, whereas IA personnel have jobs and crises to deal
with today. Couple IA indifference with the past requirement to get JS approval to
discuss plans with IA personnel and it was not unusual to find plans tasking the IA
without IA coordination; execution became problematic.
To improve interagency cooperation the Promote Cooperation (PC) program was
instituted. PC is the forum where CCDRs coordinate their plans with other agencies. An
OSD and JS approved program, PC generates collaborative development of DoD plans
with civilian agencies and non-DoD entities up front to encourage buy-in and support.
PC events provide CCDRs with a means of directly engaging USG Departments and
Agencies to better inform plan development and identify intergovernmental policy issues
to advance plan development. In many cases, DoD personnel go to these agencies to
discuss what each can bring to the table to meet mission objectives.
3 TPFDDs have a short ‘shelf life’ as units are constantly rotated. To assist planners in keeping
the TPFDD current (or aware of force readiness / availability changes), OSD requested the development of
an automated “common operating picture” for joint forces that provides decision makers (and planners)
timely information on force readiness, location and availability; this requirement is repeated in the 2015
GEF.
Figure 12: Initial Progress Reviews
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Figure 13: APEX integrates several processes that influence
planning.
Taken together, these multiple improvements to JOPES made it possible to realize the
goals of the AP initiative. The AP initiative has since developed into a broader,
overarching construct known as the Adaptive Planning and Execution (APEX)
system.4 JOPES is gradually transitioning to APEX; APEX has now has replaced the
Joint Operation Planning and Execution System (JOPES) as the DoD planning and
execution system.5 APEX is now a system of joint policies, processes, procedures, and
reporting structures supported by JOPES communications and information technology.
JOPES enables the Joint Planning and Execution Community to monitor, plan, and
execute mobilization, deployment, employment, sustainment, redeployment, and
demobilization activities associated with joint operations. Even this technology segment
of JOPES is transitioning to APEX; it will be referred to as APEX System Technology.
APEX, again, is the joint capability to create, revise, and execute situational relevant
plans rapidly—and to a high level of quality. APEX seeks to leverage:
Near-continuous collaboration
Frequent senior-subordinate consultation
Parallel multi-level and multi-functional planning
Expeditious plan reviews
Web-based data networking
Integrated or interoperable tools
APEX’s comprehensive end-to-end approach includes the streamlining of strategic
guidance (GEF / JSCP) as the “up front” piece to planning as well as the “backend”
plan assessment piece.
Additionally, APEX
integrates various
systems, processes and
tools such as Global
Force Management, the
Defense Readiness and
Reporting System,
Logistics,
Transportation, and
Intelligence to inform
CCDR “Living Plans”
(see Figure 13).
4 This introduction to APEX was taken from Robert M. Klein’s, “Adaptive Planning: Not Your
Great Grandfather’s Schlieffen Plan,” Joint Force Quarterly (2 Qtr, 2007): 84-6; and the “Adaptive
Planning Roadmap II” (March 2008). 5 JOPES is now defined as an APEX system technology. The JOPES volumes (CJCSM 3122
series of publications) are being replaced by the APEX family of publications (CJCSM 3130 series). Many
of the changes are significant (as discussed in this primer), but many are also cosmetic, e.g., message
formats were not changed.
15
Assumptions used in developing the APEX process include:
Planning never stops until a plan / OPORD is rescinded and/or the operation is
terminated.
Execution requires the comparable categories of information as planning, but with
greater detail, refined fidelity and speed.
To achieve the essential unity of action in execution, early and continuous
dialogue between DoD planners and those from other Depts. and Agencies is
essential to successful planning and execution.
The speed of planning during execution for continuing and potential operations is
critical.
Operations and intelligence officers, logisticians and planners are closely
integrated.
Information Technology (IT) will assist in collection of disparate data to form
actionable information.
Where applicable, automated “flags” will assist in:
o Plan update and maintenance to form “living plans” (this requires force
visibility).
o Confirmation and/or replacement of planning assumptions with current
intelligence and operational Mission, Enemy, Terrain and weather, Troops
and support available—Time available, Civil Considerations (METT-TC)
factors.
In conclusion, JOPES transition to APEX’s end-to-end approach is designed to make
contingency plans relevant and executable. In many ways the promise of APEX is still
that—a promise. The computer tools have yet to materialize and since 2008, the trend in
GEF’s is to require an increasing number of priority (and level) of plans. IPR’s are now
prioritized and delegated; review for lesser level plans are now done at lower levels than
the SecDef, and CCDR’s are advised not to stop planning and wait for IPR’s that seem
increasingly difficult to schedule. With these changes, plans are rarely approved within
the one year goal and there appears to be little demand for CCDR’s to meet this goal.
Finally, the once consolidated GEF is less consolidated in 2015, and the OSD and Joint
Staff developed the recent GEF and JSCP serially vice in parallel. The campaign plan
focus remains, however—as well as the need for relevant ‘living’ plans.
Global Force Management (GFM)
As noted in the previous section, resource-informed planning and decision-making
requires timely visibility on U.S. force readiness, location and availability. Such
information is a key requirement for ensuring high-level contingency plans remain
relevant and executable which, in turn, reduces strategic—and operational—risk. Put
simply, contingency plans relying on rapid force flow into a region will utilize a TPFDD
to assist in the smooth and efficient flow of forces into a region. The TPFDD, however,
will be less useful if the scheduled forces are neither ready or near the expected point of
embarkation (e.g., deployed). The APEX goal of making contingency plans relevant and
executable requires a realistic understanding of what forces will be available—and when.
16
To meet this need, Global Force Management6 (GFM) was born; its main elements are
found in Figure 14.
The Global Force Management Implementation Guidance (GFMIG), at the center of
Figure 14, is a critical source document for force planning and execution. As mentioned
earlier, the SecDef is required to balance global demand for steady-state and current
operations against the needs of the services (e.g., training and testing), while also
maintaining a surge capability against contingencies. This SecDef-approved document
integrates establishes guidance for assignment, apportionment, and allocation of forces in
support of GFM framework. The definition of each category follows:
Assignment – Service Secretaries assign forces to CCDRs (COCOM authority) per
SecDef direction to meet UCP directed responsibilities; these forces are available for
employment unless allocated to another CCDR. The GEF requires, and GFM clarifies
the ‘floor’, or the # of forces available forward to a CCDR for that should not be re-
allocated. More detail on this concept will be provided in the 2016 GFMIG.
Unassigned forces - Forces not assigned to a CCDR IAW Title 10 USC, section 162
and instead retained under Service control in order to carry out function of the
6 GFM is a Department of Defense process to align force apportionment, assignment, and
allocation methodologies to support joint force availability requirements, enable comprehensive insight into
global availability of U.S. military forces, and provide senior decision makers a vehicle to quickly and
accurately assess the impact and risk of proposed allocation, assignment, and apportionment changes.
Figure 14: GFM Elements
17
Secretary of a Military Department IAW Title 10, USC, sections 3013(b), 5013(b),
and 8013(b).
Service retained forces - AC and RC operational forces under the administrative
control of respective Secretaries of the Military Departments, and not assigned to a
CCDR.
Allocation – Forces transferred from the assigned CCDR by the SecDef (and approved
by the President). Command relationship is specified (normally OPCON) and forces are
available for employment during specified dates. Allocation is done: 1) in the annual
GFM cycle; 2) Bi-weekly for emergent force requests (SecDef Orders Book) or 3) a
special process for emergent, urgent requests that can’t wait for the bi-weekly cycle
(Special SecDef Order Book). Allocation tables are updated in the GFM Allocation Plan
(GFMAP)7 located on the JS J3 GFM website.
Apportionment – Quantities of forces “reasonably expected to be available” globally for
planning purposes. This information can be found in the GFMIG or the JS J8 website.
As seen in Figure 15,
assignment, allocation, and
apportionment are interrelated.
Figure 15 shows the entire
DoD force pool (every
military unit, Soldier, Sailor,
Airman, and Marine) within
the “Service Institutional
Forces” (recruiters, instructors,
Service Title 10 type forces—
man, train, and equip) and
“Operational Forces” boxes.
This force pool is further
divided by “assigned” (Forces
For) to a CCDR, “unassigned”
forces, and “Service
Retained” forces.
In the past, planners were rarely limited in the scope and type of forces available for
contingency planning. The unspoken assumption was that the plan would be the only
contingency plan executed and receive the appropriate. The concept behind Figure 15’s
framework acknowledges today’s resource constrained environment and attempts to limit
the forces contingency planners use in developing their plan (the blue box: apportioned
forces). This limiting, in theory, makes these contingency plans more feasible/executable
as the forces listed in the plan would more likely be available. Limited availability of
forces, however, especially specialized forces, may require planners to require/assume
7 The GFMAP is a global DEPORD. It is a message with five annexes.
Figure 15: DoD Forces
18
availability of forces outside this box. Such use is allowed, though it raises the risk of
mission failure if the force(s) required prove not to be available if the plan is executed.
The GFMIG also references “Preferred Forces’; or specific forces identified (and
assumed available) by planners to continue employment, sustainment, transportation
planning (TPFDD / transportation feasibility) and to assess risk. These forces are
planning assumptions only, they are not considered "sourced" units; there are no
guarantees that these specific units/forces will be available. CCMD service / functional
components are encouraged to work with Joint Force Providers (JFP) and their
components to make the best possible assumptions with respect to identifying preferred
forces for planning.
The OSD goal of developing an automated sourcing tool to assist both planning and
execution sourcing is
evidenced in the Preferred
Force Generation tool (see
Figure 16). When the tool
becomes reality it will, in
theory, provide an
automated capability to
rapidly identify candidate
forces. This will enable
planners to make more
informed assumptions
when identifying the
preferred forces required
by their operational design.
More informed
assumptions during
planning offers the opportunity to improve plan feasibility, enabling a quicker transition
to execution. Additionally, the tool can assist planners by allowing faster and more
accurate updates to
TPFDDs (and risk) should
execution of contingency
plans prove likely.
The overall GFM process
can be seen in Figure 17.
In short, strategic guidance
sets the requirement, GFM
prioritizes forces to meet
said requirements and
assesses risk, and, in the
end, forces are assigned
and allocated. In a way,
the overall process has
Figure 16: Preferred Force Generation
19
similarities to the contingency and crisis planning in APEX—the red arrow can be seen
as a deliberate force assignment/allocation process taking place over a year; the
‘Emergent’ allocation process provides the flexibility to react to any unforeseen crises for
which rapid action is required.
One item in Figure 17 not yet discussed is the Global Force Management Board (GFMB).
This role of this board is oversight; the board is chaired by the Joint Director of the Joint
Staff (DJS) and is comprised of representatives from OSD, the Joint Staff, Services,
CCMDs, and DoD Agencies. The GFMB assesses and prioritizes CCDR requests for
annual capabilities, provides a prioritized list of CCDR requests to the Joint Force
Coordinator (JFC) and Joint Force Providers (JFP) to use in identifying joint
solutions for military capabilities among the Services, and frames any contentious issues
for decision by the SecDef.
As a final note, it is important to note what is NOT included in GFM yet can assist the
DoD mission across the Range of Military Operations (ROMO). These include Contract
Support (CCDRs can contract via their Service Components rather than request
additional forces), other government agencies, and Coalition & NGOs.
The Force Allocation Process
Force allocation, or acquiring the additional forces the commander needs to accomplish
an assigned task, is often not well understood by military staffs. The next section
discusses this process in more detail. Using the numbering in Figure 18 as a guide, the
force allocation process is as follows:
1, 2. Combatant
commanders
submit a Request
for Force or
capability (RFF/C)
to support annual
or emerging
operational
requirements to the
SecDef via the
Joint Staff.
3 & 4. The Joint
Staff validates the
request and assigns
the request to a
JFC and /or JFP to
determine a recommended sourcing solution.
5 & 6. The JFC/JFP develop sourcing recommendations in coordination with the
Services via their assigned ‘global-look’ Service Components. The recommendations
will include any associated risks and other information considered germane to the
Figure 18: Force Allocation Process
20
sourcing recommendation. The recommendation must conform to existing OSD
policy; any deviations must be accompanied with a detailed explanation for SecDef
approval.8
7. The Joint Staff receives the JFC/JFP sourcing recommendations and the JS J3
briefs recommendations via the SDOB.9 Combatant commanders and Service chiefs
may communicate to the CJCS their assessment of risk or other issues associated with
the JFC/JFP’s recommended global sourcing solution. The Joint Staff coordinates w/
OSD, agencies, Services, or combatant commands with issues or equity to either
articulate or adjudicate (if possible) issues that would result in a non-concurrence or
reclama.10 The Joint Staff will, as required, convene an off-cycle GFMB, or
Operations Deputies Tank or JCS Tank to address and attempt resolution of
contentious issues.
8. The CJCS recommends solution to SECDEF with the non-concurrence, if not
adjudicated in the GFMB, to the SecDef for approval.
9. Upon SecDef approval, the JS publishes SECDEF approval in GFMAP. The
GFMAP is a consolidated order that allows all SecDef allocation decisions be
complied into one order. Supporting and Supported CCDRs publish Deployment
Orders (DEPORDs) implementing the orders in the GFMAP.
8 Each Service maintains Service Red Lines and Service Polices that govern how forces will
deploy. The SecDef may order the Services to exceed these polices. 9 J35 (N), the Global Force Management Division, validates CCMD requirements and manages
the SecDef Orders Book (SDOB) process. 10 This action does not relieve the JFC/JFP of the requirement to coordinate its recommended
sourcing solution with combatant commands and Services. Instead, it provides a means as required for
combatant commanders and Service chiefs to provide an additional assessment if they feel one is required.